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Do European Banks with a Covered Bond Program still
issue Asset-Backed Securities for funding?∗
Nils Boesel † Clemens Kool ‡ Stefano Lugo §
January 13, 2016
Abstract
The decline in the issuance of Asset-Backed Securities (ABS) since the financial crisis and
the comparative advantage of Covered Bonds (CBs) as a funding alternative to ABS raise
the question whether banks still issue ABS as a mean to receive funding. Employing double-
hurdle regression models on a dataset of 134 European banks observed during the period from
2007 to 2013, this study reveals that banks with a Covered Bond Program (CBP) securitize
ceteris paribus less of their assets. The estimated difference in ABS issuance is mainly driven by
banks more likely to issue ABS as a funding tool, rather than trying to manage their credit risk
exposure or meeting regulatory capital requirements. Consistently, a worse liquidity/funding
position results in higher levels of securitization only for banks without a CBP.
EFM-classification: 510, 520
JEL-classification: G21, G28
Keywords: Securitization, asset-backed securities, covered bonds, bank funding, capital relief
∗Part of this research was performed while Boesel was at the European Central Bank (ECB). We are grateful to
the ECB and J.P.Morgan for granting us access to part of the data used in this study. The views expressed in this
article are the authors’ only, and do not necessarily represent those of the ECB, the Bundesbank, or the CPB.†Deutsche Bundesbank. Wilhelm-Epstein-Strasse 14, 60431 Frankfurt am Main (Germany). Phone: +49 (0) 69
9566 3414. E-mail: [email protected]‡Centraal PlanBureau (CPB) and Utrecht University School of Economics (U.S.E.). Kriekenpitplein 21-22, 3584
EC Utrecht (Netherlands). Phone: +31 (0)30 253 9813. E-mail: [email protected]§Utrecht University School of Economics (U.S.E.). Kriekenpitplein 21-22, 3584 EC Utrecht (Netherlands). Phone:
+31(0)30 253 7297. E-mail: [email protected] (contact author).
1
1 Introduction
The issuance of Asset-Backed Securities (ABS)1 in Europe has decreased dramatically in size since
the advent of the 2007 financial crisis. According to SIFMA/AFME data,2 the amount of Euro
denominated structured finance products (excluding retained securities) issued in 2007 was Euro
418 billion; by 2012, the figure had shrunk to Euro 253 billion. Clearly, one of the main driver of this
trend is the central role that structured finance products have played in the unfolding of the crisis
in the United States (e.g., Coval, Jurek, and Stafford, 2009; Longstaff, 2010; Gorton and Metrick,
2012). European financial institutions were among the main investors in US ABS before the advent
of the crisis (Bertaut, DeMarco, Kamin, and Tryon, 2012), creating a direct link for contagion. This
has raised investors skepticism toward this class of complex financial products (e.g., Celerier and
Vallee, 2014). Despite the potential conflicts of interest and misaligned incentives that characterize
the originate-to-distribute banking scheme, European official institutions still regard ABS as key
instruments to allow banks to raise the necessary capital to provide consumers and Small and
Medium Enterprises (SMEs) with credit (European Commission, 2015). Thus, it is important to
understand what currently drives European banks decision to securitize their assets.
While ABS issuance has shrunk by around half between 2007 and 2012, during the same period
the issuance of Euro-denominated Covered Bonds (CBs) has actually increased, from Euro 332
billion to 405 billion, according to European Covered Bond Council (ECBC) data.3 Van Rixtel and
Gasperini (2013) report that the share of CBs over total gross bonds issued by European banks has
increased from 26% in 2007 to 42% in 2012. Some commentators (e.g., European Central Bank,
2011) have argued that banks have replaced ABS with CBs issuance since the advent of the crisis.
To a certain extent ABS and CBs can in fact be considered as substitutes. Both are fixed-income
securities backed by a ring-fenced pool of collateral assets. However, ABS and CBs presents also
some key differences, as discussed at length in Section 2. Most notably, the transfer of credit risk
from originators to investors is less complete with CBs than with ABSwhile CBs provide investors
via a dual recourse mechanism with an extra layer of protection. This has two direct consequences.
