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DEVELOPMENTOFMONITORING,EVALUATIONANDREPORTINGFOR
ADAPTATIONPLAN
Workshop for Capacity Building on Climate Change Impact Assessment and Adaptation Planning in the Asia‐Pacific Region
Bangkok, 1 October 2015
Tri Dewi VirgiyantiDeputy Director For Environmental Pollution And Degradation Control
Ministry of National Development Planning (BAPPENAS)
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OUTLINE
1.Introduction
2.NationalActionPlanonClimateChangeAdaptation
3.Monitoring,EvaluationandReportingofRANAPI
4.LessonsLearned
1. Introduction
Geographic and Socio‐economic Characteristics of Indonesia Place the Country in A Vulnerable Position to Climate Change Impact
Residential development pattern often move towards climate disaster‐prone area
Climate change context has not been integrated optimally into development plan
(Eg: spatial planning still disregarding climate change impact in an area)
High population number that concentrated in urban area
Poverty level and local culture highly affecting the community’s adaptive capacity
Archipelagic country with mountainous profile and long coastline
Monsoon that affecting annual rainfall trend Located in equatorial line and has a tropical
climate
Climate change is predicted as will cause a 6.7% drop of GDP in 4 South East Asia countries in 2100 (ADB, 2013)
In 2025, around 31% of global income will be based in countries facing high or extreme risks from climate change impact; where Indonesia is amongst the high risk countries (Maplecroft, 2013).
Losses from Jakarta flooding in 2002 and 2007reaches 1,5 trillion and 2 trillion IDR consecutively (Bappenas, 2007)
Between 1981‐1990, rice production experience annual losses of around 100000 tonnes/regency. It is predicted by 2050, there will be a dry rice deficitthat reaches 60 million tonnes (Boer, 2003)
Climate‐related Disaster and Development
In the past decade, Majority of disaster event in Indonesia is hydrometeorological disaster
Translating Vulnerability and Risk into Actions
7 cities and regencies in Indonesia categorised as the Top 10 highly vulnerable area to climate change; where Jakarta comes out as the top most vulnerable region (SIDA, 2009)
Drives the need to develop
2. National Action Plan on Climate Change Adaptation
RKP 2010 RKP 2011ACCELERATION OF JUST ECONOMIC
GROWTH SUPPORTED BY STRENGTHENING GOVERNANCE AND LOCAL‐CENTRAL
SYNERGY
RKP 2012 RKP 2013 RKP 2014
RPJMN 2010‐20141 Bureaucracy and Governance Reform2 Education3 Health 4 Poverty Eradication5
6 Infrastructure7 Investment Climate 8 Energy
9 Environment and Disaster Management10
Disadvantaged, Forefront, Outer and Post‐conflict Regions11
Culture, Creativity an Technological Innovation12
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Food Security
RECOVERY OF NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND SUSTAINING PEOPLE WELFARE
“EXPANSION AND ACCELERATION OF
JUST AND INCLUSIVE ECONOMIC
GROWTH FOR THE IMPROVEMENT OF PEOPLE WELFARE”
STRENGTHENING DOMESTIC
ECONOMY FOR THE
IMPROVEMENT AND EXPANSION
OF PEOPLE WELFARE
STRENGTHENING OF NATIONAL ECONOMY TO IMPROVE JUST
PEOPLE WELFARE
Politics, Law and Security
Economic
People Welfare
1. Sustainable Dev Mainstream
2. Cross‐sectoralProgram: Climate Change
1. PERPRES 61/2011 RAN GRK
2. PERPRES 71/2011 GHG INVENTORY
3. Adaptation Strategy
• Initial Development of RAN‐API
• Action Plan for DRR
Consultation and socialization of
RAN‐API
RAN API Launching and Pilot Location
Climate Change Adaptation (RAN‐API) Development
Initial Development of Renas PB (National Plan for DM)
General Framework of RAN‐API
CLIMATE CHANGE‐ADAPTIVE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC RESILIENCELIVING SYSTEM RESILIENCE
ECOSYSTEM RESILIENCE
SUPPORTING SYSTEM
SPECIFIC REGION RESILIENCE
Knowledge Management, Planning and Finance/Budgeting, Capacity Development, Monitoring and Evaluation
MAIN GOAL
Target
Sector and Sub‐sector of RAN API
Sector Sub SectorEconomic Resilience •Food Security
•Energy IndependenceLiving System Resilience • Health
• Housing• Infrastructure
Ecosystem Resilience •Ecosystem and BiodiversitySpecific Region Resilience •Urban
