department of agriculture grain · • eu-25 is down 500,000 ton to 15.5 million on tight supplies...
TRANSCRIPT
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2005 2006 2007
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2005 2006 2007
Thai Exports SurgeMMT
250
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1/4/05 5/24/05 10/11/05 2/28/06 7/18/06 12/5/06
US$
Price Spread Widens
$110
U.S.
Thailand
Grain: World Markets and Trade
Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA
World rice supplies are expected to be tight in 2007, but despite this ample supplies in Thailand will allow it to widen its lead as the world’s largest exporter. Intervention stocks are currently at high levels and the government has signaled that it intends to reduce them by selling more for export. This will allow Thai exporters to profit from strong Philippine and Indonesian demand. Exports to the EU could also increase given the need to replace U.S. rice sales which have been effectively banned. Vietnam’s exports are expected to improve, despite press reports to the contrary, as a consequence of Indonesia’s increased demand. U.S. exports are forecast to slightly decline due to tighter supplies and higher prices,despite strong world demand.
Global import demand will be driven by Indonesia, where imports are forecast to triple. A weak El Nino has led to dry conditions during sowing periods, impacting area rather than yield. Other factors also contributing to the falling area include seed and fertilizer problems and to pressures from land conversion to non-agricultural uses.
Global Rice Trade in 2007: Thailand to Expand Lead as World’s Largest Exporter
$/Ton Fob
Indonesian Imports Jump
United StatesDepartment ofAgriculture
ForeignAgriculturalService
Circular SeriesFG 01-07January 07
TABLE OF CONTENTS
World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................. 11 Coarse Grains................................................................................................... 17 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 40 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 65 Circular Modifications:
The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) will update its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, grains and pulses along with its downloadable data sets at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular will be released at 9:30 a.m. on the same day. This is an effort to speed up FAS information dissemination to more closely coincide with the release of the WASDE. FAS will evaluate this earlier release process to determine if it should be made permanent in 2007.
Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2007
2 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
All Grain Summary Comparison
Marketing Year
Wheat Rice, Milled Corn
2006/072005/062004/052006/072005/062004/052006/072005/062004/05
Production
United States (Jun-May) 58.7 57.3 49.3 7.5 7.1 6.2 299.9 282.3 267.6
Other 570.1 562.5 541.4 393.0 408.4 408.9 412.4 413.3 419.6
World Total 628.8 619.8 590.8 400.5 415.5 415.0 712.3 695.6 687.2
Domestic Consumption
United States (Jun-May) 31.8 31.2 31.3 3.9 3.8 3.9 224.6 231.7 241.6
Other 577.0 586.7 585.9 401.7 407.9 412.1 459.2 468.2 480.9
World Total 608.8 617.9 617.2 405.7 411.7 416.0 683.9 700.0 722.5
Ending Stocks
United States (Jun-May) 14.7 15.5 12.9 1.2 1.4 0.9 53.7 50.0 19.1
Other 136.7 131.9 109.0 76.9 79.1 76.8 77.1 75.0 67.3
World Total 151.4 147.4 121.8 78.1 80.4 77.7 130.8 125.0 86.4
TY Imports
United States (Jun-May) 1.9 2.3 3.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.3
Other 108.2 108.3 106.1 26.5 25.2 26.6 76.0 79.6 80.3
World Total 110.2 110.6 109.2 26.9 25.8 27.3 76.3 79.9 80.6
TY Exports
United States (Jun-May) 28.5 27.4 24.5 3.9 3.5 3.4 45.3 56.2 56.5
Other 84.6 86.2 87.1 25.1 24.2 25.5 31.1 26.9 26.5
World Total 113.1 113.7 111.6 29.0 27.7 28.9 76.5 83.1 83.0
Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.
Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS: U.S. Monthly Wheat Grain Imports Surge
TMT
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100
150
200
250
Dec05
Feb06
Apr06
Jun06
Aug06
Oct06
Dec06
U.S. Imports From Canada Continue to Climb: U.S. imports this month were revised up to the highest level in 13 years. Canada has a large, better quality crop this year and imports into the U.S. are allowed to come in duty free. In recent months, Hard Red Spring and Durum wheats have primarily been imported. The United States is forecast to be a net importer of durum and products this year as production has fallen to a nearly 20-year low. Spring wheat supplies are also tight, with production down as a result of dryness in the Plains states. U.S. Winter Wheat Area Jumps: The total U.S. winter wheat seeding area is expected to rise 9 percent from the previous year because of elevated prices (10-year highs). Hard Red Winter (HRW) and Soft Red Winter (SRW) are expected to rise 9 and 13 percent respectively from last year. SRW particulary had ideal planting conditions. Australian Government Grants Two Wheat Export Permits: Agriculture Minister Peter McGauran announced on December 22, 2006 that he granted 2 permits for the export of 300,000 MT of wheat to Iraq by Wheat Australia and 500,000 MT to Indonesia by Cooperative Bulk Handling (CBH) Group, a grower owned and operated cooperative. The government stated that it chose these two because: 1) CBH Group will offer a price premium to Western Australian farmers and 2) Wheat Australia keeps the Iraqi market open for Australian wheat since Iraq will not import wheat from the Australian Wheat Board (AWB) due to its involvement in the UN Oil-for-Food scandal. Currently, supporters of the single-desk believe it was unfair to authorize these export permits because it effectively dismantles the single-desk even before consultations begin between the government and industry over marketing options. Others argue that the decision merely perpetuates the single-desk. The Australian government expects a solution to the single-desk dilemma in May 2007.
3 0
3 5
4 0
4 5
5 0
5 5
9 3 9 5 9 7 9 9 0 1 0 3 0 5 0 7
Mil. Acres
Source: NASS Note: Years refer to harvest
U.S. Winter Wheat Planted Area
Note: November and December are estimates
Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2007
4 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
PRICES: Domestic: For December, wheat prices for all classes dropped during the month on very sluggish export sales and shipments as well as expectations for much larger global production in 2007. For the month, Soft Red Winter (SRW) prices fell $25, Hard Red Winter (HRW) fell $23, Hard Red Spring (HRS) fell $17, and Soft White (SWW) prices fell $4.
U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids
160
170
180
190
200
210
220
230
10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27 11/3 11/10 11/17 11/24 12/1 12/8 12/15 12/22 12/29 1/5
$/M
T
U.S. No.1 HRW 11% (Gulf) U.S. No.2 SRW (Gulf) U.S. No.1 SWW (PNW) US No.1 DNS 14% (PNW)
TRADE CHANGES IN 2006/2007 Selected Exporters
• Argentina is up 500,000 tons to 10.0 million on very strong old crop exports.
• EU-25 is down 500,000 ton to 15.5 million on tight supplies and sluggish exports
licenses which are 1.5 million tons (20%) behind last year’s pace to date.
• Russia is up 1.0 million tons to 9.5 million on higher production and very strong pace of exports to date.
• Ukraine is down 700,000 tons to 2.8 million on the imposition of government export
quotas. • United States is down 1.0 million tons to 24.5 million as high prices have resulted in
laggard export sales and shipments to date.
Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2007
5 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Selected Importers
• Iraq is down 500,000 tons to 3.0 million on sluggish buying patterns. • Pakistan is down 400,000 tons to 200,000 becoming a net exporter as a result of sizeable
domestic supplies.
• United States is up 300,000 tons to 3.1 million tons as a result of very large shipments from Canada.
Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2007
6 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade
July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
TY Exports
10,0009,5008,30113,5027,3466,276 Argentina
12,00012,00015,21315,82615,09610,946 Australia
1,2001,0001,2001,100401,107 Bulgaria
20,50020,50015,64415,14215,5269,393 Canada
2,5002,5001,3971,1712,8241,718 China, Peoples Republic of
15,50016,00015,03214,36710,93119,940 EU-25
5,0005,0003,0002,7004,1106,238 Kazakhstan, Republic of
9,5008,50010,6647,9513,11412,621 Russian Federation
2,0002,0002,9002,217854839 Turkey
2,8003,5006,4614,351666,569 Ukraine
6,0655,9406,4146,31812,32011,655 Others
87,06586,44086,22684,64572,22787,302 Subtotal
24,50025,50027,42428,46432,29522,834 United States
111,565111,940113,650113,109104,522110,136 World Total
none
TY Imports
4,8004,8005,4695,3983,9336,079 Algeria
2,1002,1002,0092,0581,9451,335 Bangladesh
7,5007,5006,1945,3095,5596,631 Brazil
1,3501,3501,3141,2481,2461,166 Colombia
7,0007,0007,7718,1507,2956,327 Egypt
6,8006,8007,6097,3935,91213,921 EU-25
6,0006,00011814819 India
4,8004,8004,9814,6614,5353,984 Indonesia
3,0003,5004,8783,0101,9251,579 Iraq
1,2001,2001,5421,5499511,691 Israel
5,5005,5005,4695,7445,7515,579 Japan
3,6003,6003,8843,5913,4344,052 Korea, Republic of
1,5001,5001,6391,5081,0571,421 Libya
1,3501,3501,2161,4121,3291,195 Malaysia
3,6003,6003,5493,7173,6443,161 Mexico
1,9001,9002,4182,2722,4142,720 Morocco
3,6003,6003,6563,0142,3832,304 Nigeria
1,5001,5001,6561,4491,4881,157 Peru
2,7002,7002,9542,5932,9753,230 Philippines
1,2001,2001,2821,1971,0261,045 Russian Federation
1,6001,6001,6591,522995860 Sudan
1,2001,2001,1741,0811,139895 Thailand
1,6001,6001,6911,5041,538961 Venezuela
1,3001,3001,1811,226830875 Vietnam
1,9001,9002,1431,8531,6351,772 Yemen
27,52027,92030,80335,75035,02931,814 Others
106,120107,020108,259108,22399,976105,773 Subtotal
2,3452,1203,0822,9402,7862,405 Unaccounted
3,1002,8002,3091,9461,7601,958 United States
111,565111,940113,650113,109104,522110,136 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
Production
14,20014,20013,80016,00014,50012,300 Argentina
10,50010,50024,50022,60026,13210,132 Australia
27,30027,30026,77525,86023,55216,198 Canada
103,500103,50097,45091,95086,49090,290 China, Peoples Republic of
8,2008,2008,1847,1776,4436,300 Egypt
117,927117,237122,685136,778106,878124,829 EU-25
68,00068,00068,64072,15065,10071,810 India
14,00014,00014,50014,00013,50012,450 Iran
11,50011,50011,0009,95011,00012,600 Kazakhstan, Republic of
6,1006,1003,0435,5405,1473,357 Morocco
21,70021,70021,50019,50019,18318,227 Pakistan
44,90043,50047,70045,40034,10050,550 Russian Federation
18,00018,00018,00018,50016,80016,800 Turkey
14,30014,30018,70017,5003,60020,556 Ukraine
5,8005,8006,0505,5005,4005,000 Uzbekistan, Republic of
55,51055,41059,96161,70652,95652,539 Others
541,437539,247562,488570,111490,781523,938 Subtotal
49,31649,31657,28058,73863,81443,705 United States
590,753588,563619,768628,849554,595567,643 World Total
none
Total Consumption
7,7007,7007,5007,3006,8006,650 Algeria
6,9006,9006,4006,2005,9566,178 Australia
10,40010,40010,80010,2009,8009,890 Brazil
9,2009,2009,1339,3007,6378,181 Canada
101,000101,000101,000102,000104,500105,200 China, Peoples Republic of
15,60015,60014,80014,20013,30012,800 Egypt
116,600116,000119,500115,200107,900118,100 EU-25
72,70072,50069,97172,83868,25874,294 India
15,20015,20014,80014,50014,30014,350 Iran
7,6007,6007,4007,4006,8006,800 Kazakhstan, Republic of
7,4007,4007,1006,9006,4006,220 Morocco
21,90022,00021,50020,00019,10018,380 Pakistan
37,30036,90038,40037,40035,50039,320 Russian Federation
16,80016,80016,10016,80016,80016,800 Turkey
11,50011,20012,50011,7009,02514,500 Ukraine
128,097128,447129,809125,047116,600115,388 Others
585,026583,903592,570578,288555,971573,311 Subtotal
31,32531,29831,19131,82332,50730,448 United States
616,351615,201623,761610,111588,478603,759 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
3,3653,3653,6703,5062,8142,712 Algeria
7,5937,5939,7437,9226,0805,725 Canada
35,59035,59034,89038,81943,29360,378 China, Peoples Republic of
3,5963,5964,0062,8611,7441,316 Egypt
13,59512,95420,96825,20610,60216,643 EU-25
3,1983,1984,2833,6423,7773,673 Kazakhstan, Republic of
5,2335,2335,4835,2525,2125,072 Syria
36,80437,27948,83649,51044,28557,669 Others
108,974108,808131,879136,718117,807153,188 Subtotal
12,85211,92715,54514,69914,87213,374 United States
121,826120,735147,424151,417132,679166,562 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/07
TY Imports none
5,501 North America 5,630 5,910 6,136 6,650 6,950
1,381 Central America 1,500 1,510 1,514 1,575 1,575
1,774 Caribbean 1,839 2,034 1,926 1,905 1,905
11,394 South America 11,207 10,826 12,687 13,440 13,440
13,921 European Union 5,912 7,393 7,609 6,800 6,800
1,971 Other Europe 4,229 1,836 1,593 1,500 1,500
4,601 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,260 4,548 4,679 4,040 4,040
11,507 Middle East 8,813 10,202 13,099 10,925 10,425
18,714 North Africa 15,480 18,407 18,441 16,400 16,400
9,603 Sub-Saharan Africa 9,713 12,091 13,006 12,200 12,200
12,236 East Asia 15,320 18,357 12,830 12,050 12,050
3,569 South Asia 3,008 4,881 4,374 9,880 9,480
10,663 Southeast Asia 11,177 11,429 11,923 11,775 11,775
896 Oceania 648 745 751 680 680
107,731 Total 101,736 110,169 110,568 109,820 109,220
Production none
63,133 North America 90,066 87,018 87,075 79,716 79,716
1 Central America 1 1 1 1 1
0 Caribbean 0 0 0 0 0
17,903 South America 23,632 25,261 21,749 19,473 19,473
124,829 European Union 106,878 136,778 122,685 117,237 117,927
12,642 Other Europe 7,564 15,538 13,198 12,105 12,205
96,949 Former Soviet Union - 12 60,910 86,830 92,195 82,685 84,085
37,991 Middle East 39,486 41,463 42,020 41,300 41,300
11,704 North Africa 16,285 17,166 15,178 18,325 18,325
5,190 Sub-Saharan Africa 4,497 4,919 5,700 6,051 6,051
91,468 East Asia 87,750 93,193 98,724 104,795 104,795
95,303 South Asia 90,966 97,696 96,300 95,950 95,950
96 Southeast Asia 107 130 150 148 148
10,434 Oceania 26,453 22,856 24,793 10,777 10,777
567,643 Total 554,595 628,849 619,768 588,563 590,753
Domestic Consumption none
44,529 North America 46,044 47,123 46,424 46,698 46,725
1,221 Central America 1,354 1,410 1,406 1,476 1,476
1,774 Caribbean 1,839 2,034 1,926 1,905 1,905
22,305 South America 23,240 23,493 24,461 23,852 23,802
118,100 European Union 107,900 115,200 119,500 116,000 116,600
13,359 Other Europe 12,870 14,128 13,507 13,030 12,830
75,350 Former Soviet Union - 12 65,874 72,930 75,240 72,450 73,150
46,701 Middle East 46,708 48,958 49,912 50,735 50,635
29,666 North Africa 30,082 32,608 33,789 34,975 34,975
13,894 Sub-Saharan Africa 14,573 16,524 18,210 18,086 18,086
117,757 East Asia 116,539 114,061 113,570 113,165 113,165
101,320 South Asia 96,891 102,188 100,941 104,200 104,300
10,440 Southeast Asia 10,438 11,029 11,677 11,818 11,818
7,083 Oceania 6,831 7,122 7,341 7,755 7,755
603,499 Total 581,183 608,808 617,904 616,145 617,222
Ending Stocks none
19,849 North America 21,695 22,997 25,600 19,832 20,757
190 Central America 185 185 185 185 185
20 Caribbean 20 20 20 20 20
3,170 South America 2,992 2,856 3,280 2,221 2,196
16,643 European Union 10,602 25,206 20,968 12,954 13,595
3,335 Other Europe 2,110 3,949 3,267 2,257 2,107
16,480 Former Soviet Union - 12 10,986 14,247 15,571 12,686 13,086
13,375 Middle East 12,487 12,002 12,136 10,926 10,526
5,959 North Africa 7,467 10,220 9,835 9,370 9,370
1,508 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,108 1,234 1,393 1,183 1,183
63,218 East Asia 46,249 41,934 37,916 38,461 38,461
17,915 South Asia 9,200 7,250 5,833 6,413 6,113
1,572 Southeast Asia 2,030 2,052 1,989 1,614 1,614
3,328 Oceania 5,548 7,265 9,431 2,613 2,613
166,562 Total 132,679 151,417 147,424 120,735 121,826
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/07
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data are reported using marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE PRICES:
Nominal Rice Quotes – 2002 to Present International: Export prices in Thailand remain high given the strength of the baht and buying interest from Middle East and Asian countries. There are no quotes out of Vietnam due to the export ban though there are reports that state owned exporting firms will be allowed to respond to tenders from Indonesia and the Philippines.