On the one hand, the higher investor protection entailed by CBs results in lower yields, and thus
lower costs of funding. On the other hand, CBs are not an effective way for the originator to reduce
its credit risk exposure (Packer, Stever, and Upper, 2007). This and other material differences
between ABS and CBs can provide the latter with a comparative advantage as a funding tool,
albeit not as a way to reduce credit risk exposure and/or Risk-Weighted Assets (RWA). Not every
1We use throughout this paper the term ABS to generally identify structured finance products resulting from
the securitization of extant financial assets via a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV). The term thus encompasses also
Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS), Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO), and Collateralized Loan Obligations
(CLO).2Data accessed at www.sifma.org on November 11th, 2015.3Data accessed at http://ecbc.hypo.org on November 24th, 2015.
2
bank is able to issue CBs however, as Covered Bond Programs (CBPs) are strictly regulated in
most European countries. On the contrary, contractually-based ABS allow for more flexibility and
can be issued as a one-off transaction. Thus, securitization can still be a viable source of liquidity
for banks with no access to the CBs market.
In this study, we address how the ability to issue CBs as an alternative to ABS affects the issuance
activity of structured finance products by European banks. We use a sample of 775 observations for
134 European banks observed between 2007 and 2013, and investigate how having a CBP affects
how much and why banks issue ABS. We do so by employing double-hurdle models, which allow
to account for potential differences in the effect of a bank’s characteristics on if and how much it
engages in securitization.
Our main findings are readily summarized. We show that, all else equal, banks with a CBP are
expected to securitize a lower share of their assets. The difference is around 0.11–0.13 percentage
points, depending on the model. As a term of comparison, banks in our sample securitize on average
0.18% of their assets. Consistent with the comparative advantage of CBs as a funding tool, the
difference between the level of ABS issuance for banks with and without a CBP is mainly driven
by banks with a low level of assets liquidity. Proxies for the level of a bank’s credit risk exposure
or need to meet regulatory capital requirements do not appear to play an equally relevant role.
Coherently, we find a negative marginal effect of asset’s liquidity on securitization levels for banks
without a CBP, but not for banks able to issue CBs. The difference between the two marginal
effects is statistically significant, and increases with the level of asset’s illiquidity. No significant
difference in the marginal effect of proxies for a bank’s assets credit risk and regulatory capital
position is found across banks with and without a CBP.
This paper contributes to a fast growing literature addressing banks securitization activities
(Maddaloni and Peydro, 2011; Pagano and Volpin, 2012; Jiang, Nelson, and Vytlacil, 2013; Wang
and Xia, 2014, among others), and in particular to the literature focusing on how individual
characteristics of European banks can explain their ABS issuance levels (Affinito and Tagliaferri,
2010; Cardone-Riportella, Samaniego-Medina, and Trujillo-Ponce, 2010; Farruggio and Uhde, 2015).
These studies have generally identified a bank’s need for liquidity as one of the main determinant
for securitization. However, they typically do not consider the role played by the availability of
alternative sources of liquidity. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to show how
the ability to issue CBs influences a bank’s securitization activity–and particularly so during the
recent crisis period. In a related study, Carbo-Valverde, Fernandez, and Rosen (2011) examine the
determinants of both CBs and Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) issuance as independent from
each other. They find that banks issue CBs, but not MBS, to meet their liquidity needs. By looking
at a bank’s ability to issue CBs and focusing on the issuance of structured finance products, we com-
plement their results by showing that European banks still issue ABS for funding/liquidity reasons,
but only when they cannot resort to CBs as a viable alternative funding tool. This is consistent
3
with the idea that–when available–covered bonds currently constitute a preferred funding tool over
Asset-Backed Securities.
The rest of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 reviews the rationales for securitization in
light of the existing literature and discusses the material differences between Asset-Backed Securities
and Covered Bonds. Section 3 presents the data and methodology used in this study. Empirical
results are presented and discussed in Section 4. Section 5 concludes with some final remarks.
2 Background and Empirical Predictions
In this Section we review the extant literature on banks rationales for securitization (Section 2.1)
and discuss the main differences between ABS and CBs culminating in our empirical predictions
(Section 2.2).
2.1 Rationales for Securitization
Extant literature identifies three main rationales for securitization relating to individual character-
istics of the issuer.
