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Titel dia
DELIVERING TOGETHER: BUILDING ON IMPROVED FUNDAMENTALS
Michel Lamie Chief Financial Officer Finance & Solvency II
Capital Markets Day June 1, 2017
Tekst 100%
KEY MESSAGES
Operational result 2016 at approximately €230 million net of exceptional items
We changed the fundamentals of Achmea for improved returns
Our strategic plan “Delivering Together” will further improve performance and lead to:
Operational result of €600 million in 2020 with a Free Capital Generation of €400 million
Solvency II ratio remaining solid with a resilient capital base under several scenarios
Key ratios in line with requirements for S&P IFS rating “A”
2
Menu dia
PROGRAMME
3
Part I: Operational result 2016
Part II: Fundamentals improved
Part III: Ambition 2020
Part IV: Free Capital Generation, Solvency II and Liquidity
Free Capital Generation
Solvency II
Liquidity
Financial ratios
Tekst & Tabel 25%/75%
OPERATIONAL RESULT 2016 AT APPROXIMATELY €230 MILLION NET OF EXCEPTIONAL ITEMS
Operational result 2016 strongly influenced by several exceptional items:
Exceptional weather such as the hail calamity in June
Reserve strengthening personal injury
Reorganisation provision for reduction 2,000 FTE and number of office locations
High income from investments as a result of:
Realisations in Non-Life due to change in investment mandate
Strong recovery of commodities and real estate prices in Pension & Life
Result in basic health, expected to be at a break-even level, was impacted by:
Loss provision premium setting 2017
Higher than expected health care expenses
Changes in portfolio composition
Operational result excluding Health is approximately €230 million
4
-323
-196
-127 170
178
100 90
~230
2016 (reported) Result Health 2016(ex-Health)
Exceptionalweather
Personal Injury Reorganisation Investmentresult
2016(Ex-health,
normalised)
Operational result 2016 Excluding health and exceptional items
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PROGRAMME
5
Part I: Operational result 2016
Part II: Fundamentals improved
Part III: Ambition 2020
Part IV: Free Capital Generation, Solvency II and Liquidity
Free Capital Generation
Solvency II
Liquidity
Financial ratios
Tekst 50% & Grafiek 4x
WE MAINTAINED MARKET LEADERSHIP IN HEALTH AND NON-LIFE AND REDUCED EXPENSES SIGNIFICANTLY
General
In fiercly competitive markets we managed to maintain market leadership in Health and Non-life with respectively 30% and 21% market share
We reduced FTE and expenses through digitisation and other measures as a result of Acceleration & Innovation
Health
Our market share provides us scale to differentiate ourselves through procurement of health care and health related services
Non-Life
With a cost ratio around 28% and market average around 33% our cost ratio is best-in-class
6
11,8 12,2 11,9 11,8
1,3 1,3 1,4 1,4 33% 31% 31% 30%
0
5
10
15
2013 2014 2015 2016
Health Gross written premiums, in € billion
4,2 3,6 3,2 3,0
2013 2014 2015 2016
Basic Health Cost ratio, in %
2,6 2,5 2,6 2,6
0,6 0,6 0,6 0,6
20% 21% 21%
0
1
2
3
4
2013 2014 2015 2016
Non-Life Gross written premiums, in € billion
19,6 18,4 17,2 16,9
11,2 11,4 11,3 11,2
0
10
20
30
40
2013 2014 2015 2016
Non-Life Cost ratio, in %
Basic Supplemental Mkt share Expense Acquisition
Basic Supplemental Mkt share
13.1 13.5 13.3 13.2
3.2 3.1 3.2 3.2 30.8 29.8 28.1 28.5
Tekst & Grafiek 25%/75%
…AND IMPROVED OUR COMBINED RATIO, ESPECIALLY IN PROPERTY & CASUALTY… THROUGH PREMIUM INCREASES AND CLAIMS MANAGEMENT
Excluding impact severe weather events, our combined ratio based on underwriting year improved steadily since 2013
Based on book year, our combined ratio was impacted as we increased our provisions on older years due to negative claims experience
Actions have been taken to compensate for these negative claims experience such as:
Premium increases
Exiting unprofitable business lines
Lowering cost levels
This will result in convergence of our combined ratio based on underwriting year and book year in 2017 and further
7
90
95
100
105
110
115
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Property & Casualty
(Combined ratio in %)
