deutsche bank global consumer conference 18 june …€¦ · deutsche bank global consumer...
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HEINEKEN NV | HEINEKEN HOLDING NV
HEINEKEN DEUTSCHE BANK
GLOBAL CONSUMER CONFERENCE 18 JUNE 2014
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Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements with regard to the financial position and results of HEINEKEN’s activities. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements.
Many of these risks and uncertainties relate to factors that are beyond HEINEKEN’s ability to control or estimate precisely, such as future market and economic conditions, the behaviour of other market participants, changes in consumer preferences, the ability to successfully integrate acquired businesses and achieve anticipated synergies, costs of raw materials, interest rate and foreign exchange fluctuations, change in tax rates, changes in law, changes in pension costs, the actions of government regulators and weather conditions. These and other risk factors are detailed in HEINEKEN’s publicly filed annual reports.
You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. HEINEKEN does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of these materials.
Market share estimates contained in this presentation are based on outside sources such as specialised research institutes in combination with management estimates.
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HEINEKEN at a glance
1 Group beer volume is consolidated beer volume plus attributable share of volume from joint ventures and associates 2 Group operating profit (beia) is consolidated operating profit (beia) plus attributable share of operating profit (beia) from joint ventures and associates. Excludes Head Office.
AME
14%
Americas
28%
Asia Pac
11%
CEE
25%
WE
22%
Group beer volume1 by region (2013)
AME
20%
Americas
26%
Asia Pac
18%
CEE
10%
WE
26%
Group Operating profit (beia)2 by region (2013)
Operating Companies
Joint Ventures/ Associates
Export
Licences
70+ COUNTRIES
165 BREWERIES
250+ BRANDS
195mhl GROUP BEER
VOLUME1
57% OF GROUP OPERATING
PROFIT (BEIA)2 FROM
DEVELOPING MARKETS
85,000 DIRECT
EMPLOYEES
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The leading premium global brewer with attractive growth platforms
Focus on driving sustainable medium-term top-line growth, gradual margin expansion and consistently strong free cash flow generation
1 THE LEADING PREMIUM
BEER & CIDER PORTFOLIO
2 WORLD CLASS MARKETING &
STRENGTH IN INNOVATION
3 GLOBAL REACH WITH STRONG
ACCESS TO HIGH GROWTH MARKETS
4 RELENTLESSLY DRIVING COST
EFFICIENCIES
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Powerful Priority Brand portfolio
Belgian
Abbey beer
brand
The
Independent
Mexican
Tequila
flavoured beer
The global
leader in cider
The leading
international
premium brand
6 Source: Canadean latest estimates 1 One Equity
Heineken®: Truly global premium beer in the strategic IPS segment
2.1%
5.1%
Beer IPS
Heineken® Volume Development (CAGR: 2013F-2018F)
Heineken® : #1 global IPS brand with strongest brand equity
Heineken®
Corona
Budweiser
Stella Artois
Tiger
Dos Equis Carlsberg
6,0
6,2
6,4
6,6
6,8
7,0
7,2
7,4
7,6
7,8
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Bra
nd
eq
uit
y1
IPS share
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Six Competitive Advantages
Design Marketing
campaigns Product
Sponsorships Digital Innovation
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Cider, another significant growth opportunity
Euromonitor Canadean latest estimates LAD: Long Alcoholic Drinks
Complementary to beer business and leveraging with core Strongbow brand and other distinct cider offerings
5%
2%
1%
Cider Beer Wine
CIDER GROWING >2.5X FASTER THAN BEER Global cider category growth
CAGR% (2008-2013) 26%
% of consumers Drinking Alcohol,
that do not drink lager
51%
% of female consumers Drinking Alcohol,
that do not drink lager