The first reason for banks to issue structured finance products is to satisfy their funding/liquidity
needs. Securitization allows to efficiently sell illiquid assets such as mortgages and corporate loans
and transform them into new liquidity to be retained or invested. Securitization as a form of raising
funds can often be preferable to raising new retail deposits. The latter can be more costly, for
example because of higher capital requirements; they are also redeemable at any point in time,
leaving the bank exposed to bank runs. ABS issuance can instead be seen as a form of medium
to long-term financing. Several previous studies (e.g., Affinito and Tagliaferri, 2010; Cardone-
Riportella, Samaniego-Medina, and Trujillo-Ponce, 2010; Farruggio and Uhde, 2015) have identified
the level of a bank’s assets liquidity as one of the main driver of securitization.
The second reason for securitization relates to the transfer of credit risk to investors. By selling
the underlying assets to a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV), the bank removes risky assets from
its balance sheet and passes the credit risk to the investors. The credit risk of a bank’s asset is
thus expected to play a relevant role in the determination of its securitization activity. However,
the direction of such effect is not trivial. On the one hand, banks with more risky assets can
have a greater incentive toward securitization. On the other hand, given the existing information
asymmetries only banks with a high asset quality and a good reputation might be able to securitize
their assets without incurring a considerable discount on their face value (e.g., Albertazzi, Eramo,
Gambacorta, and Salleo, 2015; Ambrose, LaCour-Little, and Sanders, 2005; An, Deng, and Gabriel,
2011; Calomiris and Mason, 2004). Moreover, banks often have to retain the equity (i.e., the first
loss) tranche of the ABS on their balance sheet (DeMarzo, 2005). As a result of these contrasting
effects, previous empirical studies have found support for both a positive (Affinito and Tagliaferri,
4
2010; Bannier and Hansel, 2006) and a negative (Calem and LaCour-Little, 2004; Farruggio and
Uhde, 2015) relationship between asset’s credit risk and level of securitization.
The third rationale for securitization is linked to a bank’s need to meet its regulatory capital re-
quirements. By transferring credit risk out of its balance sheet, a bank can reduce its Risk-Weighted
Assets (RWA) and thus its need for Tier I and II capital as required by Basel rules. Securitization
can even allow a bank to engage in regulatory capital arbitrage, i.e., reducing capital requirement
while not effectively reducing credit risk exposure. This possibility was particularly evident under
Basel I rules, as illustrated by Jones (2000). While Basel II tries to significantly mitigate the scope
for regulatory capital arbitrage (Blum, 2008; Fabozzi, Davis, and Choudhry, 2007), such opportu-
nities can still be in place to a lesser extent with the current regulatory framework (e.g., Calem
and LaCour-Little, 2004). There is some empirical evidence that regulatory capital requirements
might be a significant driver for securitization, especially during the Basel I regime period (Acharya,
Schnabl, and Suarez, 2013; Affinito and Tagliaferri, 2010; Ambrose, LaCour-Little, and Sanders,
2005).
2.2 Asset-Backed Securities versus Covered Bonds
As already stated in Section 1, ABS and CBs can at first glance be considered as substitute. Both
are in fact fixed-income securities backed by a determined pool of collateral which is ring-fenced
from other liabilities of the issuer. There are however notable differences making them very different
kind of instruments both from the point of view of issuers and investors.
2.2.1 Asset-Backed Securities
ABS are technically issued by an ad-hoc created Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV). The SPV buys the
collateral from the depositor (the entity collecting the underlying assets and creating the SPV) and
issues structured finance products backed by such collateral. Proceeds of the sale of ABS to investors
are ultimately used to pay the depositor. The latter is typically also the originator and servicer
of the assets (e.g., the bank granting a firm with the loan subsequently securitized and collecting
the regular interest payments), but assets can also be originated by third parties. Securitization is
mostly based on contractual mechanisms, thus allowing for a high degree of flexibility (European
Banking Authority, 2014a). ABS are usually structured in different tranches, allowing for different
levels of exposure to credit, prepayment, and interest rate risk and thereby tailored to varying
investor risk/return appetites. Further credit enhancement, such as subordination, excess spread
and third-party insurance, can also be embedded in the deal.
