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A Comparative Survey of DEMOCRACY, GOVERNANCE AND DEVELOPMENT Working Paper Series: No. 124 Jointly Published by How Global Citizenries Think about Democracy: An Evaluation and Synthesis of Recent Public Opinion Research Doh Chull Shin Center for the Study of Democracy University of California, Irvine Irvine, California 92697-5100 [email protected] Hannah June Kim Department of Political Science University of California, Irvine [email protected]

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Page 1: DEMOCRACY, GOVERNANCE AND DEVELOPMENTasianbarometer.org/publications/598f00c184a3be1d4daeef771664d… · DEMOCRACY, GOVERNANCE AND DEVELOPMENT Working Paper Series: No. 124 Jointly

A Comparative Survey of

DEMOCRACY, GOVERNANCE AND DEVELOPMENT

Working Paper Series: No. 124

Jointly Published by

How Global Citizenries Think about Democracy:

An Evaluation and Synthesis of

Recent Public Opinion Research

Doh Chull Shin

Center for the Study of Democracy

University of California, Irvine

Irvine, California 92697-5100

[email protected]

Hannah June Kim

Department of Political Science

University of California, Irvine

[email protected]

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Asian Barometer

A Comparative Survey of Democracy, Governance and Development

Working Paper Series

Jointly Published by

Globalbarometer

The Asian Barometer (ABS) is an applied research program on public opinion on political values, democracy, and

governance around the region. The regional network encompasses research teams from thirteen East Asian political

systems (Japan, Mongolia, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, China, the Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia,

Singapore, Malaysia, and Indonesia), and five South Asian countries (India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, and

Nepal). Together, this regional survey network covers virtually all major political systems in the region, systems that

have experienced different trajectories of regime evolution and are currently at different stages of political transition.

The ABS Working Paper Series is intended to make research result within the ABS network available to the academic

community and other interested readers in preliminary form to encourage discussion and suggestions for revision before

final publication. Scholars in the ABS network also devote their work to the Series with the hope that a timely

dissemination of the findings of their surveys to the general public as well as the policy makers would help illuminate

the public discourse on democratic reform and good governance.

The topics covered in the Series range from country-specific assessment of values change and democratic development,

region-wide comparative analysis of citizen participation, popular orientation toward democracy and evaluation of

quality of governance, and discussion of survey methodology and data analysis strategies.

The ABS Working Paper Series supercedes the existing East Asia Barometer Working Paper Series as the network is

expanding to cover more countries in East and South Asia. Maintaining the same high standard of research methodology,

the new series both incorporates the existing papers in the old series and offers newly written papers with a broader

scope and more penetrating analyses.

The ABS Working Paper Series is issued by the Asian Barometer Project Office, which is jointly sponsored by the

Institute for Advanced Studies in Humanities and Social Sciences of National Taiwan University and the Institute of

Political Science of Academia Sinica.

Contact Information

Asian Barometer Project Office

Department of Political Science

National Taiwan University

No.1, Sec.4, Roosevelt Road, Taipei,

10617, Taiwan, R.O.C.

Tel: 886 2-3366 8456

Fax: 886-2-2365 7179

E-mail: [email protected]

Website: www.asianbarometer.org

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2017 Asian Barometer Conference

ABS Planning Meeting

July 6-8, 2017

Taipei, Taiwan, ROC

Co-organized by

Institute of Political Science, Academia Sinica

and

Center for East Asia Democratic Studies, National Taiwan University

Venue: Room 419, College of Social Sciences, National Taiwan University

How Global Citizenries Think about

Democracy:

An Evaluation and Synthesis of Recent

Public Opinion Research

Doh Chull Shin

Center for the Study of Democracy, University of California, Irvine.

This is only a draft. Please do not cite or quote without the author’s permission.

Paper prepared for delivery at 2017 Asian Barometer Survey Planning Meeting, hosted by Institute of

Political Science, Academia Sinica and co-sponsored by Program for East Asia Democratic Studies, IAS-

NTU and Center for East Asia Democratic Studies, College of Social Sciences, NTU, Taipei, July 6-July

8, 2017.

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How Global Citizenries Think about Democracy: An Evaluation and Synthesis of Recent Public Opinion Research

Doh Chull Shin

Center for the Study of Democracy University of California, Irvine Irvine, California 92697-5100

[email protected]

Hannah June Kim Department of Political Science University of California, Irvine

[email protected]

June 2017

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How Global Citizenries Think about Democracy: An Evaluation and Synthesis of Recent Public Opinion Research

Abstract Since the fall of the Berlin Wall in November 1989, individual scholars and research

institutes have conducted numerous public opinion surveys to monitor how global

citizenries react to the process of democratization taking place in their own countries

and elsewhere. This article reviews the various issues surrounding the divergent

conceptions of democracy among political scientists and ordinary citizens, and

synthesizes significant findings of the conceptual and empirical research based on these

surveys. It also raises a set of new questions that future surveys should address to

broaden and deepen our knowledge about citizen conceptions of democracy.

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How Global Citizenries Think about Democracy: An Evaluation and Synthesis of Recent Public Opinion Research*

“All too often, we bring rose-colored glasses when we look at democracy, glasses handed to us from the dead hands of Enlightened thinkers.” Christopher H. Achen and Larry M. Bartels (2016: 328) “In newly democratic or democratizing countries, where people are just beginning to learn the arts of self-government, the question

of citizen competence possesses an obvious urgency.”

Robert A. Dahl (1992: 45)

“Studying people’s aspiration toward democracy without carefully examining what democracy means to them would cause researchers

to reach inaccurate conclusions about the relationship between people’s support for democracy, regime change, and democratic consolidation.”

Tianjian Shi (2014: 220) For the past two decades, many social scientists and research institutes have conducted

numerous public opinion surveys to study how ordinary citizens understand democracy

as a political system, and how they react to the process of democratization taking place

in their own countries and elsewhere (Heath, Fisher and Smith, 2005; Mattes, 2007;

Norris, 2009). This article seeks to review and synthesize significant findings of the

conceptual and empirical research based on these surveys.

To this end, it first highlights puzzling findings on mass responses to democracy

throughout the globe, and discusses controversial issues in defining the term

“democracy”. Then it reviews recent advances in the conceptualization and

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measurement of democratic understanding. The following section introduces notable

findings from the open-ended and closed-ended survey approaches, and discusses their

inconsistencies and shortcomings. In view of these limitations, this paper offers a

number of specific suggestions for future research.

