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Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil 4th Annual Platts Asian Refining Summit (9-10 March 2017, Singapore) Presented by: Partha Ghosh, General Manager -Technical IndianOil, NewDelhi

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Page 1: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil

4th Annual Platts Asian Refining Summit (9-10 March 2017, Singapore)

Presented by: Partha Ghosh, General Manager -Technical IndianOil, NewDelhi

Page 2: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

Agenda

• GasOil Desulphurization – Policy on ‘S’ limit – Technology landscape – BS-VI preparedness by Indian refineries

• Fuel Oil

– Latest MARPOL Specifications – Challenges for Refineries – Technology Landscape – Refinery Cost Economics for Producing Fuel Oil – Alternate Fuel Options for Marine Propulsion

2

Page 3: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

Indian Auto Fuel Policy

2000 2005 2010 2017 2020

BS-4 Nationwide

BS-6 Nationwide

Norm 'S' ppm

BS-1 2500

BS-2 500

BS-3 350

BS-4 50

BS-6 10

YEAR

Primary cause:: •Overwhelming concern

for public health- Worsening Air Quality •Vehicular emissions –

considered a large contributor to air borne pollution.

BS-1: Nationwide BS-2: Select Cities

from 2001

BS-3: Nationwide BS-4: Select Cities

BS-2: Nationwide BS-3: Select Cities

3

50 ppm

3 years !

10 ppm

BS-VI HSD from 2020

BS-IV HSD from 2017

Equiv

EU-1

EU-2

EU-3

EU-4

EU-6

Indian Diesel Fuel Standard Bharat Stage(BS)

Page 4: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

Mill

ion

bar

rels

pe

r d

ay

Source : India Energy Outlook WEO 2015, OPEC Oil Outlook 2015

India’s Demand Growth High Fuel Demand Drivers •GDP Growth

•Industry Growth •Automobile Growth

•Population Growth •Demographic Dividend •Rapid Urbanization •Favourable Govt Policies

• Make in India • Ease of doing business • Infrastructure Development

4

Oil Demand Outlook

78

153

0

50

100

150

200

HSD Domestic consumption, MMT

HSD Sales Future HSD demand

Source : IOCL Projections

350

Refining Growth, MMT

230

120 TMT addition ! Yr 2017

Yr 2030

Source : IEA,BP

Page 5: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

TECHNOLOGY LANDSCAPE-GAS OIL

Existing Refineries units for meeting Current Spec Diesel Hydro Treatment (DHDT) Diesel Hydro De-Sulphurization (DHDS) Hydro Cracker & Once-thru Hydro Cracker(OHCU & HCU) Vacuum Gas Oil (VGO)-Treaters

Technological interventions for further reduction of ‘S’ DHDT /DHDS Revamp/Catalyst changes/New Unit OHCU/HCU Revamp/Catalyst changes/New Unit Revamp/New Hydrogen Generation units Revamp/New Sulphur recovery & associated units Revamp of VGO HDT Ebullated Bed/Slurry Hydrocracker

5

Page 6: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

Gas Oil Desulphurization Technologies

• Major commercially established Global players – UOP

– Axens

– Chevron Lummus Global

– Shell

– Halder Topsoé/ENI

– ExxonMobil

• Established Indian technology – IOC(R&D)-EIL indeDiesel

6

Page 7: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

Capacity: 1.2 MMTPA Unit Commissioned: Aug’ 11 PGTR Completion : Dec’11

First indeDiesel Unit @ IOCL Bongaigaon Refinery

S = < 10 ppm CN increase = 12.7 Feed: Cracked components (CK+HCN+CLGO+ CHGO) in feed mix:

~ 32 – 40 wt%

indeDiesel by IOCL

7

Gujarat DHDS Gujarat DHDT Bongaigaon DHDT

Haldia NEW DHDT

Cur Rev Cur Rev Cur Rev Grass-root

Capacity, MMTPA

1.7 2.2 2.2 2.9 1.2 1.6 1.2

Commission 2017 2017 2019 2019

Advantages Proven Technology with efficient

Reactor Internal Can deploy best available Catalyst Cost Effective

New unit and Revamps

Page 8: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

BS-VI(10 ppm ‘S’): Execution Plan • All refineries across India, simultaneously undergoing Major

Upgradation

• Implementation kick started by all Indian Refineries

• ~2.0 Billion USD investment for Gas Oil Desulphurization Some Ref(s) completing BS-VI jobs along with BS-IV

• Expediting Execution:

Mechanical Completion of projects

Jun’19 Project

Commission Sep’19

Introduction of BS-VI fuel

in Market Jan’20

8

TIM

ELIN

E

Parallel job execution

Combined Tendering for

multiple locations

Bulk procurement-

Basket concept

Advance action-

Standard design

Concurrent engineering

by Licensor & EPCM

Leveraging existing

refinery data

Page 9: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

BUNKER FUEL OIL

9

Page 10: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

New IMO regulations

10

MARPOL ratifying countries

As of Feb’17 •155 countries, representing 99 % of the world's shipping tonnage, are signatory to the MARPOL 1973/1978 convention. • 88 countries representing 96 % of world tonnage are signatory of MARPOL ANNEX VI