One of the main consequence of the way ABS are issued is that the SPV provides bankruptcy
remoteness (Ayotte and Gaon, 2011) to the depositor, i.e., investors in ABS only have a claim on the
assets effectively owned by the SPV. Even if Basel II requires originators to retain a significant net
5
economic interest in the underlying assets (Basurto, Jones, Lindner, and Blankenheim, 2015), by
design the structured finance market is thus exposed to agency problems (see for example Ashcraft
and Schuermann, 2006). Originators have superior knowledge about the true quality of assets. This
can lead to adverse selection, as already discussed in Section 2.1. At the same time, bankruptcy
remoteness entails that, by issuing ABS, banks can effectively remove risky assets from their balance
sheet and reduce their RWA computed for regulatory purposes.
2.2.2 Covered Bonds
Differently from ABS, Covered Bonds are issued directly by the bank owning the assets, which
remains ultimately liable for the payments due to investors. The issuer designates a pool of assets
to be pledged as collateral, but retains iton its balance sheet. In case assets used as collateral no
longer meet the quality criteria mandated by national laws or if prepayments occur, the issuer has
to increase/replace the assets in the pool. Should the bank issuing covered bonds face financial
distress, the ring-fenced assets are shielded from claims of other creditors of the bank. If, in case
of default, the collateral is not sufficient to cover the claims of CB investors, CBs entail the same
seniority over the remaining assets of the bank as unsecured senior bonds. As such, the collateral
pool for a CB has to be considered more as a form of credit enhancement, rather than the effective
source of cash flows paid to investors. Moreover, CBs are additionally argued to benefit from an
implicit state guarantee that does not apply to ABS. Volk and Will (2012); European Banking
Authority (2014b) stress that, contrary to ABS, a strong tendency for government support for CBs
through support for the issuing bank could be observed in various recent cases. This is partially
the result of CBs underlying assets being retained on a bank’s balance sheet, rather than being sold
to an SPV. As a result, CBs tend to be characterized by significantly lower yields than other debt
securities issued by the same bank (Packer, Stever, and Upper, 2007), and the spread between CBs
and government bonds is often considered to merely reflect a liquidity premium (e.g., Kempf, Korn,
and Uhrig-Homburg, 2012).
An other key difference between ABS and CBs is that the quality of eligible assets to be used as
collateral for a CB is strictly regulated by national legislation and needs to be regularly reassessed
by national agencies. At European level, the Capital Requirement Directive (CRD) only recognize
as CBs securities issued under such legislations (for a brief review of CBP legislative frameworks,
see for example Packer, Stever, and Upper, 2007). Notably, many European national regulations
also dictate the required characteristics for an institution to be authorized to have a Covered Bond
Program (CBP) and thus to issue CBs. Thereby, in some jurisdictions the prospective issuer is
required to apply for a covered bond specific licence, while in jurisdictions without a specific licence,
detailed requirements are laid out concerning both issuer and cover pool characteristics European
Banking Authority (2014b). For example, the law governing German Pfanbriefgesetz requires banks
to prove their intention to engage in CBs issuance on a regular basis; a license to issue CBs can
6
be revoked if a bank does not issue CBs for two years. Under the French legislative framework the
issuing entity is even limited in the range of business activities it conducts. In sum, while European
regulatory frameworks allow for considerable flexibility to issue ABS, they are more stringent on
the key characteristics of both the CB issuer as well as the underlying asset pool.
2.2.3 Empirical predictions
From the discussion above on the different characteristics of ABS and CBs, summarized in Table 1,
it follows that CBs have a comparative advantage over ABS in that they are less affected by agency
problems. This is all the more relevant during a crisis period, when investor confidence is eroded.
We thus expect that, all else equal, during the crisis period investigated in this study banks allowed
to issue CBs securitize less than banks without a CBP.
[Insert Table 1 about here]
In this context, CBs can be regarded as a cheaper funding tool than ABS. Indeed, Carbo-
Valverde, Fernandez, and Rosen (2011) show that banks are more likely to issue CBs (but not
ABS) for liquidity reasons. Consistently, we expect the securitization activity of a bank with a
CBP to be independent from its funding needs. However, for banks not able to resort to CBs, ABS
can still constitute a relevant funding tool. All in all, the role of liquidity in explaining the intensity
of ABS issuance is predicted to differ significantly between banks with and without a CBP.
