demographic dimensions of portugals crisis
TRANSCRIPT
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Rd~pxloc} Cddiael ]dmaoc oe` @hidl~orfam M~a}a}
H`|o~` Fxlf ) N~x}}hc}; Kxeh >2?>
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Fh~h} Pfh R~dnchi
Dwh~ pfh ro}p phe qho~} pfh Rd~pxlxh}h hmdediq fo} nhhe wa~pxoccq}popadeh~q% Pfh r~dnchi a} edp# edph# }aircq o Hx~d deh# }aemh pfh `hmcaeh
}po~ph` ae pfh ia` ?112}# oe` fo} ehwh~ nhhe ~hwh~}h`%
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Fh~h} oedpfh~ |oq dg cddjael op pfh }oih a}}xh% Rd~pxlxh}h L@R ~d}h ~ora`cq
ae pfh ?112}# oe` pfhe ixmf id~h }cd|cq ae pfh ga~}p `hmo`h dg pfh >?}pmhepx~q%
]p~xmpx~oc ~hgd~i} xe`h~pojhe o} ro~p dg pfh noacdxp r~dl~oiih ioq fhcr o
cappch# nxp pfh~h a} mcho~ }dihpfael id~h ldael de fh~h pfoe }aircq o }iocc#
phird~o~q cd}} dg l~d|pf `qeoiam% Mdxc` ap nh pfop o} rdrxcopade} lhp dc`h~
l~d|pf lhp} }cd|h~# d~ hwhe px~e} ehlopawh4
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Ae pfa} r~h}hepopade A |acc o~lxh pfop
Pfh id}p ~hmhep m~a}a} |o} edp oe o~nap~o~q rfhedihede
Pfh~h a} oe xe`h~cqael r~dmh}} |h ehh` pd xe`h~}poe`
Hx~drh} `hnp m~a}a} a} ed| heph~ael o `hma}awh rfo}h%
Xe~h}d wh a}}xh} |a howh o hlomq% Deh | am mdx |hal`d|e oeq ~hmdwh~q oe` cho` pd id~h }h~adx} r~dnchi} ae pfh
gxpx~h%
Ae ro~pamxco~;
o! Pfh Hva}phemh dg o @hnp Dwh~foel
n! Pfh Airomp dg Olhael oe` @hmcaeael Rdrxcopade}
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]d \fop \o} Pfh Lcdnoc M~a}a} Occ Ondxp4
Ap |o} occ ondxp
`hnp# oe` ondxpfd| fhowacq
ae`hnph` }dmahpah}
onch pd mco| pfha~
|oq nomj pd
l~d|pf%
Pfh Jhq Rdaep} Pd L~o}r Pfa} R~dmh}} A} ]p~xmpx~oc# Edp Mqmcamoc#
oe` ap a} o @hwhcdrh` Hmdediq M~a}a}# Edp ]aircq O Hx~d Deh
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]d Kx}p \fq \o} Pfh~h ]d Ixmf @hnp4
No`cq ]p~xmpx~h` Gaeoemaoc R~d`xmp}4
Rdd~ ^hlxcopade4
D~ \o} Pfh~h ]dihpfael Hc}h Ldael De4
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Mo}h ]px`q; Pfh Hx~d{dehFh~h a} o jhq ro~p dg pfhrx{{ch% @x~ael pfh ga~}p ?2 qho~}
dg pfh Hx~d }dih Hx~drhoe
mdxep~ah} nd~~d|h` fhowacq#
|fach dpfh~} chep% O} o ~h}xcp
]roae} fdx}hfdc`} mdep~omph`
o cdp dg `hnp% Qhp Lh~ioe
fdx}hfdc`} a`ep%
\fq pfa}`aggh~hemh4
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Deh Mdewhepadeoc Ommdxep
Pfh deh }a{h gap} occ
idehpo~q rdcamq
`a`ep |d~j% ]roae
fo` ehlopawh aeph~h}p
~oph} `x~ael pfh jhqqho~} dg pfh fdx}ael
nddi%
Nxp pfop }pacc chowh} x} |apf o xh}pade; |fq `a`ep ap |d~j4
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M~h`ap @~awhe R~awoph Mde}xirpade Nddi}
\fq `d }dih
mdxep~ah} fowh
pfh}h |fachdpfh~} `dep4
%
Pfh decq ~hoc `aggh~hemh a} ae pfh
Paiael%
Lh~ioeq ?11> ?111
]roae >222 ) >226
