denver re-sale news - sept 2009

2
INVENTORY TRENDING LOWER! By John W. Danyliw CRB September was another ho-hum month. No dramatic changes and nothing much that wasn’t expected. Again, the positive side continues to center on the active listing inventory. We ended the month with 19,834 actives. That’s down 1.9% from August and down 17.1% from Sept. 08. Getting under 20,000 is the best we’ve seen in many a moon. If we don’t get a new wave of foreclosures after the first of the year we’re going to be in good shape. Under contracts were down less than 1% from the same month last year but still down 12.5% from last year. The best activity still seems to be in the low end with the $8000 tax credit coming to a close. There still may be some good news here with a number of bills in Congress to extend some sort of credit. The National Association of REALTORS has been lobbing long and hard. Cancellations are running a little on the high side but we think this is still due to the short sale activity. A good number of these blow up due to lender problems and length of time to close. The median price of closed properties dropped from $227,000 last month to $225,000. This again is an indicator of low-end activity accounting for more sales. Traffic continues to be good in the lower prices and also with the older generation. We’re seeing a number of older people wanting to move down into low or no-maintenance properties primarily ranches. There are a number of these that are still worried about selling their old house given the overall economy. It looks like we’re seeing the younger buyers and the older buyers with the in between in more of the holding pattern. The good news overall is that most economists have predicted we’ve pretty much bottomed out but the recovery will take some time to build up some steam. As always, we thank you for your business. SERVING THE METRO AREA FOR OVER 40 YEARS with Danyliw & Associates John W. Danyliw CRB 303.880.2585 [email protected] www.DenverHome-Listings.com End of August. active inventory over the last (3) years. 34.6% Drop from 2007 to 2009 30,335 2007 23,923 2008 19,834 2009 September Month End Listing Inventory UNSOLD HOMES ON THE MARKET* This Month 19,834 This Month, Last Year, % Change 23,923 -17.1% Last Month to This Month % Change 20,225 -1.9% MEDIAN PRICE OF HOMES CLOSED* Condos Single Fam. This Month $145,000 $225,000 Last Month $144,500 $227,900 This Month 2008 $139,900 $216,150 Y-T-D 2009 $136,000 $218,500 Y-T-D 2008 $140,000 $224,900 RESALE HOMES UNDER CONTRACT* This Month 5,228 Last Month % Change 5,248 -0.4% This Month, Last Year, % Change 5,269 -0.8% Y-T-D 2009 44,792 Y-T-D 2008 % Change 51,220 -12.5% Volume 7, Issue 9 As of September 30, 2009 RESALE HOMES CLOSED* This Month 3,846 Last Month % Change 3,905 -1.5% Y-T-D 2009 31,554 Y-T-D 2008 % Change 37,401 -15.6% * This representation is based in whole or in part on data supplied by MetroList, Inc. Neither the member Boards of REALTORS® nor their MLS guarantees or is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Data maintained by the Boards or their MLS may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. YOUR LOCAL HOUSING REPORT

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Denver Colorado Housing Report from Danyliw & Associates

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Page 1: Denver Re-Sale News - Sept 2009

INVENTORY TRENDING LOWER!By John W. Danyliw CRB

September was another ho-hum month. No dramatic changes andnothing much that wasn’t expected.

Again, the positive side continues to center on the active listing inventory.We ended the month with 19,834 actives. That’s down 1.9% from Augustand down 17.1% from Sept. ’08. Getting under 20,000 is the best we’ve seenin many a moon. If we don’t get a new wave of foreclosures after the first ofthe year we’re going to be in good shape.

Under contracts were down less than 1% from the same month last year butstill down 12.5% from last year. The best activity still seems to be in the lowend with the $8000 tax credit coming to a close. There still may be somegood news here with a number of bills in Congress to extend some sort ofcredit. The National Association of REALTORS has been lobbing long andhard.

Cancellations are running a little on the high side but we think this is still dueto the short sale activity. A good number of these blow up due to lenderproblems and length of time to close. The median price of closed propertiesdropped from $227,000 last month to $225,000. This again is an indicator oflow-end activity accounting for more sales.

Traffic continues to be good in the lower prices and also with the oldergeneration. We’re seeing a number of older people wanting to move downinto low or no-maintenance properties primarily ranches. There are anumber of these that are still worried about selling their old house given theoverall economy. It looks like we’re seeing the younger buyers and the olderbuyers with the in between in more of the holding pattern.

The good news overall is that most economists have predicted we’ve prettymuch bottomed out but the recovery will take some time to build up somesteam.

As always, we thank you for your business.

SERVING THE METRO AREA

FOR OVER 40 YEARS

with Danyliw & Associates

John W. Danyliw CRB

[email protected] www.DenverHome-Listings.com

End of August. active inventory over the last (3) years.

34.6% Drop from 2007 to

200930,335

2007 23,9232008

19,8342009

September Month End Listing Inventory

UNSOLD HOMES ON THE MARKET*

This Month 19,834

This Month, Last Year, % Change

23,923-17.1%

Last Month to This Month % Change

20,225-1.9%

MEDIAN PRICE OF HOMES CLOSED*

Condos Single Fam.

This Month $145,000 $225,000

Last Month $144,500 $227,900

This Month 2008 $139,900 $216,150

Y-T-D 2009 $136,000 $218,500

Y-T-D 2008 $140,000 $224,900

RESALE HOMES UNDER CONTRACT*

This Month 5,228

Last Month

% Change

5,248

-0.4%

This Month, Last

Year, % Change

5,269

-0.8%

Y-T-D 2009 44,792

Y-T-D 2008

% Change

51,220

-12.5%

Volume 7, Issue 9As of September 30, 2009

RESALE HOMES CLOSED*

This Month 3,846

Last Month

% Change

3,905

-1.5%

Y-T-D 2009 31,554

Y-T-D 2008

% Change

37,401

-15.6%

* This representation is based in whole or in part on data

supplied by MetroList, Inc. Neither the member Boards of

REALTORS® nor their MLS guarantees or is in any way

responsible for its accuracy. Data maintained by the

Boards or their MLS may not reflect all real estate activity

in the market.

YOUR

LOCAL HOUSING

REPORT

Page 2: Denver Re-Sale News - Sept 2009

with Danyliw & Associates

John W. Danyliw CRB

[email protected]

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

# o

f U

nit

sActive Inventory of Unsold Homes (Res + Condo)

as of Sept. 30, 2009

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Sept. 30, 2009 = 19,834

December 31, 2000 = 8,820

December 31, 2001 = 12,382

Record High 31,989 6/30/06

0.5

9% 1

.77

%

1.6

4%

1.5

7%

3.7

0% 1

1.6

9%

20

.13

% 29

.43

%

21

.96

%

7.5

3%

5.1

4%

6.7

8%

3.8

6%

3.7

4% 1

0.1

6%

23

.95

%

19

.98

%

18

.81

%

5.6

1%

1.9

9%

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

% of Sold properties by price range. September 30, 2009

RES

Condo

Have a question on Short Sales or Foreclosures? Visit our new website ShortSaleResource.netand post a question on our Forum.

* This representation is based in whole or in part on data supplied by MetroList, Inc. Neither the member Boards of REALTORS®

nor their MLS guarantees or is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Data maintained by the Boards or their MLS may not reflect

all real estate activity in the market.

Page 2