dividend discount models dynamic chart
TRANSCRIPT
Dynamic Chart
Inputs
Inflation Rate 3.0% 6
Earnings Retention Rate 50.0% 5
OutputsReal Discount Rate (Real k) 9.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% 11.0% 12.0%Intrinsic Value / Share $176 $235 $202 $176 $156 $139 $125
Nominal Discount Rate (k) 12.3%Stage 1: Explicit Forecast
Historical Data Horizon (ROI > k)Period -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4Inflation Rate 2.8% 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%Real Return on Investment (Real ROI) 22.3% 20.7% 19.0% 17.0% 15.0% 13.0%Nominal Return on Investment (ROI) 25.7% 24.4% 22.6% 20.5% 18.4% 16.4%Real Growth Rate in Dividend (Real g) 11.2% 10.4% 9.5% 8.5% 7.5% 6.5%Nominal Growth Rate in Dividend (g) 14.5% 13.7% 12.8% 11.8% 10.7% 9.7%Nominal Dividend / Share $5.10 $5.84 $6.64 $7.49 $8.37 $9.27 $10.17 Continuation Value / ShareSum of Future Div. & Cont. Value/Shr $7.49 $8.37 $9.27 $10.17 PV of Future Div. & Cont. Value / Shr $6.67 $6.64 $6.55 $6.40 Intrinsic Value / Share $176.26
DIVIDEND DISCOUNT MODELS
7.0%
7.5%
8.0%
8.5%
9.0%
9.5%
10.0
%10
.5%
11.0
%11
.5%
12.0
%
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
Dynamic Chart of Two Stage Dividend Discount Model
Real Discount Rate
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Stage 2:Infinite
Stage 1: Explicit Forecast HorizonHorizon (ROI > k) (ROI = k)
5 63.0% 3.0%
11.0% 9.0%14.3% 12.3%
5.5% 4.5%8.7% 7.6%
$11.05 $11.89$256.51$267.56$150.00
7.0%
7.5%
8.0%
8.5%
9.0%
9.5%
10.0
%10
.5%
11.0
%11
.5%
12.0
%
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
Dynamic Chart of Two Stage Dividend Discount Model
Real Discount Rate
Ins
trin
sic
V
alu
e /
Sh
r