developing user-friendly tools to explore future ... - ceh
TRANSCRIPT
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Don Monteith &Heidrun Feuchtmayr
Developing user-friendly tools to explore future changes in dissolved organic matter in upland drinking water sources
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Project Team
Heidrun Feuchtmayr, Amy Pickard, Amy Pickard, Jenny Williamson, Ellie Mackay, Justyna Olszewska, Chris Evans(Centre for Ecology & Hydrology)
Fraser Leith, Zoe Frogbrook, Nic Booker, Graeme Moore, Jon Moses, Gillian Stewart, Stewart Sutherland
(Scottish Water)
Advisory Group
Susan Waldron1, Pippa Chapman2, Tara Froggatt/Sophie Straiton3, Clare Bullen4, Trudy Higgins/Lorraine Gaston5
1University of Glasgow, 2University of Leeds, 3Welsh Water, 4United Utilities & 5Irish Water
Special thanks to local Scottish Water staff
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The water industry problem• Soils of upland drinking water catchments in the UK
often contain high amounts of organic matter
• A significant proportion of this ends up in streams and lakes in the form of Dissolved Organic Matter (DOM)
• These catchments have experienced increases in DOM in recent decades
• The Water Industry must minimise DOM levels to avoid:o Taste and odour problems
o Fouling of plant
o Disinfection Byproduct (DBP) formation
• Significant cost implications for:
o Coagulant use
o Sludge removal
o Energy consumption
o New infrastructure
Trends in Dissolved Organic Carbon inUK Upland Waters Monitoring Network lakes
(1988 – 2016)
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The FREEDOM project
Forecasting Risks to upland water treatment assets from the
Environmental Exacerbation of Dissolved Organic Matter levels
• Funded under NERC Environmental Risks to Infrastructure Innovation
Programme (ERIIP) – with co-funding from Scottish Water
• Initial challenges issued by Scottish Water:
• “to gain a better understanding of drivers of change in the quantity and quality of DOM in raw water reaching treatment plant”
• “to develop capability to predict DOM changes in light of future environmental change”
• Major project aim:
• To develop a visualisation tool to inform the water industry of likely future DOM trajectories for its source waters
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Operational definitions
• Dissolved Organic Matter (DOM):
All organic matter in water passing through a fine filter (e.g. 0.45 µm)
• Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC)
The carbon contained within DOM
• Total Organic Carbon (TOC)
All organic carbon in unfiltered water
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Rising DOC concentrations in remote surface waters (1990 – 2004)
Monteith et al., 2007. Nature
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DOC increasing in proportion to reduction in acid pollutants
DOC change versus acid anion change: 522 sites
Rate of change in concentration of acid anions (i.e. sulphate + chloride)
Ra
te o
f ch
an
ge
in
DO
C c
on
cen
tra
tio
n
Monteith et al., 2007. Nature
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Highly crelationship between ionic strength and DOC in UK upland waters
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Rate of long term rate of change in non-marine sulphate
can be predicted from current concentration
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Seasonal variation in DOC in upland waters
is highly predictable
Sample month
TOC variation in 27 Scottish Water Source Waters
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modelled sulphate modelled conductivity modelled DOC
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The modelled “moving baseline”
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adding a seasonal envelope
Early autumn
Late spring
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adding episodic extremes
Early autumn
Late spring
95th
percentile
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Building the FREEDOM Decision Support Tool (DST):
Microsoft Power BI as a data visualisation platform
- Business analytics service- Provides interactive visualisation- Can visualise underlying computer coded graphs (R)- Requested as platform by Scottish Water– fits with existing systems- Has not reached its full potential yet
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Underpinned by R programming language
New data (TOC, chloride, sulphate)
+
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FREEDOM Decision Support Tool (DST)
FREEDOM Decision Support Tool (DST) Underlying R code to include new data
SW Reservoir data (TOC)
Algorithms to estimate future TOC concentrationsResulting from expected future change in pollutant sulphate concentrations for 30 selected sites.
Sulphate and chloride data collected within the FREEDOM project
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FREEDOM DST: regional view
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FREEDOM DST: site summaries
Source Water A 14.8 30.9
Source Water B
Source Water C
Source Water D
Source Water E
Source Water F
Source Water G
Source Water H
Source Water I
Source Water J
Source Water K
Source Water L
Source Water M
Source Water N
Source Water A
Source Water A
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FREEDOM DST: site summaries
Source Water A
Source Water B
Source Water C
Source Water D
Source Water E
Source Water F 10.0 50.2
Source Water G
Source Water H
Source Water I
Source Water J
Source Water K
Source Water L
Source Water M
Source Water N
Source Water F
Source Water F
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FREEDOM DST: Future DOM projections
Source Water A
Currentmedian
Median seasonal ranges
95th %iles
Source Water A
Source Water B
Source Water C
Source Water D
Source Water E
Source Water F
Source Water G
Source Water H
Source Water I
Source Water J
Source Water K
Source Water L
Source Water M
Source Water N
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FREEDOM DST: Regional comparisons
of projected TOC change
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summary
As part of the FREEDOM project, we set out to develop a tool to project future DOM
in raw waters reaching a range of Scottish Water plant.
Focus has been on:
• developing capability to project a “moving baseline” for DOC (response to
reduction in acid deposition) for a range of sites for which some historical data are
available
• The FREEDOM tool takes the form of a computer-based graphical interface
driven by computer code that draws from an updatable central database
• Provides a foundation for a more widely applicable tool. Considerable potential for
further development of the tool to address other stressors, e.g. climate change,
and application to other regions
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https://www.ukclimateresilience.org/news-events/1955/