75
125
175
225
275
325
375
425
475
9/3/02
2/10/04
7/19/05
1/9/07
Thai 100B US #2/4 Viet 5%
Indi 5% Paki 15/20
Domestic: U.S. #2/4 long grain milled rice quotes remain unchanged from last month at $434 per ton, FOB despite advances in late December. The spread between comparable qualities of Thai and U.S. rice is $113 per ton compared to $55 per ton this time last year. U.S. medium grain prices have retreated from last month’s highs of $575 per ton price to $565 per ton, FOB. TRADE CHANGES FOR 2007 Selected Exporters
• Pakistan is up 100,000 tons to 3.0 million in expectation of greater demand.
• Thailand is up 450,000 tons to 8.7 million due to increased regional demand and strong prices.
• Vietnam is up 200,000 tons to 4.9 million also due to increased regional demand and
strong prices.
• United States is up 200,000 tons to 3.4 million on the expectation of greater demand from major trading partners.
Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2007
11
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2007
12
Selected Importers
• Indonesia is tripled to 1.8 million tons as the prolonged dry season has delayed plantings and harvest in major producing areas.
• Philippines is up 200,000 tons to 1.8 million in anticipation that the government will
build stocks.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Rice Trade
January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
TY Exports
400400400345249170 Argentina
10010030052131141 Australia
1001003002723719 Brazil
15015075190130388 Burma, Union of
45045035020030010 Cambodia
1,0001,0001,1006568802,583 China, Peoples Republic of
9009001,0001,095826579 Egypt
150150175201187220 EU-25
170170170182243200 Guyana
4,3004,3003,8004,6873,1724,421 India
200200200200200200 Japan
3,0002,9003,0003,0321,9861,958 Pakistan
8,7008,2507,3007,27410,1377,552 Thailand
625625800762804675 Uruguay
4,9004,7004,8005,1744,2953,795 Vietnam
365365421825517830 Others
25,51024,76024,19125,14724,09423,741 Subtotal
3,4003,2003,5003,8623,0903,834 United States
28,91027,96027,69129,00927,18427,575 World Total
none
TY Imports
6006007007858011,112 Bangladesh
8008005505477621,063 Brazil
300300275350275250 Cameroon
350350335321285242 Canada
8008007006091,122258 China, Peoples Republic of
800800850867740750 Cote d'Ivoire
700700600736639371 Cuba
9259259259681,079950 EU-25
450450400450425357 Ghana
350350400328269345 Haiti
315315315315309307 Hong Kong
1,8006006005006502,750 Indonesia
9009001,200983950900 Iran
1,2001,2001,200786889672 Iraq
650650650787706654 Japan
850850850751700500 Malaysia
600600600553521582 Mexico
350350350350375232 Mozambique
1,7001,7001,6001,7771,3691,448 Nigeria
1,8501,6501,9001,8901,1001,300 Philippines
375375375350350385 Russian Federation
1,0001,0001,0001,3571,5001,150 Saudi Arabia
8508507501,200850750 Senegal
375375375375346375 Singapore
800800800850818725 South Africa, Republic of
6,9567,3066,9117,7417,0056,713 Others
26,64625,59625,21126,52624,83525,141 Subtotal
1,6391,7391,8802,0641,8721,976 Unaccounted
625625600419477458 United States
28,91027,96027,69129,00927,18427,575 World Total
Note about dates: 2006/07 is calendar year 2007, 2005/06 is calendar year 2006, and so on.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
Milled Production
29,10029,10028,75825,60026,15225,187 Bangladesh
7,7007,7007,8748,9968,7097,050 Brazil
10,50010,50010,4409,57010,73010,788 Burma, Union of
3,0253,0252,8352,3302,9602,400 Cambodia
128,000128,000126,414125,363112,462122,180 China, Peoples Republic of
4,1404,1404,1304,1283,9003,705 Egypt
91,00091,00091,04083,13088,53071,820 India
33,70035,08834,95934,83035,02433,411 Indonesia
7,9407,9408,2577,9447,0918,089 Japan
4,6804,6804,7685,0004,4514,927 Korea, Republic of
2,8002,8002,7002,3002,2002,200 Nigeria
5,6005,6005,5474,9204,8484,479 Pakistan
10,00010,0009,8209,4259,2008,450 Philippines
18,25018,25018,20017,36018,01117,198 Thailand
22,53622,53622,00022,71622,08221,527 Vietnam
29,90129,88330,65729,40029,01927,558 Others
408,872410,242408,399393,012385,369370,969 Subtotal
6,1516,1377,1137,4626,4206,536 United States
415,023416,379415,512400,474391,789377,505 World Total
none
Total Consumption
29,75029,75029,00026,90026,70026,100 Bangladesh
8,9508,9508,9748,8608,6878,100 Brazil
10,50010,50010,40010,30010,20010,100 Burma, Union of
127,800127,800128,000130,300132,100135,700 China, Peoples Republic of
3,3003,3003,2753,2503,2253,200 Egypt
87,50087,50085,22080,74385,63079,860 India
35,85035,80035,80035,85036,00036,500 Indonesia
3,2253,2253,1753,1253,1003,075 Iran
8,2008,2008,2508,3008,3578,742 Japan
4,8414,8414,8534,8624,6135,033 Korea, Republic of
2,8152,8152,8182,8672,9832,755 Nepal
4,4504,4504,3504,2504,0003,750 Nigeria
11,30011,25011,00010,40010,2509,550 Philippines
9,5709,5709,5009,4809,4709,460 Thailand
18,50018,50018,25018,00017,85017,500 Vietnam
45,57045,92545,00844,24543,57241,941 Others
413,832414,287409,406403,787409,261403,836 Subtotal
3,9053,9053,8093,9353,6563,534 United States
417,737418,192413,215407,722412,917407,370 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
36,94536,94536,94538,93143,91563,311 China, Peoples Republic of
9,7209,72010,5208,50010,80011,000 India
2,8573,0953,2073,4484,0184,344 Indonesia
2,6162,6162,4261,9191,7002,466 Japan
5,8425,7925,2924,5724,0473,807 Philippines
3,8424,2923,7622,3121,7063,302 Thailand
2,9003,1003,4644,1644,3024,065 Vietnam
12,05812,10913,45713,08914,14513,398 Others
76,78077,66979,07376,93584,633105,693 Subtotal
9499351,3701,211761829 United States
77,72978,60480,44378,14685,394106,522 World Total
Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/07
TY Imports none
1,282 North America 1,283 1,293 1,535 1,575 1,575
416 Central America 463 531 480 500 500
820 Caribbean 1,084 1,213 1,215 1,205 1,205
1,449 South America 1,111 966 885 1,200 1,200
950 European Union 1,079 968 925 925 925
209 Other Europe 230 220 220 205 205
540 Former Soviet Union - 12 526 526 551 551 551
3,970 Middle East 4,510 4,485 4,630 4,430 4,430
238 North Africa 225 261 225 225 225
6,901 Sub-Saharan Africa 7,244 8,383 7,130 7,505 7,505
2,166 East Asia 2,948 2,556 2,415 2,655 2,305
1,351 South Asia 1,169 1,051 1,015 910 910
5,063 Southeast Asia 3,202 4,236 4,360 4,110 5,510
244 Oceania 238 256 225 225 225
25,599 Total 25,312 26,945 25,811 26,221 27,271
Production none
6,669 North America 6,620 7,657 7,294 6,318 6,332
574 Central America 553 466 507 511 511
865 Caribbean 838 666 736 730 730
12,614 South America 14,667 15,346 14,180 13,805 13,805
1,731 European Union 1,728 1,868 1,730 1,659 1,677
15 Other Europe 21 22 21 20 20
690 Former Soviet Union - 12 846 774 853 969 914
2,151 Middle East 2,483 2,611 2,737 2,803 2,848
3,746 North Africa 3,941 4,169 4,171 4,181 4,181
7,025 Sub-Saharan Africa 7,314 7,758 8,659 8,716 8,726
137,917 East Asia 126,628 140,858 142,072 143,214 143,214
106,556 South Asia 124,689 118,781 130,548 130,950 130,950
96,639 Southeast Asia 101,066 99,267 101,255 102,410 101,022
313 Oceania 395 231 749 93 93
377,505 Total 391,789 400,474 415,512 416,379 415,023
Domestic Consumption none
4,476 North America 4,666 5,006 4,919 5,055 5,055
950 Central America 976 1,025 1,056 1,063 1,063
1,610 Caribbean 1,877 1,870 1,855 1,970 1,970
12,876 South America 13,535 13,837 14,097 14,168 14,168
2,597 European Union 2,509 2,529 2,550 2,600 2,600
224 Other Europe 236 227 231 235 235
1,231 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,434 1,354 1,370 1,365 1,360
6,694 Middle East 6,697 6,625 6,997 7,107 7,107
3,429 North Africa 3,491 3,552 3,541 3,566 3,566
14,014 Sub-Saharan Africa 15,016 15,816 16,169 16,400 16,400
153,015 East Asia 148,454 147,042 144,293 144,306 143,956
113,800 South Asia 120,469 115,642 122,244 125,375 125,375
89,449 Southeast Asia 90,493 90,597 91,810 92,521 92,621
535 Oceania 540 545 550 550 550
404,900 Total 410,393 405,667 411,682 416,281 416,026
Ending Stocks none
998 North America 940 1,385 1,550 1,096 1,110
410 Central America 441 383 332 270 270
220 Caribbean 157 206 168 193 193
2,107 South America 3,010 3,668 2,911 2,235 2,253
960 European Union 974 1,138 1,068 878 920
45 Other Europe 40 50 60 65 65
308 Former Soviet Union - 12 191 117 131 267 216
1,299 Middle East 1,170 1,719 2,406 2,482 2,527
870 North Africa 719 502 357 297 297
2,708 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,297 2,108 1,992 1,708 1,703
67,047 East Asia 46,764 42,005 40,649 40,812 40,812
11,848 South Asia 12,189 8,933 11,503 10,793 10,693
17,070 Southeast Asia 15,952 15,520 16,805 17,354 16,516
632 Oceania 550 412 511 154 154
106,522 Total 85,394 78,146 80,443 78,604 77,729
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/07
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data are reported using marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS: Taiwan Seeks Chinese Corn: Recently, Taiwan's livestock industry has shown interest in purchasing up to 500,000 tons of Chinese corn due to high U.S. prices. However, trade sources expect perhaps 50,000 tons will be purchased and delivered by the end of February, when the current Taiwanese government authority expires. Strong domestic demand is keeping Chinese corn out of the export market, and there is little history to suggest large sales to Taiwan that would significantly impact U.S. dominance in that key corn market. Taiwan is expected to import 4.5 million tons of corn this year, nearly all from the United States.
