dialog axiata plc€¦ · total shareholder return (tsr) trend (2012-17) 45% 45% 35%* 50% 35% 35%...
TRANSCRIPT
-
Dialog Axiata PLCSri Lanka's Premier Connectivity Provider
Q4 2017/FY 2017 Results
an axiata company
-
divi/doc title/ author initials -dd-mm-yy 2company confidential
Dialog Group Performance
Dialog Axiata Company Performance
Subsidiary Performance
2
-
3
Group Concluded FY 2017 Delivering Growth Across all Key Parameters• FY 2017 Group Revenue at Rs94.2Bn, growth of 9% YTD• FY 2017 Group EBITDA at Rs33.9n, growth of 16% YTD; Group EBITDA Margin at 36.0%, growth of 2.3pp YTD• FY 2017 Group PAT grew 19% YTD to reach Rs10.8Bn
Q4 2017 Performance Impacted by Moderate Data Revenue Growth and Increased Marketing Spend• Q4 Group Revenue at Rs24.8Bn, growth moderated to 2% QoQ: Up 9% YoY• Q4 Group EBITDA at Rs9.1Bn declined by 3% QoQ: Up 23% YoY• Q4 Group PAT at Rs3.2Bn declined by 15% QoQ : Up >100% YoY
FY 2017 Capex Directed Towards Expanding Data Network• 4G and Fixed LTE population coverage reached 43% and 53% respectively• Capex of Rs27.3Bn – up 18% YTD; Capex Intensity of 29%
All Business Units Delivered Strong Performance• Dialog Mobile continued to grow underpinned by Data adoption – Data Growth of 39% YTD and 1% QoQ• Dialog Broadband Networks (DBN) – Fourth consecutive quarter of positive PAT (Rs1.8Bn for FY 2017)• Dialog Television (DTV) – Aggressive cost initiatives driving EBITDA growth of 49% YTD
Strong Subscriber Growth • Mobile subscriber base of over 12.7Mn – up by 8% YTD• TV subscriber base of 981k, 142k net adds during the year
Cash dividend of Forty Six Cents (Rs0.46) per Share Totaling Rs3.7Bn• 35% DPO Recommended for Shareholder Approval
Driving Digital Transformation• Narrowband Internet of Things (NB-IoT) – First to launch in South Asia, enables seamless connectivity amongst devices • USD 15Mn Digital Innovation Fund Launched – Support emerging companies in the field of digital based services
Dialog Posts PAT of Rs10.8Bn up 19% Driven by Revenue Growth (9%) & Cost ManagementCash Dividend of 46 Cents per Share Recommended for Shareholder Approval
3
-
4
Group Financial Summary
All key financial indicators improved significantly YTD with revenue growing at 9% whilst EBITDA and PAT grew 16% and 19% respectively
QoQ performance in Q4 - impacted by moderate growth in data traffic and increase in cost; Q4 Profitability further impacted by increase in depreciation and net finance cost
Rs Mn FY 2017 YTD Q4 17 QoQ YoY
Revenue 94,196 9% 24,801 2% 9%
EBITDA 33,866 16% 9,115 -3% 23%
PAT 10,785 19% 3,171 -15% >100%
EBITDA Margin 36.0% 2.3pp 36.8% -2.0pp 4.2pp
PAT Margin 11.4% 1.0pp 12.8% -2.6pp 7.3pp
ROIC 15.4% 0.0pp 15.4% +0.4pp 0.0pp
4
-
5
Group Revenue Continued its Growth Trajectory, Recording a Growth of 9% YTDand 2% QoQ
24,801 24,218 22,775
94,196 86,745
Q4 17 Q3 17 Q4 16 FY 2017 FY 2016
+2%
+9% +9%
Strong Growth in Mobile Revenue YTD up 10%, with Mobile Data Revenue growing 39% YTD driven byincreased smartphone penetration and 4G conversion; QoQ growth moderated to 1% due to constraineddata traffic growth
International Revenue declined 7% YTD and 5% QoQ due to significant reduction in termination minutes,partly mitigated by growth in wholesale business
Aggressive customer acquisition and reconnections driving Fixed Home Broadband Revenue growth of 11%QoQ and 53% YTD
Television Revenue growth challenged due to declining postpaid ARPU amidst affordability pressure
Growth Across Key Business Segments Driving Revenue Performance
5
(Rs Mn)
-
6
9,115 9,400 7,422
33,86629,212
36.8% 38.8%32.6%
36.0% 33.7%25.0%
35.0%
45.0%
55.0%
65.0%
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Q4 17 Q3 17 Q4 16 FY 2017 FY 2016
