distribution of disease2
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Distribution
of Disease
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Distribution of disease
Distribution is an essential component in
descriptive epidemiology and refers to thestudy or summary of the frequencies of
disease or values of ameasurement
according to groups definedby factors such as age, time and place.
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measurement values ofdistribution of disease
Concept of rate and ratio
Incidence measurement
Mortality measurement
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1. The concept of rate andratio
Ratio, is also called relativeratio, it is the quotient of two
values, which reflects the relativelevel of two values and oftenexpressed by multiple or percent.
Rate AB
10 0
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proportion
Proportion reflects the proportionor distribution of parts of certain
entirety and often expressed bypercent.
proportionthe number of part
the number of entirety
100
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
(1) incidence rate
Within a certain time and a certain population
and estimated by counting the number of new
cases of disease.
k=100% 1000
IR number of new cases in a certain population /
number at risk in the same timek
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
To descript the distribution of disease
To explore the pathogenesis
To put forward the hypothesis of pathogenesis
To evaluate the effect of the prevention and curemeasures.
Application of incidence rate
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
(2) attack rate
k=
riskatpeopleofnumbertotal
developsillnesscertainaAR
The proportion of persons within a
population who develop a particular outcome
within a specified period of time
k=100% 1000
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
(3) prevalence rate
The proportion of person in a given
population that has a particular disease at a
point or interval of time
k=100%, 1000,
PR number of new or old cases /
persons at risk in the same time k
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
The factors influence on prevalence rate
incidence rate and course of disease
(3) prevalence rate
DIP =
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
(3) prevalence rate
Application prevalence rate often
represents occurence or epidemicsituation of chronic disease.
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(4) infection rate
Is the proportion affected by a disease of a
investigated and often expressed by present.
Application IR can research affectedsituation of some infectious disease or
parasitic disease and effect of prevention
and curation.
IR number of affected cases /investigated persons
100%
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
(5)secondary attack rate SAR
Application SAR can represent theintensity of infectious power, analyze
epidemic factor and evaluate the effect of
prevention measurements.
SAR number of second-affected cases
/susceptible persons 100%
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
2.mortality measurement
(1)mortality rate
The proportion of persons within a given
population die from a particular disease.
k 1000MR death number /average population k
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
Application Crude mortality rate represents
total death level, which is synthetical reflection
of culture and health level of country or area.
(1)mortality rate
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
(2)fatality rate
Is the proportion of persons within a
population affected by a particular disease that
dies from the disease within a specified periodof time.
FR number of deaths /number of diagnosed
patients 100%
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
(4)potential years of life lost, PYLL
=
=e
i
iidaPYLL
1
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
outbreak
A sudden ,unexpected increase in the
occurrence of a disease within a
relatively limited geographic area
The affected patients have the same route of
transmission and source of infection
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
three primary Distribution of
disease
place distribution
time distribution
persons distribution
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
Time distribution 1 rapid fluctuation 2 seasonally 3 periodicity 4 secular trend
(secular change)
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
Person distribution of disease
age
sex
occupation
race
Social class
Marriage and family
behave
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
(1) age
Age is perhaps the most important factor
because there is greater variation in age-
specific disease rates than in rates defined by
almost any other personal attribute. for
example, measles, mumps tend to occur
most commonly in childhood.
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
(3) occupation
Different occupation have different influence
on incidence rate mortality rate of disease
because different physical factor, medicalfactor, biological factor and spirit factor can
lead to different diseases.
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E P I D E M I O L O G Y A N D
H E A L T H S T A T I S T I C S
1 9 5 7
(4) race and ethnicity
Persons with different race and ethnicity
have different genetic factor, custom,natural
condition and religion, which can lead todifferent diseases.
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