Puzzles of Mass Support for Democracy

The fall of the Berlin Wall on November 9, 1989 has ushered in a new age of public

opinion research on democratic culture and politics. Across Africa, Asia, and all other

regions of the world, teams of social scientists have organized regional barometer

surveys1 and conducted waves of public opinion surveys. In all of these waves, large

majorities of ordinary citizens expressed an affinity for democracy as their preferred

system of government (Booth and Richard, 2014; Bratton, Mattes and Gyimah-Boadi,

2005; Chu et al., 2008a, 2008b; Dalton and Shin, 2006; Gilani, 2006; Klingemann,

2014; Rose, Mishler and Haerpfer 1998; Tessler, 2015; Welzel, 2013; UNDP, 2013).

In the latest sixth wave of the World Values Survey (WVS), for example, 8 out of

ten (81%) global citizens approved of a democratic political system as a “very good” or

“fairly good” way of governing their countries. A larger majority (86%) also expressed

their personal desire to live in a country that is “governed democratically.” In the world

in which we live today, more than 9 out of 10 people (94%) are in favor of democracy

either for themselves or their country. More notably, in all regions of the world

including Africa and the Middle East, overwhelming majorities of more than 90 percent

* Some of our research questions and their preliminary analyses were reported online in a short essay contributed to Oxford Research Encyclopedias (shin, 2017). 1 The best known of these regional barometers are the Afrobarometer, the Arab Barometer, the Asian Barometer, the Americasbarometer, the Latinobarometro, and the New Europe Barometer.

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of the adult populations are in favor of democracy for either themselves or their country

(see Table 1).

(Table 1)

In a 2013 global survey by the United Nations in 194 countries, people chose

democracy as one of the top three priorities for a future global development agenda

(UNDP, 2013; Lekvall, 2013). Even in unexpected areas such as Africa, the Islamic

Middle East, Confucian East Asia, and the states of the former Soviet Union, large

majorities are favorable toward democracy (Amaney and Tessler, 2008; Blokker, 2012;

Booth and Richard, 2014; Bratton, Mattes and Gimah-Boadi, 2005; Chu et al., 2008b;

Klingemann, Fuchs, and Zielonka, 2008; Rose, Mishler and Haerpfer, 1998). From

these findings, it is apparent that the notion of democracy has achieved overwhelming

mass approbation throughout the world and that it has become “virtually the only

political model with a global appeal” (Inglehart, 2003; see also Inglehart and Welzel,

2005; Mattes, 2010).

In many of the third-wave democracies in Africa, Asia, Central and Eastern

Europe, and Latin America, however, publicly avowed supporters of democratic regimes

are known to remain attached to the practices of the authoritarian past even after

experiencing decades of democratic rule (Carrion, 2008; Chu et al.,2008b; Bratton,

Mattes and Gyimah-Boadi, 2005; Dalton and Shin, 2014; Hale, 2011, 2012; Rose,

Mishler and Munro, 2011; Schedler and Sarsfield, 2007; Shi, 2008, 2014; Shin, 2012,

2015, 2017; Shin and Wells, 2005; Welzel and Alvarez, 2014). In all 13 East Asian

countries the latest 4th wave of the Asian Barometer surveyed, for example, majorities of

their citizens in favor of democracy as a system of government refuse to reject the old

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methods of autocratic policymaking, which exclude ordinary citizens from its process.2

Two-thirds of the citizens in Japan, Korea, and Taiwan also favor these methods, though

they have lived in democratic rule for decades.

(Figure 1) A similar trend exists in authoritarian countries like China and Vietnam.

Overwhelming majorities of 90 percent refuse to recognize their one-party autocratic

regime as an autocracy (Chu and Huang, 2010; Dalton and Shin, 2006; Huang, 2014;

Huang, Chu and Chang, 2013; Shi, 2014). As Christopher Achen and Larry Bartels

(2026, 6) aptly point out, “most people everywhere accept the proposition that their own

political system is (somehow) democratic—even more accept the proposition that

democracy is (somehow) a good thing.”

Furthermore, citizens of these autocracies often express a higher level of

satisfaction with the way their country is “governed democratically” than do those of

democratic Japan, Korea, and Taiwan (see Figure 2). These survey findings indicate that

ordinary people around the world do not agree on the meaning of democracy and that

many avowed democrats may not be fully capable of differentiating democracy from its

alternatives.

(Figure 2)

Ironically, those who consider themselves to be avid supporters of democracy

show support for authoritarian rule, while those who live in authoritarian regimes view

2 The ABS 4th wave asked a pair of questions to identify supporters of democracy as a system of government. Those who replied that democracy is “always preferable to any other kind of government” (Q125) and/or democracy is “still the best form of government” (Q129) are considered avowed democratic system supporters. This wave also asked a pair of questions to identify supporters for the autocratic or democratic method of policymaking. Those who agreed with either or both the statements: “Government leaders do what they think is the best for the people (Q79) and “The government is like parents; it should decide what is good for us” (Q80) are considered supporters of the autocratic method.

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their countries to be more democratic than those who in democratic ones. These

puzzling findings make it absolutely necessary to re-examine what democracy inherently

means to ordinary citizens (Shi, 2014: 220; see also Ariely, 2015; Ariely and Davidob,

2011; Bratton, 2010; Carnaghan, 2011; King et al., 2014). This is because support for

democracy matters little if there is no clear understanding of what it means (Welzel,

2013: 310). Ultimately, the important question we should address is not how prevalent

self-proclaimed support for democracy is but instead whether this support can be

viewed as authentic or genuine.

Contending Issues

In the political science literature, democracy is widely known as one of the most popular

and yet highly contested concepts with many different connotations (Collier and

Levitsky, 1997; Dahl, Shapiro, and Chebub, 2003; Ferrin and Kriesi ,2016; Schmitter

and Karl, 1991). Since the time of ancient Greece more than two and a half millennia

ago, a great deal of change has taken place in its ultimate ends and means. Contrary to

Aristotle’s notion, democracy is no longer viewed as an undesirable or pejorative form of

government working exclusively for the interests of the masses (Baker, 1962, book 3). It

also no longer allows people to participate directly in all important aspects of

governance, as done in Greek city states.

As a system of representative government for the people as a whole, moreover,

methods of its daily governance vary considerably from one democratic state to another

(Joshi, 2013; Lijphart, 1999). Even more confusing are the official proclamations of non-

democratic one-party states and other autocracies as democracies. Such historic

transformations of democracy as a form of government, and the multiplicity of its

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contemporary practices make it difficult to equate democracy with one particular type of

political system. As a result, there is a lot of debate and division over the meaning of

democracy, a concept with a long and convoluted history.

What are the contending issues that have led to a plurality of divergent

conceptions? One issue concerns whether or not democracy represents a political ideal

or reality. To some scholars like Robert A. Dahl (1971), democracy can represent an ideal

type of political system that responds perfectly or nearly perfectly to the preferences of

its people. To others like Richard Rose (1996, 2007), on the other hand, it represents an

imperfect type of government that exists in the real world of politics.

