denmark – the impeccable ally?

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Denmark – the impeccable ally? Associate Professor, Jens Ringsmose Centre for War Studies University of Southern Denmark

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Denmark – the impeccable ally?. Associate Professor , Jens Ringsmose Centre for War Studies University of Southern Denmark. Denmark’s foreign policy after 1990. Foreign policy activism The militarization of Danish foreign policy From 2001: From atlanticism to super- atlanticism - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Denmark – the impeccable ally?

Denmark – the impeccable ally?

Associate Professor, Jens RingsmoseCentre for War Studies

University of Southern Denmark

Page 2: Denmark – the impeccable ally?

Denmark’s foreign policy after 1990

• Foreign policy activism• The militarization of

Danish foreign policy• From 2001:– From atlanticism to

super-atlanticism– From activism to super-

activism

• Ideational and pragmatic considerations

Page 3: Denmark – the impeccable ally?

Denmark and the Atlantic Alliance

• From NATO-Prügel- to NATO-Musterknabe– New burden-sharing

dynamics and –metrics– Substantial mission

contributions– Political willingness to

take risks– Public support – but,

why?

Page 4: Denmark – the impeccable ally?

Public opinion and the war in Afghanistan (Oct. 2011)

Number of deployed troops

Deployed troop per capita (100,000)

ISAF / deployable land forces

(percentage)

Denmark 750 13.64 12.30

United Kingdom 9,500 15.54 12.08

United States 90,000 29.30 9.28

Norway 429 9.20 4.56

Sweden 500 5.50 16.02

Finland 156 2.97 8.67

Page 5: Denmark – the impeccable ally?

Public opinion and the war in Afghanistan (Jan. 2010)

Allies with no caveats Allies with few / insignificant caveats

Allies with many / significant caveats

Canada Albania Belgium

Denmark Croatia Bulgaria

Estonia Czech Republic Greece

France Germany Italy

Hungary Norway Netherlands

Latvia Romania Portugal

Lithuania Slovakia Slovenia

Luxembourg Spain

Poland Turkey

U.K.

U.S.

Page 6: Denmark – the impeccable ally?

Public opinion and the war in Afghanistan (Oct. 2011)

Casualties Casualties per mill. inhabitants

Casualties per deployed troops

(100)

Denmark 42 7.64 5.60

United Kingdom 383 6.27 4.03

United States 1,821 5.93 2.02

Norway 10 2.15 2.33

Sweden 5 0.55 1.00

Finland 2 0.38 1.91

Page 7: Denmark – the impeccable ally?

Public opinion and the war in Afghanistan (Oct. 2011)

Page 8: Denmark – the impeccable ally?

The Danish anomaly

May06 Oct06 Mar07 Aug07 Jan08 Jun08 Oct08 Mar09 Aug09 Jan10 Jun100

10

20

30

40

50

60

Support NL

Linear (Support NL)

Support DK

Linear (Support DK)

Support UK

Linear (Support UK)

Support CA

Linear (Support CA)

Time

supp

ort %

Page 9: Denmark – the impeccable ally?

The Danish anomaly

Source: Peter Viggo Jakobsen, (2011) , “Hvorfor er danskerne så krigsglade og tolerante overfor tab?”

29-30. aug. 200631. okt. 200622-25. okt. 20077-10. jan. 2008jan. 20083-4. april 20083-4. april 20083-10. april 7-10. april 2008april 20083-4. juni 2008juni 200828-30. okt. 200810. nov. 200816. feb. 200916-20. april 20097-11. m

aj 200925-26. juni 200929-30. juli 2009aug. 200929-30. okt. 20097-9. nov. 20099-11. decem

ber 200911-14. jan. 2010m

arts 20105-9 juli. 201025. aug. 201010-13. jan. 2011

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Support (%) Linear (Support (%)) Linear (Support (%))

Casu

altie

s

TendencySu

ppor

t in

%

Page 10: Denmark – the impeccable ally?

Why such a popular war?

• Possible explanations:– Elite consensus– Effective communication– Popular Minister of Defence

(Søren Gade)– Positive stories from

Afghanistan told by soldiers

Page 11: Denmark – the impeccable ally?

Denmark’s future role in transatlantic relations

• A return to the 1990’s?• Normalization• Activism• Atlanticism

• Challenges to Denmark’s position• Defence cuts• Opt-out

Page 12: Denmark – the impeccable ally?

Questions or comments?