9 Source: Canadean, Heineken Analysis, Marakon Analysis. 1 Premium markets includes domestic and international segments; Specialities are defined as premium non-lager
Affligem – unique positioning in specialty beer segment
Belgian Abbey beer brand
1000 year history and unique double fermentation
Award winning recipe
Unique positioning within Heritage Premium
Speciality segment
Price Index 180 to 250 vs. mainstream beer
Rolling out and exporting to 30 countries globally
Specialities1: Fastest growing beer segment
Volume: 2010 – 2014F CAGR %
Affligem in France volume development (khl) 2008 – 2013 CAGR %
2%
4%
6%
All beer Premium
Beer
Premium
Specialty
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Affligem France KHL
17%
10 Source: Canadean
Tiger and Dos Equis – Regional power brands
TIGER VOLUME IN ASIA PACIFIC
2011 2012 2013
2.9
4.0
5.1 33%
CAGR
ACCELERATED GROWTH OF DOS EQUIS
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
4.000
Vo
lum
e (
kHL)
MexicoUSA
Volume:
CAGR (2010-2013)
Total: 12%
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With strong positions within home markets
Complemented with Local Brand Champions
Mexico Indonesia
Nigeria
Poland
UK
5.7mhl 2.2mhl
3.8mhl 14.5mhl 1.4mhl
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The leading premium global brewer with attractive growth platforms
Focus on driving sustainable medium-term top-line growth, gradual margin expansion and consistently strong free cash flow generation
1 THE LEADING PREMIUM
BEER & CIDER PORTFOLIO
3 GLOBAL REACH WITH STRONG
ACCESS TO HIGH GROWTH MARKETS
4 RELENTLESSLY DRIVING COST
EFFICIENCIES
2 WORLD CLASS MARKETING &
STRENGTH IN INNOVATION
13 Facebook fans as at 31 March 2014
World class marketing and sponsorships with strong digital activation
#1 ON
SPORTING EVENTS, MUSIC & FILM
FESTIVALS
SOCIAL AND DIGITAL MEDIA AWARD-WINNING GLOBAL CAMPAIGNS
17.4M Heineken®
11.7M Budweiser
1.7M Carlsberg
6.8M Corona
6.8M Stella Artois
(Number of Fans)
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INNOVATION GENERATED €1.1 BILLION OF REVENUE IN 2013
1 From 1 January 2013, the innovation rate is calculated as revenues generated from innovations (introduced in the past 40 quarters for a new category, 20 quarters for a new brand and 12 quarters for all other innovations, excluding packaging renovations) divided by total revenue
Innovation contributing significantly to top line growth
3.0%
4.1%
5.3%
5.9%
2010 2011 2012 2013
2020 Target: 6%
Innovation rate1 Targeting new consumers through increased
consumption occasions
Leading innovating in draught beer to strengthen
presence in on-trade
Transformational innovations empowered by
design and breakthrough technology
Leverage strong capabilities and global scale to
drive speed in innovations
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Radler – A highly successful innovation
1.9m hl sold in 2013
As at end-2013 Radler Lemon was in 32 markets across all 5 regions
One of the most successful largest innovations and an example of a local innovation going global
Price point typically priced at index of 110-120 vs mother brand
Radler 0.0% launched in several markets in 2014 provides access to non-beer outlets new
consumption occasions
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Innovating at home and in the on trade Providing unique draft on trade draught proposition and unique at home self serve offer
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Driving excellence in outlet execution Partnering for growth with our customers
TARGETED CHANNEL STRATEGIES
GLOBAL BRANDS ACTIVATION
BUILDING SALES CAPABILITIES
BUILDING PARTNERSHIPS
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The leading premium global brewer with attractive growth platforms
Focus on driving sustainable medium-term top-line growth, gradual margin expansion and consistently strong free cash flow generation
1 THE LEADING PREMIUM
BEER & CIDER PORTFOLIO
2 WORLD CLASS MARKETING &
