delivering clean energy to the world - nakilat · steam turbine vlgc megi (new build) xdf (new...
TRANSCRIPT
1Q20 Financial ResultsIR Presentation – 21st April 2020
DELIVERING CLEAN ENERGYTO THE WORLD
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
“CROSSING OCEANS, BROADENING HORIZONS”
All statements in this presentation (other than those of historical fact) contain reference to our future business and financial performance and future events or developments that may constituteforward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by words such as "expect," "look forward to," "anticipate" "intend," "plan," "believe," "seek," "estimate," "will," "project", “may”,“forecast” or words of similar meaning. We may also make forward-looking statements in other reports, in presentations, in material delivered to shareholders and in press releases. In addition, ourrepresentatives may from time to time make oral forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on the current expectations and certain assumptions of NAKILATs’ management, of which manyare beyond NAKILATs’ control. These are subject to several risks, uncertainties and factors that might cause future results and outcomes to differ including, but not limited to the following:
• general LNG shipping market conditions and trends, including spot and long-term charter rates, ship values, factors affecting supply and demand of LNG and LNG shipping, technologicaladvancements
• and opportunities for the profitable operations of LNG carriers;• fluctuations in spot and long-term charter hire rates and vessel values;• changes in our operating expenses, including crew wages, maintenance, dry-docking and insurance costs and bunker prices;• number of off-hire days and dry-docking requirements including our ability to complete scheduled dry-dockings on time and within budget;• planned capital expenditures and availability of capital resources to fund capital expenditures;• may no longer have the latest technology which may impact the rate at which we can charter such vessels;• increased exposure to the spot market and fluctuations in spot charter rates;• fluctuations in prices for crude oil, petroleum products and natural gas, including LNG;• changes in the ownership of our charterers;• our customers’ performance of their obligations under our time charters and other contracts;• our future operating performance and expenses, financial condition, liquidity and cash available for dividends and distributions;• our ability to obtain financing to fund capital expenditures, acquisitions and other corporate activities, funding by banks of their financial commitments, and our ability to meet our restrictive
covenants• future, pending or recent acquisitions of or orders for ships or other assets, business strategy, areas of possible expansion and expected capital spending;• the time that it may take to construct and deliver new buildings and the useful lives of our ships;• fluctuations in currencies and interest rates;• the expected cost of and our ability to comply with environmental and regulatory conditions, including changes in laws and regulations or actions taken by regulatory authorities, governmental• organizations, classification societies and standards imposed by our charterers applicable to our business;• risks inherent in ship operation, including the risk of accidents, collisions and the discharge of pollutants;• our ability to retain key employees and the availability of skilled labor, ship crews and management;• potential disruption of shipping routes due to accidents, political events, piracy or acts by terrorists;• potential liability from future litigation;• any malfunction or disruption of information technology systems and networks that our operations rely on or any impact of a possible cybersecurity breach
Should one or more of these risk factors or uncertainties materialize or should underlying expectations not occur or assumptions prove incorrect, actual results, performance or achievements of NAKILATmay (negatively or positively) vary materially from those described explicitly or implicitly in the relevant forward-looking statement. NAKILAT neither intends, nor assumes any obligation, to update orrevise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated except if required by law. Accordingly, you should not unduly rely of any forward-lookingstatements. NAKILAT makes no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, with respect to any forecast, projection or predictive statements in this presentation.
This presentation has been prepared is the English language. In case of discrepancies if translated, the English language document is the sole authoritative and universally valid version.