Even as an imperfect government, it involves a variety of constitutionally defined

regime structures and methods of daily governing. How to define democracy, therefore,

depends largely upon the chosen level of its characteristics. By and large, definitions

become idealistic with the conception of democracy-in-principle, while becoming

realistic with that of democracy-in-practice.

Another issue is whether democracy as an existing form of government

constitutes a unidimensional or multidimensional phenomenon (Dahl, 1971; Diamond,

1999; Lijphart, 1999). If it is viewed as a unidimensional phenomenon, democracy is

defined narrowly in terms of a few characteristics representing the chosen dimension,

such as elections and universal franchise. If it is viewed as a multidimensional

phenomenon, it is defined broadly in terms of characteristics of several dimensions,

including those of liberalism and constitutionalism. In the political science literature,

narrow and broad definitions are often called minimal and maximal or supplemental

definitions. They are also called thin and thick definitions (Coppedge, 1999). Broad or

thick definitions encompass not only minimal definitions but also the constitutional

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guarantees of social rights and the political realization of those rights (Fuchs, 1999: 125;

Moller and Skaaning, 2013: 98).

Even when democracy is viewed as a unidimensional phenomenon, there is a

contending issue of which dimension embodies its true character best. When it is

defined exclusively in terms of its means, it is equated with “government by the people”

(Fish, 2005; Przeworski et al., 2000). When it is defined exclusively in terms of its ends,

it becomes “government for the people” (Shi and Lu, 2010). Definitions based on such

means as elections and other political institutions and procedures are known as

procedural definitions. Those based on their substantive outcomes, such as equality,

responsiveness, and welfare, are known as substantive definitions. Procedural

definitions are further subdivided into liberal and illiberal categories, depending on

whether undemocratic procedures of restricting political participation and competition

are taken into account as a defining characteristic of democracy (Carrion, 2008;

Zakaria, 1997, 2007).

Of these two unidimensional types of minimal definitions, the procedural type is

far more popular in the current scholarly literature on democratization than the

substantive type. Of the two subcategories of the procedural type, liberal procedural

definitions are more popular than illiberal procedural ones. As David Collier and Steven

Levitsky (1997) note, empirical research on democratization to date has most often

equated democracy with the institutional procedures of conducting free and competitive

elections and guaranteeing freedom of speech, assembly and association, which are

known as a “procedural minimum.” In this minimalist view, democracy is nothing more

than a set of political procedures or means, and these means are assumed to

automatically ensure the achievement of its desirable outcomes.

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In the real world of democratic politics, however, those procedures have often

failed to respond to the preferences of the electorate, not to mention government by the

people as a whole. For this reason, Terry Karl (2000) coined the term “electoralism” to

highlight the shortcomings of defining democracy exclusively in terms of a procedural

minimum. For the same reason, this practice of defining it minimally and procedurally

is not much favored among ordinary citizens, despite its enormous popularity among

scholars of democracy and democratization. As we will discuss later, contemporary

global citizenries tend to define broadly in terms of both political procedures and policy

outcomes.

Conceptualization

Despite all those differences across the proposed definitions, political scientists are in

agreement that understanding democracy constitutes the cognitive component of citizen

attitudes toward its ideals and practices. They are also in agreement that it embraces the

beliefs, information, thoughts, and knowledge we associate with democracy.

Conceptually, this cognitive dimension of citizen attitudes is a highly complex subjective

phenomenon, which involves much more than being merely aware of or recognizing

democracy as an attitude object.

To understand democracy well, therefore, we first need to “decide what is, and

what is not, a democracy”, as Giovanni Sartori (1987: 183-185; see also Schmitter and

Karl 1991) admonishes. As a two-dimensional phenomenon, it consists of cognitive

competence in the identification of what it is and the differentiation of what it is from

what it is not. Specifically, it entails not only the capacity to identify the essential

properties of democracy but also that to differentiate the democratic regime properties

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from those of its authoritarian and other alternatives (McClosky and Brill, 1983;

McClosky and Zeller, 1984; see also Cho, 2013, 2014; Shin, 2009, 2017). The capacity to

make such a differentiation makes people accurately and fully informed about

democracy and become its authentic supporters.3

In identifying its essential properties, some citizens can be more or less able to

do so than others. Temporally also, the same citizens can be more or less able to do so

than they did in the past with increasing or decreasing exposure to the relevant

information. Their capacity to differentiate the properties of democracy from those of its

alternatives can also vary from person to person and from one point in time to another.

Democratic understanding is, therefore, a phenomenon with multiple characteristics

each of which varies in degree or quantity. To analyze popular conceptions of democracy

accurately, therefore, we should take into account how much or little people understand

what constitutes it, and how accurately or inaccurately they understand its

constituents.

Nonetheless, most of the existing literature has attempted to identify what

democracy means to ordinary people or the specific regime properties with which they

identify democracy. Numerous public opinion surveys, for example, have asked

respondents to define democracy by naming its properties. By counting the number of

democratic properties they name, researchers have sought to determine not only the

range and scope of their democratic conceptions but also the complexity of those

conceptions (Canache, 2012).

3 According to Gerring (1999), differentiation is one of the criteria that make a good concept.

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Put simply, those researchers have measured the range and scope of democratic

understanding through the number of democratic system properties respondents are

able to name. They analyzed its complexity through the number of qualitatively

divergent categories that subsume those properties. The larger the number of those

properties is, the broader democratic understanding is. The larger the number of those

categories is, the more complex it is.

To determine substantive distinctiveness in democratic understanding,

researchers have proposed a number of taxonomies whose categories vary considerably

in number and content. Tianjian Shi and Jie Lu (2010) and Jie Lu (2013) developed the

two categories of the procedure-based liberal conception and the substance-based

minben conception to analyze how distinctively East Asians understand democracy. Jie

Lu and Tianjian Shi (2015) proposed liberal democracy and guardianship discourses as

a conceptual tool for unraveling popular democratic conceptions in authoritarian and

post-authoritarian societies.

Dieter Fuchs (1999) proposed three categories—libertarian, liberal, and

socialist—to compare democratic conceptions among citizens of East and West

Germany. Russell Dalton, Doh Shin, and Willy Jou (2007) proposed the three categories

of political freedom, political process, and social benefits to identify and compare

common patterns of democratic conceptions across 50 countries. Similarly, Pippa

Norris (2011) offered three categories—procedural, instrumental, and authoritarian—

for cross-national and cross-regional comparisons.