STRENGTH IN INNOVATION
4 RELENTLESSLY DRIVING COST
EFFICIENCIES
3 GLOBAL REACH WITH STRONG
ACCESS TO HIGH GROWTH MARKETS
19 1 Head office & eliminations excluded from ‘% of Group’ calculation
HEINEKEN has leading positions in exciting, fast growing regions
Americas
37%
Central &
Eastern
Europe
26% Africa
Middle East
20%
Asia Pacific
17%
2013 Developing markets split:
Group beer volume:
38% 51% 43%
62% 49% 57%
Group beer
volume
Group revenue Group operating
profit (beia)1
Developing
Developed
% of total Group
20 Source: HEINEKEN, IMF, Worldmapper.org 1 Joint venture or associate
Fourteen #1 and four #2 positions
Africa Middle East: Well placed to capture growth
REUNION
U.A.E.1
NIGERIA
SOUTH AFRICA1
ETHIOPIA
DR CONGO
Rep of CONGO1
SIERRA LEONE
GHANA1
TUNISIA
ALGERIA
EGYPT
NAMIBIA1
ISRAEL1
BURUNDI
RWANDA
LEBANON
#1 position
#2 position
Exciting beer market growth supported by favourable
demographics and strong economic growth:
A booming population: Incremental c. 200m people by
2018, with growth in LDA population
An emerging middle class and rising urbanisation
(80 cities > 1m people by 2020)
Beer the alcoholic beverage of choice
HEINEKEN well placed to win in Africa Middle East:
growing the category with new brand offerings
continued strong market execution
developing local talent & capabilities
increasing local sourcing
Performance-driven partnerships
CAMEROON1
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1. Broad leadership positions only 2. 28 breweries in India includes 9 contract breweries Source: Most recent competitor financial results
HEINEKEN best placed to access regional growth opportunities
Asia Pacific: A dynamic, high growth region
HEINEKEN HAS LEADERSHIP IN THE LARGEST NUMBER OF MARKETS1
Number of #1 and #2 market positions in Asia-Pacific
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5
5
3
1
HEINEKEN
Carlsberg
Kirin
SABMiller
ABInbev
52 BREWERIES2
10,800 EMPLOYEES
OVER 50 BRANDS
APB successfully integrated in 2013
Region of growing importance to HEINEKEN:
contributed 18% of group operating profit (beia) in 2013
IPS segment opportunity compelling: Expected to
grow 8.7% over next 5 years vs mainstream beer 3.5%
Focus on IPS opportunity in China with Heineken®
and Tiger brands
Premium led portfolio complemented by strong
mainstream brands
Position strengthened and enhanced by
strong partnerships in the region
22 EBIT (beia) = operating profit (beia) plus HEINEKEN’s share of net profit of joint ventures & associates
Accessing growth opportunities in the Americas led by IPS and local brand jewels
Beer market growth supported by rising
incomes and favourable demographics
Acquisition of FEMSA Cerveza in 2010 has
accelerated organic growth in region
Strongly positioned to grow in IPS with
Heineken®
Delivering significant profit growth and
margin expansion in Mexico
Expanded ‘upscale’ brand portfolio in USA
Heineken® strong participation in
expanding IPS in Brazil
273
600 655
748 790
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
HEINEKEN AMERICAS
EBIT (BEIA) (€M)
ORGANIC CAGR% +11%
BROAD & SEGMENT
LEADERSHIP POSITIONS
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The leading premium global brewer with attractive growth platforms
Focus on driving sustainable medium-term top-line growth, gradual margin expansion and consistently strong free cash flow generation
1 THE LEADING PREMIUM
BEER & CIDER PORTFOLIO
2 WORLD CLASS MARKETING &
STRENGTH IN INNOVATION
3 GLOBAL REACH WITH STRONG
ACCESS TO HIGH GROWTH MARKETS
4 RELENTLESSLY DRIVING COST
EFFICIENCIES
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Western Europe
28%
Central &
Eastern Europe
19% Africa & Middle
East
16%
Americas
20%
Asia Pacific
3%
Other
14%
Focus on continued operating efficiencies
Cost management firmly embedded in business
Disciplined cost management supports:
Building global commercial capabilities
Sustained investment behind brands
Category growth and strengthening market positions