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Mx~~hep Ommdxep Ncxh}
Lh~ioeq `a`ep oc|oq}
~xe o mx~~hep ommdxep
}x~rcx}% Occ pf~dxlfpfh ?112} pfh mx~~hep
ommdxep |o} ae `hgamap%
Oe` ]roae |dep
oc|oq} ~xe o mx~~hep
ommdxep `hgamap# hwheag pfop }hhi} fo~` pd
nhcahwh ~alfp ed|%
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Pfh Jhq >8 pd 01 Olh L~dxr
Pfa} l~dxr rhojh` ae
Lh~ioeq o} o ( dg
pdpoc rdrxcopade o~dxe`
pfh px~e dg pfh mhepx~q%
Oe` ae ]roae ap rhojh`
pd|o~`} pfh he` dg pfhga~}p `hmo`h dg pfa}
mhepx~q%
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Mdxc` ]dihpfael O} ]airch O} Ih`aoe Rdrxcopade Olh
Fhcr X} Xe`h~}poe`4Dx~} a} oe olh dg ~ora`cq
olhael }dmahpah}% \fop a}
}d id`h~e ondxp dx~
mx~~hep }apxopade a} edppfh olhael ap}hcg# nxp ap}
whcdmapq# oe` ap} lcdnoc
hv he} de%
@dh} ih`aoe rdrxcopade olh
fowh }dihpfael pd `d |apf
l~d|pf4 Id}p r~dgh}}adeochmdedia}p} `heq pfa} pd nh pfh
mo}h# nxp pd ioeq ede
hmdedia}p} pfh mdeehmpade a}
aepxapawhcq dnwadx}%
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Rdrxcopade Olhael O Xeaxh Fa}pd~amoc Mfocchelh
Pfh hmdediam oe` }dmaoc aircamopade} dg pfh olhael
r~dmh}} o~h ldael pd nh r~dgdxe`%
pfh r~dmh}} a} }hhiaelcq a~~hwh~}anch%
Ed dpfh~ }aelch gd~mh a} cajhcq pd rcoq }xmf oe
hmdediam fhocpf# rxncam gaeoemh}# oe` rdcamqiojael dwh~pfh mdiael `hmo`h
]p~oelhcq# pfh a}}xh ~hmhawh} decq o g~ompade dg pfh
opphepade pfop fo} nhhe `hwdph` pd lcdnoc mcaioph
mfoelh# hwhe pfdxlf# o~lxoncq# olhael a} o r~dnchi dx~
}dmaoc oe` rdcapamoc }q}phi} o~h# ae r~aemarch# ixmf
nhpph~ hxarrh` pd `hoc |apf%
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O} go~ o} |h o~h onch pd xe`h~}poe` pfh a}}xh op pfa}
rdaep# rdrxcopade olhael |acc fowh iokd~ hmdediamairomp} oe` pfh}h moe nh mophld~a}h` xe`h~ gdx~ ioae
fho`ael};
a! olhael |acc ogghmp pfh }a{h dg pfh |d~jael olh rdrxcopade# oe`|apf pfa} pfh chwhc dg p~he` hmdediam l~d|pf ae deh mdxep~q ogph~
oedpfh~
olh el | o hm ro h~e} d eo deo }ow el oe d~~d| el# oe
|apf pfh}h pfh `a~hmpade} oe` ioleapx`h} dg lcdnoc morapoc gcd|}
aaa! pf~dxlf pfh }owael oe` nd~~d|ael ropf pfh r~dmh}} moe
aegcxhemh wocxh} dg jhq o}}hp} cajh fdx}ael oe` hxapah}
aw! pf~dxlf mfoelh} ae pfh `hrhe`hemq ~opad# olhael |acc aegcxhemh
r~h}}x~h de lcdnoc }dwh~hale `hnp# r~d`xmael }aleagamoep mfoelh} ae
~oejael o} nhp|hhe hwhcdrh` oe` hih~lael hmdediah}%
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\fach rdrxcopade olhael a} xeawh~}oc pfh }fd~p ph~i airomp
|acc nh ixmf id~h cdmoca}h`% Pfh romh dg olael wo~ah}l~hopcq om~d}} mdxep~ah} oe` ~hlade}%
Pfh hgghmp} dg pfh r~dmh}} o~h hvrhmph` pd nh id}p
r~dedxemh` ae pfd}h mdxep~ah} pfop ~hioaeh` mdircomhepae pfh gomh dg xcp~o)cd| gh~pacapq ~oph} &pdpoc gh~pacapq ~oph} dg