Forward Looking Statements & Disclaimer
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
2
▪ Glossary 4
▪ Nakilat’s Fleet 5
▪ Nakilat’s Shareholding Structure 6
▪ 1Q20 Financial Highlights 7-8
▪ 1Q20 Income Statement Highlights 9
▪ 1Q20 Balance Sheet Highlights 10
▪ Net Borrowing (1Q20) 11
▪ Global LNG Trade (2013 – 2022e) 12-13
▪ China’s LNG demand (2010 – 2040e) 12-13
▪ LNG Shipping Market Update (1Q20) 14
▪ LNG Shipping Supply (1Q20) 15
▪ Global LNG Shipping Balance (1Q20) 15
▪ Nakilat’s Business Outlook 16-17
▪ 1Q20 Earnings Results – Summary 18-19
▪ Net Impact on OSG Acquisition in FY19 20-21
▪ Q & A 22
Table of Contents
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
3
Glossary
LNGCLiquefied Natural Gas Carrier
FSRUFloating Storage Regasification Unit
Charter Free Vessel which is not attached with charter party
DFDEDual Fuel Diesel Electric Propulsion System
SteamSteam Turbine PropulsionSystem)
MEGIM-type, Electronically Controlled, Gas Injection
BoGBoil-off Gas
DSMEDaewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
4
HHIHyundai Heavy Industries
Nakilat’s Fleet 5
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
31
14
10
9
4
2
2
1
1
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Q-FLEX ( 2-STROKE SSD)
Q-MAX ( 2-STROKE SSD)
TFDE
STEAM TURBINE
VLGC
MEGI (NEW BUILD)
XDF (NEW BUILD)
MEGI (CONVERSION)
FSRU (TFDE)
Number Of Vessels
Vessels' Type / Propulsion
29
19
7
4 4 43
21 1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Nu
mb
er o
f V
esse
ls
Wholly & Jointly-Owned Fleet
Milaha
Qatar Pension Fund (Civil)
*QNB Funds
Qatar Pension Fund (Military)
Qatar Electricity and Water
***Vanguard Funds
**Woqod Group
Qatar Insurance Company
BlackRock Funds
Qatar Petroleum
Other Qatari Shareholders
Other Foreign Ownership
36.25%
12.42%
4.00%
2.40%
2.00%
1.69%
1.51%
1.39%
1.18%
0.90%
24.58%
11.68%
*QNB Funds13 Funds (Al Watani and WadiAlseel), EMFR limited
**Woqod Group6 Companies
***Vanguard Fund11 Funds
****BlackRock Funds: 10 Funds
Nakilat’s Ownership Structure (As of 31 March 2020)
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
6
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
Profit: QAR 280MFinancial Results for 1Q-2020
7
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
QAR 1BnRevenue
QAR 802MEBITDA*
QAR 280M Net Profit
QAR 0.05EPS
11.84%RoE**
1.11Current Ratio
• Total revenue increased by 13.2%. Mainly due to acquisition of 49.9% stake of INSW in Oct’19, higher profitsfrom LPG and towage JV, higher profit from NAC business.
• Expenses increased by 11.4% due to costs related to 4 JV vessels fully acquired in Oct 2019.
• EBITDA higher by 13.1% due to increase in revenue.
• Net Profit increase of 18.3% was driven by higher EBITDA.
Financial Highlights (1Q-2020)
*Note: EBITDA is a non-IFRS financial measure and should not be used in isolation or as substitute for Nakilat’s financial results presented in accordance with International FinancialReporting Standards (“IFRS”)** Note : RoE is annualized
8
236
280
1Q-19 1Q-20
Net Profit
902
1,022
1Q-19 1Q-20
Revenue
666
742
1Q-19 1Q-20
Expenses
708
802
1Q-19 1Q-20
EBITDA
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
Income Statement (1Q-20) 9
Highlights :
• Total Revenue increased by 13.2% mainly due to
acquisition of 49.9% stake of INSW in Oct’19, higher profits
from LPG and towage JV, higher profit from NAC business
• Operating costs increased by 16.5% due to operating
costs of 4 JV vessels fully acquired in Oct’19
• General and administration expenses decreased by
1.6% as a result of process enhancement and cost
optimization initiatives
• Amort. & Depr. of PPE increased by 20.2% due to 4
vessels fully acquired in Oct’19
