dell’s working capital management

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    Dells Working Capital

    Management

    Maximizing Sustainable

    Growth

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    Dells Early Days

    Dell began as a small PC company in themid-1980s

    Dell began by buying IBM-compatibles,upgrading them, and selling them directly

    Then Dell began making its own PCs

    Build-to-order

    After receipt of the order

    Low finished-goods inventory

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    Dell Expanded, Then Was Harmed

    In 1990, Dell began to sell throughCompUSA and then others

    Dells market share leaped to the top 5 after a

    268% increase in sales

    2Q93, Dell reported a loss of $76MM

    Excess inventory and bad notebooks

    In 1994, Dell left the retail market The shift included a change in focus from

    growth to growth, liquidity and profitability

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    1995: Shift to ROC and CFC

    Suppliers reduced, inventory better managed

    Dell upgraded to seasoned managers

    Not rare for former entrepreneurial firms

    Major shifts occurred Re-emphasis on direct contact w/ customers

    Focus on Intel processor-based PCs

    Began to be able to forecast demand and thus betterdeal with inventory needs Flawed Pentium no problem

    Windows Updates no problem

    ROC Return on Capital; CFC Cash Flow Cycle

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    Exhibit 2: Key WC Ratios

    Exhibit 2 Working Capital Financial Ratios for Dell

    Inv Daysa

    A/R Daysb

    A/P Daysc

    CFCd

    Q193 40 54 46 48

    Q293 44 51 55 40

    Q393 47 52 51 48

    Q493 55 54 53 56

    Q194 55 58 56 57Q294 41 53 43 51

    Q394 33 53 45 41

    Q494 33 50 42 41

    Q195 32 53 45 40

    Q295 35 49 44 40

    Q395 35 50 46 39

    Q495 32 47 44 35

    Q196 34 47 42 39

    Q296 36 50 43 43

    Q396 37 49 43 43

    Q496 31 42 33 40

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    Exhibits 4 and 5: Improvement

    After a tough year in 1994

    1995 and 1996 showed high growth,increased profitability

    And Exhibit 2: Much lower WC requirements

    Examine 1995 1996 Balance Sheets

    Equity grew by $321MM, but liabilities grew

    by less What does that say about sustainable

    growth?

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    Sustainable Growth

    Here are the sustainable growth figures

    Panel A: Including All Assets

    NI(t)/S(t) S(t)/A(t-1) A(t-1)/E(t-1) % Retained

    Sustainable

    Growth

    1995 4.29% 3.05 2.42 100.00% 31.63%

    1996 5.14% 3.32 2.44 100.00% 41.72%

    But notice the asset called Short-TermInvestments.

    Consider ignoring that one

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    Sustainable Growth: Fixed

    Sustainable Growth Calculations - W/ and W/out Short-term Investments

    Panel A: Including All Assets

    NI(t)/S(t) S(t)/A(t-1) A(t-1)/E(t-1) % Retained

    Sustainable

    Growth

    1995 4.29% 3.05 2.42 100.00% 31.63%

    1996 5.14% 3.32 2.44 100.00% 41.72%

    Panel B: Excluding Short-term Investments

    NI(t)/S(t) S(t)/A(t-1) A(t-1)/E(t-1) % Retained

    Sustainable

    Growth

    19954.29% 4.31 5.88 100.00% 108.76%

    1996 5.14% 4.77 6.61 100.00% 161.90%

    What this demonstrates is that once we recognize Dell's non-operational assets,

    invested for income-earning, we see its stronger sustainable growth.

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    1997 Forecasts: Source of Funds?

    The case author suggests a 1996 forecastbased on fixed liabilities versusproportional liabilities (see result)

    He suggests doing the same for 1997

    Also including or excluding share repurchases($500MM) and payoff of long-term debt

    See results of the alternatives

    Consider if added funding is needed

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    How Working Capital

    Could Help Suppose these improvements were made:

    Inventory days reduced by 17

    A/R days reduced by 15

    A/P Days increased b y 20

    How much cash would that generate?

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    What Actually Occurred in 1997

    Profits were way up

    COGS% was reduced

    Operating Expense% was reduced

    A/R fell about 12%

    Inventory Days fell about 40%

    A/P Days rose sharply, more than 60% Shares were repurchased, LTD paid off

    Put options (warrants) were issued

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    Dell: The Key Points

    Dell addressed its working capitalmanagement extremely well

    Its business strategies of direct sales andof supplier relations were crucial

    It created a sustainable growth capacitythat resolves many problems raised by theearlier cases we studied