U.S. Gulf Export Bids
8090
100110120130140150160170
Sep
-03
Dec
-03
Mar
-04
Jun-
04
Sep
-04
Dec
-04
Mar
-05
Jun-
05
Sep
-05
Dec
-05
Mar
-06
Jun-
06
Sep
-06
Dec
-06
$/M
T
PRICES:
omestic: December export bids for U.S. #2 yellow corn dropped for the first time in 6 months
RADE CHANGES IN 2006/2007
Sorghum (Texas Gulf) Corn
Dand averaged $160. Prices remain high with strong domestic and foreign demand, and slack competition from China and Argentina. T
elected Exporters
United States corn is up 1.0 million tons to 56.5 million. Huge outstanding sales, a rapid
Brazil corn is raised 1.0 million this month to 4.5 million because of ample exportable
Ukraine corn is cut in half to 1.0 million tons and Ukraine barley is lowered 300,000
• Argentina sorghum is up 350,000 tons to 600,000 based on early export registrations,
S
•
shipment pace to date, and continued limited competition have combined to push exports to a 12-year high despite soaring prices.
•supplies and strong shipments in recent months.
•tons to 4.0 million because of export quotas that are restricting trade.
increased exportable supplies (largest crop in 7 years), and strong shipments to Japan.
Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2007
17 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
• U.S. sorghum is down 200,000 tons to 4.2 million based on the slow pace of sales, especially to Mexico. This is the lowest level of exports in over 20 years.
Selected Importers
• EU-25 corn is raised 500,000 tons again this month to 4.0 million based on the pace of import licenses. This is more than double from last year and the accession of Bulgaria and Romania will likely increase corn trade to the EU-25.
• Mexico corn is up 500,000 tons to 6.8 million because of rapid purchases and shipments. • China barley is lowered 200,000 tons to 2.0 million as a result of tightness in key
suppliers such as Australia and Canada as well as a large domestic crop.
Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2007
18 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Coarse Grain Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
TY Exports
12,90512,55511,24314,37110,83413,055 Argentina
2,5452,5455,6324,9966,7522,472 Australia
4,5503,5502,8261,4576,1913,246 Brazil
3,5503,5504,0103,2173,4741,712 Canada
4,0254,0253,7567,6177,72315,336 China, Peoples Republic of
4,2054,2053,2295,0782,3429,736 EU-25
70070045489593243 Romania
2,6002,6001,5501,5341,7673,494 Russian Federation
1,2051,2051,27959363366 Serbia and Montenegro
5,0006,3007,4446,4653,8113,420 Ukraine
3,6653,5356,2955,1795,6155,167 Others
44,95044,77047,71851,40248,66558,247 Subtotal
61,23560,43561,54850,69254,07846,394 United States
106,185105,205109,266102,094102,743104,641 World Total
none
TY Imports
2,1552,1552,0432,1741,7881,696 Algeria
1,0001,0001,099745596935 Brazil
2,3702,3702,0292,3392,0814,098 Canada
1,7151,5151,6621,1891,1481,110 Chile
2,1352,3352,3072,0731,5331,830 China, Peoples Republic of
3,5253,3253,3802,5162,2322,428 Colombia
700650687569583514 Costa Rica
1,1501,1501,0681,031824906 Dominican Republic
4,8204,8204,4175,4053,7474,867 Egypt
4,7704,1953,6943,7667,3536,721 EU-25
1,3001,3001,4435411,4361,633 Indonesia
3,1003,1003,1003,8492,5182,157 Iran
1,5751,5751,5681,7002,0121,382 Israel
19,49519,49519,76719,70919,98220,321 Japan
1,0001,0001,200938771820 Jordan
8,8658,8658,5468,7108,9878,881 Korea, Republic of
2,6002,6002,5172,4062,4012,408 Malaysia
9,4009,1009,9418,9758,8738,766 Mexico
1,9051,9052,0101,9891,3261,212 Morocco
1,4001,4001,5671,3661,114992 Peru
7,5007,5008,4727,6447,1308,927 Saudi Arabia
8258251,034277612750 South Africa, Republic of
2,3002,3001,9912,2811,5411,198 Syria
4,6504,6504,6144,7575,1144,829 Taiwan
1,1501,1501,2001,2288831,046 Tunisia
9,4109,40511,56310,65210,90010,838 Others
100,81599,685102,91998,82997,485101,265 Subtotal
2,9203,0704,0471,0233,002833 Unaccounted
2,4502,4502,3002,2422,2562,543 United States
106,185105,205109,266102,094102,743104,641 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
Production
23,57323,39819,22324,90218,59619,445 Argentina
7,7557,75513,75911,57314,8616,652 Australia
44,75944,75944,47437,87444,88147,097 Brazil
23,49123,52026,03626,44726,32619,892 Canada
151,440151,440147,696138,252123,953130,725 China, Peoples Republic of
9,4259,4259,0857,5656,5604,775 Ethiopia
126,386127,224131,750150,209122,183137,892 EU-25
33,70033,70034,39033,57037,81025,660 India
29,13029,13025,83328,94730,27726,420 Mexico
24,20024,20023,70022,30020,30019,050 Nigeria
9,6759,67511,83913,8057,9658,365 Romania
30,20030,70027,60029,60030,50033,400 Russian Federation
10,53810,5387,31112,20910,36310,126 South Africa, Republic of
11,04511,04511,94511,04510,0409,960 Turkey
19,95019,95018,14023,00015,60017,110 Ukraine
127,003126,808125,965123,337120,573114,770 Others
682,270683,267678,746694,635640,788631,339 Subtotal
280,112285,722298,763319,417275,098243,719 United States
962,382968,989977,5091,014,052915,886875,058 World Total
none
Domestic Consumption
10,37310,5739,4239,0587,4077,427 Argentina
42,90942,90941,97241,55838,91338,585 Brazil
24,55624,58523,95623,80423,82622,816 Canada
151,380151,580147,455141,172138,651136,401 China, Peoples Republic of
11,68011,68011,28012,36410,27711,989 Egypt
134,475134,475132,445138,817134,584135,386 EU-25
33,60033,60034,23033,24036,00026,750 India
19,89519,89519,99219,87820,73720,475 Japan
38,58038,28037,60538,27637,33235,533 Mexico
24,05024,05023,45022,05020,25019,000 Nigeria
10,80510,80511,10511,0058,9558,205 Romania
28,05028,35027,70029,40033,25029,850 Russian Federation
9,6489,6489,47310,3059,2199,072 South Africa, Republic of
11,35011,35011,55211,40411,18610,674 Turkey
14,05013,50011,99015,20014,00013,262 Ukraine
189,253188,953187,703177,558172,488161,102 Others
757,887757,400744,063735,542719,887687,637 Subtotal
253,463255,149244,726240,216225,958214,667 United States
1,011,3501,012,549988,789975,758945,845902,304 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
2,7474,2474,0474,3808,0456,360 Brazil
4,0874,0876,3326,3414,0763,135 Canada
33,97933,97935,80937,01745,48166,369 China, Peoples Republic of
15,70816,09422,65723,68712,62221,646 EU-25
3,2643,2643,3145,3955,7673,973 Mexico
2,8882,8883,1982,7082,4342,645 Saudi Arabia
3,0872,2372,4172,6741,6202,653 Ukraine
29,94930,05734,40437,22331,12232,169 Others
95,70996,853112,178119,425111,167138,950 Subtotal
22,26827,28254,76758,80028,76430,940 United States
117,977124,135166,945178,225139,931169,890 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/07
TY Imports none
15,407 North America 13,210 13,556 14,270 13,920 14,220
1,980 Central America 2,178 2,405 2,734 2,500 2,550
1,509 Caribbean 1,634 1,913 1,979 2,185 2,085
6,606 South America 6,383 6,460 8,688 8,140 8,540
6,721 European Union 7,353 3,766 3,694 4,195 4,770
1,196 Other Europe 1,563 658 709 645 650
756 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,440 1,080 1,157 980 980
16,952 Middle East 16,162 17,864 17,643 16,940 16,940
9,143 North Africa 8,275 11,489 10,345 10,630 10,630
2,596 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,665 2,703 3,590 2,105 2,205
36,109 East Asia 35,786 35,611 35,584 35,595 35,395
10 South Asia 32 44 10 0 0
4,726 Southeast Asia 4,046 3,499 4,776 4,280 4,280
97 Oceania 14 23 40 20 20
103,808 Total 99,741 101,071 105,219 102,135 103,265
Production none
290,031 North America 331,701 374,811 350,632 338,372 332,733
3,060 Central America 3,206 2,882 2,889 3,146 3,146
540 Caribbean 535 505 456 456 456
75,291 South America 72,953 72,662 73,567 78,216 78,391
137,892 European Union 122,183 150,209 131,750 127,224 126,386
22,146 Other Europe 18,710 29,052 26,796 23,770 23,965
60,724 Former Soviet Union - 12 55,371 62,945 55,080 59,448 58,948
17,508 Middle East 17,717 18,496 19,186 18,286 18,286
9,612 North Africa 11,757 11,786 9,299 11,692 11,692
69,170 Sub-Saharan Africa 78,249 78,047 81,876 85,334 85,334
133,039 East Asia 126,244 140,589 150,079 153,680 153,680
30,464 South Asia 42,245 38,130 38,950 38,263 38,263
18,264 Southeast Asia 19,543 21,740 22,543 22,700 22,700
7,317 Oceania 15,472 12,198 14,406 8,402 8,402
875,058 Total 915,886 1,014,052 977,509 968,989 962,382
Domestic Consumption none
273,016 North America 287,116 302,296 306,287 318,014 316,599
4,935 Central America 5,070 5,455 5,500 5,775 5,825
2,056 Caribbean 2,112 2,350 2,433 2,618 2,518
59,512 South America 60,528 65,467 67,464 70,015 70,165
135,386 European Union 134,584 138,817 132,445 134,475 134,475
20,986 Other Europe 21,270 24,964 24,906 24,054 24,054
52,781 Former Soviet Union - 12 56,725 54,616 49,479 50,953 51,203
30,736 Middle East 34,351 33,889 36,224 36,265 36,265
19,162 North Africa 18,746 21,891 20,720 21,715 21,715
70,013 Sub-Saharan Africa 77,112 78,897 84,513 85,640 85,640
172,991 East Asia 175,783 177,183 183,348 187,465 187,265
31,524 South Asia 40,573 37,815 38,790 38,163 38,163
22,160 Southeast Asia 21,818 24,140 26,133 26,340 26,340
5,936 Oceania 7,245 7,525 7,815 7,890 7,890
901,194 Total 943,033 975,305 986,057 1,009,382 1,008,117
Ending Stocks none
38,048 North America 38,607 70,536 64,413 34,633 29,619
379 Central America 700 541 607 470 578
74 Caribbean 131 199 201 223 224
8,820 South America 10,829 8,233 7,321 7,853 6,287
21,646 European Union 12,622 23,687 22,657 16,094 15,708
2,981 Other Europe 1,698 4,115 4,215 2,320 2,246
11,967 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,964 7,258 5,556 5,345 6,001
6,467 Middle East 6,457 8,178 8,237 6,952 6,898
1,019 North Africa 2,288 3,327 2,317 2,924 2,924
3,944 Sub-Saharan Africa 5,306 5,337 4,675 5,051 5,194
71,188 East Asia 49,780 41,221 39,780 37,565 37,565
826 South Asia 1,231 1,116 961 836 836
1,228 Southeast Asia 1,988 2,075 2,642 2,519 2,547
1,303 Oceania 2,330 2,402 3,363 1,350 1,350
169,890 Total 139,931 178,225 166,945 124,135 117,977
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/07
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data are reported using marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Corn Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
TY Exports
12,00012,00010,70713,75210,43912,349 Argentina
4,5003,5002,8261,4315,8183,181 Brazil
45030040050081191 Bulgaria
300300250150144113 Burma, Union of
4,0004,0003,7277,5897,55315,244 China, Peoples Republic of
5005001,314386548733 Paraguay
60060027158793144 Romania
1,2001,2001,27458957353 Serbia and Montenegro
5005001,4061,5177971,141 South Africa, Republic of
1,0002,0002,4642,3341,238811 Ukraine
1,4251,4252,2512,3053,6623,249 Others
26,47526,32526,89031,14030,43037,509 Subtotal
56,50055,50056,18145,34748,80940,924 United States
82,97581,82583,07176,48779,23978,433 World Total
none
TY Imports
2,1002,1001,9892,0461,7651,643 Algeria
850850931481459639 Brazil
2,3002,3001,9622,2372,0333,846 Canada
1,6001,4001,5871,0811,043933 Chile
3,3003,1003,1512,2561,9992,112 Colombia
700650687569583514 Costa Rica
1,1501,1501,0681,031824906 Dominican Republic
4,8004,8004,3975,3983,7434,848 Egypt
4,0003,5003,1382,9665,5094,327 EU-25
600600751641513513 Guatemala
1,3001,3001,4435411,4361,633 Indonesia
2,5002,5002,3002,5581,8572,157 Iran
1,2001,2001,1281,2421,377776 Israel
16,50016,50016,61916,48516,78116,863 Japan
8,8008,8008,4838,6338,7788,781 Korea, Republic of
2,6002,6002,5172,4062,4012,408 Malaysia
6,8006,3006,7875,9455,7395,269 Mexico
1,5001,5001,4741,4231,1831,054 Morocco
1,3001,3001,4671,3011,041917 Peru
1,5001,5001,4721,2241,6211,424 Saudi Arabia
700700896131495617 South Africa, Republic of
1,6001,6001,1911,781941919 Syria
4,5004,5004,4644,5624,9514,681 Taiwan
650650600714784734 Tunisia
600600900731233625 Zimbabwe
6,8606,9558,2347,6138,2208,260 Others
80,31078,95579,63675,99676,30977,399 Subtotal
2,4152,6203,2212102,574660 Unaccounted
250250214281356374 United States
