dnpa - payment for public goods - efncp · 2019. 2. 19. · title: microsoft powerpoint - dnpa -...

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How might we value & pay for public goods DNPA Workshop, February 2019 Prof Brett Day

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Page 1: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

How might we value & pay

for public goods

DNPA Workshop, February 2019

Prof Brett Day

Page 2: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

‘Public money for public goods!’ Scheme design

Page 3: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Types of ‘goods’

Private Public

Have to pay to acquire and

benefits enjoyed only by owner.

Available to everyone and they

don’t have to pay for it.

Page 4: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Providing Public goods

Costly changes

on farmPublic Good Beneficiaries

Social

Value

yes

no

i = 1

£WTPi

N

£0

Is social value greater than cost?

Page 5: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

What you do matters …

Page 6: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Where you do it matters …

Barnstaple

Exeter

Page 7: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Calculating values …

Page 8: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

ORVal

Page 9: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

NEV Model Suite

Page 10: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

NEVO

Page 11: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Principal

Agents

Incentives

Designing Schemes

Principal-Agent Problems

Page 12: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Getting Incentives Right

Page 13: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM
Page 14: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Pitsford

Alton

Grafham

Ardleigh

Ravensthorpe

… very small quantity breaks

standard

… new substitute pesticide more

costly

… farmer access, trust, moral

hazard

… actual pesticide use

unobservable

… uncertainty over substitute

efficacy

Design considerations:

… some farmers already organic

Page 15: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Product

Substitution

Payment

Discretionary

Top-Up

Payment

Uncertainty

Participation

Payment

Cost of

switching

Catchment

Performance

Bonus

Trust & Pre-

commitment

Asymmetric

Information

Scheme Design

Page 16: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

2014 2016

Scheme Design

Page 17: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Things to think about

1. Defining the scheme:

Objectives and

constraints

2. Designing the contracts:

What to pay for

3. Allocating the contracts:

Who to pay and how much

4. Implementing the scheme:

Monitoring and enforcing

Page 18: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Designing Contracts: What to pay for

Activity Outcome

Page 19: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Designing Contracts: Activity or Outcome?

Incentives

Activity:

• Do the activity … and no more

• Low cost activity ≠ high benefits

• Pay even if low actual benefits

Outcome:

• Encourages doing more

• Encourages innovation

• Only pay for actual benefits

Page 20: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Designing Contracts: Activity or Outcome?

Activity:

• When ‘scientists’ know best

what delivers outcome

Outcome:

• When farmers know best

what delivers outcome

Knowledge

Page 21: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Designing Contracts: Activity or Outcome?

Activity:

• Assets or land use easy to

verify

• Operational activity hard to

measure

Outcome:

• When & where? Varies over space

& time

• What Scale? Farm, catchment,

landscape?

• Who is responsible?

Measurability

Page 22: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Designing Contracts: Activity or Outcome?

Activity:

• Unexpected costs

Outcome:

• Unexpected costs

• Other farmers’ activities

• Environmental factors

Risk

Page 23: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Designing Contracts: Activity or Outcome?

Activity:

• Poor outcome risk falls

on purchaser

Outcome:

• Poor outcome risk falls

on farmer

Risk-Sharing

• Reward effort and

performance

• Activity fee and

performance bonus

Page 24: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Allocating Contracts: Who & how much?

• Posted Prices

• Competitive Tender

• Negotiation

Page 25: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Allocating Contracts: Negotiation

• Targeting particular

farms

• Special circumstances

• Strength of negotiating

position

Page 26: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Allocating Contracts: Posted Prices

• Prescribe activities or

performance

• Farmers choose whether

to participate at posted

price

Page 27: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Allocating Contracts: Auctions

Page 28: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

• Online bidding platform

• Calculates N from each project

• Bids as £ per tonne of N

• Lowest cost bids win

• Can update bid

Need to offset 40

tonnes of N each year

Pay farmers to plant cover

crops

Page 29: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

Need to offset 40

tonnes of N each year

• Different payments

for same thing

• Cunning farmers

sneak in last min bids

New Design:

• Open with a high price

• ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ or ‘Best bid’

• Too much demand … drop price

• Everyone paid the same

• No opportunity for sneaky bidding

Page 30: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

• Daily operational decisions make a difference

• Contribution of each farmer unobservable

Dartmoor

Page 31: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM
Page 32: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

• Objectives:

o Clear and measurable outcomes by which to judge success

o Consider potential perverse incentives

o Outcomes should relate to public good delivery

o Measure of outcome agreed across all parties … and

verifiable

Dartmoor

Page 33: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM

• Incentives:

Dartmoor Participation Payment:

o Align interests of farmers

Outcome Payment:

o Bonus on group achievement

payable to each individual

o Everyone gains/loses bonus

for exceedance/short fall

Activity Payment:

o Payment for measurable

activities correlated with

positive outcome

o Perverse-incentives

Individual Monitoring:

o Guarantee bonus if agree to

individual monitoring

Risk-Sharing:

o Activity payment with

outcome bonus

Page 34: DNPA - Payment for Public Goods - EFNCP · 2019. 2. 19. · Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - DNPA - Payment for Public Goods.pptx Author: jt Created Date: 2/15/2019 1:28:38 PM