To compare democratic conceptions across 10 cultural zones in the world with

the fifth wave of the World Values Surveys, Christian Welzel (2011, 2013) formulated

four categories, liberal, social, populist, and authoritarian. To examine their variations

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within Europe with the same surveys, Mónica Pereira (2012) proposed four different

categories, procedural, indifferent, demanding, and autocratic. To analyze responses to

the four different sets of closed-ended questions the third wave of the Asian Barometer

surveys asked, Min-Hua Huang (2014) developed four categories: freedom and liberty,

social equality, norms and procedures, and good governance.

In her study of 13 Latin American countries, Damarys Canache (2012)

distinguished six categories, including liberty and freedom, political equality,

participation, rule of law, economic and social outcomes, and negative meaning. Monica

Ferrin and Hanspeter Kriesie (2014) also identified six categories, including electoral,

liberal, social, direct, inclusive, and representative. Yun-han Chu and his co-authors

(2008b) identified eight categories, including freedom and liberty, institutions and

process, market economy, equality and justice, good government, by and for the people,

generally positive terms, and generally negative terms. Siddhartha Baviskar and Mary

Malone (2004) developed a list of nine categories, including civic values, and corruption

and abuse of power. Michael Bratton and his co-authors (2005), on the other hand,

identified as many as ten categories of positive, neutral, and negative meanings in the

way citizens of Southern African defined democracy in their own words. As such, there

is a great deal of variation in the number and type of conceptual devices proposed to

ascertain mass conceptions of democracy.

Recently, three approaches have been employed, separately or in combination, in

order to answer the question of how capable ordinary citizens are of differentiating

democracies from nondemocratic systems. The first approach examines how

conceptually capable citizens are in linking democracy to its essential properties, such

as free elections, and differentiating it from those of non-democracies, such as media

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censorship. The second approach aims to evaluate their capability to distinguish the

political systems that practice democratic politics from the systems which practice

autocratic politics. The third approach focuses exclusively on citizens of newly emerging

democracies by evaluating their capacity to compare and contrast the current

democratic regime in which they live with the past authoritarian one they once lived in.

Those who identify the former as a democracy and the latter as an autocracy are

considered to be fully capable of democratic differentiation.

Measurement

To measure the capacity of ordinary people to understand democracy and assess

their democratic understanding, previous surveys asked two types of questions,

open-ended and close-ended. In general, open-ended questions are intended

exclusively to identify the specific terms with which people associate with

democracy, and discern their dimensions and complexity. The close-ended

approach, in contrast, is intended to determine the breadth of democratic

definitions and the priority of their various referents. This approach is also

intended to address the important question of how well or poorly people

understand democracy. Both closed-ended and open-ended questions are

occasionally asked together to describe and evaluate their democratic

understandings.

The Close-Ended Approach The best example of the closed-ended approach, which Andreas Schedler and Rodolfo

Sarsfield (2007) characterize as the method tapping indirect definitions, can be seen in

the 6th waves of the World Values Survey (WVS) conducted in 60 countries, and the 6th

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round of the European Social Survey (ESS) asked in 29 European countries. Unlike the

methods tapping open and constrained definitions, this method indirectly asks whether

people agree or disagree with an individual statement that mentions a principle or

institution that is known to be essential to democracy.

The latest sixth wave of the WVS, for example, asked respondents to rate

on a ten-point scale the importance of nine regime properties with the following

instruction:

“Many things may be desirable, but not all of them are essential characteristics of democracy. Please tell me for each of the following things how essential you think it is as a characteristic of democracy. Use this scale where 1 means “not at all an essential characteristic of democracy” and 10 means it definitely is “an essential characteristic of democracy.”

The nine regime properties include: (1) taxing the rich and subsidizing the poor;

(2) interpreting laws religiously; (3) electing leaders in free elections; (4) receiving state

aid; (5) military intervention in politics; (6) protecting civil liberties; (7) promoting

income equality (8) having citizens obeying their rulers; (9) guaranteeing gender

equality. By counting the total number of properties that respondents score higher than

the scale midpoint (5.5), we can measure the breadth of their democratic conceptions.

By comparing the means of those properties on the scale, we can also identify the most

and least important of the properties surveyed. In addition, we can evaluate the quality

of their democratic conceptions by determining whether they mistake the properties of

authoritarianism for those of democracy, and the vice versa.

Unlike the WVS, the ESS asked citizens of 29 European countries a long battery

of 19 questions that deal with different procedural or substantive domains of democratic

politics. The questions cover the behavior of individual voters and their political leaders,

and the performances of their government, and its institutions, including political

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parties, the mass media, and the courts. Each of these domains was rated on an 11-point

scale. By counting the number of the domains respondents score higher than the scale

midpoint (5), researchers can measure the breadth of democratic conceptions among

Europeans. By comparing the average scores of all the domains on the scale, moreover,

they can also identify the domains citizens of each European country consider the most

and least important.

Unlike the ESS, which relies on the method of tapping indirect definitions, the

latest wave of the Asian Barometer Surveys (ABS) employed the most sophisticated

method of tapping constrained definitions, a technique which requires comparing a

number of various regime properties in terms of their essentiality to democracy.

Specifically, the ABS presented respondents with four sets of statements each of which

contains four statements dealing with the two procedural properties of norms and

procedures and freedom and liberty, and the two substantive properties of social equity

and good government.4 Each set asked respondents to choose the one which they

considered the most essential to democracy. Considering the responses to all the four

sets of items together, we can identify the patterns of procedural and substantive

conceptions among East Asians.

Unlike all the aforementioned multinational surveys that rely on numeric scales,

the Afrobarometer program employed the vignette technique to measure the capacity of

people in southern Africa to discriminate between divergent types of government. The

round four of its surveys asked three vignettes, one for each of three regime types,

authoritarian, electoral democratic, and liberal democratic, as described below:

4 Lu (2013: 121-122) offers a detailed account of the historical backgrounds to the development of these four sets of measures.

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Q42B Alex lives in a country with many political parties and free elections. Everyone is free to speak their minds about politics and to vote for the party of their choice. Elections sometimes lead to a change of ruling party. In your opinion, how much of a democracy is Alex’s country? Q42c Beatrice lives in a country with regular elections. It has one large political party and many small ones. People are free to express their opinions and to vote as they please. But so far, elections have not led to a change of ruling party. In your opinion, how much of a democracy is Beatrice’s country?

Q42D Charles lives in a country with regular elections. It has one big political party and many small ones. People are afraid to express political opinions or to vote for the opposition. The opposition is so weak that it seems that it can never win an election. In your opinion, how much of a democracy is Charles’ country?