?%8 oe` xe`h~!# |famf ae hgghmp ihoe} Koroe# pfh Lh~ioe
}rho el mdxep~ h} oe ixm d dxp h~e oe o}ph~e
Hx~drh%
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Oedpfh~ |oq dg cddjael op pfh}h `hidl~orfam mfoelh} a} ae
ph~i} dg pfh `hrhe`hemq ~opad# |famf moe nh `hgaeh` ae oexinh~ dg `aggh~hep |oq} `hrhe`ael de pfh r~dnchi nhael
o``~h}}h`%
Pfh hc`h~cq `hrhe`hemq ~opad ae Lh~ioeq a} ~a}ael ixmf id~h ~ora`cq pfoe ap a} ae
hapfh~ pfh XJ d~ G~oemh% Ap a} ~hoccq fo~` gd~ ih pd nhcahwh pfop pfa} r~dgdxe`
`aggh~hemh |dep nh ~hgchmph` ae eopadeoc |hocpf r~d`xmpade d~ L@R rh~ morapo%
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Aird~poemh Dg Pfh R~aih Olh L~dxr}
H}paioph} dg pfh hvomp olh
hvphe}ade dg pfh `aggh~hep
l~dxr} wo~q# nxp >8)02 |dxc`
nh o ldd` ~xch dg pfxiniho}x~h dg pfh nd~~d|ael
~oelh# 02 pd 88 gd~ pfh rhoj
Pfh jhq l~dxr} o~h r~aih
}owh~}# r~aih nd~~d|h~}# oe`
r~aih r~d`xmpawh |d~jh~}%
\fh~h pfh}h ompxoc olhn~omjhp} cah# oe` pfh hvphep pd
|famf pfhq ioq dwh~cor# a} }pacc
}owh~}# oe d d~ h
r~aih olh |d~jh~}%
Nhqde` pfa}# pfh xh}pade a} oe
hira~amoc deh dg iho}x~aeloe` ph}pael pd `hph~iaeh id~h
r~hma}h ndxe`o~ah} oe`
g~depah~}%
o }x hm d }dih mde ~dwh~}q#
Deh dg pfh jhq rdaep} pd l~o}r# a} pfop
pfh r~drd~pade pfh rdrxcopade |famf a}
pd nh gdxe` ae deh dg pfh r~aih olh
l~dxr} op o lawhe idihep ae paih# a}on}dcxphcq m~apamoc# oe` ixmf id~h
aird~poep gd~ xe`h~}poe`ael pfh
r~dmh}}h} op |d~j pfoe pfh ih~h }a{h
dg pfh |d~jael olh rdrxcopade%
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Cagh Mqmch Hgghmp}
Pfh~h a} o lheh~occq ommhrph` |a}`di ae omo`hiam |d~j jed|e
o} pfh cagh mqmch fqrdpfh}a} &Id`alcaoea!% Pfa} }xllh}p} pfop pfh
rdrxcopade} gaeoemaoc nhfowadx~ mfoelh} `hrhe`ael de olh% Aeph~i} dg o`xcp cagh# pfd}h ae pfha~ p|hepah} oe` ho~cq pfa~pah} phe`
pd nh ehp nd~~d|h~} o} pfhq o~h ~hcopawhcq cd| ho~eh~} op pfh
}oih paih o} pfh cddj pd nx fdx}ae hv he}awh x~onch} oe`
gxe` pfha~ nx~lhdeael goiacah}% Op }dih rdaep o~dxe` ia``ch)olh pfa} l~dxr pfhe phe`} pd idwh g~di nhael ehp nd~~d|h~} pd
ehp aewh}pd~} o} pfhq idwh aepd pfha~ hmdediam r~aih oe`
ommxixcoph gaeoemaoc o}}hp} pd fdrhgxccq gxe` pfha~ ~hpa~hihep%
O} pfhq orr~domf ~hpa~hihep pfa} l~dxr pfhe }po~p pd }fh` pfh
gaeoemaoc o}}hp} pfhqwh nhhe ommxixcopael pd gxe` pfha~
ede|d~jael `oq}%
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Rd~pxloc# cajh occ Hx~drhoe
}dmahpah} a} olhael xaph
~ora`cq
Mo}h ]px`q Rd~pxloc
Oe` pfh ioae ~ho}de
gd~ pfa} a}# dg mdx~}h#
cdel ph~i wh~q cd|
gh~pacapq
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Xeaxh Rd~pxlxh}h Ghopx~h}
Rd~pxloc ae }dih |oq} ~h}hinch}
Ho}p Hx~drhoe }dmahpah}% Pfh
mdxep~q cd}p rdrxcopade `x~ael
pfh HX mdxrcael qho~}# oe` pfh
rfhedihede fo} chgp o co}pael
}mo~ de pfh hmdediq oe` pfh
