discovering the impact of climate change on the marine species, aquamaps
DESCRIPTION
Presentation by Nicolas Bailly, FIN on how iMarine facilitated the production of distribution maps by reducing the calculation time.TRANSCRIPT
iMarine Event; a platform for collaboration
29 September 2014, Brussels (Belgium)
Discovering the impact of climate change
on the marine species
iMarine Event 29 September 2014, Brussels Belgium
on the marine species
AquaMaps
Nicolas BAILLY
FishBase Information and Research Group
and WorldFish
Who we are
• FIN: FishBase Information and Research Group
• www.fin.ph, started in 2003 (NGO,
Philippines)
• Support the availability of comprehensive • Support the availability of comprehensive
information system(s) with key data on all
aquatic organisms of the world, easily
accessible and free-of-charge to the public
• FishBase, Catalogue of Life, AquaMaps,
SeaLifeBase
What our communities are
• Biodiversity Informatics
• Fisheries
• Aquatic Biodiversity Conservation
• Support the management of aquatic natural
resources balancing exploitation and
conservation for a sustainable use
Biodiversity data challenge
• Biodiversity ARE NOT ONLY point data
• Scattered in literature, researcher personal
files, archives on various medias, lost, not
digitized
• Not standardized (yet)
• Point data not properly curated by providers
Biodiversity data challenge
• Hooked to taxa through names, preferably
species (+ locality = populations/stocks)
• Taxa that are taxonomic group hypotheses
always falsifiable, including at species level
• Labeled with names that can change as
character strings
• With a too high rate of specimen
misidentification
Biodiversity data challenge
• IPR issues, in particular exploitation data
leading to aggregations, fuzzification, and
more … before dissemination
• Publishing and sharing data is only a recent
trend < 2 decades (TDWG since mid 80s)
• No common repositories in general, some • No common repositories in general, some
restricted domain exceptions, and when exist
no clear mandate to focus on data curation
• Competition between information systems
that countries want to control by themselves
iMarine helped us to address challenges
• Facilitating the connection between datasets
• Standardizing the access to datasets
• Providing hardware and software resources
that would not be affordable for small entities
like FIN in terms of funds …like FIN in terms of funds …
• … but even more in terms of trained staff
• Publishing, sharing and disseminating data
AquaMaps: From point data …
Gadus morhua, data and map from OBIS, ~860,000
… to distribution maps
AquaMaps – how does it work?
• Bathymetry• Temperature
– Sea surface temperature (SST) for pelagic species (0-200 m)– Bottom temperature for non-pelagic species (>200 m)
• Salinity• Salinity– Sea surface salinity for pelagic species– Bottom salinity for non-pelagic species
• Primary production• Sea Ice Concentration• Distance to land (for special cases)
�Global raster: 0.5 degree lat x lon
= 180,000 cells
Probability
Environmental envelopes
AquaMaps – how does it work?
AquaMaps – Biodiversity Hotspots & Climate Change
Probability
Observedmin
Observedmax
Optimal range10th to 90th percentiles
Environmentallayer values
75th percentile +(IQR*1.5)
25th percentile -(IQR*1.5)
IQR = interquartile range
AquaMaps – how does it work?
AquaMaps – Biodiversity Hotspots & Climate Change
AquaMaps – how does it work?