In answering each vignette-based question, respondents were asked to choose

one of four response categories: (1) a full democracy; (2) a democracy with minor

problems; (3) a democracy with major problems; and (4) not a democracy. How many of

the three hypothetical countries portrayed in the vignettes did they evaluate correctly?

We can count the number of correct categories they chose for all three countries, and

estimate their overall capacity to discriminate between the systems of democracy and

autocracy, and between limited and full democracies.

Further, the Afrobarometer asked respondents of post-authoritarian countries,

such as Nigeria, to rate their own country at the time of the survey and prior to its

transition to democracy on an 11-point scale. Similarly, the Asian Barometer also asked

respondents of South Korea and Taiwan to rate the political regimes of their own

country before and after its transition to democracy on a 10-point scale. Ratings of the

past and present regimes can be compared to determine whether people are capable of

discerning the occurrence of democratic regime change in their own country. Their

ratings of various regimes in today’s world can further be compared to determine

whether they are capable of discriminating between non-democratic and democratic

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countries as well as between limited and advanced democracies. To date, however, very

little effort has been made to make such comparisons across time and space in order to

make a full account of the discriminating dimension of democratic understanding.

The Open-Ended Approach To date, these questions have been asked in three different formats. In the first format,

respondents are asked to think about what democracy means to them.5 Then they are

allowed to identify or name only one of its properties. In the second format, they are

asked the same question, but are allowed to name up to three or more properties. In the

third format, they were asked to identify their likes and dislikes about democracy. While

the first two modes encourage respondents to view democracy as a socially desirable

phenomenon and identify its positive properties, the third mode is based on the neutral

view that democracy is not a perfect system of government, and thus it has its shares of

advantages and disadvantages.

An example of the unidimensional mode is the 1998 Hewlett surveys directed by

Roderic Ai Camp (2001). In these surveys conducted in Chile, Cost Rica, and Mexico,

respondents were asked two open-ended questions: “In one word, could you tell me

what democracy means to you?” and “In one word, could you tell me what you expect

from democracy?” The first question deals with democracy-in-principle, while the

second one concerns democracy-in-practice. The properties named in response to these

two questions can be compared to explore whether people hold similar or divergent

conceptions of democracy as political ideals and practices. However, no such effort was

5 In the Jordanian surveys, respondents were asked about what they think must be present in order to make a country a democracy.

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made to address the question with the surveys conducted in the three Latin American

countries.

Unlike the Hewlett surveys, the 2006-2007 AmericasBarometer survey asked one

open-ended question: “In a few words, what does democracy mean to you?”

Respondents were encouraged to name up to three properties to determine whether

they would view it as a multi-dimensional phenomenon. The 1992 and 1995 surveys

conducted in Russia and the Ukraine, in contrast, allowed the samples of average

citizens and elites to identify all the political and other values and practices they would

associate with democracy. These Russian surveys were designed to test the widely-held

belief that “citizens who have more to say about the meaning of democracy have more

fully developed cognitions of democracy than those who say little or nothing to say

about it” (Miller, Hesli, and Reisinger 1997, 164).

In 2001, Siddhartha Baviskar and Mary Malone (2004) administered written

questionnaires to examine how diverse groups of citizens in Argentina, Brazil, Chile and

Guatemala understand democracy-in-practice. In these questionnaires, they included

two separated questions, one on positive things about their democratic government and

the other on negative things about it, and instructed respondents to list all the things

they liked and disliked about it. Their responses to these two separate questions can be

considered together to determine whether they are positive, negative, or mixed

conceivers of democracy. Yet, the two authors were merely interested in identifying and

comparing the proportions of the respondents who named positive and negative

attributes of democracy.

The Combined Approach

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A limited number of public opinion surveys to date have asked both open-ended

and close-ended questions. The Post-communist Citizen Project directed by

Samuel Barnes and Janos Simon (1998) asked an open-ended question: “What

does democracy mean for you?” In addition, it asked respondents to rate on a 4-

point scale the relevance of 11 political and other values to democracy.

Similarly, the 2nd wave of the Asian Barometer asked both open-ended and

close-ended questions in 13 countries in East Asia. This wave first asked

respondents to name as many as three properties of democracy in response to the

open-ended question: “To you, what does “democracy” mean? What else? What

else” It then asked a closed-ended question with four democratic regime

properties: (1) “opportunity to change the government through elections”; (2)

“freedom to criticize those in power”, (3) “a small income gap between the rich

and poor people”; and (4) “basic necessities like food, clothes and shelter etc. for

everyone”. Of these four, respondents were asked to choose the one which they

would consider the most essential to democracy.

In these two regional surveys, responses to the open-ended question allow

for exploring the specific terms in which they define democracy, and ascertaining

the breadth and complexity of their democratic conceptions. Responses to the

closed-ended questions, on the other hand, allow for determining how people

prioritize the importance of democratic components and comparing the patterns

of their priorities across the countries. With answers to both types of questions,

we can measure their overall capacity to conceptualize democracy by not only

expressing own personal views and but also weighing other popular views.

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Notable Findings Ordinary people can be fully informed or knowledgeable about democracy when they

can define it in their own words, identify and prioritize its essential properties, and

differentiate them from the properties of its alternatives. In this section, we highlight

notable findings in each of these domains of democratic knowledge.

Definition Many studies analyzing responses to open-ended questions have shown a number

of cross-national patterns of democratic conceptions, including the extent of

awareness, scope, structure, and valence. The first patterns concerns the extent to

which most people are aware of the term “democracy”. Russell Dalton, Doh Shin

and Willy Jou’s (2007) aggregate analysis of the surveys conducted in 50

countries reveals that most citizens in nearly all those countries except Brazil and

Indonesia were able to offer a definition of democracy in their own words.

According to studies based on more recent Asian Barometer and

AmericasBarometer surveys, however, most people even in these two countries

and all others in East Asia and Latin America were able to name at least one

regime property as a constituent of democracy (Shin and Cho, 2010; Carrion,

2008). Evidently, an understanding of democracy among ordinary people has

diffused across all regions of the globe, including the economically poor and

politically non-democratic.

The second pattern concerns the breadth or scope of democratic

conception, that is, how broadly or narrowly ordinary people define democracy.

While some citizens were able to name up to three properties of a democratic

system, the majority of citizens were only able to discern just one. Table 2 shows

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that the majority of people in three continents, Africa, East Asia, and Latin

America, were only able to identify one democratic property while less than two-

fifth were able to name two or more. Many of the respondents who named

multiple properties were also known to merely repeat or restate the properties

their initial answers refer to (Canache, 2012: 11).