EBITDA EBITDA Margin
+23%
-3%
PAT Growth of 19% YTD; PAT Margin up +1pp; QoQ Q4 PAT Impacted by Drop in EBITDA and Higher Non Operating Costs
3,171 3,721
1,251
10,785 9,041
12.8%15.4%
5.5%11.4% 10.4%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
-
600
1,200
1,800
2,400
3,000
3,600
4,200
4,800
5,400
6,000
6,600
7,200
7,800
8,400
9,000
9,600
10,200
10,800
Q4 17 Q3 17 Q4 16 FY 2017 FY 2016
PAT PAT Margin
+153%
-15%
Q4 17
Rs15,686MnTotal Cost
2.8%
As % of revenue
25.2%
14.6%
11.5%
9.3%
-0.2%
63.2%
Bad Debt
Overheads
Staff Cost
Network Cost
Sales & Marketing
Direct Expenses
Q3 17
Rs14,818Mn
As % of revenue
25.1%
12.7%
12.7%
8.4%
0.8%
1.5%
61.2%
Q4 16
Rs15,353Mn
As % of revenue
27.8%
15.0%
12.9%
8.1%
1.4%
2.2%
67.4%
YoY
-1%
6%
-3%
26%
-114%
2.2%
31%
QoQ
3%
18%
-7%
13%
97%
5.8%
-123%
Growth in Profitability Delivered via Revenue Growth and Cost Efficiencies;EBITDA Margin Improved by 2.3pp YTD
(Rs Mn)
Total Cost to Revenue Ratio Improved by 2.3pp Driven by Disciplined Cost ManagementRealised Cost Saving of Over Rs4Bn YTD
+16%(Rs Mn)
+19%
FY 2017
Rs60,330Mn
As % of revenue
25.6%
14.2%
12.6%
8.4%
0.7%
2.5%
64.0%
YTD
0%
8%
10%
15%
-40%
4.9%
15%
Strong YTD EBITDA Growth and Improved EBITDA Margin; QoQ Q4 EBITDA Impacted by Higher Cost
6
-
7
10,188 6,608
10,431
27,323 23,173
-
5,00 0
10,0 00
15,0 00
20,0 00
25,0 00
Q4 17 Q3 17 Q4 16 FY 2017 FY 2016
41% 27% 46% 29% 27%
(3,371)
1,393
(4,644)
(269) 83 -14%6%
-20%
-0.3% 0.1%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
(7,000)
(5,000)
(3,000)
(1,000)
1,000
3,000
5,000
Q4 17 Q3 17 Q4 16 FY 2017 FY 2016
OFCF As % of revenue
Focused Capex Investments to Support Rapid Growth in Data - Rs27.3Bn Investedin FY 2017, Up 18%; Capex Intensity at 29%
* Capex excluding CPE (Customer Premises Equipment) investments
Capex Investments Directed Towards Expanding Data Network; Mobile 4G LTE and Fixed LTE PoP Coverage Reached 43% and 53%
-2%
+54%
CapexIntensity
(Rs Mn)
Q4 17 Q3 17 Q4 16 FY 2017 FY 2016
Negative OFCF due to Increased Capex Investments in Q4
+27%
>-100%
(Rs Mn)
+18%
>-100%
ROIC Maintained at 15.4% in FY 2017
16.2 19.2 13.6 19.6 23.2 27.3
14.2%
10.9%10.3%
12.3%
15.4%15.4%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
18.00%
0.00%
500.00%
1000.00%
1500.00%
2000.00%
2500.00%
3000.00%
FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017
Capex* ROIC
7
-
8
Group’s Net Debt to EBITDA Remained Healthy Below 0.90x with ImprovedProfitability and Working Capital Management
(Rs Mn)31 Dec 17 30 Sep 17 31 Dec 16
Gross Debt 33,470 33,417 32,562
Net Debt 28,185 29,468 26,152
Cash and Cash Equivalents 5,285 3,949 6,410
Gross Debt / Equity (x) 0.54 0.57 0.60
Gross Debt/ EBITDA (x) 0.99 1.01 1.11
Net Debt/ EBITDA (x) 0.83 0.89 0.90
Group continued to maintain a structurally strong balance sheet, with Net Debt to EBITDA maintained at 0.83x
8
-
9
Proposed Dividend Payout of 35% - Dividend Yield of 3.5%, TSR of 27.5% in 2017Dividend Payout Increased from 39 Cents in FY 2016 to 46 Cents Per Share in FY 2017
▪ The Board of Directors of Dialog Axiata PLC, resolved to propose for consideration by the Shareholders of the Company,a cash dividend to ordinary shareholders amounting to forty six cents (46 cents) per share totaling to Rs3.7Bn
▪ Dividend payout increased on a per share basis from 39 cents in FY 2016 to 46 cents in FY 2017;✓ Considering investment requirements to serve the nation’s demand for Mobile, Fixed, Broadband and Digital
Television services✓ Dividend payout ratio of 35% of FY2017 Group Net Profits✓ Dividend yield of 3.5% based on a closing share price of Rs13.0 as at 29th December 2017
▪ The dates of the AGM and the dividend payment will be notified in due course
2.72.4