Higher rate of scalable value enhancing innovations#
TCM2 Regional Split: Cumulative savings (2012-2013):
€496 MILLION
On-track to deliver €625m cost savings target
from TCM2 programme in 2014
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An important enabler of current TCM2 and future cost savings
HEINEKEN Global Business Services
HEINEKEN GLOBAL PROCUREMENT (HGP): HEINEKEN GLOBAL SHARED SERVICES (HGSS): ROMANIA UK FRANCE IRELAND HUNGARY AUSTRIA
BELGIUM CZECH REPUBLIC SLOVAKIA NETHERLANDS ITALY PORTUGAL
HEAD OFFICE/ HGP CROATIA SPAIN POLAND
By June 2014, 18 HEINEKEN operating companies transitioned financial transactional services within HGSS
Targeting remaining 6 operating companies in Europe by Sep-14
Doubling the scope of services performed by HGSS
Outsourcing commoditised ‘back-office’ activities from Kraków to India
Evaluating opportunities outside of Europe
HGP scope currently represents approx. two thirds of relevant global spend base
Centralised procurement through standardising working practice & tooling
Increased visibility & monitoring of spend
Evaluating opportunities to further increase coverage of spend base
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1 Includes continuing operations of UK, Portugal and Belgium, and excludes Ireland 2 Includes Mexico domestic beer operations and Brazil 3 Asia Pacific Breweries Ltd and Asia Pacific Investment Pte Ltd
Enhancing profitability of recently acquired businesses
2008 SCOTTISH & NEWCASTLE1
2010 FEMSA CERVEZA2
2012 ASIA PACIFIC BREWERIES3
Operating profit (beia) € million
Operating profit (beia) € million
+ 730 basis point increase
in operating profit (beia) margins
since 2008
+ 530 basis point increase
in operating profit (beia)
margin to 18.2% since 2010
Successful integration & strong operating
results. Contributes to HEINEKEN organic
growth performance from 16 Nov 2013.
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
CAGR 2008-13
+18%
2010 2011 2012 2013
CAGR 2010-13
+18%
2012 2013
+14%
Operating profit (beia) € million
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1,967
2,430
2,456
2,666
2,941
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
14,701
16,133
17,123
18,383
19,203
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2.15
2.58
2.70
2.89
2.75
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Solid financial progress
*2010 and 2012 restated. Financials net of acquisitions and disposals IAS19 revision negative impact on diluted EPS (beia): 2012 -€0,06; 2013 -€0,07 & -€0,03 from forex
Consolidated revenue (beia) in €m CAGR: +6.9%
Consolidated operating profit (beia)* in €m CAGR: +10.6%
Diluted EPS (beia)* in € CAGR: +6.3%
13.4%
15.0%
14.3%
14.5%
15.3%
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Consolidated operating profit (beia) margin (%) Ave. +45bps p.a.
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Improving top-line growth momentum
Group = consolidated results plus attributable share from joint ventures and associates
-1.0%
-0.6%
0.5%
1.3%
3.4%
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14
GROUP REVENUE ORGANIC GROWTH (%)
-3.4% -3.5%
-2.5%
-1.5%
1.3%
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14
GROUP BEER VOLUME ORGANIC GROWTH (%)
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Summary
Leading premium beer and cider portfolio Heineken® leading global brand in IPS
Expansion of priority brands to capture consumer segmentation
Best placed to win in growing cider category
World class marketing and strength in innovation Expertise in premium brand development
Uniquely creative marketing & sponsorship platforms
Strong global innovation capabilities
Global reach with strong access to growth markets Highly diversified emerging markets exposure
Relentlessly driving cost efficiencies On-track to achieve TCM2 targeted cost savings by end-2014
Expanding scope under Global Business Services
Focused on delivering future value-enhancing growth