Combined ratio book year
Combined ratio underwriting year
Combined ratio underwriting year (excl. severe weather)
100
Tekst & Grafiek 25%/75%
OUR TRADITIONAL PENSION & LIFE ACTIVITIES TURNED INTO A CLOSED-BOOK LEADING TO SIGNIFICANT FTE AND COST REDUCTIONS
In 2013 we established a closed-book for our Life activities
This has accelerated the reduction of expenses by:
Simplifying our IT-landscape
Lowering product development costs
Reducing the number of FTE
Mid 2016, we have taken the strategic decision to also establish a closed-book for Pensions following the establishment of the Centraal Beheer Pension Fund (CB APF)
This has directly led to reduction in sales expenses and product investments
Closed-Book Pensions and Life focuses on further efficiency improvements and other value enhancements
At the same time we have invested and will continue to invest in Retirement Services
8
1.140 1.123
937
662
2013 2014 2015 2016
FTE Pensions & Life
0,88 0,91
0,55 0,53
2013 2014 2015 2016
Expenses to Liabilities Pensions & Life
Tekst & Grafiek 25%/75%
OUR CHANGE PROGRAM SUCCESSFULLY REDUCED OUR EXPENSES WITH €390 MILLION
As a result of our Acceleration & Innovation programme operating expenses have been lowered by €390 million or nearly 15% in three years’ time
The lower expenses are a result of efficiency improvements and changes in our business portfolio in the Netherlands:
Improved project management and lowering of our IT run-cost
Restructuring of distribition divisions and reduction in marketing spend
Digitisation of customer contact
9
2.700
2,3101
140
85
65
45 35
20
2013 IT spend Reduction insupport staff
Organisationredesign
Migration todigital
Employee benefits Other 2016
Operational expenses (In € million)
-390
Tekst & Grafiek 25%/75%
WE MADE TOUGH PORTFOLIO DECISIONS DIVESTING UPROFITABLE BUSINESSES…… WHILE INVESTING IN OUR DIGITAL CAPABILITIES AND NEW BUSINESS MODELS SECURING FUTURE RETURNS
Portfolio decisions
We divested and stopped structurally loss-making activities with annual losses of around €70 million
Investments
We continued to invest in our businesses to improve the foundation and profitability
In total we invested approximately €75 million on top of our regular change budget:
Bancassurance 2.0
Income Protection
Retirement Services Strategy
Strategic decision to stop pension management services to mandatory sectoral pension funds
IT investments Pension & Life, Achmea Bank, Achmea IM and Achmea Pension Management
Establishment of CB APF
10
15
20
35
70
Sectoral pension funds Oranta Staalbankiers &Achmea Health Centers
Total portfolio decisions
Major portfolio decisions 2013-2016
50
15
10
75
Retirement Services Strategy Bancassurance 2.0 Income Protection Total investments
Total investments 2013-2016
Tekst & Grafiek 25%/75%
WE OPTIMISED OUR INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO TO PARTLY OFF-SET THE IMPACT OF LOW INTEREST RATES
We optimised our matching portfolio to deal with the low interest rate environment while continuing to properly match our liability profile:
Investments in mortgages (2013: nil and 2016: €6.2 billion) with long durations financed through the sale of low yielding government bonds, corporate and covered bonds
Investments in higher yielding government related securities (e.g. WSW-loans) financed through the sale of sovereign debt
We also optimised our return portfolio:
Increase in equities
Higher allocations to emerging market debt, senior secured loans and senior real estate debt
11
Total Investment portfolio 2013 & 2016
Fixed Income
Derivatives
Equities & Real Estate
Other Other & cash
Derivatives 3.5%
4.1%
8.6%
2.2% Other & cash
Derivatives
Strategically decreased Strategically increased
3.2%
2.2%
2.6% Equities Alternatives
Investment property 3.0%
2.5%
3.2% Equities Alternatives
Investment Property
Other fixed income
ABS
Covered bonds
Corporate bonds
Government (incl. related) 46.3%
20.0%
7.8%
1.5%
8.7%
38.6%
17.7%
1.2%
2.0%
8.6% Other fixed income
ABS
Covered bonds
Corporate bonds
Government (incl. related)
Mortgages 12.3%
2013 2016
€44.9 bn €47.4 bn
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PROGRAMME
12
Part I: Operational result 2016
