digging the hole deeper: the national pensions review and tax incentives for pensions gerard hughes...
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Percentage of Pensioners at Risk of Poverty in the EU in 2001TRANSCRIPT
Digging the Hole Deeper: The National Pensions Review and Tax
Incentives for Pensions
Gerard HughesEconomic and Social Research Institute
Presented at Pensions Forum 2006
Dublin Castle Conference Centre5 May 2006
Overview of Presentation
1. The pensions problem & NPR proposals 2. How effective are the State and the private
sector in delivering pensions? 3. Is the private pension system likely to pay
higher pensions?4. How should we provide for pensions in the
future?
Percentage of Pensioners at Risk of Poverty in the EU in 2001
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
NL LU SW GE IT EU15FR SP FI AT UK BE PT GR IRL
Projected Increase in Cost of Public Pensions in EU15 between 2004 and 2050
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
Greece
*
Portug
al
Luxe
mbourg
Spain
Belgium
France Ita
ly
Finlan
d
German
y
EU-15+
Denmar
k
Austria
Sweden
Netherl
ands
Irelan
d UK
2004
2050
The Pensions Board Proposals
1. No change in targets: 50% RR pre-retirement income; 34% RR for State pension; 70% coverage rate for over 30s (NPR, p. 5 “…the OACP is now below the risk-of-poverty line”)
2. Give State incentive for PRSA as a €1 for €1 matching contribution rather than as a tax relief
3. Give tax relief for other private pension saving at the higher rate for all personal contributions
4. Eliminate the fact-finding questionnaire required at point of sale of standard PRSA
5. Give incentives to put proceeds of SSIAs into pension saving
Percentage of All Pensioner Units Receiving Income from Each Source
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20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
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90%
100%
Benefit income Occupational/Personalpension
Investment income Earnings Other income
Percentage of Pensioners' Income Provided by Each Source
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60%
Benefit income Occupational pension Investment income Earnings Other income
Incomes of Male and Female Single Pensioners
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20
40
60
80
100
120
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200
Males Females
Other incomeEarningsInvestment incomeOccupational/personal pensionBenefit income
Sources of Average Gross Income of All Pensioner Units by Income Quintile
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50
100
150
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Bottom Second Third Fourth Top
IR £ Other income
EarningsInvest-ment incomeOccup-ational pensionBenefit income
Some Facts About the Private Pension System 1. Coverage of occupational schemes
All DB DC1985 44% 1992 33% 5%2004 40% 2004 27% 13%
2. Approximately 30% DB schemes underfunded3. IAPF survey: average DC contribution = 10%
(NPR p. 102.: “In the great majority of cases, at present only members of …[DB] schemes appear to have a reasonable chance of achieving the NPPI adequacy targets”)
4. PRSA employee take-up Dec 2005: 1.6% of labour force
Distribution of Pension Tax Relief on Employee & Self-Employed Contributions
by Income Quintiles Around 2000
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
1 2 3 4 5
Employees Self-Employed
Approved Retirement Funds and Tax Avoidance
Small Self-Administered Scheme set up. Value of the fund at retirement c. €100 million 25% of fund taken as tax-free lump sum Remaining 75% invested in an ARF “The analysis does suggest, …, that for those who
have the capacity to survive in retirement without the need to rely on funds invested in an ARF, our “EET” system of pension taxation is much closer to an “EEE” system where effectively no tax is paid, or if it is, it is at a low rate and far into the future”
DoF Section G: Tax Relief for Pensions Provision, p. G.22
How Should We Provide for Pensions in the Future?
1. Raise basic State pension to prevent poverty in retirement
2. Reduce cap on pension contributions from €254,000 p.a. to a reasonable multiple of GAIE & gradually change the incentives to favour lower & middle income earners
3. Use additional revenue & increase PRSI to pay for increases in State pension
4. Gradually increase the retirement age, LFPRs, and the skill level of the labour force