India is a Signatory

Specification Unit RMG 380 RME 180 RMD 80 DMA

Kinematic Visc cst max 380 180 80 6

Sulphur %wt max 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%

CCR %wt max 18 15 14 0.3

Page 11: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

Bunker Sales and Projection

Worldwide Production Projection(in MMT) as per CE Delft report

64 39

228

36

233

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2012 Prod'n 2020 Proj

Marine MGO Marine HFO(S > 0.5%) Marine HFO(S < 0.5%)

Source: Sagarmala Report 2016 , GOI

2

8

15

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

FY15 Status FY15 Potential FY25 Potential

Source: Sagarmala Report 2016 , GOI

2

6

8

9

18

24

45

0 10 20 30 40 50

India

Houston

Antwerp

Hong Kong

Rotterdam

Fujairah

Singapore

Bunker Sales by Port-2015, MMT India's Potential in Bunkering, MMT

11

Even if production potential exists at Refineries, actual offer will depend on economics.

Page 12: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

Challenges for Indian Refineries

0

5

10

15

20

160

170

180

190

200

210

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Distillates FO+LSHS, MMT

5

7

9

11

2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030

BITUMEN demand outlook-India

Source: IOCL projections

Source: PPAC

Domestic Distillate demand is growing fast while Fuel Oil demand is shrinking

Large Investments made for Distillate Improvement

Bitumen demand is projected to grow

Significant Investment required to reduce ‘S’ in FO

Low ‘S’ crude availability is limited

12

Page 13: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

‘S’ management thru suitable Crude selection

13

LS & HS Crude spread : 4-6 $/bbl

Low Volumes of crudes having VR ‘S’ < 1%

Source : Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East Coast of India

Arab Xtra Lt

Arab Mix

Al shn +QLSC

Amenam

Arab Medium

Azeri

Bonga Bonny

BRASS

Basrah Heavy Basrah Light

Castilla Das

Dubai

Forozan

GIRSL

Hout

Iran Mix

Isthumus

KEC Kirkuk

Kissanje

Lavan Exp

Maya

Murban

NEMBA

Oman

Qatar-Marine Ras Gharib

Upper Zakum

Ural

Vasconia

Zafiro

Qua Iboe Agbami Clov

Dalia Pazflor

Sangos

Hamaca

Lavan Exp

Leona Oriente

Qatarland

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

VR

'S' %

APIo

LS-HS Crude Spread

Page 14: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

TECHNOLOGY LANDSCAPE- FO DESULFURISATION

Blend Stock Hydrotreatment

VGO Hydrotreatment

Residue Desulphurization

Axens (Hyvahl (H-Oil) Process)

Chevron Lummus Global ( LC-fining of VR)

ExxonMobil (Residfining)

Shell Global Solutions (HYCON)

UOP (RCD Unionfining)

Oxidative Desulphurisation plus extraction with Solvents

Bio Desulfurisation : Aerobic and Anaerobic

Desulphurisation using Alkali Metals

Alternative Pathways- Under Research

14

Page 15: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

Refinery Economics for FO Production

• Margin Gain/Loss

Coker

Vs FO

UCO in FCC

vs FO

8-9 $/bbl* 5-6 $/bbl*

*estimated at Current prices @ Indian Refinery

FO 0.5%S Vs

FO 3.5%S

7-8 $/bbl*

Large Gap between Gas Oil & FO price

15

Distillate Blending

Page 16: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

Alternate Fuel Options

• Ships can use cheaper High Sulphur FO

• Waste disposal issue to be addressed

HSFO with Exhaust Gas Cleaning System

(Scrubbers)

• Limited Refuelling Infrastructure

• Large investment in Ship conversion

Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)

• Low capital investment for conversion

• Higher fuel efficiency

• Costlier than Fuel Oil

Distillate(MGO)

• Lowest capital investment for conversion

• Price between FO and MGO Low Viscosity FO

Page 17: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

In Conclusion

• In sync with the world, India to switchover from present 50 ppm BS-IV to 10 ppm ‘S’ BS-VI fuels by 2020.

• All Refineries geared up for meeting execution challenge for completion within 3 years.

• Unfavourable refinery margins is a big challenge in meeting MARPOL grade FO production from 2020

• Both Refinery-based and Ship-based solution(s) to co-exist based on economics at various regions.

17

Page 18: Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil - Platts · Desulphurization of Gas Oil and Fuel Oil ... •GDP Growth •Industry Growth ... Landed Cost of HS Crude v/s LS Crude on East

In Conclusion

• In sync with the world, India to switchover from present BS-IV to BS-VI fuels by 2020.

• Refineries geared up for meeting execution challenge for completion within 3 years.

• Unfavourable refinery margins is a challenge in meeting MARPOL grade FO production.

• Both Refinery-based and Ship-based solution(s) to co-exist based on economics at various regions.

THANK YOU