Decadal Survey Tier 1 MissionsRoad to Mission Concept review

Mary DiJoseph

ESM Program

Deputy Technical

Outline

• Introduction• Decadal Survey Tier 1 mission status• Road to Mission Concept Review (MCR) and

Key Decision Point (KDP) A• Study guidelines• NPR 7123 requirements for Mission Concept

Review (MCR)• NPR 7120.5 requirements for KDP-A• Mission Concept Study Report content

Tier 1 Mission Status

• NASA’s goal for the Tier 1 missions is to have all missions in or ready for Phase A by October 2009– Must complete Mission Concept Review

• SMAP completed Mission Concept Review in July 2008 and KDP-A (a presentation to the Science Mission Directorate Program Management Council) on September 12, 2008. SMAP is officially in Phase A.

• ICESAT II is on track to conduct MCR in February 2009.

• CLARREO and DESDyni both plan to conduct MCR in September/October 2009

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Milestone Duration Bar Progress/Status Bar

Completed Milestone Study Phase

Earth Science Projects DivisionDecadal Survey Master Schedule

SMAP (Soil Moisture And Precipitation)

ICESAT II(Ice, Cloud, and Land Elevation Satellite)

LRD03/13

01/13

As of 10/14/2008

CLARREO (Climate Absolute Radiance and Refractivity Observatory)

MCR06/08

KDP-A09/08 CDR

12/10SIR

10/11

KDP-B04/09

PDR12/09 KDP-C

02/10

MDR02/09

09/14

KDP-D12/11

PER04/12 PSR

MCR02/09 KDP-A

04/09

NETLRD11/14PSRPER

08/13SIR

05/13

KDP-D07/13

CDR09/11

PDR11/10

KDP-C01/11

KDP-B01/10

MDR11/09

MCR09/09Pre-Phase A

Mission Trade Studies Launch Readiness Window

DESDynI (Deformation, Ecosystem Structure and Dynamics of Ice)

MCR09/09Pre-Phase A

Mission Trade Studies Launch Readiness Window

SWOT (Surface Water Ocean Topography)

ASCENDS (Active Sensing of CO2 Emissions over Nights, Days, and Seasons)

ACE (Aerosol - Cloud – Ecosystems)

GEO-CAPE (Geostationary Coastal and Air Pollution Events)

HyspIRI (Hyperspectral Infrared Imager)

NLTLRD03/16

Launch Readiness Window

International Hydrology Work Workshop10/21 – 10/23

Imaging Spectrometer and Infrared Imager - Science

Workshop 10/21 – 10/23

ACE Science Working Group Meeting

11/06/2008

GEO-CAPE Workshop @ U of North Carolina

08/18 – 08/20

ASCENDS Workshop @ U of Michigan07/23 – 07/25

Associate Director/ Earth Systematic Missions

Program ManagerGilberto Colon

Program Integration ManagerPaul Brandinger

SecretaryDonna Mudd

Earth Science Projects DivisionAnd Earth Systematic Missions Program Office

ESM FlightDeputy Director/Program Manager

David Mitchell

ESM Operations &Data Systems

Deputy Program Manager

Gilberto Colon (Acting)

Advanced Studies & Strategic Capability

Deputy Associate Director/ TechnicalMary DiJoseph

DPM-Resources, DS MissionsKathy Shifflett

Systems Engineer/590 Norman RiouxProgram Instrument Systems Mgr

Bernie Graf

Program Business OfficeProgram Business Manager

Jonathan BrysonDeputy Program Business Manager

Tracy Felton (Acting)Program Support Manager

Katy Mikkelsen

–LDCM–GPM–Glory–NPP

–ESMO–ESDIS– Ground Systems Capability

PAOSarah Dewitt

ESM Performing CentersARC: TBD

GSFC: Laurie LeshinLaRC: Leila VannJPL: Diane Evans

__________________________Signature /date

Draft- 10/15/08

Procurement ManagerSteven Kramer

NOAA ProjectsMarty Davis

– NOAA N’– GOES N-P– NPOESS IPO

– SMAP (JPL)– ICESat II (GSFC)– CLARREO– DesDynI– Decadal Survey studies

Systems Safety & Mission Assurance/300

Program Systems Manager (ITA)/500

Nick Speciale

Senior ScientistVacant

InstrumentTechnology & Development

Deputy Associate Director

Mary DiJoseph (Acting)

– TSIS (NOAA)– CERES FM6 (NOAA)– Instrument Studies

Role of the Earth Systematic Missions Program Office in Decadal Survey

• All Decadal Survey Missions are directed missions and will be managed by the Earth Systematic Missions (ESM) Program office, housed at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC). – This is former EOS Program Office renamed and re-envigorated for

the Decadal Survey

• Directed missions are managed by the implementing Center (LaRC for CLARREO) with oversight and assistance as needed or requested from ESM-PO

• EMS-PO develops performance standards and provides independent assessments for all Decadal Survey missions

• While housed at GSFC the ESM incorporates expertise from across NASA– In particular including science and instrument expertise from LaRC and

JPL

NASA’s Project Lifecycle

CLARREO is here

Need to be here by October 2009

Road to MCR and KDP-A: The Mission Study Process

• Conduct studies and analyses to derive the Level 1 requirements (Science, engineering, cost and schedule)

• Complete an analysis of alternatives resulting in a conceptual design, and conduct Mission Concept Review

• Prepare for approval all documents required in NPR 7120.5D (NASA Space Flight Program and Project Management Requirements)