(Table 2 here)

The final pattern involves valence. Most citizens around the world view

democracy positively rather than negatively. In fact, only one percent of the

respondents in 12 Southern African countries viewed democracy negatively

(Bratton, Mattes, and Gyimah-Boadi, 2005: 69) while less than five percent did

the same in all seven East Asian countries (Chu et al., 2006b: 12). These studies

together show that, with the exception of a small minority, most citizens around

the globe view democracy as an essential component for the good quality of their

personal lives and their countries’.

In defining democracy positively, citizens seldom name the properties,

which are widely known in the political science literature. In the literature,

political scientists tend to equate democracy with institutional procedures, such

as political participation and competition (Dahl ,1971). In contrast, ordinary

citizens view democracy in regards to its intended outcomes, such as freedom and

liberty, rather than elections, majority rule, and political parties (Dalton, Shin

and Jou, 2007; Huang, 2014). Indeed, there is a wide gap between political

scientists and ordinary citizens in their views and understandings of democracy

(Baviskar and Malone, 2004).

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In a nutshell, numerous findings from the open-ended approach show

that most ordinary citizens worldwide are capable of defining democracy in their

own ways. They tend to define it far more positively than negatively, while

understanding it more narrowly than broadly. In substance, however, their

definitions, unlike those of political scientists, tend to be oriented toward its

outputs rather than its procedures.

Identification As much as open-ended questions do, closed-ended questions can make unique

contributions to expanding our knowledge of how global citizens conceive of

democracy and how they think about it. In particular, those structured questions

are especially helpful when attempting to ascertain what they expect from

democracy, how much they expect, and whether they expect more of political

procedures or more of substantive political outcomes. As discussed earlier, the

sixth wave of the WVS and the sixth round of the ESS asked a long battery of

questions, which deal with many different procedural and substantive

characteristics.

The WVS, for example, asks questions on whether or not certain regime

characteristics are “not at all an essential characteristic of democracy”, with a score of 1,

to “an essential characteristic of democracy”, with a score of 10. The analysis reveals that

global citizenries rate seven of nine regime characteristics — except two authoritarian

ones of military and religious interventions in politics — as essential, scoring 6 or higher

(see Figure 3). While less than one tenth (9%) rated one or two of these seven

characteristics as essential to democracy, over four times as many (40%) ranked all

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seven or six as essential to it (see Figure 4).6 These findings do not accord with what is

known from the open-ended approach: most ordinary people understand democracy

minimally or unidimensionally.7

(Figures 3 and 4) Further, the close-ended questions asked in both the WVS and ESS show that in

Europe and elsewhere, ordinary people do not view civil liberties to be the most

essential component of a democracy. In the WVS, for instance, contemporary global

citizenries ranked civil liberties behind many other well-known democratic regime

characteristics, such as free elections and gender equality (see Figure 3). In the ESS also,

European respondents do not highly prioritize those democratic regime characteristics,

such as the freedom to express political views and criticize the government. Instead,

they rate those to be relatively less essential in comparison to less known practices, such

as equal citizen treatment and protection against poverty.8 Though most citizens define

democracy in terms of freedoms or liberties, they do not find these aspects to be highly

salient components of democracy.

Prioritization Are ordinary people, unlike political scientists, reluctant to consider liberties as

the most important component of democracy, even when they most often define

it in terms of freedoms or liberties? To address this question, we analyzed the

6 8% rated all nine regime characteristics, including two authoritarian ones, as essential to democracy. 7 A similar analysis of the 2012 ESS conducted in 29 European countries reveals that all the 19 regime characteristics surveyed scored above the scale midpoint of 5 on an 11-point scale where scores of 0 and 10 indicate, respectively, “not all important for democracy” and “extremely important for democracy”. As in the WVS, a solid majority (55%) rated all or most of these characteristics as important for democracy. 8 On the 11-point scale, the freedom for every citizen to express political views (E3) and the freedom for the media to criticize the government (E4) scored 8.44 and 8.23, respectively. The courts’ equal treatment of all citizens (E11) and the government’s protection of all citizens against poverty (E13) registered significantly higher scores of 9.21 and 8.68.

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Asian and Arab barometers, which asked identical closed-ended questions. The

questions ask respondents to choose the most important feature out of four

characteristics: elections, freedom, economic equality, and economic security.

Table 3 shows that, out of the four characteristics, citizens of 12 East Asian

countries prioritized elections (33%) and economic security (32%) as the two

most essential to democracy, followed by economic equality (21%) and freedom

to criticize government officials (14%) (Shin and Cho, 2010).9

(Table 3 here)

Responses from Algeria, Jordan, Lebanon, and Palestine also show a

similar pattern. Elections were prioritized at 29% while economic security

followed with 28% economic equality (23%), and freedom of speech (20%) trailed

behind (Doherty and Mecellem, n.d.; de Regt, 2013). Like East Asia, this region

found political freedom to be the least important of the properties and elections

to be the most important of those.

A careful scrutiny of Table 3 further reveals that economic security and equality,

when considered together, matter twice as much as political freedom. Such a

preoccupation with economic concerns testifies that a liberal notion of democracy may

not be as widespread and universal as it is often believed to be (Dalton, Shin and Jou,

2007; Welzel, 2013: chap. 10).10 It further indicates that citizens in non-Western

9 The third wave of the Asian Barometer Survey conducted in 12 East Asian countries shows that majorities of their citizens do not hold a procedure-based conception of democracy, which most political scientists do. Huang (2014) and Lu (2013) explore the reasons behind the predominant status of substance-based understanding of democracy among East Asians. 10 According to Schedler and Sarsfield (2007), a majority of Mexicans rejects core principles of liberal democracy.

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countries often view democracy as a form of government that works ‘for the people’

rather than ‘by the people’.

Differentiation

Are ordinary citizens capable of discriminating between democratic and other political

systems? To explore this question, the Afrobarometer program employed three

vignettes, as discussed above. Specifically, the 4th round of this barometer asked citizens

of 20 sub-Saharan countries to differentiate the three types of political systems referred

to in those vignettes. To measure the levels of their overall capacity to do so, we

constructed a 4-point index by counting the number of vignettes to which they

responded correctly.

For Southern Africa as a whole, Figure 5 shows the percentages of its citizenries

placed on four levels of cognitive capability. Nearly one-third (30%) is placed on its

lowest level, while only one-tenth (10%) is placed on its high level. This indicates that

the cognitively fully incompetent form a substantial minority and they are nearly three

times more numerous than the cognitively fully competent. The mean statistic of 1.1

also indicates that the average Southern African is not capable of identifying correctly

more than one of three different political systems. The prevalence of the fully

incompetent over the fully competent and the mean below the midpoint of the 4-point

index confirm that Southern Africans have very limited knowledge about democracy-in-

practice.