Part II: Fundamentals improved
Part III: Ambition 2020
Part IV: Free Capital Generation, Solvency II and Liquidity
Free Capital Generation
Solvency II
Liquidity
Financial ratios
Grafiek 100%
OPERATIONAL RESULT 2020 AT APPROXIMATELY €600 MILLION
13
230
106
68 30
15
~450
~150
~600
2016 (ex-Health,normalised)
Non-Life Retirement Services Closed Book International Ambition 2020(ex-Health)
Health Ambition 2020
Ambition operational result 2016-2020, in € million
Tekst & Grafiek 25%/75%
HIGHER PROFITABILITY NON-LIFE AS A RESULT OF: PREMIUM INCREASES, COST REDUCTIONS AND FOCUS ON CLAIMS MANAGEMENT
Non-Life
Overall cost reductions through standardisation, lower number of FTE and reduction in number of locations
Lower investment returns as a result of the low interest rate environment
Property & Casualty
Realised premium increases fully visible at renewal
Further premium adjustments on non-profitable business lines and for weather related insurance products
Claims management actions such as fraud prevention, re-integration and prevention
Income Protection
Increase in premiums disability portfolio as a result of low interest rates
Continuous focus on re-integration and prevention
14
94
-189
328
45 61
78 33
~200
2016(reported)
Exceptionalweather &personal
injury
Investmentmandatechange
2016(normalised)
Premiums &pricing
Claims mgt. &cost
reductions
Investmentresults
Ambition 2020
Ambition operational result 2016-2020, in € million
Tekst & Grafiek 25%/75%
PROFITABILITY RETIREMENT SERVICES WILL IMPROVE AS A RESULT OF: AN INCREASE IN MORTGAGES AND SAVINGS AT ACHMEA BANK AND INFLOW OF AUM AT ACHMEA IM
Background
Our investments in retirement service strategy will generate higher profitability in 2020
Achmea Bank
Increase in mortgage and savings portfolio and lower funding costs drive higher net interest margin
Cost reductions through outsourcing back-office mortgage activities and implementation new savings system
Achmea IM
Operational result increases through higher AuM:
Increase in internally managed funds (Achmea Own risk)
Increase in AuM CB APF as first clients RBS and Bavaria are fully integrated and new clients are attracted
Achmea Pension Management
Strategic decision to stop loss-making services to mandatory sectoral pension funds
15
-18
43
12
13
~50
2016 (reported) Achmea Bank Achmea IM Achmea PensionManagement
Ambition 2020
Ambition operational result 2016-2020, in € million
Tekst & Grafiek 25%/75%
INCREASE IN RESULT PENSIONS & LIFE RESULTING FROM INTEGRATION OF CLOSED-BOOKS
Closed-book
Closed-book life and pensions focuses on further reducing expenses and FTE
Further value enhancements will be explored
Impact of expense reduction more than compensating for the financial impact of the decline in the Pension & Life portfolios
Transition of clients towards APF strengthens result retirement services
Investment Income
Increase as a result of portfolio optimisation
Open-book
Market leadership maintained in term life with 25% market share
Strong increase in number of term life policies to 480,000 on the back of solid housing market and banking distribution
16
285
45
240
63 61 28
~270
2016 (reported) Incidentalinvestment
result
2016(normalised)
Cost reductions Portfolio decline Investmentresult
Ambition 2020
Ambition operational result 2016-2020, in € million
Tekst & Grafiek 25%/75%
HIGHER RESULT INTERNATIONAL AS A RESULT OF: INVESTMENTS IN OUR INTERNATIONAL GROWTH STRATEGY
Background
Our international activities benefit from investments in previous years which will drive growth in all countries
Greece
Current investments in direct health and Anytime Cyprus will result in higher operational result at the end of planning period
Turkey
Higher underwriting result is compensated by investments in IT and expected currency effects
Ireland
Higher profitability as a result of cost reductions, optimisation investment portfolio and growth income protection
17
25
4 1
7
5
~41
2016 (reported) Greece Turkey Ireland Other Ambition 2020
Ambition operational result 2016-2020, in € million
Tekst & Grafiek 25%/75%
STABLE RESULT SEGMENT OTHER AS LOWER HOLDING EXPENSES BENEFIT OTHER SEGMENTS
Holding