•Coastal and Small IslandsSupporting System •Data and Information
•Capacity Building•Research and Development
Inclusion to
National Development Plan Document
CCA and RAN API in relation to National Development Planning System
Included in theRPJMN 2015‐2019 as part ofCross‐sectoral
Program
Progress to date
How the Line Ministries Adopt RAN API in their Sectoral Plan
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Activity Location Programs/Activities in RKP
Living System Sector
Health Sub‐Sector
Cluster 1. Identification and control of factors of vulnerability and risk to public health posed by climate change
Updates the risk assessment and adaptation to climate change in the health regencies / city level
2015‐2019High‐risk areas in 33 provinces
• Research and Development od Applied Clinical and Clinical Epidemiology
• Health Information and Data Processing
(Kemenkes, Bappenas, BIG, BMKG, KemenLH dan DNPI)
Housing Sub‐Sector
Cluster 2. Development and Management of Settlement
Adjustment settlements infrastructure in disaster‐prone areas of climate change
2015‐2019Flood and landslide prone areas
Infrastructure adjustment settlements in disaster prone areas
(KemenPU, Kemenpera, dan KKP)
Infrastructure Sub‐Sector
Cluster 1. Research and Development Infrastructure Security Concept
Implementation of research and development on improving the resilience of adaptive infrastructure to climate change
National Implementation of spatial planning program:
(KemenPU dan KKP)
Local Development Plan Document
Inclusion to
Pilot Site Other Regions
CCA and RAN API in relation to Local Development Planning System
• 16 out of 34 Provinces• 8 out of 501
Cities/Regencies
To build and test the downscaling model to be further replicated to other
region
Preliminary
Overview of Regional and Local Financial Conditions
Analysis of Strategic Issues
Vision, Mision, Objective and Strategy
Strategy and Policy Direction
Indicative Priority Program Plan and Funding Needs
Public Policy and Regional Development Program
REVISED INDICATIVE PRIORITY PROGRAM PLAN
and FUNDING NEEDS
RPJMD Content ADAPTATION STRATEGY
Vulnerability and Risk Assesment
CCA Strategy
Priority Adaptation Action
Long‐list of Adaptation Action/ Program for each
Sector
Compatibility Analysis
SHORT‐LIST OF ADAPTATION
ACTION/PROGRAM FOR EACH SECTOR
Scheme for CCA Integration Into
Regional Mid Term Development Plan
(RPJMD)
How the Local Government Adopt RAN API In Local Plan
3.Monitoring,EvaluationandReporting(MER)ofRANAPI
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Aims:• Tomonitorandmeasuretheachievementsandtoassestheeffectivenessofadaptationactionplan.
• Toprovidefeedbacksforfutureplan.Time:Activitymonitoring,evaluationandreportingatleastonceayear.
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GeneralDesignofMERSystem
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MERMechanism
Line Ministries
Bappenas, MoEF, BMKG
MoHA
Coord. Ministry of Economy,
Coord. Ministry of Maritime Affair
RAN‐API Secretariat Province
Municipalities/Districts
UNFCCC
Focal Point
President
DevelopmentSystemMonev RANAPI
RAN API & RAD API
Climate Risk Assessment / DIBI / Disaster Risk Index
(BNPB)
Climate Indicator(BMKG)
System Inventory Data Vulnerability Index / SIDIK
(KLHK)
RESILIENCE INDICATOR(5 sector RAN API)
DEVELOPMENT INDICATOR• Ministries Monev *online• Regional Gov Monev *online• Project Based ‐ donor *manual
Indicator level outcome
Indicator level output
DataStructureofDevelopmentPlanning
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IKK A1.1
IKK A1.2
Dst.
IKK A2.1
IKK A2.2
Dst.
IKK B1.1
IKK B2.2
Dst.
IKK B2.1
IKK B2.2
Program Activities A
Outcomes 1
Outcomes 2
Dst.
Goal activty A2
Goal activty A1
Dst.
Activities B
Goal activty B1
Goal activty B2
Dst.
Activities C
IKU 1.1
IKU 1.2
Dst. Dst.
IKU 2.1
IKU 2.2
Dst. Dst.
Dst.
Output 1/RP.
Output 2/RP.
Output 3/RP.
Output 1/RP.
Output 2/RP.
Output 3/RP.
(BUDGET, RP) (BUDGET, RP)
Program Responsibility TASK FORCE
E‐Monev in Ministries E‐Monev in Regional
(BUDGET, RP)
(BUDGET, RP)
What’s a goal in each sector of adaptation plan
What’s indicator to measure the goal in each sector of adaptation plan?