82,97581,82583,07176,48779,23978,433 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
Production
19,00019,00015,80020,50015,00015,500 Argentina
42,00042,00041,70035,00042,00044,500 Brazil
9,3009,3009,4618,8409,6008,999 Canada
143,000143,000139,365130,290115,830121,300 China, Peoples Republic of
5,8705,8705,8605,8405,7406,000 Egypt
43,93044,38548,61852,96839,87649,360 EU-25
14,50014,50015,09014,18014,72011,100 India
6,6006,6006,9007,2006,3506,100 Indonesia
22,00022,00019,50022,05021,80019,280 Mexico
7,5007,5007,0006,5005,5005,200 Nigeria
5,8005,8005,9005,0504,9004,430 Philippines
8,5008,50010,30012,0007,0207,300 Romania
6,6006,6006,6006,5693,8005,585 Serbia and Montenegro
10,00010,0006,93511,7169,7009,675 South Africa, Republic of
6,5006,5007,1508,8006,8504,180 Ukraine
68,50068,40067,08664,85560,72656,698 Others
419,600419,955413,265412,358369,412375,207 Subtotal
267,598272,931282,311299,914256,278227,767 United States
687,198692,886695,576712,272625,690602,974 World Total
none
Total Consumption
7,0007,0006,2005,2004,4004,100 Argentina
40,00040,00039,00038,50036,30035,800 Brazil
11,80011,80010,93710,31411,22812,576 Canada
141,000141,000137,000131,000128,400125,900 China, Peoples Republic of
10,60010,60010,20011,3009,20010,900 Egypt
50,30049,80048,70051,70046,81449,526 EU-25
14,50014,50014,60013,90013,20012,000 India
8,0008,0008,2507,9007,3507,500 Indonesia
16,60016,60016,60016,50017,20016,800 Japan
8,9008,9008,5798,6668,7228,782 Korea, Republic of
28,80028,30027,90027,90026,40024,700 Mexico
7,4007,4006,8006,3005,5005,200 Nigeria
5,9005,9005,8005,1504,9504,650 Philippines
9,5009,5009,7009,5007,9007,200 Romania
9,0009,0008,9009,7008,6778,520 South Africa, Republic of
111,599110,749109,071105,71998,76391,215 Others
484,188482,173469,675460,325436,006426,596 Subtotal
241,565243,597231,722224,648211,644200,748 United States
725,753725,770701,397684,973647,650627,344 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
2,6424,1423,8924,1927,8786,258 Brazil
1,6011,6012,0011,8021,1431,111 Canada
33,35533,35535,25536,55544,85264,973 China, Peoples Republic of
7,4207,9469,9407,0082,9384,826 EU-25
1,3191,3191,3491,3821,3371,211 Korea, Republic of
2,6662,6662,6664,5294,4613,327 Mexico
2,2252,2251,4753,1902,9562,443 South Africa, Republic of
16,10615,72518,44518,45713,61113,721 Others
67,33468,97975,02377,11579,17697,870 Subtotal
19,10223,76049,96853,69724,33727,603 United States
86,43692,739124,991130,812103,513125,473 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/07
TY Imports none
9,489 North America 8,128 8,463 8,963 8,850 9,350
1,980 Central America 2,178 2,401 2,734 2,500 2,550
1,509 Caribbean 1,634 1,913 1,979 2,185 2,085
5,629 South America 5,805 5,738 8,056 7,515 7,915
4,327 European Union 5,509 2,966 3,138 3,500 4,000
872 Other Europe 1,084 459 413 310 315
179 Former Soviet Union - 12 677 559 616 500 500
7,668 Middle East 7,901 8,039 7,341 8,225 8,225
8,413 North Africa 7,673 10,013 8,935 9,450 9,450
2,293 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,333 2,147 2,901 1,745 1,745
30,602 East Asia 30,682 30,044 29,978 30,150 30,150
7 South Asia 32 40 10 0 0
4,721 Southeast Asia 4,021 3,492 4,766 4,275 4,275
84 Oceania 8 3 20 0 0
77,773 Total 76,665 76,277 79,850 79,205 80,560
Production none
256,046 North America 287,678 330,804 311,272 304,231 298,898
2,676 Central America 2,874 2,552 2,582 2,820 2,820
415 Caribbean 407 377 328 328 328
66,971 South America 64,550 63,302 65,436 69,066 69,066
49,360 European Union 39,876 52,968 48,618 44,385 43,930
17,767 Other Europe 15,130 23,699 22,183 19,610 19,810
8,548 Former Soviet Union - 12 11,530 15,385 13,125 12,925 12,825
3,763 Middle East 4,382 4,732 5,432 4,932 4,932
6,202 North Africa 5,942 6,042 6,062 6,072 6,072
35,014 Sub-Saharan Africa 37,971 41,104 38,296 43,196 43,196
123,074 East Asia 117,679 132,145 141,277 144,789 144,789
14,707 South Asia 17,875 17,300 18,210 17,620 17,620
17,972 Southeast Asia 19,246 21,380 22,183 22,340 22,340
459 Oceania 550 482 572 572 572
602,974 Total 625,690 712,272 695,576 692,886 687,198
Domestic Consumption none
238,024 North America 249,272 262,862 270,559 283,697 282,165
4,570 Central America 4,735 5,100 5,190 5,450 5,500
1,931 Caribbean 1,984 2,222 2,305 2,490 2,390
51,041 South America 52,555 56,033 58,840 61,090 61,440
49,526 European Union 46,814 51,700 48,700 49,800 50,300
16,906 Other Europe 17,270 20,174 20,339 19,660 19,660
7,921 Former Soviet Union - 12 11,009 12,706 11,755 11,380 11,930
10,642 Middle East 12,208 12,221 12,978 13,331 13,331
14,334 North Africa 13,298 15,702 14,875 15,550 15,550
35,041 Sub-Saharan Africa 37,555 40,803 41,326 42,932 42,932
158,247 East Asia 161,385 163,078 169,004 173,091 173,091
15,573 South Asia 16,493 17,034 17,720 17,620 17,620
21,896 Southeast Asia 21,515 23,797 25,788 26,000 26,000
465 Oceania 555 465 580 555 555
626,117 Total 646,648 683,897 699,959 722,646 722,464
Ending Stocks none
32,041 North America 29,941 60,028 54,635 28,027 23,369
333 Central America 658 525 590 452 560
74 Caribbean 131 199 201 223 224
8,008 South America 9,763 7,249 6,717 6,977 5,438
4,826 European Union 2,938 7,008 9,940 7,946 7,420
2,462 Other Europe 1,175 3,404 3,612 1,821 1,802
1,528 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,361 2,165 1,612 1,526 1,882
1,976 Middle East 1,985 2,400 2,047 1,927 1,873
338 North Africa 805 996 1,105 1,077 1,077
3,396 Sub-Saharan Africa 3,861 4,459 2,870 3,579 3,579
68,847 East Asia 48,338 39,901 38,425 36,273 36,273
379 South Asia 536 392 592 392 392
1,220 Southeast Asia 1,983 2,049 2,616 2,493 2,521
45 Oceania 38 37 29 26 26
125,473 Total 103,513 130,812 124,991 92,739 86,436
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/07
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data are reported using marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Barley Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
TY Exports
300300309338167101 Argentina
2,3002,3005,2314,4816,1042,159 Australia
15015020040020154 Bulgaria
1,5001,5001,8761,4761,937304 Canada
3,5003,5002,4943,8819846,307 EU-25
300300100100613542 Kazakhstan, Republic of
100100183308099 Romania
2,5002,5001,5001,4881,7363,066 Russian Federation
5554613 Serbia and Montenegro
50505050320446 Syria
250250550260504 Turkey
4,0004,3004,9263,9922,5572,334 Ukraine
00302183 Others
14,95515,25517,42716,54414,44616,212 Subtotal
500500357771384552 United States
15,45515,75517,78417,31514,83016,764 World Total
none
TY Imports
150150153182128296 Brazil
2,0002,2002,2172,0491,5191,792 China, Peoples Republic of
200200198234181226 Colombia
3503503875546721,443 EU-25
6006008001,2916610 Iran
300300300313508448 Israel
1,4001,4001,4171,5221,3591,399 Japan
600600800607400414 Jordan
20020020021462116 Kuwait
200200200261333188 Libya
400400500565143156 Morocco
250250250266438275 Russian Federation
6,0006,0007,0006,4205,5087,502 Saudi Arabia
700700800500600279 Syria
50050060051499312 Tunisia
1,1801,1801,2611,1841,4961,411 Others
15,03015,23017,08316,67614,10716,257 Subtotal
125225577482226225 Unaccounted
300300124157497282 United States
15,45515,75517,78417,31514,83016,764 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
Production
1,4501,4504001,3141,220416 Algeria
4,2004,2009,8697,70810,3873,865 Australia
1,3501,3501,8002,0001,8001,681 Belarus
10,00010,00012,48113,18612,3287,489 Canada
3,5003,5003,4003,2222,7173,322 China, Peoples Republic of
1,8001,8001,7851,5751,4101,200 Ethiopia
54,81754,86352,76961,72754,82656,509 EU-25
1,4001,4001,0801,3101,4101,500 India
2,9002,9002,9002,9002,9003,085 Iran
1,2501,2501,2501,2501,1501,000 Iraq
1,5001,5001,5001,5002,1002,200 Kazakhstan, Republic of
2,5002,5001,1022,7602,6201,669 Morocco
18,10018,50015,80017,20018,00018,700 Russian Federation
7,2007,2007,6007,4006,9007,200 Turkey
11,80011,8009,00011,1006,85010,364 Ukraine
10,61510,54510,64311,95110,2299,707 Others
134,382134,758133,379148,103136,847129,907 Subtotal
3,9203,9204,6136,0916,0594,940 United States
138,302138,678137,992154,194142,906134,847 World Total
none
Total Consumption
3,7003,7003,6503,4503,0502,700 Australia
1,5001,5001,9751,9001,7501,700 Belarus
10,20010,20010,41410,7679,8937,905 Canada
5,4505,6505,5505,3504,7004,900 China, Peoples Republic of
1,8001,8001,7851,5751,4101,200 Ethiopia
54,80054,80052,50052,90056,87754,400 EU-25
1,4001,4001,1001,3001,4001,500 India
4,1004,1003,9003,5003,1002,900 Iran
1,6501,6501,6501,6501,6301,600 Japan
2,6002,6002,4502,7002,3002,000 Morocco
15,70016,10015,50016,50018,60015,500 Russian Federation
6,3106,3106,5105,4107,0105,810 Saudi Arabia
1,4501,4501,4501,3501,2501,100 Syria
7,1007,1007,3007,3007,1006,800 Turkey
6,9006,9004,9006,4006,2007,400 Ukraine
16,21816,21816,07016,64414,92514,216 Others
140,820141,620137,771137,832142,557131,204 Subtotal
4,4644,2464,5715,6724,9905,179 United States
145,284145,866142,342143,504147,547136,383 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
954954554876611291 Algeria
1,0031,0032,8031,8841,887948 Australia
1,6391,6393,2893,4352,1021,475 Canada
5,4495,6698,08210,6804,2878,488 EU-25
1,0841,0849342,1102,2274,706 Russian Federation
2,8522,8523,1622,6722,3992,611 Saudi Arabia
1,8321,4321,2129915961,424 Ukraine
5,5175,4996,5157,8075,8335,749 Others
20,33020,13226,55130,45519,94225,692 Subtotal
1,5891,8072,3502,7962,6191,510 United States
21,91921,93928,90133,25122,56127,202 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/07
TY Imports none
514 North America 567 291 220 400 400
772 South America 440 538 534 535 535
1,443 European Union 672 554 387 350 350
235 Other Europe 384 141 171 240 240
333 Former Soviet Union - 12 706 327 470 330 330
9,081 Middle East 8,112 9,619 10,160 8,635 8,635
721 North Africa 601 1,473 1,370 1,170 1,170
97 Sub-Saharan Africa 69 102 100 100 100
3,340 East Asia 3,047 3,768 3,775 3,750 3,550
2 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0
1 Oceania 6 20 20 20 20
16,539 Total 14,604 16,833 17,207 15,530 15,330
Production none
13,166 North America 19,469 20,209 17,847 14,820 14,820
1,399 South America 2,039 2,058 1,827 2,020 2,095
56,509 European Union 54,826 61,727 52,769 54,863 54,817
3,208 Other Europe 2,395 4,119 3,381 2,937 2,932
34,072 Former Soviet Union - 12 29,631 33,160 29,385 34,495 34,095
12,438 Middle East 12,116 12,540 12,530 12,130 12,130
2,430 North Africa 4,795 4,719 2,212 4,595 4,595
1,485 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,764 1,871 2,132 2,175 2,175
3,839 East Asia 3,136 3,678 3,845 3,925 3,925
1,995 South Asia 1,970 2,025 1,795 2,118 2,118
4,306 Oceania 10,765 8,088 10,269 4,600 4,600
134,847 Total 142,906 154,194 137,992 138,678 138,302
Domestic Consumption none
13,884 North America 15,833 17,389 15,935 15,396 15,614
1,950 South America 2,189 2,330 2,220 2,225 2,225
54,400 European Union 56,877 52,900 52,500 54,800 54,800
2,810 Other Europe 2,700 3,495 3,205 3,075 3,075
27,616 Former Soviet Union - 12 29,506 27,550 25,094 27,250 26,850
18,627 Middle East 20,750 20,232 21,875 21,630 21,630
3,839 North Africa 4,427 5,164 4,780 5,130 5,130
1,612 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,774 1,986 2,200 2,265 2,265
6,949 East Asia 6,719 7,457 7,601 7,710 7,510
1,998 South Asia 1,960 2,015 1,815 2,118 2,118
3,125 Oceania 3,450 3,850 4,050 4,125 4,125
136,810 Total 146,185 144,368 141,275 145,724 145,342
Ending Stocks none
3,027 North America 4,921 6,470 5,731 3,538 3,320
267 South America 404 331 186 218 291
8,488 European Union 4,287 10,680 8,082 5,669 5,449
455 Other Europe 470 660 556 453 398
7,445 Former Soviet Union - 12 3,727 4,165 3,141 3,216 3,616
4,448 Middle East 4,429 5,742 6,154 4,989 4,989
640 North Africa 1,442 2,291 1,172 1,807 1,807
3 Sub-Saharan Africa 58 93 125 135 135
1,388 East Asia 850 839 855 820 820
24 South Asia 34 44 24 24 24
1,017 Oceania 1,939 1,936 2,875 1,070 1,070