}dmahpq%
Rd~pxloc |hep g~di nhael o
ehp hial~opade }dmahpq pd
nhael o ehp aiial~opade deh%
Nxp ed| |apf pfh coph}p m~a}a}
pfh `a~hmpade dg ial~oep gcd|}
a} demh id~h ~hwh~}ael# ae o
|oq |famf r~h}hep} wh~q
}h~adx} r~dnchi} gd~ o cd|
gh~pacapq }dmahpq%
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Rd~pxlxh}h Cawael ]poe`o~`} Fowh
]poleoph` Dwh~ Pfh Co}p @hmo`h
Go~ g~di Hx~d ihinh~}far nhael oe xeiapaloph` }xmmh}} gd~ Rd~pxloc# pfh mdxep~q
fo} }hhe o }h~adx} comj dg l~d|pf ae cawael }poe`o~`} oe` o cd}} dg ~hcopawh rd}apade
ae pfh Hx~d cholxh% Pd pojh deh hvoirch# |fach xr pd pfh dxpn~hoj dg pfh m~a}a}
cawael }poe`o~`} ae ]cdwheao }pho`acq ~d}h pd|o~`} pfh HX owh~olh# Rd~pxloc}
~hcopawh rd}apade ghcc nomj oe` pfhe }poleoph`%
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O} Hc}h|fh~h Pfh Mx~~hep M~a}a} A} Co~lhcq Ondxp @hnp
Rd~pxloc } hmdediq ioq edp
fowh l~d|e# nxp pfh mdxep~q
fo} ommxixcoph` o co~lh
idxepoae dg ndpf r~awoph oe`
rxncam }hmpd~ `hnp dwh~ pfhco}p hmo`h%
Pfh~h a} ondxp >82 naccade hx~d}
ae r~awoph }hmpd~ `hnp oe` ?72(% \apfdxp
l~d|pf pfa} a} mcho~cq edp
}x}poaeonch%
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Rd~pxloc fo} ed| fo` oe aeapaoc
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Oe` PfhP~dajo Mde}a}phepcq Lawh Pfh Mdxep~q Lcd|ael ^hrd~p}
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Ocdel \apf Pfh @hgamap Hwhe Pfh Nde` Qahc`} O~h Mdiael @d|e
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]d \fh~h} Pfh R~dnchi4
\hcc# pfh hmdediq a} ae `hhr ~hmh}}ade%
Pfh AIG hvrhmp pfh hmdediq pd
mdep~omp nq =%=( ae >2?># oe` ~hpx~e
pd paia` l~d|pf ae >2?= &2%=(!% Pfh~h
o~h }p~del `d|e}a`h ~a}j} pd pfh >2?=gd~hmo}p# oe` ap a} edp air~dnonch pfh
hmdediq |acc demh id~h mdep~omp%
Xehircdqihep a} ed| ~a}ael
}fo~rcq% Oro~p g~di pfh }dmaoc
`a}p~h}} mox}h` pfa} }x~lh ae
xehircdqihep a} fowael p|d
mde}hxhemh}% @hgamap po~lhp} |acc
edp nh ihp# oe` pfh qdxel oe`
h`xmoph` o~h chowael pfh eopadeoc
}far%
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Pfh Ga~}p Mde}hxhemh ) O ]hmde` Noacdxp Cddj} Wh~q Cajhcq
Pfh mdeehmpade nhp|hhe
Rh`~d Ro}}d} Mdhcfd
xehircdqihep oe` pfh
}hmde` noacdxp a} pfop
xehircdqihep a}
r~d`xmael o `hgamap ae pfh
}dmaoc }hmx~apq gxe`%
]d pfh mdxep~q ioq ehh` o ~hcovopade ae pfh noacdxp r~dl~oiih ga}moc po~lhp}# oe` pfh
~hehldpaopade dg pfh}h mdxc` |hcc r~dwa`h pfh mdephvp gd~ o gxcc }hmde` noacdxp%
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Ae O``apade Qdxel H`xmoph` Rhdrch O~h Aem~ho}aelcq Chowael
\fq a} pfa} o r~dnchi4 \hcc pfaej dg pfh
olhael }dmahpq oe` l~d|pf r~dnchi} A
ihepadeh` ho~cah~% Ae gomp hmdediah} hva}p
ae ~hoc fa}pd~amoc paih oe` edp pfh a`hoc
}poph }romh rd}pxcoph` nq ehdmco}}amoc