(Figure 5)

To identify distinct types of their recognition, we analyzed the three different

ways they responded to each vignette, and classified them into three types, the

uninformed, the misinformed, and the well-informed. The uninformed are those who

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failed to answer all of three vignette questions. The misinformed are those who

answered all the three vignettes, but failed to answer all of them correctly. The well-

informed are those who answered all of them correctly. Of these three types, therefore,

the well-informed represents the fully capable of discriminating different political

systems.

Table 4 shows the distribution of Southern Africans into the three types of

recognizing three different political systems. In South Africa as a whole, the

misinformed are most numerous with 73 percent; they are followed by the uninformed

(17%) and the well-informed (10%). This pattern of system recognition prevails in 11 of

20 countries. In 8 other countries, including Botswana and Ghana, the well-informed

are more numerous than the uninformed. Only in Madagascar, the uninformed

constitutes a majority (51%). In all 20 countries, however, the well-informed do not even

comprise a substantial minority of more than one-fifth. Across the countries, moreover,

their proportions vary considerably from a low of 3 percent in Burkina Faso to a high of

20 percent in Uganda. These findings indicate clearly that Southern Africans’ capacity to

distinguish different types of political systems is not only very low but also highly

uneven.

(Table 4)

The relative paucity of the politically well-informed in South Africa raises the

question of how much trust we should place on avowed approbation for democracy

among its citizenries. In the region as a whole, seven in every ten people (70%) publicly

avow support for democracy, affirming the statement that “democracy is preferable to

any other kind of government” (Q30). Yet only one in nine (11%) is fully capable of

differentiating it from its alternatives. Evidently, a large majority (88%) of avowed

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supporters of democracy consists of either uninformed or misinformed citizens. In

Southern Africa today, fully informed, authentic supporters of democracy constitute a

very small minority (8%).

Unlike the Afrobarometer surveys, which asked about the hypothetical

political systems with which people were largely unfamiliar, the Asian Barometer

survey asked about political systems widely known as a democracy or an

autocracy. Specifically, its third wave survey asked respondents in 12 countries to

evaluate China, the U. S., Japan, and India on a 10-point scale where scores of 1

and 10 mean complete dictatorship and democracy, respectively. Of these four

countries, we chose China, India, and Japan to explore the extent to which East

Asians are able to discriminate between democratic and authoritarian systems.

China and India represent, respectively, the world’s most populous autocracy and

democracy, while Japan represents East Asia’s oldest democracy.

To determine how capable East Asians are of identifying divergent types of

political systems correctly, we followed the procedure employed in the above analysis of

the Afrobarometer Survey. We first formulated a 4-point index measuring levels of their

overall capability to do so by counting the number of countries whose political system

they correctly identified.

Figure 6 shows how East Asians are distributed across 4 different levels of

cognitive capability. Being placed on the lowest and highest levels of this index means,

respectively, being completely incapable and completely capable of differentiating

democratic and nondemocratic systems. According to the percentages reported in

Figure 6, the completely incapable comprise a substantial minority of over one-fifth

(22%) and there are twice as many as the completely capable (10%), a pattern similar to

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what was observed in Southern Africa. The mean statistic of 1.5 indicates that of the

three systems queried, the average East Asian is not able to correctly identify much

more than one. All these findings attest to a relatively low level of their cognitive

capability.

(Figure 6)

How well do East Asians do recognize the political systems that exist in China,

Japan, and India? As we did with Southern Africans, we classified them into three types

of system recognition: the uninformed, the misinformed, and the well-informed. The

uninformed are those who failed to rate all three countries on the 10-point scale either

correctly or incorrectly. The misinformed are those who rated at least one of the

countries incorrectly (China as a democracy, India as a non-democracy, or Japan as a

non-democracy). The well-informed are those who answered all of them correctly

(China as a non-democracy, and India and Japan as a democracy).

For each of 12 countries and East Asia as a whole, Table 5 reports the percentages

falling into three types of systems identification. In the region, the misinformed are

most numerous with 56 percent, followed by the uninformed with 35 percent and the

well-informed with 9 percent. As in Southern Africa, the misinformed are most

numerous, while the well-informed are least numerous. Yet, there are proportionally

more uninformed citizens in East Asia than in South Africa. In fact, the uninformed

population forms the majority in as many as four countries in East Asia, including China

(63%), Indonesia (51%), Thailand (83%), and Vietnam (52%). By striking contrast, they

are the least numerous and form a puny minority (2%) in Singapore

(Table 5)

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Despite these cross-national differences, all 12 East Asian countries are

alike in that the well-informed form small minorities of their respective

citizenries, which range from a low of 3 percent in China to a high of 21 percent in

Korea. In all these countries, the well-informed also form small minorities of

avowed supporters of democracy, ranging from 2 percent in Vietnam to 21

percent in Korea. When all the countries are considered together, only one in

every ten East Asians (10%) who “always prefers democracy to any other kind of

government” (Q124) is informed well enough to distinguish it from non-

democracy. Put simply, only one in every 15 citizens (6%) is a well-informed

supporter of democracy in East Asia today.

As a further test of system differentiation, the second wave of the Asian

Barometer surveys asked citizens of four third-wave democracies—Korea,

Taiwan, Indonesia, and Mongolia— in the region to rate the present democratic

system and the past authoritarian system on a 10-point scale where scores of 1

and 10 mean, respectively, complete dictatorship and democracy. Scores above

the scale midpoint of 5.5 indicate being democratic, while those below it refer to

being authoritarian. Only those who rated the present regime as a democracy and

the past regime as an autocracy are considered the capable of understanding the

occurrence of democratic regime change. Table 6 shows that in all four East Asian

democracies, a small majority of three-fifths or less is cognitively capable of

understanding the democratic regime transition occurred in their own country.

Even decades after the transition to democracy from harsh authoritarian rule, as

many as four in ten citizens of East Asian third-wave democracies are not able to

recognize this regime change.

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(Table 6)

In summary, most people around the world meet the first condition in

becoming democratic citizens. That is, they are conceptually capable of defining it

in their own words, and identifying and prioritizing its important properties.

Many of those conceptually capable, however, do not meet the second cognitive

condition for democratic citizenship. In other words, they are not able to

discriminate between the practices of democracy and those of its alternatives.

Their inability to do so keeps them from becoming authentic or informed citizens

of democracy, as Figure 7 shows.11 Therefore, we need to assess the quality of

publicly avowed support for democracy before we endorse it as the globally

preferred system of government (Diamond, 2008, 2013; Fukuyama, 2014; Sen,

1999).