27,202 Total 22,561 33,251 28,901 21,939 21,919
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data are reported using marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Sorghum Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
TY Exports
600250226279228604 Argentina
10010019037042575 Australia
505002437164 Brazil
2525262816888 China, Peoples Republic of
25252524426 India
505050505050 Nigeria
252523364149 South Africa, Republic of
355528143665 Others
9105805688251,3611,001 Subtotal
4,2004,4004,9704,5414,8454,877 United States
5,1104,9805,5385,3666,2065,878 World Total
none
TY Imports
656542716258 Chile
252525815550 Eritrea
4003251592261,139439 EU-25
5050383410469 Israel
1,3501,3501,3931,3741,4341,562 Japan
2,5002,7003,0292,9313,0023,384 Mexico
505050505025 Niger
2525751801 Somalia
2001002111601515 Sudan
505050616164 Taiwan
7070308227235210 Others
4,7854,8105,3805,2336,1575,877 Subtotal
325170158132490 Unaccounted
000101 United States
5,1104,9805,5385,3666,2065,878 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
Production
3,1003,0002,2002,9002,2002,800 Argentina
2,1002,1002,0192,1772,0091,465 Australia
1,9001,9001,8502,0512,1031,900 Brazil
1,6001,6001,8371,4001,5201,260 Burkina
2,5802,5802,5462,3282,8653,327 China, Peoples Republic of
900900900900900900 Egypt
2,9002,9002,8002,1501,7001,100 Ethiopia
563480477492380701 EU-25
7,8007,8007,7907,2407,3307,060 India
6,1506,1505,5005,8907,3006,338 Mexico
675675750500720700 Niger
10,50010,50010,50010,0009,0007,850 Nigeria
3,7003,7004,3802,7005,1902,930 Sudan
700700890820500835 Tanzania, United Republic
490490450400420425 Uganda
4,4314,4314,2734,3144,3864,064 Others
50,08949,90649,16246,26248,52343,655 Subtotal
7,0507,3279,98111,52310,4469,163 United States
57,13957,23359,14357,78558,96952,818 World Total
none
Total Consumption
2,3002,5002,2002,6002,0002,250 Argentina
2,0052,0051,8551,9051,4051,405 Australia
1,9001,9001,9002,1001,6501,850 Brazil
1,6001,6001,8371,4001,5201,260 Burkina
2,5502,5502,5002,4003,0002,825 China, Peoples Republic of
900900900900900900 Egypt
3,0003,0002,2002,1501,7001,105 Ethiopia
1,0258755507001,966677 EU-25
7,7007,7007,7007,2007,3507,150 India
1,4001,4001,4001,4001,5001,575 Japan
8,7008,9008,6009,3009,8009,900 Mexico
700700750550750725 Niger
10,45010,45010,4509,9508,9507,800 Nigeria
4,0004,0004,2503,5004,5003,500 Sudan
700700890820500860 Tanzania, United Republic
5,1705,1705,1945,1005,0624,817 Others
54,08754,23653,39152,07252,57348,797 Subtotal
3,9383,8104,8146,2555,6384,939 United States
58,02558,04658,20558,32758,21153,736 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
328428128328379370 Argentina
206206186156247547 China, Peoples Republic of
500500600000 Ethiopia
2202201458061123 India
5035035536241,103601 Mexico
200200200200200200 Nigeria
547404652313958263 Sudan
800763901948837682 Others
3,3043,2243,3652,6493,7852,786 Subtotal
8439811,6681,4468521,093 United States
4,1474,2055,0334,0954,6373,879 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/07
TY Imports none
3,385 North America 3,002 2,932 3,029 2,700 2,500
0 Central America 0 4 0 0 0
0 Caribbean 0 0 0 0 0
123 South America 104 158 67 65 65
439 European Union 1,139 226 159 325 400
34 Other Europe 24 7 10 10 10
71 Middle East 105 34 38 50 50
1 North Africa 0 0 35 0 0
187 Sub-Saharan Africa 232 412 564 235 335
1,632 East Asia 1,526 1,450 1,468 1,420 1,420
1 South Asia 0 4 0 0 0
5 Southeast Asia 25 7 10 5 5
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
5,878 Total 6,157 5,234 5,380 4,810 4,785
Production none
15,501 North America 17,746 17,413 15,481 13,477 13,200
384 Central America 332 330 307 326 326
125 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128
5,473 South America 5,075 5,777 4,890 5,751 5,851
701 European Union 380 492 477 480 563
5 Other Europe 5 5 5 5 5
553 Middle East 485 485 485 485 485
915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915
16,957 Sub-Saharan Africa 21,315 20,045 23,650 22,736 22,736
3,344 East Asia 2,882 2,348 2,566 2,600 2,600
7,263 South Asia 7,560 7,470 8,020 8,030 8,030
132 Southeast Asia 137 200 200 200 200
1,465 Oceania 2,009 2,177 2,019 2,100 2,100
52,818 Total 58,969 57,785 59,143 57,233 57,139
Domestic Consumption none
14,839 North America 15,438 15,555 13,414 12,710 12,638
365 Central America 335 355 310 325 325
125 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128
4,988 South America 4,509 5,594 4,981 5,326 5,126
677 European Union 1,966 700 550 875 1,025
39 Other Europe 29 12 15 15 15
610 Middle East 590 527 523 535 535
916 North Africa 915 915 950 915 915
17,632 Sub-Saharan Africa 20,550 21,039 23,164 23,191 23,191
4,484 East Asia 4,603 3,886 3,985 4,025 4,025
7,354 South Asia 7,580 7,431 7,930 7,930 7,930
104 Southeast Asia 143 183 185 180 180
1,405 Oceania 1,405 1,905 1,855 2,005 2,005
53,538 Total 58,191 58,230 57,990 58,160 58,038
Ending Stocks none
1,694 North America 1,955 2,070 2,221 1,484 1,346
46 Central America 42 16 17 18 18
0 Caribbean 0 0 0 0 0
447 South America 558 535 304 544 444
68 European Union 32 43 63 34 71
0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0
43 Middle East 43 36 36 36 36
40 North Africa 40 39 39 39 39
530 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,375 773 1,668 1,325 1,468
826 East Asia 463 347 370 340 340
123 South Asia 61 80 145 220 220
8 Southeast Asia 5 26 26 26 26
54 Oceania 63 130 144 139 139
3,879 Total 4,637 4,095 5,033 4,205 4,147
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/07
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data are reported using marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Oats Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
TY Exports
551201 Argentina
125125191137210145 Australia
1,7001,7001,7541,3749841,058 Canada
252527294412 Chile
250250229354443794 EU-25
555551 Kazakhstan, Republic of
00521129 Others
2,1102,1102,2121,9221,6982,020 Subtotal
303039313839 United States
2,1402,1402,2511,9531,7362,059 World Total
none
TY Imports
554217 Algeria
555655 Bosnia and Herzegovina
202021161949 Canada
2020181397 China, Peoples Republic of
252526262328 Colombia
1010861111 EU-25
707059676783 Japan
505075519182 Mexico
551101 Morocco
202048221 Norway
252525423119 South Africa, Republic of
505048263834 Switzerland
0057275 Others
305305343265324332 Subtotal
35357759110-50 Unaccounted
1,8001,8001,8311,6291,3021,777 United States
2,1402,1402,2511,9531,7362,059 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
Production
400400350508348500 Argentina
1,0001,0001,4161,3212,018957 Australia
550550600770500575 Belarus
475475517433413390 Brazil
3,6003,6003,4323,6833,6912,911 Canada
380380420425425420 Chile
600600600600600600 China, Peoples Republic of
7,6227,4687,4098,7538,6239,280 EU-25
140140140140100100 Kazakhstan, Republic of
349349349359333279 Norway
350350350350350350 Romania
4,9005,0004,5504,9505,2005,700 Russian Federation
120120120120110125 Serbia and Montenegro
290290290290285290 Turkey
9009008001,000925943 Ukraine
557557559547555495 Others
22,23322,17921,90224,24924,47623,915 Subtotal
1,3611,3611,6671,6792,0961,684 United States
23,59423,54023,56925,92826,57225,599 World Total
none
Total Consumption
400400350500359525 Argentina
1,0751,0751,2001,1751,705800 Australia
550550650700500600 Belarus
475475515425410382 Brazil
2,0502,0502,1152,1942,1871,870 Canada
350350400400380430 Chile
620620620610610600 China, Peoples Republic of
7,3507,2007,3508,3308,2768,287 EU-25
13513513513595100 Kazakhstan, Republic of
130130155126182133 Mexico
370370400360340280 Norway
350350350350350350 Romania
4,9004,9004,6004,9005,6006,300 Russian Federation
290290290290288290 Turkey
9009008001,000950950 Ukraine
780780773760747743 Others
20,74920,59920,72822,33223,20422,692 Subtotal
3,1893,1893,2873,2973,3893,480 United States
23,93823,78824,01525,62926,59326,172 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
777782837777 Argentina
115115315299290187 Australia
742742872974788524 Canada
107107107109106107 China, Peoples Republic of
7787557469128341,010 EU-25
303031343338 Norway
190290190240184575 Russian Federation
130130123183123156 Others
2,1692,2462,4662,8342,4352,674 Subtotal
716716763841941723 United States
2,8852,9623,2293,6753,3763,397 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/07
TY Imports none
1,908 North America 1,412 1,696 1,927 1,870 1,870
30 South America 34 26 31 25 25
11 European Union 11 6 8 10 10
41 Other Europe 47 34 101 75 75
2 Former Soviet Union - 12 9 7 0 0 0
0 Middle East 5 0 0 0 0
8 North Africa 1 3 5 10 10
19 Sub-Saharan Africa 31 42 25 25 25
90 East Asia 76 80 77 90 90
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
2,109 Total 1,626 1,894 2,174 2,105 2,105
Production none
4,660 North America 5,882 5,437 5,179 5,041 5,041
1,331 South America 1,221 1,397 1,317 1,285 1,285
9,280 European Union 8,623 8,753 7,409 7,468 7,622
963 Other Europe 981 1,028 1,026 1,026 1,026
7,331 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,735 6,870 6,100 6,598 6,498
290 Middle East 285 290 290 290 290
65 North Africa 105 110 110 110 110
45 Sub-Saharan Africa 45 45 45 45 45
602 East Asia 602 602 602 602 602
1,032 Oceania 2,093 1,396 1,491 1,075 1,075
25,599 Total 26,572 25,928 23,569 23,540 23,594
Domestic Consumption none
5,483 North America 5,758 5,617 5,557 5,369 5,369
1,390 South America 1,207 1,382 1,326 1,280 1,280
8,287 European Union 8,276 8,330 7,350 7,200 7,350
1,015 Other Europe 1,042 1,064 1,129 1,102 1,102
7,963 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,155 6,745 6,195 6,493 6,493
290 Middle East 288 290 290 290 290
73 North Africa 106 110 115 120 120
59 Sub-Saharan Africa 79 87 70 70 70
685 East Asia 677 677 683 690 690
875 Oceania 1,780 1,250 1,275 1,150 1,150
26,120 Total 26,368 25,552 23,990 23,764 23,914
Ending Stocks none
1,250 North America 1,732 1,818 1,638 1,461 1,461
98 South America 104 118 114 114 114
1,010 European Union 834 912 746 755 778
63 Other Europe 52 50 47 46 46
665 Former Soviet Union - 12 242 351 246 346 246
0 Middle East 0 0 0 0 0
1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1
15 Sub-Saharan Africa 12 12 12 12 12
108 East Asia 109 114 110 112 112
187 Oceania 290 299 315 115 115
3,397 Total 3,376 3,675 3,229 2,962 2,885
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data are reported using marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Rye Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
TY Exports
5050505050150 Belarus
15015014112318644 Canada
300300381676452624 EU-25
004912242687 Others
5005006219717301,505 Subtotal
551222 United States
5055056229737321,507 World Total
none
TY Imports
101021422501 EU-25
25251021112389 Israel
175175279261341414 Japan
10107811431 Korea, Republic of
55413168 Norway
1001005617760 Russian Federation
559272 Switzerland
552611643 Turkey
50500032222 Ukraine
0016121190 Others
3853854776595881,400 Subtotal
20201414043-2 Unaccounted
100100131174101109 United States
5055056229737321,507 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/07Jan
none
Production
555555893780 Argentina
1,1001,1001,1501,4001,2001,600 Belarus
300300359420327134 Canada
6,5936,6727,6459,9666,9079,190 EU-25
3,0002,8003,6002,8504,2007,150 Russian Federation
240240240240240255 Turkey
6006001,0501,6006251,511 Ukraine
215215227223221225 Others
12,10311,98214,32616,78813,75720,145 Subtotal
183183191210219165 United States
12,28612,16514,51716,99813,97620,310 World Total
none
Total Consumption
555555893780 Argentina
1,1001,1001,1001,3251,2001,300 Belarus
215215187211138106 Canada
7,3007,4008,60010,0758,7009,310 EU-25
175175279261340415 Japan
505050504559 Kazakhstan, Republic of
505050505050 Romania
3,1502,9503,6003,3005,5006,150 Russian Federation
245245247299283269 Turkey
8508501,0501,3009001,300 Ukraine
160160268270298305 Others
13,34113,24115,47317,29717,69419,404 Subtotal