hmdediam}% Pfhq o~h ropf `hrhe`hep
hepapaph} oe` drrd~pxeapah} cd}p ed| fowh
rh~ioehep mde}hxhemh}%
io~jhp gchvanacapq# nxp |h oc}d ehh` omdiide P~ho}x~q pd iojh rhe}ade}
}x}poaeonch%
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Oe` Pfh Noejael ]q}phi ^hioae} Dwh~`hrhe`hep De Pfh HMN
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]d |fhe \acc Pfh ]hmde` Noacdxp Forrhe4
Cajhcq `oph ]hrphinh~% \fq4
\hcc Rd~pxloc a} r~dl~oiih`
pd ~hpx~e pd pfh io~jhp} pd
gaeoemh nde`} ae ]hrphinh~
>2?=# oe` pfh AIG fo} ogaeoemael lxo~oephh` ?>
idepf} ofho` ~xch%
Oe` Fd| Ixmf \acc Ap Md}p4
Id~h pfoe cajhcq ae pfh ~hlade dg 82 naccade hx~d} >0%> naccade gd~
gaeoemael ae >2?=$?0# rcx} oedpfh~ >7%1 naccade hx~d} gd~ >2?8% Oe`
pfhe }dihpfael pd occd| gd~ pfh |d~}heael hmdediam }mheo~ad oe` pfh~hcovh` `hgamap mde`apade}%
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R]A Xecajhcq Op Pfa} Rdaep
Pfh io~jhp} fowh rxcch` nomj }aemh
ho~cah~ pfa} qho~# oe` o~h ed| edp
r~amael ae R]A%
Nxp Rd~pxlxh}h `hnp a}
nocoemh` de o jeagh h`lh #
oe` R]A ae pfh cdelh~ ph~i a}
edp air~dnonch%
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\fh~h @dh} Occ Pfop Chowh X}4
Ae o Deh ]phr Gd~|o~`%%%% d~
}hwh~oc fxe`~h` naccade }phr}
nomj }apxopade
Ioqnh |d~c` cho`h~}
fowh nhhe hvollh~opael
pfh paih }moch# nxp pfh
~a}j} o~h ~hoc
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\fop Moe Nh @deh4
o! ]fdplxe \h``ael
n! Gxcc Noejael Xeade
m! Mdiide Ga}moc P~ho}x~q
`! Mhep~oc Noej onch pd omp cajh pfh NdK# pfh NdH oe` pfh X] Gh`h~oc ^h}h~wh
h! Ch}} ox}ph~apq oe` mdiide gaeoemh pd }xrrd~p pfh wo~adx} hmdediah} |fach
ixmf ehh`h` }p~xmpx~oc ~hgd~i} o~h xe`h~pojhe%
% #
kx}p 8 iaexph} oe` ioqnh qdx |acc mfoelh qdx~ iae`}%
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Ed Ho}q Oe}|h~} Op Pfa} Rdaep
Hgghmpawhcq A oi }xllh}pael
px~eael Hx~drh aepd o
}hmde` Koroe% Nxp Koroe}
rxncam `hnp ropf a} edp cdelph~i }x}poaeonch% Koroe
mdxc`ep hvap pfh Qhe mdxc`
ap4
No}amoccq |h o~h gomh` |apf o mdirchv }hp dg r~dnchi} |famf |h~h
ehwh~ gd~h}hhe ae hmdediam pfhd~q% \h `dep cawh ae o rh~ghmp |d~c`%
Oelhco ih~jhc a} |~del de ox}ph~apq# nxp a} ~alfp pfop ae pfh cdelh~
~xe `hnp ehh`} pd nh }x}poaeonch oe` dx~ hmdediah} }ponch# oe` edp
~xeeael de gxeeq idehq ae o |oq |famf |acc he` ae pho~}%
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]d \fop Moe Nh @deh Ae Rd~pxloc4
]fd~p Ph~i;
) Mdepaexael oe` Mdepaexdx} ]p~xmpx~oc ^hgd~i
Ch}} Ox}ph~apq Id~h L~d|pf ]xrrd~p
Mdepaexael Condx~ Io~jhp ^hgd~i
Rhe}ade ^hgd~i
Fhopf ]q}phi ^hgd~i
Aiial~opade
Cdelh~ Ph~i
^oa}h Gh~pacapq ^oph}
Lcdnoc ^hnocoemael Aeapaopawh} Ommhrpoemh pfop pfh Id`h~e L~d|pf
H~o cajh id`h~eapq ap}hcg `dh}ep
co}p gd~hwh~%
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