1.1
2.6
3.2
3.7
0
1
2
3
4
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
(Rs Bn)
33c/share
29c/share
13c/share
32c/share
39c/share
46c/share
Dividend Payout Translating to an Attractive Dividend Per Share (DPS) & Dividend Yield
Total Shareholder Returns (TSR) at 27.5% in 2017, Relative to Total Market Return (based on ASPI) of 2.7%
9.6%12.4%
51.0%
-18.6%
1.1%
27.5%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Total Shareholder Return (TSR) Trend (2012-17)
35%35%50%35%*45%45%
3.5%3.0%1.0%3.2%4.0%
Dividend payout (DPO)
Dividend Yield (DY)
9* DPO on one-off tax adjusted Profit in FY 2014
3.7%
-
109
Dialog Group Performance
Dialog Axiata Company Performance
Subsidiary Performance
10
-
11
10,572 11,008 11,158 11,350 11,498
1,253 1,260 1,271 1,314 1,299
Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 170
2,0 00
4,0 00
6,0 00
8,0 00
10, 000
12, 000
Postpaid Subs Prepaid Subs
20,171 20,055 19,007
77,59672,951
15, 000
25, 000
35, 000
45, 000
55, 000
65, 000
75, 000
Q4 17 Q3 17 Q4 16 FY 2017 FY 2016
(Rs Mn) +6%
+1%
Q4 PAT Impacted by Increase in Depreciation, Net Finance Cost and Forex Losses
+6%
Dialog Axiata PLC (Company)Revenue Growth of 6% Driven by Subscriber Growth (up 8%) and Data (up 39%)
Aggressive Subscriber Acquisition led to the Growth in Subscribers
12,26811,825 12,429 12,66412,797
Total subs growth +1% QoQ; +8% YTD
Postpaid subs growth -1% QoQ; +4% YTD
Prepaid subs growth +1% QoQ; +9% YTD
Mobile MOU and ARPU Declined QoQ while Data ARPUs Remained Stable
393 375 383 398 392
128 123
120 122 118 -3%-5%
2%4%
-2%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17
Blended ARPU Blended MOU Blended ARPU Growth
FY 2017 YTD Q4 2017 QoQ YoY
EBITDA 27,001 +8% 7,441 +1% +21%
PAT 10,501 +2% 3,103 -6% +60%
EBITDA Margin % 34.8% 0.5pp 36.9% +0.1pp +4.4pp
PAT Margin % 13.5% -0.6pp 15.4% -1.2pp +5.2pp
Strong Data Growth Driving Increase in Revenue Albeit Moderated in Q4
11
-
1211
Dialog Group Performance
Dialog Axiata Company Performance
Subsidiary Performance
12
-
13
FY 2017 YTD Q4 2017 QoQ YoY
EBITDA 572 +49% 195 -4% >+100%
PAT -736 -14% -103 +2% +65%
EBITDA Margin % +9.5% +3.2pp +13.1% -0.4pp +8.2pp
PAT Margin % -12.3% -1.7pp -6.9% +0.1pp +12.9pp
Dialog TelevisionYTD EBITDA up 49%, Driven by Stable Revenues and Aggressive Cost Focus
1,488 1,499 1,508
6,002 6,085
1,0 00
2,0 00
3,0 00
4,0 00
5,0 00
6,0 00
Q4 17 Q3 17 Q4 16 FY 2017 FY 2016
(Rs Mn)
-1%
-1%
TV Revenue Remained Stable Despite Downward Pressure on Postpaid ARPU due to High Taxation (49%) and Resulting
Affordability Pressures; Subscription Revenue up 2% QoQ and 3% YTD
EBITDA Improved by 49% YTD on the back of Aggressive Cost Initiatives albeit Net Loss Increased by 14% YTD on the back of Higher Depreciation and Forex Losses
431 426 427 421 435
408 440 484 505546
Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17
Post paid Pre Paid
Prepaid Subscriber Base Continued to Register Strong Growth of 34% YTD and 8% QoQ
Total subs growth +6% QoQ; +17% YTDPostpaid subs growth +3% QoQ; +1% YTDPrepaid subs growth +8% QoQ; +34% YTD
911867839926 981
(in ‘000s)
-1%
(Rs Mn)
13
-
14
3,260 3,1662,563
12,367
9,323
1,0 00
3,0 00
5,0 00
7,0 00
9,0 00
11, 000
13, 000
Q4 17 Q3 17 Q4 16 FY 2017 FY 2016
Dialog Broadband Networks – Fixed BusinessRevenue Growth Underpinned by Home Broadband (HBB) on the back of Network CoverageEnhancements and Aggressive Market Capture
(Rs Mn)
+27%
+3%
Strong Growth in HBB Revenue Driving YTD and QoQ Revenue Improvement
+33%
(Rs Mn) FY 2017 YTD Q4 2017 QoQ YoY
EBITDA 6,930 +74% 1,859 -3% +52%
PAT 1,769 >+100% 562 -12% >+100%
EBITDA Margin % 56.0% +13.3pp 57.0% -3.6pp +9.3pp
PAT Margin % 14.3% +18.4pp 17.2% -3.0pp +29.8pp
14
-
15
Thank You
15