Lower holding expenses through lower IT expenses, housing expenses and reduction in employee benefits
Positive impact is transferred to business segments
Strategic entities
Stable result at Achmea Reinsurance, Independer and Syntrus Achmea Real Estate & Finance
18
-110
-230
20
-100
~-110
2016 (reported) Hail calamity(Achmea Re)
Reorganisation 2016 (normalised) Ambition 2020
Ambition operational result 2016-2020, in € million
Tekst & Grafiek 25%/75%
OPERATIONAL RESULT HEALTH NORMALISES AS: MARKET DYNAMICS WILL DRIVE PREMIUM LEVELS TO A LEVEL SLIGHTLY ABOVE COST PRICE
Basic Health
Health market assumed to normalise with premium levels slightly above costs leading to:
A claims ratio of 96%
A cost ratio at or below 3.0%
A profit margin of 1.0%
With a 1% profit margin and premiums in basic health at around €12 billion, we realise an operational result of €125 million
Supplemental Health
Supplemental health is expected to operate at a COR of 98% resulting in a profit of €25 million
19
Basic health
Supplemental health
Claims ratio
Cost ratio
Profit margin
2016
Operational Result 2016 2020
2020 Combined ratio Basic Health
-215
19
125
25
Total -196 150
99.7%
3.0%
96.0%
1.0%
≤3.0%
102.7% 99.0%
Ambition Operational result 2016-2020, in € million
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PROGRAMME
20
Part I: Operational result 2016
Part II: Fundamentals improved
Part III: Ambition 2020
Part IV: Free Capital Generation, Solvency II and Liquidity
Free Capital Generation
Solvency II
Liquidity
Financial ratios
Tekst & Grafiek 25%/75%
FREE CAPITAL GENERATION IMPROVES TOWARDS €400 MILLION
Free Capital Generation 2016 impacted by:
Negative operational result 2016
Equity transitional
Adjustment in assumptions Pensions & Life (e.g. cost assumptions, mortalitity assumptions)
Free Capital Generation improves towards a level of €400 million in line with higher operational result in all business segments
In 2020 FCG is temporarily impacted by 0.15% decline of UFR to 3.75% (third step)
Impact of equity transitional limited in 2020 and will disappear after 2021
21
98
~400
-216 314
302
104
38
~250
2016 Exceptionalitems
2016(normalised)
Improvements Ambition 2020
UFR to 3.75% Equitytransitional
Ambition 2020(normalised)
Free Capital Generation 2016-2020
Grafiek 50%%/50%
CLOSED-BOOK PENSIONS & LIFE CONTRIBUTES SIGNIFICANTLY TO FREE CAPITAL GENERATION
22
29
84
65
31
209
52
157
FixedIncome
Mortgages Equity Property Expectedreturn
Tax (25%) Netexpected
return
1 Excluding derivatives, 2 Based on the EIOPA curve. Effective yield for Equity and Property
Investment Margin Pension & Life (Ambition 2020, in € million)
Long-term asset mix (€bn)
Excess return (bps)
18.8 7.0 1.8 1.0 28.6 28.6
162 1192 370 300 73 55 -18
Operational Result
Investment margin
Unwind UFR
Unwind of risk margin
Unwind SCR
Financing expenses
Free Capital Generation (Ambition 2020, in € million)
Only Pensions & Life
Free Capital Generation (Segments)
Free Capital Generation (Group)
Description FCG
~500
~400
Excess return on investments
Amortisation of UFR benefit (excl. impact UFR to 3.75% in 2020)
Release of SII risk margin in technical provisions as value in-force runs off
Release of SCR (excl. impact of equity transitional) as value in-force runs off
Technical result legal entities (ex-Health)
Financing charges on debt & hybrids
157
-59
80
147
170
-100
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PROGRAMME
23
Part I: Operational result 2016
Part II: Fundamentals improved
Part III: Ambition 2020
Part IV: Free Capital Generation, Solvency II and Liquidity
Free Capital Generation
Solvency II
Liquidity
Financial ratios
Grafiek 4x
SOLVENCY II CAPITAL REMAINS SOLID AT GROUP IMPACT DRAFT LEGISLATION ON THE BAN OF PROFIT DISTRIBUTION OF HEALTH CAPITAL 0-25%-PT
24
8,345 4,623
8,345 4,750
EOF SCR EOF SCR
Solvency II ratio 2016, in € million
Excluding Q&A LACDT1 Including Q&A LAC DT1
181% 176%
¹ Preliminary interpretation of Q&A Dutch legislator 2 Refers to the Solvency II PIM (approved) ratio of Achmea Schadeverzekeringen NV (Non-Life), Achmea Zorgverzekeringen NV (Health) and Achmea Pensioen- en Levensverzekering NV (Pensions & Life).