Whereas CBs may constitute a preferable substitute for ABS as a funding tool, this is not the
case for the other two main rationales for securitization illustrated in Section 2.1, i.e., transfering
credit risk exposure and meeting regulatory capital requirements. This is because the cover pool
is retained on a bank’s balance sheet, and credit risk is not transferred to the investors. Covered
bonds thus do not allow the issuer to pursue these goals the same way that ABS do. As such, the
ability to issue CBs should not influence the role played by these two rationales in explaining the
observed levels of securitization.
3 Data and Methodology
This section presents the dataset (Section 3.1) and the methodology (Section 3.2) used in our
analyses.
3.1 Data
The starting point in building our sample is a dataset retrieved from Bankscope. We consider
securitizing as well as non-securitizing banks across the EU-13 countries in the European Monetary
7
Union (EMU).4 The sample covers the period from 2007 to 2013. We focus on this period for
two reasons. First, we are particularly interested in the securitization activity of banks since the
2007 crisis eroded investors confidence in ABS. Second, the implementation of Basel II capital
requirement started in the considered countries on January 1st, 2007 (ECB, 2007). Securitization
activities before and after the passage from Basel I to Basel II might not be comparable, as the
two regulations differ significantly in the way securitization is accounted for (Fabozzi, Davis, and
Choudhry, 2007). The Bankscope dataset initially includes 179 banks from the considered countries.
After excluding non-independent banks (i.e., banks whose ultimate owner is another bank), and
bank-year observations where the necessary bank-level variables–described below–are missing, we
are left with 775 observations for 134 banks. We refer henceforth to these as the dataset used in
this study. Table 2 presents the distribution of the dataset by country and year.
[Insert Table 2 about here]
3.1.1 Asset-Backed Securities issuance
Our dependent variables aim at capturing if and how much European banks resort to securitization.
Data on the issuance of structured finance products are provided by J.P. Morgan and retrieved from
their “International ABS & CB Research” database, which records amongst others the involved
counterparties, the tranche size and currency as well as the collateral country for all ABS issuances
priced worldwide. . The dataset initially includes 7,174 Euro-denominated tranches issued between
2007 and 2013, for a total value of Euro 2.25 trillion. As a term of comparison, the total amount of
European ABSs, Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) and Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBSs)
issued over the same period amounts to Euro 2.64 trillion, according to SIFMA/AFME data.5
We carefully hand-match the structured finance dataset with the 775 bank-year observations in our
sample, in order to make sure we identify all securities originated by the 134 banks considered in this
study. Of the 7,174 securities in the J.P. Morgan dataset, 2,037 are originated by one of the banks
in our sample. As it is customary in the literature (e.g., Affinito and Tagliaferri, 2010; Farruggio
and Uhde, 2015), for each bank i in year t we measure the level of securitization as the total value of
structured finance products issued by bank i in year t, scaled by the bank’s consolidated total assets
as reported in Bankscope (SEC ratioi,t). SECi,t is an indicator equal to 1 if SEC ratioi,t is strictly
positive (i.e., if bank i issued at least one security in year t) and 0 otherwise. Following Affinito
4The countries initially considered are thus Austria, Belgium, Germany, Spain, Finland, France, Greece, Ireland,
Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and Portugal. We later exclude Luxembourg because of no usable observations.
From the EU-13 countries, we exclude the UK for two reasons. First, we want to focus on banks within the EMU
area. Second, several financial institutions in the UK issue unregulated, “structured” covered bonds without having
a CBP. This is generally not the case in the countries considered. See www.ecbc.eu/framework/list5Data accessed at www.sifma.org on October 19th, 2015.
8
and Tagliaferri (2010), we exclude from the computation of SEC ratio and SEC those securities
originated to be retained. Of the 134 banks in the sample, 36 have issued (and not retained) at
least one structured finance product in the period considered (74 bank-year observations). Table 3
reports some descriptive statistics for the securitization activity of these banks.
[Insert Table 3 about here]
On average securitizing banks create around 7 deals (17 tranches) per year, for a total yearly
amount of Euro 2.4 billion. Securitization directly-backed by residential mortgages (RMBS) are
by far the most common, representing around half of the securitized amount; securities backed by
loans to Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) follow at around 14%.
