declining economy chart 1 the economy: two years of negative growth, following a four-year...

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Declining Economy chart 1 The Economy: two years of negative growth, following a four-year stagnation, ended an earlier promising era . 42 42 44 44 46 49 50 50 51 51 53 51 50 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 GDP per capita, NIS thousands, (1995 prices)

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Declining Economy chart 1

The Economy: two years of negative growth, following a four-year stagnation, ended an earlier promising era.

42 42

44 44

46

4950 50 51 51

53

51

50

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

GDP per capita, NIS thousands,

(1995 prices)

Declining Economy chart 2

Unemployment: after declining, despite mass immigration, unemployment is once again rising.

% unemployed

4

6

8

10

12

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002

Declining Economy chart 3

Unemployment by Region: periphery towns suffer more unemployment than the center.

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

Jerusalem North Haifa Central Tel-Aviv South

% unemployed

Declining Economy chart 4

Standard of Living - Public Opinion: Has your standard of living changed in the last 2-3 years? The majority feel a decline in their standard of living.

Improved17%

No change37%

Worsened46%

Declining Economy chart 5

Income Needs - Public Opinion: Does your income meet your basic needs? One third feel barely able to meet their needs.

20 %

46 %

34%

No difficulty Reasonably well Hardly

The Positive Side chart 6

Gross Domestic Product: while lagging behind more developed countries as measured in per capita terms, Israeli ranking rises when examined per employee.

3040506070

PortugalGreeceJapanUKSwedenSpainSwitzerlandIsraelNetherlandsGermanyIrelandUS

US$, thousands

Per capita Per employed person

10 15 20 25 30 35

Greece

Portugal

Spain

Israel

UK

Sweden

Germany

Japan

Ireland

Netherlands

Switzerland

US

The Positive Side chart 7

Exports: the past 20 years have seen a major shift from conventional industries to electronics.

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Diamonds

Agriculture

Textiles

Chemical products

Electronics

1980

2002

% of total exports

The Positive Side chart 8

Information Technology: Israel has a high proportion of ICT in its business sector. Employment share is lower but still relatively high.

3 6 9 12 15 18

MexicoBelgiumPortugal

JapanFrance

UKHungary

USSwedenS.KoreaFinland

IsraelIreland

% in Employment

0246810

MexicoPortugalS.KoreaUSHungaryBelgiumIsraelJapanUKIrelandSwedenFranceFinland

% in Value-Added

The Positive Side chart 9

Occupational Structure: reflects reliance on academic and professional employment.

Unskilled workers

8%Sales and service workers

18%

Skilled workers

21%

Clerical workers

17%

Academic, professionals, technicians

and managers36%

Income Distribution chart 10

Income Distribution: those in the lowest decile earn as little as 1/5 of those in the highest decile.

Index, upper decile of income = 100

010203040

50607080

90100

Upper 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 Lower

Deciles of income per standard person

Income Distribution chart 11

Durable Goods Ownership: the lowest decile lags behind in access to computer technology and transportation.

0102030405060708090

100

Microwave VCR Internet CellularPhone

Car

Upper 7 4 Lower

% of total in each decile

Income Distribution chart 12

Families in Poverty: families living below the poverty line have leveled off at the high level of 16-17% .

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

% of families below poverty line

Income Distribution chart 13

Real Wages: a trend of rising real average wages has abruptly reversed.

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

Index 1994=100

Social Tensions chart 14

Security - Public Opinion: Does the security situation influence your daily life? Over 50% feel a great impact .

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

very much

somewhat

a little

not at all

% of respondents

Social Tensions chart 15

Violent Crime: the rate of violent crime doubled in the 90s; a major part, attributable to domestic violence.

per 1000 population

2

3

4

5

6

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Social Tensions chart 16

Road Accidents: Israel has almost the highest number of road accident victims of all Western countries.