307307332344297321 United States
13,64813,54815,80517,64117,99119,725 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
114114164164139199 Belarus
1051051701304325 Canada
8548641,8513,1563,8346,177 EU-25
202020202019 Japan
7676126773551,805 Russian Federation
6767267336140325 Ukraine
000111 Others
1,2361,2462,5983,8844,5328,551 Subtotal
181818201511 United States
1,2541,2642,6163,9044,5478,562 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/07
TY Imports none
111 North America 101 174 131 100 100
52 South America 0 0 0 0 0
501 European Union 22 14 2 10 10
14 Other Europe 24 17 14 10 10
242 Former Soviet Union - 12 48 187 71 150 150
132 Middle East 39 172 104 30 30
0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0 0
445 East Asia 455 269 286 185 185
12 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
1,509 Total 689 833 608 485 485
Production none
299 North America 546 630 550 483 483
85 South America 42 94 64 61 61
9,190 European Union 6,907 9,966 7,645 6,672 6,593
147 Other Europe 143 145 145 136 136
10,311 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,075 5,900 5,850 4,550 4,750
255 Middle East 240 240 240 240 240
3 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3 3
0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0
20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20
20,310 Total 13,976 16,998 14,517 12,165 12,286
Domestic Consumption none
427 North America 435 555 519 522 522
111 South America 42 94 64 61 61
9,310 European Union 8,700 10,075 8,600 7,400 7,300
160 Other Europe 173 163 162 146 146
8,819 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,655 5,985 5,815 4,950 5,150
358 Middle East 306 410 349 270 270
3 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3 3
446 East Asia 454 269 286 185 185
31 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20
19,665 Total 17,788 17,574 15,818 13,557 13,657
Ending Stocks none
36 North America 58 150 188 123 123
0 South America 0 0 0 0 0
6,177 European Union 3,834 3,156 1,851 864 854
1 Other Europe 1 1 0 0 0
2,329 Former Soviet Union - 12 634 577 557 257 257
0 Middle East 0 0 0 0 0
0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0 0
19 East Asia 20 20 20 20 20
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
8,562 Total 4,547 3,904 2,616 1,264 1,254
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data are reported using marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES DG F/SA &F
CONTENTS
European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 41 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 42 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 43 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand........................................ 44 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 51 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters................................... 53 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 55 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters............................ 56
U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution ........................................................... 57 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 59 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 60 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 62 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 64
Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2007
40 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
European Union: Grain Supply and Demand
Area Harvested
Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti
Domestic Consumpti
Ending Stocks
Wheat
114.7 106.551.219.45.15.222.0 1999/00 15.0
124.2 111.154.216.84.75.323.5 2000/01 16.0
113.6 110.153.414.210.75.122.3 2001/02 15.9
124.8 118.158.419.913.95.423.1 2002/03 16.6
106.9 107.950.810.95.94.822.0 2003/04 10.6
136.8 115.256.714.47.45.923.2 2004/05 25.2
122.7 119.560.515.07.65.422.5 2005/06 21.0
117.9 116.657.615.56.85.322.1 2006/07 13.6
Coarse Grains
133.5 126.795.015.24.84.629.1 1999/00 21.1
132.7 131.099.510.75.44.629.0 2000/01 17.6
140.3 134.4101.28.05.94.729.5 2001/02 21.4
137.9 135.4102.18.66.44.828.8 2002/03 21.6
122.2 134.6101.14.47.84.328.6 2003/04 12.6
150.2 138.8106.54.03.75.129.2 2004/05 23.7
131.8 132.4100.33.83.54.728.3 2005/06 22.7
126.4 134.5102.13.74.84.528.0 2006/07 15.7
Wheat and Coarse Grains
248.3 233.2146.234.59.94.951.1 1999/00 36.1
256.9 242.1153.727.510.24.952.5 2000/01 33.6
253.8 244.5154.622.216.64.951.8 2001/02 37.3
262.7 253.5160.528.620.35.151.9 2002/03 38.3
229.1 242.5151.915.313.74.550.7 2003/04 23.2
287.0 254.0163.218.411.15.552.4 2004/05 48.9
254.4 251.9160.818.911.15.050.8 2005/06 43.6
244.3 251.1159.719.211.64.950.1 2006/07 29.3
Notes: Trade year statistics are on a July/June year for wheat and an Oct/Sept year for coarse grains. Data for years 1994-1999 represents EU-15 countries prior to its expansion in 1999.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
China: Grain Supply and Demand
Area Harvested
Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti
Domestic Consumpti
Ending Stocks
Wheat
102.2 106.53.20.512.53.528.9 1995/96 76.5
110.6 107.63.41.02.73.729.6 1996/97 81.2
123.3 109.14.91.21.94.130.1 1997/98 96.2
109.7 108.35.00.50.83.729.8 1998/99 97.9
113.9 109.36.50.51.03.928.9 1999/00 102.9
99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.7 2000/01 91.9
93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6
90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4
86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3
92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8
97.5 101.03.51.41.04.322.8 2005/06 34.9
103.5 101.04.02.50.74.423.4 2006/07 35.6
Coarse Grains
124.5 115.478.40.23.04.627.3 1995/96 101.1
141.3 121.082.64.02.14.929.1 1996/97 119.5
114.7 121.687.26.21.64.128.1 1997/98 108.0
143.5 127.391.43.42.64.929.1 1998/99 123.4
137.2 128.892.710.02.34.629.6 1999/00 124.2
114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.5 2000/01 102.8
122.2 132.996.28.62.04.427.5 2001/02 85.6
130.7 136.498.415.31.84.728.0 2002/03 66.4
124.0 138.799.17.71.54.627.1 2003/04 45.5
138.3 141.2100.27.62.14.928.2 2004/05 37.0
147.7 147.5103.13.82.35.129.1 2005/06 35.8
151.4 151.4105.04.02.15.129.9 2006/07 34.0
Wheat and Coarse Grains
226.7 221.981.60.715.54.056.2 1995/96 177.6
251.9 228.686.05.04.84.358.7 1996/97 200.7
238.0 230.692.17.43.54.158.1 1997/98 204.2
253.2 235.696.43.93.44.358.8 1998/99 221.3
251.1 238.199.210.53.44.358.4 1999/00 227.1
213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.1 2000/01 194.7
216.1 241.6105.210.13.14.152.1 2001/02 162.1
221.0 241.6104.917.12.24.351.9 2002/03 126.7
210.4 243.2105.110.55.34.349.1 2003/04 88.8
230.2 243.2104.28.88.84.649.8 2004/05 75.8
245.1 248.5106.65.23.34.751.9 2005/06 70.7
254.9 252.4109.06.52.84.853.3 2006/07 69.6
Notes: Trade year statisics are on July/June Year for wheat and an Oct/Sep year for coarse grains.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand
Area Harvested
Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti
Domestic Consumpti
Ending Stocks
Wheat
16.6 14.23.32.81.23.35.1 1995/96 3.7
8.9 12.63.00.62.22.33.9 1996/97 1.7
16.0 14.43.21.11.53.25.0 1997/98 3.6
14.5 14.33.11.11.23.14.6 1998/99 3.9
11.9 13.33.21.61.83.13.9 1999/00 2.6
12.1 12.82.80.91.92.84.4 2000/01 2.9
14.7 13.63.32.02.02.95.1 2001/02 4.0
12.6 13.43.21.92.02.74.7 2002/03 3.3
7.6 12.92.50.14.22.23.5 2003/04 2.1
15.5 14.13.51.41.83.84.1 2004/05 3.9
13.2 13.53.12.01.63.14.3 2005/06 3.3
12.2 12.82.62.01.53.13.9 2006/07 2.1
Coarse Grains
25.8 25.221.20.90.73.47.6 1995/96 1.8
23.4 23.519.51.00.93.07.7 1996/97 1.5
29.4 27.022.91.20.73.97.5 1997/98 3.5
22.8 23.819.81.00.63.17.3 1998/99 2.1
26.5 25.821.80.90.83.67.3 1999/00 2.7
15.2 17.513.50.31.42.36.6 2000/01 1.4
21.1 20.516.61.01.13.16.8 2001/02 2.2
22.1 21.017.21.71.33.46.6 2002/03 3.0
18.7 21.317.90.31.52.86.6 2003/04 1.7
29.1 25.019.82.30.64.27.0 2004/05 4.1
26.8 24.919.32.50.73.96.9 2005/06 4.2
24.0 24.118.62.50.73.86.3 2006/07 2.2
Wheat and Coarse Grains
42.4 39.424.43.81.83.312.7 1995/96 5.6
32.3 36.122.51.63.02.811.6 1996/97 3.2
45.4 41.426.12.32.23.612.4 1997/98 7.1
37.3 38.223.02.11.83.112.0 1998/99 6.0
38.4 39.125.02.52.53.511.1 1999/00 5.3
27.3 30.316.31.33.32.511.0 2000/01 4.3
35.8 34.019.93.03.13.011.8 2001/02 6.1
34.8 34.320.53.53.33.111.3 2002/03 6.3
26.3 34.120.40.45.82.610.1 2003/04 3.8
44.6 39.123.33.72.54.011.1 2004/05 8.1
40.0 38.422.44.52.33.611.2 2005/06 7.5
36.2 36.921.24.62.23.510.2 2006/07 4.4
Notes: Trade year statisics are on July/June Year for wheat and an Oct/Sep year for coarse grains.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)
Area Harvested
Ending Stocks
Total Consumpti
Feed Consumpti
MY Exports
MY Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Former Soviet Union - 12
Kazakhstan, Republic of
2.2 1.91.80.50.01.31.8 2002/03 0.9
2.1 2.01.90.70.01.21.8 2003/04 0.4
1.5 1.61.50.10.00.91.7 2004/05 0.2
1.5 1.41.30.10.00.91.6 2005/06 0.2
1.5 1.41.30.30.00.91.6 2006/07 0.0
Russian Federation
18.7 15.510.73.10.31.810.3 2002/03 4.7
18.0 18.613.72.30.41.710.5 2003/04 2.2
17.2 16.511.71.10.31.710.0 2004/05 2.1
15.8 15.510.91.70.31.79.2 2005/06 0.9
18.1 15.711.12.50.31.810.1 2006/07 1.1
Ukraine
10.4 7.45.52.90.02.54.2 2002/03 1.4
6.9 6.24.71.50.01.54.6 2003/04 0.6
11.1 6.44.74.30.02.54.5 2004/05 1.0
9.0 4.93.24.00.12.14.4 2005/06 1.2
11.8 6.95.24.30.02.35.2 2006/07 1.8
Uzbekistan, Republic of
0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.1 2002/03 0.0
0.2 0.20.10.00.01.40.1 2003/04 0.0
0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.1 2004/05 0.0
0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.1 2005/06 0.0
0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.1 2006/07 0.0
Other Former Soviet Union - 12
2.6 2.61.90.00.02.41.1 2002/03 0.3
2.5 2.61.80.00.22.01.2 2003/04 0.5
3.2 2.92.20.00.12.61.2 2004/05 0.8
2.9 3.12.30.00.12.51.2 2005/06 0.7
2.5 2.72.00.00.12.21.1 2006/07 0.6
Total Former Soviet Union - 12
34.1 27.620.06.50.32.017.3 2002/03 7.4
29.6 29.522.24.50.71.618.3 2003/04 3.7
33.2 27.620.25.50.31.917.5 2004/05 4.2
29.4 25.117.85.80.51.816.3 2005/06 3.1
34.1 26.919.77.10.31.918.1 2006/07 3.6
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley) (Continued)
Area Harvested
Ending Stocks
Total Consumpti
Feed Consumpti
MY Exports
MY Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)
Area Harvested
Ending Stocks
Total Consumpti
Feed Consumpti
MY Exports
MY Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Former Soviet Union - 12
Kazakhstan, Republic of
0.4 0.40.30.00.03.20.1 2002/03 0.0
0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2003/04 0.0
0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2004/05 0.0
0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2005/06 0.0
0.3 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2006/07 0.0
Russian Federation
1.6 1.61.20.00.12.80.6 2002/03 0.1
2.1 2.62.20.00.53.00.7 2003/04 0.2
3.5 3.63.00.00.23.90.9 2004/05 0.2
3.2 3.63.00.10.33.80.9 2005/06 0.1
3.6 3.73.20.10.33.61.0 2006/07 0.2
Ukraine
4.2 3.52.80.80.03.51.2 2002/03 0.8
6.9 5.64.91.20.03.42.0 2003/04 0.8
8.8 6.05.32.30.03.82.3 2004/05 1.3
7.2 5.14.42.50.04.31.7 2005/06 0.9
6.5 5.34.51.00.03.81.7 2006/07 1.2
Uzbekistan, Republic of
0.2 0.10.10.00.04.30.0 2002/03 0.0
0.1 0.20.10.00.04.10.0 2003/04 0.0
0.2 0.20.10.00.04.40.0 2004/05 0.0
0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2005/06 0.0
0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2006/07 0.0
Other Former Soviet Union - 12
2.2 2.32.00.00.12.80.8 2002/03 0.5
2.1 2.42.10.10.12.90.7 2003/04 0.3
2.6 2.72.40.00.33.10.9 2004/05 0.6
2.3 2.62.40.00.33.10.8 2005/06 0.5
2.3 2.52.20.00.23.10.7 2006/07 0.5
Total Former Soviet Union - 12
8.5 7.96.40.90.23.22.7 2002/03 1.5