3.1.2 Covered Bond program
Our main explanatory variable of interest is an indicator (CBP ) capturing whether a bank has a
Covered Bond Program or not. In order to build CBP we start from the technical reports of the
Norddeutsche Landesbank (2013), which include a list of banks issuing Covered Bonds (CBs). If a
bank is in the list of CBs issuer, then CBP is set equal to 1 for that bank; if not, then the indicator is
set equal to 0. We further check whether the 134 banks are included in the list of banks with a CBP
compiled by the European Covered Bond Council (ECBC).6 Finally, we search on Bloomberg each
of the 134 banks considered, to make sure that no bank where CBP = 0 has actually issued CBs,
and viceversa.7 By construction, CBP is a time-invariant characteristic of each bank. Differently
from Carbo-Valverde, Fernandez, and Rosen (2011), who focus on the different rationales for banks
to issue CBs and ABSs, in this study we are interested in how the ability of a bank to issue CBs
affects its securitization activity, which is why we focus on CBP rather than on the CBs issuance
activity in each year. Of the 134 banks in the dataset 70 appear to be able to issue covered bonds,
corresponding to 424 observations (55% of the sample).
.
3.1.3 Bank characteristics and other controls
To proxy for banks rationales for securitization, as well as to control for extra variables likely to
influence the phenomena under study, we consider a number of relevant bank’s characteristics. All
of the bank variables described below are computed based on Bankscope data, and are lagged 1
year as it is customary to reduce endogeneity. Whenever possible, we closely follow the definitions
proposed by Farruggio and Uhde (2015), who also investigate the rationales for the securitization
activity of European banks using Bankscope data.
6Data available at http://www.ecbc.eu/issuers7For no bank the value of CBP has changed as a result of these further checks.
9
To proxy for a bank liquidity/funding needs, we use a variable defined as one minus the ra-
tio of net loans to total assets (Liquidity ratio). Observations characterized by lower values of
Liquidity ratio identify banks more likely to securitize for liquidity/funding needs. The ratio of
loan loss reserves to gross loans (Loss to loans) proxies for a bank’s exposure to credit risk. As
discussed in Section 2.1, the credit risk of a bank’s assets can either exhibit a positive or negative
correlation with the intensity of that bank’s securitization activity. To proxy for a bank’s need to
improve its regulatory capital position, we use the ratio of a bank’s Tier 1 capital over its risk-
weighted assets (Tier 1 ratio). We control for a bank’s operative performances using the ratio of
operating profit to equity (ROE). Liquidity ratio, Loss to loans, Tier 1 ratio, and ROE are all
expressed in percentage points. We proxy for a bank’s size using the natural logarithm of its total
assets, expressed in Euro millions (LNTA). Cardone-Riportella, Samaniego-Medina, and Trujillo-
Ponce (2010) show that banks bigger and with better operative performances tend to securitize
more. Finally, we control for a bank’s typology using an indicator equal to 1 if it is a commercial
bank and 0 otherwise (Commercial).
We also include in our analysis two country-level control variables (source: Datastream): the
difference between the 10-year and 3-year yields on government bonds (Slope) and the annual GDP
growth (GDP ). These variables are typically included in studies on securitization to control for the
current status and future prospects of the economy. Banks in growing economies have been found to
ceteris paribus engage more heavily in securitization activities (e.g., Maddaloni and Peydro, 2011).
Table 4 reports descriptive statistics for all of the variables included in this study.
[Insert Table 4 about here]
On average banks in our sample securitize (excluding retained securities) 0.18% of their assets.
This number is slightly lower than reported by Farruggio and Uhde (2015) –consistent with the
inclusion of three more crisis years in our sample– but comparable in magnitude. The share is
1.84% when only observations where SEC = 1 are considered.
3.2 Methodology
Since by definition the issuance of structured finance product cannot be negative, previous studies
(e.g., Farruggio and Uhde, 2015) have often investigated the determinants of securitization by using
a Tobit model. However, such model ignores the two-stage nature of the decision, as banks have
to decide both if and how much of its assets to securitize. The two decisions could in principle be
influenced by different determinants, or by the same determinants in a different way; a traditional
Tobit model does not allow for such flexibility. In this study we thus focus on double-hurdle models,
which allow to tease out the distinction between the decision of if and how much to issue (for a
detailed discussion on this class of models, see Wooldridge, 2010).