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Den

mar

k

Fin

land

Tu

rkey

Pola

nd

Sw

eden

Hung

ary

Norw

ay

Fra

nce

Gre

ece

Irel

and

Spai

n

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Ital

y

UK

Ger

man

y

Aust

ria

Port

ug

al

Bel

giu

m

Can

ada

Isra

el

US

per 100,000 population

Social Tensions chart 17

very much11%

somewhat24%

not at all or hardly65%

Tolerance - Public Opinion: Is Israeli society tolerant of national, ethnic, or religious groups? The public perceives Israeli society as largely intolerant.

Social Tensions chart 18

Foreign Workers: since the mid-90s, Palestinian laborers have been largely replaced by foreign workers.

0

2

4

6

8

10

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

Foreign workers Palestinian workers

% of civilian labor force

Social Tensions chart 19

Foreign Workers - Public Opinion: How should the government relate to foreign workers? Almost half think they should be prevented from entering and deported.

46%

36%

18%

ban entry and deport

ban entry, allow those here to stay

improve conditions

Restrained Budget chart 20

Government Outlays: social services are the largest component of the government budget.

Debt servicing

29%

Defense15%

Other15%

Social services

41%

Total budget – US$ 60 billion

Restrained Budget chart 21

Government Expenditure: stability following decline of government outlays from almost 60% of GDP to near 40%.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002

social services

other

defense

Total budget, excl. debt servicing

Restrained Budget chart 22

In-Kind Social Services: after a short spurt in the early 90s, a moderate downward trend may be observed in education, health and welfare expenditures.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002

% of GDP

Restrained Budget chart 23

Unemployment Benefits: rising unemployment has led to a rapid increase in the number of people receiving unemployment and income support benefits.

0

30

60

90

120

150

180

210

240

270

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Unemployment Income Support

thousands

Restrained Budget chart 24

Budget Cuts - Public Opinion: To what extent do budget cuts hurt social services? Most people say it has had a harmful effect.

67%

24%

9%

very much somewhat very little

Restrained Budget chart 25

Social Gaps - Public Opinion: How does the budget affect socio-economic disparities? The public feels

government policy has widened social gaps .

71%

16%

13%

narrowsdisparities

has no influence

widens disparities

Service development chart 26

University Enrollment: since reaching parity in 1985, more women now enroll in university than men.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1965 1975 1985 1996 2001

Men Women

Enrolled as % of age group (20-29)

Service development chart 27

Higher Education: over 40% of Israeli adults (age 25-64) have a post-secondary education.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Tur

key

Por

tuga

l

Hun

gary

Ital

y

Pol

and

Aus

tria

Gre

ece

Spa

in

Fra

nce

Sw

itze

rlan

d

UK

Net

herl

ands

Den

mar

k

Aus

tral

ia

Nor

way

Ger

man

y

Sw

eden

Fin

land

Japa

n

New

Zea

land

US

Isra

el

Can

ada

Service development chart 28

Education and Disparities - Public Opinion: Does the education system narrow social disparities? Only a minority

see the education system as reducing disparities .

39%

35%

26%

20 24 28 32 36 40

narrowsdisparities

no influence

widensdisparities

Service development chart 29

National Health Expenditure: per capita expenditure is lower than in most Western countries .

US$

500

1,500

2,500

3,500

4,500U

SSw

itze

rlan

dG

erm

any

Lux

embo

urg

Can

ada

Den

mar

kFr

ance

Bel

gium

Nor

way

Net

herl

ands

Aus

tral

iaA

ustr

iaIt

aly

Japa

nIr

elan

dU

KSw

eden

Isra

elFi

nlan

dSp

ain

Port

ugal

Gre

ece

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Sout

h K

orea

Hun

gary

Service development chart 30

Government Health Expenditure: expenditures failed to keep pace with population growth; per capita rates have

declined to the level of the early 90s .

Index: 1980=100

80

85

90

95

100

105

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002

Service development chart 31

Health Care - Public Opinion: Do all enjoy the same level of health care? 80% feel that everyone does not receive equal treatment.

18%

26%

56%

equal care

smalldifferences

largedifferences

Service development chart 32

Long-Term Care: The number receiving long-term care benefits increased dramatically.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1990 1995 2001

% of population aged 65+