• Finance charges increased by 4.3% as a result of finance
charges of 4 JV vessels fully acquired in Oct’19 partly offset
by scheduled repayment of loan
Items (QAR - M) 1Q-20 1Q-19 YoY %
Revenue from operations 997 867 15.0%
Interest, dividend and other income 25 35 -28.6%
Total Revenue 1,022 902 13.2%
Operating costs 190 163 16.5%
G & A expenses 31 31 -1.6%
Amort. & Depr. of PPE 222 185 20.2%
Finance charges 299 287 4.3%
Total Expenses 742 666 11.4%
Net profit for the period 280 236 18.3%
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
10Balance Sheet (1Q-2020)
Highlights :
• Cash and bank balances increased by 4.2% mainly due
to cash generated from operations
• Trade and other receivables increased by 12% mainly
due to advances of Hub business (Port Agency)
• Equity investments decreased by 32.7% due to lower
share prices of shares held for investment
• Fair value of interest rate swaps increased by 27.2%
due to decrease in LIBOR
• Accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities
increased by 29% mainly due to loan interest accruals,
advances of Hub business (Port Agency) and deferred
income liability
Items (QAR - M) Mar-20 Dec-19 % Change
Property and equipment 23,992 24,144 -0.6%
Investment in joint venture companies 4,400 4,378 0.5%
Cash and bank balances 2,497 2,397 4.2%
Trade and other receivables 1,509 1,347 12.0%
Equity investments 76 113 -32.7%
Total Assets 32,474 32,379 0.3%
Borrowings 21,202 21,242 -0.2%
Equity after hedge reserve and before non-
controlling interests5,789 6,851 -15.5%
Fair value of interest rate swaps 3,151 2,477 27.2%
Accounts payable, accruals and other
liabilities2,325 1,803 29.0%
Non-controlling interests 7 6 16.7%
Total Equity & Liabilities 32,474 32,379 0.3%
Net Borrowings (QAR in Billions)
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
11
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
LNG SHIPPING OVERVIEW 12
Source: WoodMac
1Q20 - Global LNG Trade & China’s LNG Demand Outlook 13
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
7%China’s LNG Demand 2010 – 2040e
Source: Kpler and Woodmac
Global LNG Trade 2013 – 2022e
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
e
2022
e
2024
e
2026
e
202
8e
2030
e
2032
2034
2036
2038
2040
in m
mtp
a
CAGR Demand Growth: ~9%
24
2
24
4
25
0
26
5
29
7
32
4
36
3
38
9
40
4
41
0
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
mtpa
CAGR LNG Trade Growth: ~6%
1Q20 - LNG Shipping Market Update 14
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
Source: Clarksons
Source: Clarksons Source: Clarksons
Source: Clarksons
Source: Clarksons
25,000
35,000
45,000
55,000
65,000
75,000
85,000
95,000
105,000
115,000
125,000
Ch
arte
r R
ate
per
Day
($
)
Multi-Month (3-6) LNG Shipping Rates in 12 Months
174kcbm MEGIs 160kcbm DFDEs 145kcbm Steam
-38%
-32%
-38%
1Q20
0
15,000
30,000
45,000
60,000
75,000
90,000
105,000
120,000
135,000
USD
/ d
ay
Spot Rates (MEGI Vs DFDEs Vs Steam) 2019-20
174kcbm MEGIs 160kcbm DFDEs 145kcbm Steam
4Q19Average Rates in 2020
MEGIs/XDFs: ~$68,350pd160k DEFEs: ~$55,100pd145k Steam: ~$38,850pd
15,000
25,000
35,000
45,000
55,000
65,000
75,000
85,000
95,000
105,000
115,000
Q1
-20
15
Q2
-20
15
Q3
-20
15
Q4
-20
15
Q1
-20
16
Q2
-20
16
Q3
-20
16
Q4
-20
16
Q1
-20
17
Q2
-20
17
Q3
-20
17
Q4
-20
17
Q1
-20
18
Q2
-20
18
Q3
-20
18
Q4
-20
18
Q1
-20
19
Q2
-20
19
Q3
-20
19
Q4
-20
19
Q1
-20
20
$ p
er d
ay
1 Year Time-Charter Rate in 2015-20
Average Rates in 2020
MEGIs/XDFs: ~$87,300pd160k DEFEs: ~$69,000pd145k Steam: ~$47,500pd
MEGIs/XDFs
DFDEs
STEAMs
Spot LNG Shipping Market Rates
Average DFDEs Day Rates Average MEGIs Day Rates
4Q19~$107,500
1Q20~$55,100
4Q19~$123,100
1Q20~$68,350
-49% -44%