(Figure 7)

Conclusion

To date, public opinion research on citizen conceptions of democracy has focused

mostly on the questions dealing with the identification of its properties, that is,

whether ordinary people are conceptually aware of it and of how or in what terms

those conceptually aware understand it. Relatively little research has been done

to determine how well or poorly they understand it. Much less has been done to

evaluate whether their avowed support for democracy is based on an informed

understanding of it.

11 These findings can be considered another piece of evidence for the claim that most ordinary citizens are not capable of making political preferences rationally (Achen and Bartels, 2016).

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What proportion of contemporary global citizenries holds an informed

understanding of democracy? How evenly or unevenly are those well-informed

about democracy distributed throughout the globe? Do they all endorse

democracy as the most favored system of government? What proportion of

avowed supporters of democracy comprises the well-informed about it? What

proportion comprises the misinformed? Do well-informed democrats outnumber

their ill-informed peers throughout the whole world, as assumed in the thesis of

global democratization that has been popular in the West (Diamond 2013;

Fukuyama 2014)? If not, are those authentic democrats concentrated in the old-

democratic West? These are the important questions that should be addressed in

future public opinion research on democracy.

In order to address these questions carefully and systematically, we first

need to conceptualize democratic knowledge as a two-dimensional phenomenon.

To measure its two dimensions, we should prepare two different sets of

questions, one for open-ended and the other for closed-ended, each of which

measures, respectively, the cognitive capacity to identify the essential properties

of democracy and such capacity to differentiate them from those of its

alternative.

We should also prepare as many as four different sets of questions to tap

not only affective orientations to democracy and its alternatives as a regime

structure but also those orientations to their methods of daily governance.

Finally, the possession of those two different cognitive capacities should be

employed as a criterion for authenticating avowed support for democracy. Only

when authentic supporters of democracy constitute a majority in most of the

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regions of the world, can we confidently endorse the claim that democracy is truly

becoming the most favored system of government throughout the globe.

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Table 1. Expressing Approval for Democracy among Global Citizenries

Valence Salience Affinity

Old Democratic West 87% 91% 95%

Transitional West 78 82 91

Latin America 85 87 95

Asia 80 85 94

Middle East 71 84 93

Africa 85 85 95

Total 81 86 94

Source: 2010-14 World Values Survey

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Figure 1. East Asians who Favor the Authoritarian Method of Governing while Preferring the Democratic Type of Regime to its Authoritarian Alternatives

Source: 2014-16 Asian Barometer Survey.

67% 67%64%

61%

78%

68%

53%

61%66%

58%

77%82%

70%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

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Figure 2. The East Asians Satisfied with the Way their Country is Governed as a Democracy

Source: 2010-12 Asian Barometer Survey.

45% 48%

57% 60% 61%

70%75% 77%

82% 82%88%

92%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

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Table 2. The Number of Descriptions of Democracy

Surveys Responses (%)

Barometer Country None One Two Three

Afrobarometer 12 22% 59% 14% 5%

Asian Barometer 9 30 39 17 14

Latinobarometer 19 26 35 19 19

Note: Table entries are the number of responses to open-ended questions on the meaning of democracy. Sources: Bratton, Mattes, and Gyimah-Boadi (2005); Canache (2012); and Shin and Cho (2010).

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Figure 3. The Essentiality of Nine Regime Characteristics to Democracy (on a 1-10 point scale)

Source: 2010-14 World Values Survey.

7.9

7.8

7.4

7

6.3

6

6

4.5

4.3

0 2 4 6 8 10

Electing leaders in free…

Guaranteeing gender equality

Protecting civil liberties

Receiving state aid

Taxing the rich

Obeying their rulers

Promoting income inequality

Military intervention in…

Interpreting laws religiously

(Not at all essential ) (Essential)

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Figure 4. Number of Regime Characteristics as Rated Essential to Democracy

Note: Figure entries are the percentage citing various numbers of characteristics as essential to democracy (above the midpoint of the scale in figure 1). Source: 2010-14 World Values Survey.

6.7%

3.6%

5.8%

10.3%

14.8%

18.8%

20.7%19.3%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

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Table 3. The Democratic Regime Properties Arabs and East Asians Prioritize as the Most and Least Important

Year Arab Barometer

2006-2008 Asian Barometer

2005-2008

Elections 29% 33%

Freedom 20 14

Economic Equality 23 21

Economic Security 28 32

Sources: 2006-8 Arab Barometer survey; 2005-8 Asian Barometer survey.

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Figure 5. The Number of Political Systems Southern Africans Identified Correctly.

Source: 2008 Afrobarometer Survey.

30%

38%

22%

10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

None One Two Three

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Table 4. Types of System Differentiation among Southern Africans

Uninformed Misinformed Well-Informed

Benin 11% 84% 5%

Botswana 5 88 8

Burkina Faso 27 70 3

Cape Verde 22 72 6

Ghana 10 75 15

Kenya 14 71 15

Lesotho 15 80 5

Liberia 10 75 15

Madagascar 51 39 10

Malawi 16 75 9

Mali 8 80 12

Mozambique 28 61 11

Namibia 6 84 11

Nigeria 10 77 13

Senegal 30 64 6

South Africa 12 81 7

Tanzania 15 69 16

Uganda 12 69 20

Zambia 15 71 14

Zimbabwe 10 78 7

Total 17 73 10

Source: 2008 Afrobarometer Survey.

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Figure 6. The Number of Political Systems East Asians Identified Correctly

Source: 2005-8 Asian Barometer survey

22%

28%

40%

10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

1 2 3 4

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Table 5. Patterns of System Differentiation among East Asians

Uninformed Misinformed Well-Informed

Japan 19% 66% 14%

Korea 16 63 21

China 63 34 3

Mongolia 37 52 11

Philippines 17 77 7

Taiwan 39 48 13

Thailand 83 15 3

Indonesia 52 44 4

Singapore 2 82 16

Vietnam 51 48 2

Cambodia 26 62 12

Malaysia 16 78 6

Total 35 56 9

Source: 2005-8 Asian Barometer survey

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Table 6. The Capacity of East Asians to Differentiate the Regimes of the Authoritarian Past and the Democratic Present

Regimes Third-wave Democracies

Past Present Korea Taiwan Indonesia Mongolia

Democracy Authoritarian 7% 5% 8% 5%

Democracy Democracy 18 11 22 13

Authoritarian Authoritarian 14 12 9 18

Authoritarian Democracy 59 58 49 60

Note: The fourth italicized response is the correct option.

Source: 2005-8 Asian Barometer Survey.

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Figure 7. Assessing the Quality of Avowed Support for Democracy

Note: The poorly informed comprise the uninformed and misinformed. Sources: 2008 Afrobarometer Survey; 2005-08 Asian Barometer Survey.

90% 88%

10%12%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

East Asians Southern Africans

Poorly Informed Well Informed