Top-Level Mission Requirements Definition

Iterate RequirementsConstraints and Assumptions

Identify and Prioritize Key Design Parameters Develop Concept Evaluation Criteria

Develop Strawman End-To–End Mission Concept

Preliminary System Requirements Flow Down

Strawman System Concept( s)

24 5 6 7 8

9

No

Technology Avaliable/ Risks Acceptable

12

System Cost/Performance/ Margins vs. Requirements Evaluations

Form Study Team and Develop Study Plan 1

3

Mission Needs and Objectives

Yes

13

Peer Review

No

Yes

11

Performance Meets Requirements

10

No

YesROM Costs Within Guidelines

14

Finalize Concept and Develop Report PMRD – Refined and Validated Requirements ROM Costs Strawman Mission Concept

15

Mission Concept Review

and Concepts

8

Study Guidelines: the study process

Top-Level Mission Requirements Definition

Iterate RequirementsConstraints and Assumptions

Identify and Prioritize Key Design Parameters Develop Concept Evaluation Criteria

Develop Strawman End-To–End Mission Concept

Preliminary System Requirements Flow Down

Strawman System Concept( s)

24 5 6 7 8

9

No

Technology Avaliable/ Risks Acceptable

12

System Cost/Performance/ Margins vs. Requirements Evaluations

Form Study Team and Develop Study Plan 1

3

Mission Needs and Objectives

Yes

13

Peer Review

No

Yes

11

Performance Meets Requirements

10

No

YesROM Costs Within Guidelines

14

Finalize Concept and Develop Report PMRD – Refined and Validated Requirements ROM Costs Strawman Mission Concept

15

Mission Concept Review

and Concepts

Pre-Phase A is an iterative process. Crucial to conducting a successful study is agreement on a set of realistic mission objectives and their flowdown to science and measurement requirements that are documented in the mission’s Level 1 Requirements.

Study Goals & Objectives

• Establish performance metrics, develop and document the mission science requirements (Level 1 requirements), explore the full range of implementation options, define an affordable project concept to meet requirements specified in the Level 1’s, identify needed technologies, and begin preliminary development of the Project Plan.

• Define the best mission that fits within the allocated resources and bring the mission to Phase A maturity. Mission Study Teams should explore the optimum range of cost, schedule, and capability that will maximize the science/cost ratio across the entire Decadal Survey flight program.

Study Guidelines: activities

• Investigate:– Potential Partnerships with non-NASA organizations– Instrument and mission design and development options,

including make/buy decisions and alternative mission operations approaches

• Conduct trades:– Science requirements, trying to identify the significant cost

vs. performance parameters– Mission risk (looking for cost vs. reliability drivers)– Technology– Acquisition Strategy– Mission operations approach– Data Processing and distribution approach– Access to space (launch vehicle selection; co manifest; etc)

Study Guidelines: study schedule should include these activities

• Detailed mission concept definition • Sensitivity analyses (science measurement requirements and instrument performance parameters)• Cost estimates• Risk assessments • System impacts of new technology infusion• Concept validation • Mission trade space modeling• Study reports and archived models• Level 1 requirement definition

– Temporal and spatial resolution requirements.– Measurement accuracy requirement as a function of spatial resolution.– Effect of orbit selection on mission performance.– Mission lifetime.– Other science requirements achievable by potential instrument combinations that could extend the mission applicability

to other science questions.– Measurement(s) to be made– Science rationale (How measurements contribute to science question(s))– Related measurements of complementary value– Define roles for international partners

• Define a baseline instrument concept, including the rationale and key instrument performance parameters• Identify alternative instrument concepts• Define a spacecraft concept, including key spacecraft performance parameters• Identify launch requirements• Identify Supporting R&A investments• Identify Specific cal/val requirements• Generate a detail cost estimate for instrument, Ground System, MO& DA, Science, Project Management, Systems

Engineering, and Flight Assurance. Parametric estimate for spacecraft.• Develop a detailed mission schedule (at least WBS Level 3 for instrument)

NPR 7123 requirements for MCR

Mission Concept Review

Entrance Criteria Success Criteria

1. Mission goals and objectives.2. Analysis of alternative concepts to show at

least one is feasible.3. Concept of operations.4. Preliminary mission descope options.5. Preliminary risk assessment, including

technologies and associated risk management/mitigation strategies and options.

6. Conceptual test and evaluation strategy.7. Preliminary technical plans to achieve next

phase.8. Defined MOEs and MOPs.9. Conceptual life-cycle support strategies

(logistics, manufacturing, and operation).

1. Mission objectives are clearly defined and stated and are unambiguous and internally consistent.

2. The preliminary set of requirements satisfactorily provides a system that will meet the mission objectives.

3. The mission is feasible. A solution has been identified that is technically feasible. A rough cost estimate is within an acceptable cost range.

4. The concept evaluation criteria to be used in candidate systems evaluation have been identified and prioritized.

5. The need for the mission has been clearly identified.6. The cost and schedule estimates are credible.7. An updated technical search was done to identify existing assets or

products that could satisfy the mission or parts of the mission.8. Technical planning is sufficient to proceed to the next phase.9. Risk and mitigation strategies have been identified and are acceptable

based on technical risk assessments.

NPR 7120.5 Requirements

• Deliver the following products– Draft Level 1 requirements document– Preliminary Formulation Authorization

Document– Mission Concept report– Preliminary Integrated Baseline

Mission Concept Study Report content

1. Mission Architecture and System Concept

2. Technology Maturity, Risk Assessment and Risk Mitigation

3. Mission Acquisition Approach

4. Cost and Schedule