Note: *As of 1Q20, World live LNG fleet (excl. vessels <125,000cbm, FSRUs, FSUs, and FLNG, noassumption for scrapping, or LNGC conversion to FSRUs
Source: Clarksons Source: Clarksons
1Q20 - LNG Shipping Supply – Global Shipping Balance 15
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
7%
Development of Global LNG Fleet* (2018 - 2023e) Historic LNGC Newbuild Price 2006 - 2019
Source: SSY, As of 4Q19
472510 510
549604 633
39
5529 2
120
170
220
270
320
370
420
470
520
570
620
2018 2019 2020e 2021e 2022e 2023e
Nu
mb
er
of
LNG
Sh
ips
Total Existing LNG Carriers Fleet Orderbook LNG Carriers Fleet
180
190
200
210
220
230
240
250
145K cbm SteamNewBuild
160k cbm DFDENewbuilding
174k cbm MEGI/XDFNewbuilding
Average Price ~$200m
SteamDFDE MEGI/XDF
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
LNGC Shipping Balance 2012-2022
LNGCs. (>100,000 CBM) Number of Required Vessels
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
BUSINESS OVERVIEW 16
Nakilat’s Business Outlook
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
LNG Shipping Fleet
Expect to see the full impactof the 49.9% stakeacquisition of 4 Q-Flexs in thefollowing quarters
Continue to conductstructural commercialnegotiations with charterersfor the 4 Newbuild LNGCswith delivery on 2020-21.
Shipyard & Marine Services
Market Fundamentals
Portfolio growth
Shipyard is a cyclical businesswith a strategic importance forNakilat.
We are working to minimize theimpact of COVID-19 of thisbusiness segment.
According to Wood Mackenzie,global liquefaction capacityshould grow by ~159mts until2025.
The substantial LNG supply willtrigger further LNG shippingrequirements which will keepthe global market fundamentalsat healthy and prolific levels forshipowners
Nakilat expands its global LNGshipping capacity with the49.9% stake acquisition of 4Q-Flexs LNGCs (217,000cbmper vessel) owned by INSW.
The 4 LNG carriers have beenon 25-year time-charters toQatargas since their deliveryin 2007 and 2008.
17
18© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
1Q20 - Earnings Results - Summary 18
Summary
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
Global leaderfor energy
transportation
Maximize shareholder
return
Priority forsafety &
environment
1Q20 Earnings Results:
• Strong profitability results (+18.3% YoY), momentumcontinues
• As of 1Q20, Covid-19 did not have any negative financialimpact on Nakilat’s quarterly financial performance
• Nakilat’s defensive and solid business model provides theflexibility to navigate sustainably through extreme volatilemarkets
• Nakilat’s EBITDA was up by 13.1% year-over-year to reachQAR 802 million
• 1Q20 – LTIF* Yearly Data: (0.15 Nakilat in 1Q19 Vs 0.45Industrial Average 2019)
*Note: Lost Time Incident Frequency Rate
19
20© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
Appendix 20
FY’19 Earnings Results: Net Impact of Gain on OSG Acquisition
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
21
Gain on Revaluation of OSG Assets
Contingencies:Included in Share of JVProfit
Accelerated Amortizations:Included in Depreciation /Amortization
Net Impact on Net Profit
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
Q&A
22
For Investor Relations inquiries please contact:
Fotios Zeritis, MBA, FICS, CIR – Head of Investor Relations
[email protected] or Direct: +974 4496 8911
Any Further Investor Questions?
© Copyright of this document vested in Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (NAKILAT). All rights reserved.
23
Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. (Nakilat)Head Office: Al Shoumoukh Tower (B)P.O. Box: 22271 ،Doha ،Qatar | C.R.No.: 28566Office: +974 4499 8111Fax: +974 4448 3111www.nakilat.com.qa
Thank You