AquaMaps – Biodiversity Hotspots & Climate Change
Solea Solea – Common Sole
Ready et al, accepted
… to climate change maps (year 2100)
2100
iMarine Event 29 September 2014, Brussels Belgium
2014
Standardized distribution maps for over 17,300 species
of fishes, marine mammals and invertebrates
Species
Richness by
Half degree
cell for 2010
Species
Richness by
Half degree
cell for 2050
23 hotspots in
Coral Triangle
and adjacent
seas in 2010
29 hotspots
in 2050
but smaller
Spratleys and
Visayan Sea
The areas
loosing
more species
But in
proportion
pelagic areas
are the
loosers
iMarine solution: previous situation
• Efforts of TDWG: intellectually outstanding,
but production of common tools slow
• General Biodiversity platforms (in 2008)
– only started to be planned (LifeWatch, BioFresh)
or being built (ALA),
– or too domain restricted (point/occurrence data), – or too domain restricted (point/occurrence data),
Taxon names (CoL, GNA/GNI), IUCN (threat
status),
– or no capacity of analysis (EoL)
iMarine solution: networking
• iMarine since D4Science (2008), with FAO in
the consortium, interesting from the fisheries
point of view: re-establishing collaboration
• OBIS (UNESCO) joined in 2012
• CoL and WoRMS involved• CoL and WoRMS involved
• GBIF data were made available
iMarine solution: shared resources
• High level support for developments (research
and technical) under new IT technologies
• Access to high level hardware resources and
computing capacities
• As well as software implementation (R, GIS): • As well as software implementation (R, GIS):
integration of any existing a priori possible
• Open source and “LAN-alone” usable
Outcome
• Management of large datasets
• Reduction of computing time of 3* 12,000
maps * 3 from 3 days down to 4-5h (live
demonstration by the end 2011 during the
D4Science-II final review)D4Science-II final review)
• Possibility to compute GIS layers and make
them available for another e-infrastructure:
BioFresh
• Access to other environmental parameters
Outcome
• Potentiality to increase by one degree of
magnitude the frequency of AquaMaps
updates
• Progressive automation of all steps:
– Get data from GBIF/OBIS– Get data from GBIF/OBIS
– Select good data: removing outliers
– BiOnym: matching names
– Environmental parameters: point data enrichment
– Portability of the algorithm to R: EU BON
– Map comparison: model vs specialist (FAO, IUCN)
HCAF
TaxonTable
(Name)?
GoodCells
Pointdata
Get point data
Determine presence cells
Generate envelopes
(except depth)
HSPEN
Provides Species ID
Provides BB/FAO
area (and depth
envelope) data
AquaMaps - Schematic Overview:
Alternative
modelling
algorithms
GBIF/
OBIS
Alternative
predictions
HCAF
Envelope
Generation
Species Data
Acquisition &
Pre-Processing
AquaMaps project
functionalities & tables etc
Functionalities implemented in
current AquaMaps VRE
Functionalities planned for
implementation during
D4Science II
Functionalities partially
implemented in current
AquaMaps VRE
Requires
synchronisation
after expert-
review!
FishBase/
SLB
TableName?
Can be modified by direct or
indirect expert input
Interactive mapDisplayed using
• Csquares mapper
• fully functional GIS tool
HSPEN
Generate probabilities of
species occurrence (PSO)HCAF
Map probabilitiesOutput for
further use• image
• csv download
• GIS import/expert format
• Dynamic integration
with other VREs
Multi-species
analysis• Biodiversity maps
• Lat / Lon transects
• MPA planning
•Conservation planning
tools
Environ-
mental
input data
VRE: User-
defined generic
modification of
cell values
Validation• expert-review
• extended expert-review
• comparison with FAO maps
•Statistical analysis
HSPEC
VRE: User-defined
weighting of
envelopes
Implemented in D4Science
AquaMaps VRE 10/2009
PSO
GenerationSpecies
input data
Alternative temporal
& spatial resolutions
Future: development
• A complete automated AquaMaps production
• Improve the dissemination of GIS layers
• Refine the scale (currently Half Degree Cell)
down to ¼ and 1/10 for coastal areas for down to ¼ and 1/10 for coastal areas for
national and local uses
• 3D
• Refine the validation tool by specialists
Future: production
Use of AquaMaps for :
• Seafood traceability (Frequenz)
• KBA definition: aquatic Key Biodiversity Areas
(GEF)
• Compute winners and losers with respect to • Compute winners and losers with respect to
Climate Change (ACB, Philippine Seas)
Use iMarine for:
• triggering policy making
Data, Information, Knowledge,
(Understanding), WisdomU
nd
ers
tan
din
g
Data A given specimen is 35 cm long and is in
a given maturity state
InformationA given species has a length at maturity
of 56 cm
Fishing a species below its length at
Un
de
rsta
nd
ing
KnowledgeFishing a species below its length at
maturity collapses the fishery
Wisdom*
For a sustainable fishery, a decision is
taken that a given species must not be
fished smaller than the length at
maturity*= management here
•DIK(U)W hierarchy from Data to Wisdom
(Zeleny, 1987; Ackoff, 1989)N. Bailly (WorldFish)
Only research?U
nd
ers
tan
din
g
Data
Collect data following a protocol pre-
established
Information
Synthesizing data into information with
analytical tools
Un
de
rsta
nd
ing
Knowledge
Interpretation of information to
constitute a corpus of knowledge
Management
Transform the knowledge in political
and managerial decisions
N. Bailly (WorldFish)
TRIGGERS
Thank you