How is measure of adaptation plan?
a. BackgroundofRANAPIMonev
b.StructureofRAN‐API– ProblemStatement (1)
1. In which level that indicator will be used to measure resilience?
Sector
Sub‐sector 1
Action Plan 1
Goal 1.1Goal 1.2Goal 1.3
Action Indicator 1.1Action Indicator 1.2
Program/activiy 1 Program/activity indicator 1.1
Program/activity 2 Program/activity indicator 2.1
Cluster 1
Ideal Indicator
b.StructureRAN‐API– ProblemStatement (2)
2. How to bridging between indicator inter level in RAN API?
Food Resilience
Meminimalisasi kehilangan hasilmelalui pengendalian OPT dan penanganan DPI
Penurunan tingkat kehilangan produksi pangan dan perikananakibat kejadian iklim ekstrim dan perubahan iklim
k k hil
sebagai dampak perubahan iklim
Berkurangnya persentase kehilangan hasil/penurunan produksi akibatserangan OPTsebagai dampak perubahan iklim
Cluster 1: Penyesuaian Sistem Produksi Pangan
Penguatan perlindungan tanamanpangan dari gangguan OPT dan DPI1
SLPHT dan SLI (unit); SLPHT : 5000; SLI : 417
Program Peningkatan Produksi, Produktivitas dan Mutu TanamanPerkebunan Berkelanjutan
Persentase Luas areal pengemdalianOPT perkebunan (ha)
Pengembangan SistemPendataan Perikanan Tangkap
Meningkatnya kualitas dataperikanan tangkap
a. Mengikuti hierarki RAN APIdengan menggunakan expertjudgment untuk merumuskanasumsi keterkaitan antar level
Indikator Prog/Keg.
Indikator Rencana Aksi
Indikator Sasaran
Agregasi/Kompilasi
Agregasi/Kompilasi
b. Non‐hierarki, development indicator to measure goal in each sub sector
b.StructureRAN‐API– ProblemStatement (3)
3. What is unit analysis will be used in which scale?
National scale
Regional scale
Using to show national profile
Using to compare between regional area as guidance in prioritize program in future
or
IdentificationofIndicatorsfordefiningLevelofexposure,sensitivityandadaptivecapacityofVillages:BasisforDevelopingMONEVofCCA
A Indicator for adaptive capacity (ACI) Weight B Indicator for sensitivity
and level exposure (SEI) Weight
A1 Electricity facility 0.10 B1 No. HH live near river side 0.05
A2 Education facility 0.45 B2No Building near the river side
0.05
A21 TK (Kinder Garden) 0.07 B3 Source of drinking water 0.10
A22 SD (Elementary School) 0.13 B31 - Pipe (PDAM) 0.25
A23 SMP (Yunior High School) 0.20 B32 - Wells 0.50
A24 SMU (Senior High School) 0.27 B33 - Spring 0.50A25 Universities 0.30 B34 - Lake/river 0.75A3 Main source of income 0.10 B35 - Rainfall 1.00A4 Health facility 0.35 B4 Population density 0.15
A41 Puskesmas 0.20 B5 Poverty Level 0.10
A42 Polyclinic 0.30 B6 Waste fraction 0.25
A43 Posyandu 0.20 B7 No HH in slump ares 0.15A44 Midwife 0.10 B8 No building in slump area 0.05A45 Medical doctor 0.20 B9 Land Subsidence 0.10
Draft1:IndicatorFoodResilience
No Program/Activities Indicator
1. Availability Production and productivity
Food Diversification
Coverage Area of Land Crop Failure
Number of food insecurity population
Availability level of food supplyAvailability of infrastructure, technology and post‐harvest institutional
2. Food Access and Livelihood Percentage of poverty
Number and quality of food distribution supporting facility
Number of food distribution institution
GDP in fishery & agriculture
Price of staple food
3. Used prevalence of children with low weight and malnutrition
Percentage of households without access to clean water
Food consumption (agriculture, fisheries and livestock) per capita
• Adaptation Indicators: Socio‐Economic, Climate and Sectoral Indicators n intensive discussions data availability existing and developed systems
• Monitoring and evaluation in each level (tracking program in output and outcomes) to monitoring implementation of RAN API, national and local levels
• Tracking of budget allocation each program/activities related to national action plan of adaptation to climate change
• Comparative analysis between ideal indicator (i.e. IPCC, UNFCC etc) with current development planning indicator in ministries
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4.LessonsLearnedandFuturePlan
THANKYOU
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b.StructureRAN‐API–Proposeofindicatorframework(1)
Sistem
Sub‐sistem 1
Proxy Indicator 1.1
Proxy Indicator 1.2
Sub‐sistem 2
Proxy Indicator 2.1
Hierarchi of Indicator Framework
b.StructureRAN‐API–Proposeofindicatorframework(2)