distribution of mutation effects and adaptation in an rna virus christina burch unc chapel hill

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Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

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Page 1: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus

Christina Burch

UNC Chapel Hill

Page 2: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill
Page 3: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

We know a lot about selection

J. W. Dudley, R. J. Lambert, Plant Breed. Rev. 24 (part 1), 79 (2004).

Ronald Fisher

R = h2S

Page 4: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

We know less about the resulting adaptations.

J. W. Dudley, R. J. Lambert, Plant Breed. Rev. 24 (part 1), 79 (2004).

Original population range

Ronald Fisher

Page 5: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

The Goal:

Measure the distribution of spontaneous mutation effects.

-0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1

mutation effect (s)

Pro

ba

bili

ty d

en

sity

Page 6: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

The Data

We conduct laboratory evolution experiments using microbes so that we can monitor evolution in

real time.

Page 7: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

bacteriophage+

bacteria

Growing bacteriophage in the lab

Page 8: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Assaying fitness of phage genotypes

Page 9: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Small population

Large population

Page 10: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Small population

Page 11: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Small population

Page 12: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Small population

Page 13: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Small population

Page 14: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Small population

Page 15: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Small population

Page 16: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Small population

Page 17: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

-1.5

-1.25

-1

-0.75

-0.5

-0.25

0

0.25

0 10 20 30 40 50

Generation

Log(

fitne

ss)

Fitness Loss

Page 18: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

-1.5

-1.25

-1

-0.75

-0.5

-0.25

0

0.25

0 10 20 30 40 50

Generation

Log(

fitne

ss)

Fitness Loss

Genome sequencing reveals that one mutation was acquired right here

Page 19: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

-1.5

-1.25

-1

-0.75

-0.5

-0.25

0

0.25

0 10 20 30 40 50

Generation

Log(

fitne

ss)

Fitness Loss

Statistics can give the same answer, and statistics are much cheaper!

Page 20: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Large population

Page 21: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Large population

Page 22: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Adaptation

Generation

Log(

fitne

ss)

-1.5

-1.25

-1

-0.75

-0.5

-0.25

0

0.25

0 25 50 75 100

Page 23: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Adaptation

Generation

Log(

fitne

ss)

-1.5

-1.25

-1

-0.75

-0.5

-0.25

0

0.25

0 25 50 75 100

Genome sequencing of the endpoint reveals TWO new mutations.

Page 24: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Adaptation

Generation

Log(

fitne

ss)

-1.5

-1.25

-1

-0.75

-0.5

-0.25

0

0.25

0 25 50 75 100

Again, statistics can give the same answer.

Page 25: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

The Goal:

Measure the distribution of spontaneous mutation effects.

-0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1

mutation effect (s)

Pro

ba

bili

ty d

en

sity

Page 26: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

A slightly simpler goal:

Measure the distribution of spontaneous mutation effects in a well adapted genome.

-0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1

mutation effect (s)

Pro

ba

bili

ty d

en

sity

Page 27: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

The Goal: Measure the distribution of spontaneous mutation effects in a well adapted genome.

Burch, C. L. et al. (2007) Genetics 176:467-476.

…40 days…

…40 days…

…40 days…

.

.

.10 lineages

Page 28: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Genome sequence at the start and end of the experiment tells us how many mutations accumulated.

Accumulated Mutations.

LineageSegment /nt mutationa,b

Gene orRegion Functional consequence

A S/a1378gS/c2164tS/a2453gM/a804gL/c489t

P9P53’ UTR1st IGRP7

K13RA182V

S11L

B L/a270g P14 M1V; start codon lost

C S/t1867cS/g2141aS/c2627tM/a491gM/t760cM/a3660gL/a5166gL/g5774a

P5P53’UTRP101st IGRP13P1P1

V83ASilent

K42R

E51GN406DSilent

Page 29: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

We also measure fitness every day.p

laq

ue a

rea

transfer

Page 30: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Fitness measures, alone, allow identification of many mutations.

Page 31: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Effects of observed mutations

0

5

10

Num

ber

of m

uta

tion

s

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

mutation effect (s)

Page 32: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

0

5

10

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

Nu

mb

er

of

mu

tatio

ns Observed Sample

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

mutation effect (s)

Pro

ba

bili

ty d

en

sity Unknown Population of

Spontaneous Mutations

Estimating distribution shapes by Maximum Likelihood

Page 33: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Excellent correspondence between the likelihood analysis and the molecular data

Genome sequencing:

56 total mutations.

32 non-synonymous mutations.

Maximum Likelihood Estimates

# deleterious mutations = 34

Average effect (s) = 0.142

Burch, C. L. et al. (2007) Genetics 176:467-476.

0

5

10

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

s

prob

abili

ty d

ensi

ty

Page 34: Distribution of Mutation Effects and Adaptation in an RNA Virus Christina Burch UNC Chapel Hill

Acknowledgements

• Phyllis Driscoll UNC Biology• Sebastien Guyader

• Mihee Lee UNC Statistics• Dan Samarov • Haipeng Shen

National Institutes of Health