11.5 11.09.51.30.63.23.6 2003/04 1.4
15.4 12.711.02.40.53.74.2 2004/05 2.2
13.1 11.810.12.50.63.93.4 2005/06 1.6
12.8 11.910.31.10.53.63.6 2006/07 1.9
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn) (Continued)
Area Harvested
Ending Stocks
Total Consumpti
Feed Consumpti
MY Exports
MY Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)
Area Harvested
Ending Stocks
Total Consumpti
Feed Consumpti
MY Exports
MY Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Former Soviet Union - 12
Kazakhstan, Republic of
12.6 6.82.76.20.01.111.5 2002/03 3.7
11.0 6.82.74.10.01.011.3 2003/04 3.8
10.0 7.42.72.70.00.811.8 2004/05 3.6
11.0 7.42.73.00.00.911.8 2005/06 4.3
11.5 7.62.75.00.00.912.2 2006/07 3.2
Russian Federation
50.6 39.316.012.61.02.025.7 2002/03 6.1
34.1 35.512.53.11.01.522.2 2003/04 2.6
45.4 37.413.68.01.21.924.2 2004/05 3.9
47.7 38.414.910.71.31.925.4 2005/06 3.8
44.9 37.314.19.51.21.923.7 2006/07 3.1
Ukraine
20.6 14.54.06.60.83.06.8 2002/03 3.3
3.6 9.00.40.13.41.52.5 2003/04 1.1
17.5 11.72.14.40.03.05.9 2004/05 2.6
18.7 12.52.96.50.12.86.6 2005/06 2.4
14.3 11.52.12.80.12.65.4 2006/07 2.5
Uzbekistan, Republic of
5.0 4.90.80.00.34.21.2 2002/03 0.9
5.4 5.20.80.50.23.71.5 2003/04 0.9
5.5 5.40.80.10.23.91.4 2004/05 1.1
6.1 5.60.80.10.24.21.5 2005/06 1.7
5.8 6.00.80.10.24.51.3 2006/07 1.6
Other Former Soviet Union - 12
8.2 9.81.30.32.52.63.2 2002/03 2.5
6.8 9.41.20.12.62.32.9 2003/04 2.5
8.5 11.01.60.13.12.63.2 2004/05 3.0
8.7 11.31.70.13.12.63.3 2005/06 3.4
7.6 10.81.30.12.52.53.0 2006/07 2.7
Total Former Soviet Union - 12
96.9 75.424.825.74.62.048.4 2002/03 16.5
60.9 65.917.67.87.31.540.3 2003/04 11.0
86.8 72.920.815.24.51.946.5 2004/05 14.2
92.2 75.223.020.34.71.948.5 2005/06 15.6
84.1 73.221.017.54.01.845.6 2006/07 13.1
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat) (Continued)
Area Harvested
Ending Stocks
Total Consumpti
Feed Consumpti
MY Exports
MY Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand
Area Harvested
Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti
Domestic Consumpti
Ending Stocks
Wheat
63.1 64.016.25.05.21.543.1 2000/01 5.1
91.3 70.221.113.93.82.045.7 2001/02 16.0
96.9 75.424.825.74.62.048.4 2002/03 16.5
60.9 65.917.67.87.31.540.3 2003/04 11.0
86.8 72.920.815.24.51.946.5 2004/05 14.2
92.2 75.223.020.34.71.948.5 2005/06 15.6
84.1 73.221.017.54.01.845.6 2006/07 13.1
Coarse Grains
49.1 45.328.82.51.11.631.0 2000/01 6.0
61.8 50.833.36.61.01.932.6 2001/02 11.5
60.7 52.835.08.10.71.931.4 2002/03 12.0
55.4 56.739.46.11.51.831.2 2003/04 6.0
62.9 54.638.18.11.12.031.1 2004/05 7.3
55.1 49.533.58.51.21.928.3 2005/06 5.6
58.9 51.235.58.31.02.029.9 2006/07 6.0
Notes: Trade year statistics are on a July/June year for wheat and an Oct/Sept year for coarse grains.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area Harvested
Ending Stocks
Total Consumpti
Feed Consumpti
MY Exports
MY Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Wheat Competitors
Argentina
13.3 4.90.08.60.02.55.4 1998/99 0.7
16.4 4.90.111.60.02.76.2 1999/00 0.6
16.2 5.00.111.30.02.56.4 2000/01 0.6
15.5 4.90.110.10.02.36.8 2001/02 1.1
12.3 5.20.16.80.02.15.9 2002/03 1.5
14.5 5.20.19.40.02.55.7 2003/04 1.4
16.0 5.00.111.80.02.66.1 2004/05 0.6
13.8 5.00.18.80.02.75.2 2005/06 0.6
14.2 4.90.19.50.02.75.2 2006/07 0.4
Australia
21.5 4.51.816.50.11.911.5 1998/99 2.8
24.8 5.22.517.80.12.012.2 1999/00 4.6
22.1 5.32.615.90.11.812.1 2000/01 5.5
24.3 5.42.716.40.12.111.6 2001/02 8.0
10.1 6.23.59.10.30.911.1 2002/03 3.1
26.1 6.03.218.00.12.013.1 2003/04 5.4
22.6 6.23.514.70.11.613.8 2004/05 7.1
24.5 6.43.716.00.11.912.6 2005/06 9.3
10.5 6.94.210.50.10.911.3 2006/07 2.4
Canada
24.1 8.14.314.70.22.310.7 1998/99 7.4
26.9 8.14.119.20.22.610.4 1999/00 7.3
26.5 7.03.017.30.22.411.0 2000/01 9.7
20.6 7.63.716.30.31.910.6 2001/02 6.7
16.2 8.24.19.40.41.88.8 2002/03 5.7
23.6 7.63.415.80.22.310.5 2003/04 6.1
25.9 9.35.115.00.22.69.9 2004/05 7.9
26.8 9.15.016.10.32.79.8 2005/06 9.7
27.3 9.24.820.50.32.610.6 2006/07 7.6
Total Wheat Competitors
58.8 17.56.139.70.22.127.6 1998/99 11.0
68.1 18.26.648.60.32.428.7 1999/00 12.5
64.9 17.45.744.50.32.229.5 2000/01 15.8
60.4 17.96.542.80.42.129.0 2001/02 15.9
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)
Area Harvested
Ending Stocks
Total Consumpti
Feed Consumpti
MY Exports
MY Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
38.6 19.57.625.30.71.525.8 2002/03 10.4
64.2 18.86.743.20.32.229.2 2003/04 12.8
64.5 20.58.741.50.32.229.7 2004/05 15.6
65.1 20.58.840.90.42.427.6 2005/06 19.6
52.0 21.09.140.50.31.927.1 2006/07 10.4
India
66.4 63.70.40.02.22.526.7 1998/99 9.9
70.8 68.80.40.21.42.627.4 1999/00 13.1
76.4 66.80.51.60.42.827.5 2000/01 21.5
69.7 65.10.53.10.02.725.7 2001/02 23.0
71.8 74.30.64.90.02.825.9 2002/03 15.7
65.1 68.30.65.70.02.624.9 2003/04 6.9
72.2 72.80.52.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1
68.6 70.00.30.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0
68.0 72.70.30.36.02.725.0 2006/07 3.0
Turkey
18.0 16.91.02.61.92.18.6 1998/99 2.6
16.5 16.81.02.21.51.98.7 1999/00 1.6
18.0 16.71.01.60.52.18.7 2000/01 1.7
15.5 16.51.10.81.01.88.5 2001/02 1.0
16.8 16.81.00.81.22.08.6 2002/03 1.5
16.8 16.81.00.81.12.08.6 2003/04 1.7
18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8
18.0 16.10.43.20.12.18.6 2005/06 0.6
18.0 16.80.82.00.72.18.6 2006/07 0.5
Notes: Wheat trade statistics are on July/June year.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area Harvested
Ending Stocks
Total Consumpti
Feed Consumpti
MY Exports
MY Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Argentina
13.5 6.54.97.90.05.22.6 1998/99 0.7
17.2 5.54.011.90.05.53.1 1999/00 0.5
15.4 5.63.99.70.05.52.8 2000/01 0.6
14.7 4.22.710.90.06.02.5 2001/02 0.3
15.5 4.12.511.20.06.32.5 2002/03 0.5
15.0 4.42.810.90.06.52.3 2003/04 0.2
20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.0
15.8 6.24.49.50.06.52.4 2005/06 1.1
19.0 7.05.112.00.07.02.7 2006/07 1.1
China, Peoples Republic of
133.0 113.986.53.30.35.325.2 1998/99 122.9
128.1 117.389.59.90.14.925.9 1999/00 123.8
106.0 120.292.07.30.14.623.1 2000/01 102.4
114.1 123.194.08.60.04.724.3 2001/02 84.8
121.3 125.996.015.20.04.924.6 2002/03 65.0
115.8 128.497.07.60.04.824.1 2003/04 44.9
130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6
139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3
143.0 141.0103.04.00.15.327.0 2006/07 33.4
South Africa, Republic of
7.9 7.93.70.50.62.23.6 1998/99 0.9
11.5 8.94.11.40.03.03.8 1999/00 2.0
8.0 8.74.11.30.42.53.2 2000/01 0.5
10.1 8.43.91.10.92.83.5 2001/02 1.9
9.7 8.54.01.10.42.73.7 2002/03 2.4
9.7 8.74.10.70.22.93.3 2003/04 3.0
11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2
6.9 8.94.40.81.03.42.0 2005/06 1.5
10.0 9.04.50.80.53.13.2 2006/07 2.2
Brazil
32.4 33.228.20.01.22.712.1 1998/99 2.1
31.6 33.528.50.21.62.512.6 1999/00 1.7
41.5 34.529.56.30.23.213.0 2000/01 2.7
35.5 35.029.52.10.43.011.8 2001/02 1.5
44.5 35.830.04.60.73.413.0 2002/03 6.3
42.0 36.330.54.40.43.412.4 2003/04 7.9
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)
Area Harvested
Ending Stocks
Total Consumpti
Feed Consumpti
MY Exports
MY Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2
41.7 39.032.54.01.03.212.9 2005/06 3.9
42.0 40.033.54.00.83.312.7 2006/07 2.6
Total Corn Competitors
186.8 161.5123.211.82.04.343.5 1998/99 126.6
188.4 165.2126.123.51.74.145.4 1999/00 128.0
171.0 169.0129.524.50.84.142.1 2000/01 106.2
174.3 170.7130.122.61.34.142.1 2001/02 88.6
191.0 174.3132.532.21.24.443.7 2002/03 74.2
182.5 177.8134.423.70.64.342.1 2003/04 55.9
197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 44.9
203.8 191.1142.318.02.14.743.7 2005/06 41.7
214.0 197.0146.120.81.44.745.6 2006/07 39.3
Notes: Corn Trade Statistics are on an Oct/Sept year.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area Harvested
Ending Stocks
Total Consumpti
Feed Consumpti
MY Exports
MY Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Australia
6.0 2.11.34.20.01.93.2 1998/99 0.5
5.0 2.61.72.60.01.92.6 1999/00 0.4
6.7 2.21.34.00.02.03.5 2000/01 1.0
8.3 2.81.84.70.02.23.7 2001/02 1.8
3.9 2.71.82.00.01.03.9 2002/03 0.9
10.4 3.12.26.40.02.34.5 2003/04 1.9
7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9
9.9 3.72.75.30.02.14.7 2005/06 2.8
4.2 3.72.82.30.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0
Canada
12.7 11.310.11.10.03.04.3 1998/99 2.7
13.2 11.49.91.70.03.24.1 1999/00 2.8
13.2 11.610.12.00.02.94.6 2000/01 2.5
10.8 10.38.91.10.12.64.2 2001/02 2.0
7.5 7.96.50.40.22.23.3 2002/03 1.5
12.3 9.98.51.80.02.84.4 2003/04 2.1
13.2 10.89.31.20.13.34.1 2004/05 3.4
12.5 10.48.92.30.03.23.9 2005/06 3.3
10.0 10.28.71.50.12.93.4 2006/07 1.6
EU-25
57.5 51.637.310.41.14.113.9 1999/00 11.6
58.8 54.940.47.71.14.313.6 2000/01 9.0
57.0 53.939.03.81.64.213.5 2001/02 9.9
56.5 54.438.75.01.54.213.3 2002/03 8.5
54.8 56.941.02.80.64.113.4 2003/04 4.3
61.7 52.937.52.90.54.713.1 2004/05 10.7
52.8 52.537.23.10.24.113.0 2005/06 8.1
54.8 54.839.53.00.44.213.1 2006/07 5.4
Notes: Barley trade statistics are on October/September year.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area Harvested
Ending Stocks
Total Consumpti
Feed Consumpti
MY Exports
MY Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Argentina
3.2 2.62.50.60.04.40.7 1998/99 0.7
3.4 2.52.40.90.04.60.7 1999/00 0.7
2.7 2.52.40.40.04.80.6 2000/01 0.4
2.8 2.32.20.40.05.10.5 2001/02 0.5
2.8 2.32.10.60.05.10.6 2002/03 0.4
2.2 2.01.90.20.04.60.5 2003/04 0.4
2.9 2.62.40.40.05.00.6 2004/05 0.3
2.2 2.22.00.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.1
3.1 2.32.10.60.05.00.6 2006/07 0.3
Australia
1.9 1.41.40.50.03.20.6 1998/99 0.1
2.1 1.31.30.90.03.40.6 1999/00 0.1
1.9 1.31.30.60.02.60.8 2000/01 0.1
2.0 1.71.70.40.02.50.8 2001/02 0.1
1.5 1.41.40.10.02.20.7 2002/03 0.1
2.0 1.41.40.60.02.70.7 2003/04 0.1
2.2 1.91.90.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1
2.0 1.91.90.20.02.30.9 2005/06 0.1
2.1 2.02.00.10.02.60.8 2006/07 0.1
Notes: Sorghum trade statistics are on October/September year.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares
U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice
Area Harvested
Yield Rough Production
Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumption
Domestic Consumption
Ending Stocks
Wheat
21,15032,4344,95326,27026,1902,9532,92753,001nr319,616 2001/02
13,37430,4483,15022,83423,1391,9582,10643,705nr218,544 2002/03
14,87232,5075,52132,29531,5241,7601,71563,814nr321,474 2003/04
14,69931,8234,95528,46429,0091,9461,92158,738nr320,234 2004/05
15,54531,1914,16827,42427,4672,3092,22457,280nr320,283 2005/06
12,85231,3253,94624,50023,8143,1003,13049,316nr318,943 2006/07
Corn
40,551200,941148,95847,27148,383254258241,377nr927,830 2001/02
27,603200,748141,30340,92440,334374367227,767nr828,057 2002/03
24,337211,644147,19748,80948,258356358256,278nr928,710 2003/04
53,697224,648156,42845,34746,181281275299,914nr1029,798 2004/05
49,968231,722155,99056,18154,545214227282,311nr930,399 2005/06
19,102241,565151,77256,50057,153250254267,598nr928,590 2006/07
Sorghum
1,5496,4275,8426,1356,1420013,057nr43,472 2001/02
1,0934,9394,3284,8774,681119,163nr32,883 2002/03
8525,6384,6244,8455,0490010,446nr33,156 2003/04
1,4466,2554,8604,5414,6751111,523nr42,637 2004/05
1,6684,8143,5454,9704,945009,981nr42,321 2005/06
8433,9382,7944,2003,937007,050nr41,998 2006/07
Barley
2,0065,6612,2725175755385215,407nr31,729 2001/02
1,5105,1791,8195526592824024,940nr31,669 2002/03
2,6194,9901,6173844094974496,059nr31,913 2003/04
2,7965,6722,2387715061572646,091nr41,627 2004/05
2,3504,5711,1313576051241174,613nr31,323 2005/06
1,5894,4641,0895005443003273,920nr31,194 2006/07
Oats
9173,4592,41337411,4971,6541,707nr2773 2001/02
7233,4802,43539381,7771,6401,684nr2833 2002/03
9413,3892,33038361,3021,5472,096nr2898 2003/04
8413,2972,22331391,6291,5571,679nr2723 2004/05
7633,2872,21339301,8311,5721,667nr2738 2005/06