65% 11%
16%
8% Tiering of Capital 2016
Unrestricted Tier 1
Restricted Tier 1
Tier 2
Tier 3
Total EOF 8,345
FY 2016
137% 156% 130%
Non-life Health Pension & Life
Solvency II PIM Legal entities2, 2016
911 1.356
693
485
247
Restricted Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3
Available Headroom 2016
Tekst & Grafiek 25%/75%
RESILIENT CAPITAL BASE UNDER SEVERAL SCENARIOS, INTEREST RATE SENSITIVITY ADDRESSED BY CAPITAL HEDGE IMPLEMENTED IN 2017
Interest rate sensitivity
Interest rate sensitivity does not reflect the full implementation of the capital hedge as we started to hedge UFR and risk margin in autumn 2016 and focused on hedging non-parallel shocks first
Spread sensitivity
Due to the 65% application factor in the VA, asset values will decrease more than the liabilities upon spread widening
Equity sensitivity
The impact of the chock is linear as we do not make use of equity derivatives to reduce the impact of developments in equity prices
UFR sensitivity
UFR sensitivity is limited due to the business mix. The decrease of the UFR to 4.05% per 1 January 2018 will reduce Group solvency levels by 2%.
25
Solvency II PIM sensitivities 2016
Interest rate
All spreads
Equity
Property
UFR
Scenario EOF (in € million)
SCR (in € million)
SII PIM (in %)
Δ SII PIM (in %-pt)
BASE 8,345 4,623 181 ---
-100bps
+100bps
+100bps
No VA
-20%
-40%
No eq.trans.
-20%
3.7%
No UFR
9,527
7,419
7,718
7,885
7,638
6,932
8,385
7,941
8,091
6,664
4,873
4,455
4,525
4,698
4,505
4,394
4,886
4,569
4,626
5,121
196
167
171
168
170
158
172
175
175
130
+ 15
- 14
-10
- 13
- 11
- 23
- 9
-6
- 6
- 51
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PROGRAMME
26
Part I: Operational result 2016
Part II: Fundamentals improved
Part III: Ambition 2020
Part IV: Free Capital Generation, Solvency II and Liquidity
Free Capital Generation
Solvency II
Liquidity
Financial ratios
Tekst & Grafiek 25%/75%
AVAILABLE LIQUIDITY AT HOLDING LEVEL €869 MILLION
Holding cash position declined over 2016 mainly as a result of:
Dividend payments in 2016 over fiscal 2015
Buy-out of minorities Independer and InShared
Incidental investments due to transfer private banking mortgage portfolio and restructuring pension administration business
Relative low remittances from businesses due to exceptional items
Operational result improvements will result in higher remittances from businesses
Higher projected cash position during plan period
27
470
135 131
167
119
49 20
119
750
869
Openingposition
Remittancesfrom
business
Investmentsin business
entities
Dividendpayments
Interestexpenses
Taxsettlements
Holding &other
expenses
Closingposition
Creditfacility
Totalliquidity
Holding cash position Analysis of change 2016
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PROGRAMME
28
Part I: Operational result 2016
Part II: Fundamentals improved
Part III: Ambition 2020
Part IV: Free Capital Generation, Solvency II and Liquidity
Free Capital Generation
Solvency II
Liquidity
Financial ratios
3x Grafiek
OUR OPERATIONAL IMPROVEMENTS WILL POSITIVELY IMPACT FINANCIAL RATIOS
29
26,4 <30
2016 Ambition 2020
Debt leverage ratio (in %)
35
2016
S&P Capital
AA
Maximum level
Fixed charge coverage ratio impacted by negative operational result 2016. Ambition
2020: FCCR above 5.0x
Ambition to maintain debt leverage ratio below 30%
Maintain S&P IFS rating at single A level
-0.9
>5.0
2016 2020
Fixed Charge Coverage (in x)
4.0
2.7 (normalised)
Tekst 100%
KEY MESSAGES
Operational result 2016 at approximately €230 million net of exceptional items
We changed the fundamentals of Achmea for improved returns
Our strategic plan “Delivering Together” will further improve performance and lead to:
Operational result of €600 million in 2020 with a Free Capital Generation of €400 million
Solvency II ratio remaining solid with a resilient capital base under several scenarios
Key ratios in line with requirements for S&P IFS rating “A”
30
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DISCLAIMER
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