7163,1892,10030291,8001,8101,361nr2638 2006/07
Rye
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Area Harvested
Yield Rough Production
Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumption
Domestic Consumption
Ending Stocks
143127545164126175nr2101 2001/02
113218523109156165nr2106 2002/03
15297622110183219nr2129 2003/04
2034410724174143210nr2121 2004/05
183329610131139191nr2113 2005/06
183077153100127183nr2111 2006/07
Rice, Milled
1,2163,850nr3,2952,9544204196,7149,76471,341 2001/02
8293,534nr3,8343,8604584716,5369,57071,298 2002/03
7613,656nr3,0903,3104774786,4209,06871,213 2003/04
1,2113,935nr3,8623,4964194197,46210,54081,346 2004/05
1,3703,809nr3,5003,6896005447,11310,12571,361 2005/06
9493,905nr3,4003,2396255726,1518,78781,142 2006/07
Notes: Wheat trade year statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats trade year statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice trade year statistics are for subsequent calendar year.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand
Area Harvested
Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti
Domestic Consumpti
Ending Stocks
Wheat and Coarse Grains
1,068.9 233.21,076.8511.7158.31.9570.7 1977/78
1,183.1 278.21,138.1556.8161.82.1569.7 1978/79
1,153.1 273.71,157.6573.9182.62.0569.0 1979/80
1,159.3 255.21,179.2562.6200.62.0577.6 1980/81
1,204.0 281.01,178.3573.5196.92.0587.8 1981/82
1,248.0 332.11,197.1593.4189.62.2576.9 1982/83
1,162.5 278.51,216.2588.4193.22.1563.8 1983/84
1,315.0 339.91,253.6609.9203.62.3567.0 1984/85
1,328.5 420.51,247.9613.1165.22.3570.9 1985/86
1,348.0 468.91,299.5644.2174.72.4565.6 1986/87
1,285.0 422.01,329.8655.2202.22.4544.7 1987/88
1,218.0 337.41,302.6618.2203.32.2542.2 1988/89
1,327.7 318.71,346.4643.1208.92.4548.4 1989/90
1,416.7 365.81,369.6666.9190.12.6548.8 1990/91
1,355.4 356.41,364.7649.8207.52.5545.4 1991/92
1,431.0 395.01,389.5662.2205.22.6549.3 1992/93
1,356.2 362.41,388.8654.0188.22.5540.5 1993/94
1,392.4 358.61,396.2666.5200.12.6537.8 1994/95
1,338.8 317.11,380.3636.0187.52.5533.5 1995/96
1,491.6 366.11,442.6669.1198.42.7553.6 1996/97
1,491.2 412.91,444.5680.0190.32.8539.6 1997/98
1,480.9 445.51,448.2678.5198.72.8533.6 1998/99
1,463.4 441.11,467.3685.2217.52.8515.1 1999/00
1,443.8 416.61,468.3692.8208.52.8514.3 2000/01
1,474.8 399.81,491.6707.0213.62.9516.1 2001/02
1,442.7 336.51,506.1707.8214.82.8507.6 2002/03
1,470.5 272.61,534.3711.0207.32.8516.8 2003/04
1,642.9 329.61,585.9747.8215.23.2519.3 2004/05
1,597.3 314.41,612.6745.7222.93.1519.6 2005/06
1,553.1 239.81,627.7743.7217.83.0514.8 2006/07
Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand
Area Harvested
Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti
Domestic Consumpti
Ending Stocks
Wheat
377.8 109.2396.085.571.71.7227.2 1977/78
438.9 134.8413.389.871.31.9228.9 1978/79
417.5 120.5431.994.085.51.8227.8 1979/80
435.9 112.7444.191.293.21.8236.9 1980/81
445.0 112.5445.190.6100.51.9238.9 1981/82
472.7 129.9455.692.897.72.0238.4 1982/83
484.3 145.3468.995.6101.22.1229.9 1983/84
508.9 168.0486.299.9104.72.2231.7 1984/85
494.8 178.3484.597.283.62.2229.8 1985/86
524.1 191.1511.3113.289.72.3227.9 1986/87
497.9 158.6530.3113.6114.12.3219.7 1987/88
495.0 134.0519.6104.0104.32.3217.4 1988/89
533.2 136.2531.0103.7103.92.4225.8 1989/90
588.0 170.5553.7130.1101.32.5231.4 1990/91
542.9 162.0551.5113.8111.42.4222.5 1991/92
561.6 175.7547.6110.9113.22.5222.8 1992/93
558.0 181.4552.4108.0101.72.5222.1 1993/94
523.2 162.1542.499.6101.52.4214.4 1994/95
537.9 155.3544.891.999.22.5218.8 1995/96
582.6 164.5573.496.7104.02.5230.2 1996/97
610.0 197.1577.3101.0104.52.7228.4 1997/98
590.0 208.1579.0103.7102.02.6225.1 1998/99
585.8 208.9585.099.7112.72.7215.4 1999/00
581.5 206.5583.9104.0104.12.7217.6 2000/01
581.1 202.7585.0106.6110.82.7214.7 2001/02
567.6 166.6603.8112.7110.12.6214.6 2002/03
554.6 132.7588.596.7104.52.6209.9 2003/04
628.8 151.4610.1106.6113.12.9218.9 2004/05
619.8 147.4623.8111.2113.72.8218.3 2005/06
590.8 121.8616.4105.3111.62.8211.5 2006/07
Coarse Grains
691.0 124.0680.8426.286.62.0343.5 1977/78
744.1 143.3724.8467.090.52.2340.8 1978/79
735.5 153.2725.6479.997.12.2341.1 1979/80
723.5 142.6735.1471.4107.42.1340.7 1980/81
759.0 168.4733.2482.996.42.2348.9 1981/82
775.3 202.2741.5500.692.02.3338.6 1982/83
678.2 133.1747.3492.792.02.0333.9 1983/84
806.1 171.9767.4510.098.92.4335.3 1984/85
833.7 242.2763.4515.981.62.4341.1 1985/86
823.9 277.9788.2531.085.02.4337.7 1986/87
787.1 263.3799.5541.688.12.4325.0 1987/88
723.0 203.4782.9514.299.02.2324.9 1988/89
794.5 182.5815.4539.4105.02.5322.6 1989/90
828.6 195.2815.9536.888.92.6317.5 1990/91
812.5 194.4813.3536.096.22.5322.8 1991/92
869.3 219.3841.9551.291.92.7326.4 1992/93
798.1 181.1836.4546.086.52.5318.4 1993/94
869.2 196.5853.8567.098.62.7323.5 1994/95
800.9 161.8835.5544.188.22.5314.7 1995/96
909.0 201.7869.2572.494.42.8323.4 1996/97
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Area Harvested
Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti
Domestic Consumpti
Ending Stocks
881.2 215.8867.2578.985.82.8311.2 1997/98
890.9 237.4869.2574.896.72.9308.5 1998/99
877.6 232.2882.4585.5104.82.9299.7 1999/00
862.3 210.1884.4588.9104.42.9296.7 2000/01
893.7 197.1906.6600.4102.73.0301.4 2001/02
875.1 169.9902.3595.0104.63.0293.0 2002/03
915.9 139.9945.8614.3102.73.0306.9 2003/04
1,014.1 178.2975.8641.3102.13.4300.4 2004/05
977.5 166.9988.8634.5109.33.2301.3 2005/06
962.4 118.01,011.4638.4106.23.2303.3 2006/07
Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year. 'Stocks as a Percent of Consumption' represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand
Area Harvested
Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti
Domestic Consumpti
Ending Stocks
Corn
365.4 77.3356.5226.763.62.9125.8 1977/78
392.1 91.4378.0247.067.13.1126.0 1978/79
425.6 111.2405.8277.173.23.3127.3 1979/80
408.7 102.5417.9279.277.83.1131.2 1980/81
441.8 127.2417.1286.166.93.3133.0 1981/82
439.9 149.8417.3293.563.23.5125.2 1982/83
348.3 89.0409.1271.161.12.9119.7 1983/84
458.4 118.2429.2289.566.13.6129.0 1984/85
479.0 177.7419.5284.353.83.7131.0 1985/86
475.4 204.9448.3304.656.93.6131.9 1986/87
451.0 197.5458.3316.558.83.5127.2 1987/88
400.9 145.2453.2306.866.03.2126.3 1988/89
462.0 132.8474.4324.874.53.6127.5 1989/90
482.1 141.2473.6318.358.83.7129.4 1990/91
493.2 140.9493.6334.363.03.7132.7 1991/92
536.1 162.5512.5348.662.64.0133.4 1992/93
476.0 129.3509.2342.057.43.6130.9 1993/94
559.0 152.9535.3371.171.94.1135.3 1994/95
515.9 132.5536.3364.864.83.8134.9 1995/96
592.6 165.3559.8387.366.74.2141.6 1996/97
573.8 165.7573.3400.963.14.2136.2 1997/98
605.7 190.4581.1404.268.74.4139.2 1998/99
607.5 192.9605.0422.373.54.4139.0 1999/00
590.5 173.2610.2427.776.44.3137.1 2000/01
599.7 149.8623.1435.974.64.4137.8 2001/02
603.0 125.5627.3433.178.44.4137.7 2002/03
625.7 103.5647.7444.579.24.4141.9 2003/04
712.3 130.8685.0471.576.54.9144.7 2004/05
695.6 125.0701.4474.683.14.8145.6 2005/06
687.2 86.4725.8477.983.04.7146.1 2006/07
Barley
157.1 19.9158.9113.810.11.983.0 1977/78
175.6 24.3171.2123.910.62.280.9 1978/79
153.8 18.9159.2118.510.21.884.0 1979/80
157.4 18.3158.3111.213.52.078.6 1980/81
149.5 16.0151.8109.414.51.881.6 1981/82
161.2 21.5155.8113.416.02.078.8 1982/83
158.5 15.5164.5122.015.82.079.8 1983/84
170.5 23.1162.9122.417.42.279.2 1984/85
173.6 29.6167.2127.817.72.280.0 1985/86
178.1 33.8173.8132.118.32.279.6 1986/87
175.3 33.4173.6129.718.32.278.7 1987/88
164.0 31.1166.2121.919.02.176.4 1988/89
166.1 26.7170.5126.218.52.373.6 1989/90
179.0 29.8175.9130.419.62.572.9 1990/91
169.8 33.3166.3120.219.42.276.4 1991/92
166.2 33.3165.6118.916.42.373.4 1992/93
169.2 33.5168.9123.718.82.374.7 1993/94
160.7 28.5165.8121.115.32.273.2 1994/95
141.6 19.5150.6107.713.42.169.0 1995/96
153.6 23.6149.4106.217.92.366.5 1996/97
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Area Harvested
Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti
Domestic Consumpti
Ending Stocks
154.3 32.2145.8103.712.82.464.9 1997/98
135.7 28.9139.098.617.82.260.7 1998/99
127.5 24.0132.394.018.82.355.3 1999/00
132.8 22.8134.194.416.92.454.6 2000/01
142.3 28.7136.395.117.62.556.8 2001/02
134.8 27.2136.494.316.82.456.4 2002/03
142.9 22.6147.5102.614.82.460.1 2003/04
154.2 33.3143.5100.317.32.658.4 2004/05
138.0 28.9142.397.317.82.456.4 2005/06
138.3 21.9145.3101.015.52.457.4 2006/07
Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
World Rice: Supply and Demand
Area Harvested
Yield Rough Production
Production TY Exports Domestic Consumpti
Ending Stocks
Rice, Milled
368.8 44.8244.79.5250.62.6143.4 1977/78
385.4 54.8252.311.8262.42.7143.6 1978/79
376.6 54.0257.612.0256.82.7141.2 1979/80
397.0 52.6271.211.9269.92.7144.4 1980/81
408.3 50.5280.011.3277.92.8144.4 1981/82
418.3 56.8278.711.2285.03.0140.5 1982/83
450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84
464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.2 1984/85
467.3 97.7307.911.8318.03.2144.8 1985/86
481.9 103.3310.412.9316.03.3144.8 1986/87
465.0 105.3313.311.4315.33.3141.7 1987/88
491.0 111.7325.814.0332.23.4146.5 1988/89
510.4 120.6336.411.7345.33.5147.6 1989/90
518.9 126.7345.012.3351.03.5146.7 1990/91
522.9 126.8353.114.4353.33.5147.5 1991/92
524.2 123.3357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93
526.5 119.1359.216.6355.03.6145.4 1993/94
539.5 117.8365.220.8363.93.7147.5 1994/95
547.2 118.4368.119.7368.73.7148.2 1995/96
564.5 120.6378.718.9380.93.8150.0 1996/97
574.4 127.9379.627.6386.93.8151.2 1997/98
586.5 134.3388.124.8394.63.8152.7 1998/99
608.0 145.1398.022.8408.83.9155.2 1999/00
593.2 149.2394.524.4398.73.9151.5 2000/01
593.9 136.4412.027.9399.13.9150.5 2001/02
562.1 106.5407.427.6377.53.9145.8 2002/03
584.3 85.4412.927.2391.83.9148.1 2003/04
595.7 78.1407.729.0400.54.0150.4 2004/05
618.7 80.4413.227.7415.54.1152.2 2005/06
618.1 77.7417.728.9415.04.1152.1 2006/07
Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Latin America: Central America, the Caribbean, South America. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland,
France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom.
Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan.
Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Norway, Romania, Serbia and Montenegro, Switzerland, Yugoslavia.
Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen.
North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Other Africa: all African countries except North Africa. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines,
Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia,
Taiwan. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea. OTHER NOTESStocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in marketing year imports and marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. EU Consolidation: The trade figures for the EU-25 for the years 1999/00 through 2002/03 are inflated by the two-way trade between the two groups (EU-15 and acceding 10). Over the past 6 years, this “intra-trade” has averaged about 700,000 tons for wheat, 350,000 tons each for corn and barley, and 150,000 tons for rye. The trade figures also include intra-trade between members of the acceding 10. From 2003/04 onward, all intra-trade has been removed. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.
Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2007
65 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007
Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 12-06 December 2006. For further details on world grain production, see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 01-07 January 2007. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov
Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2007
66 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
January 2007