10
The first model we consider is a Cragg (1971) truncated normal hurdle model. The model
uses a probit specification for the selection equation, i.e., Pr(SEC = 1 | X) = Φ(Xγ) , and a
truncated (at zero) normal distribution for the amount equation, i.e., f(SEC ratio | X,SEC =
1) = [Φ (Xβ/σ)]−1 φ [(SEC ratio−Xβ) /σ] /σ . X is a vector of explanatory variables, which in
this case we assume to be the same for both the selection and the amount equation.8
The unconditional9 expected value of SEC ratio is then given by
E(SEC ratio | X) = Φ(Xγ) [Xβ + σλ(Xβ/σ)] (1)
where λ(c) is the Inverse Mills Ratio (IMR), i.e., λ(c) = φ(c)/Φ(c).
A potential limitation of the Cragg model is that the error terms for the selection and the amount
equations are assumed to be independent. For this, we also use in our analysis a Tobit II model,
which allows the two terms to be correlated. In this case, we include among the determinants of the
binary decision to issue ABS a dummy variable equal to one if the bank issued ABS securities in the
previous year and zero otherwise (SECt−1). This is done in order to avoid excessive reliance on the
non-linearity of the IMR for identification. The rationale for using SECt−1 for this purpose is that
banks that issued ABS in the recent past are expected to be ceteris paribus more prepared to do so
also in the future; however, the effective amount of assets securitized is more likely dependent on
its contingent needs. The first-time issuance of an ABS, for example, requires a significant build up
of ressources and expertise that can be utilized for future transactions. From an empirical point of
view, SECt−1 appears to be an apt choice for identification. The pairwise correlation between SECt
and SECt−1 is 0.719, statistically significant at the 1% confidence level; the correlation between
SECt−1 and SEC ratio –conditioning on the latter being strictly positive– is instead -0.002, not
statistically significant at customary confidence levels. A likelihood ratio test shows that a Tobit
II model including SECt−1 among the selection determinants significantly (at the 1% confidence
level) outperform a nested model not including it. Including SECt−1 also in the amount equation
does not significantly (at customary confidence levels) increase the likelihood score further.10
With both Cragg and Tobit II models, we address the effect of each explanatory variable x on
the securitization activity of the bank by looking at the Average Marginal Effect (AME) of x on the
unconditional expected value of SEC ratio. As it is customary, for indicators (most notably CBP )
the latter is computed as the difference between the expected unconditional value of SEC ratio
when the variable is equal to one and the expected unconditional value when it is equal to zero.
8Cragg (1971) also proposes an alternative specification where the amount variable is assumed to follow a lognormal
distribution. A Vuong test does not reject the null hypothesis that the two models are equivalent in terms of fitness.
We thus use the truncated normal hurdle model, as it allows for a more straightforward interpretation of the results.9“unconditional” in this setting refers to not conditioning on SEC ratio being strictly positive. The expected
value is of course conditional on the values assumed by the explanatory variables.10In unreported robustness checks, we use for identification an indicator equal to 1 if the bank has issued ABS in
the previous 2 (or 3) years, and zero otherwise. Results are similar to those reported in the paper.
11
4 Results
In this Section we present the empirical results of our study. Section 4.1 focuses on the difference in
the intensity of securitization activities between banks with and without a covered bond program.
Section 4.2 addresses the interaction between the presence of a covered bond program and a bank’s
characteristics in explaining its securitization activity.
4.1 Covered bond program and ABS issuance
Table 5 presents coefficient estimates for a Cragg Model (i) and a Tobit II Model (ii) of the secu-
ritization activity of a bank, excluding retained securities. For each model, we present estimates
for the selection equation (Columns (1) and (4)) and the amount equation (Columns (2) and (5)),
as well as the Average Marginal Effect (AME) on the unconditional expected value of SEC ratio
computed based on those estimates. Each model includes CBP and the control variables illustrated
in Section 3. To account for time trends, we also include year indicators among the explanatory
variables.
[Insert Table 5 about here]
Looking at the results for the Cragg model, we see that the unconditional expected level of
securitization is on average 0.13 percentage points lower when banks have a covered bond program.
The AME is statistically significant at the 5% confidence level. Beside statistical significance the
effect is also economically relevant, as it implies a 67% lower level of securitization relative to the
mean in our sample (0.18%). A very similar result is obtained when a Tobit II model is used.
The AME of CBP is -0.11, statistically significant at the 10% confidence level. Empirical results
reported in Table 5 thus suggest that, as expected, banks with a covered bond program are ceteris
paribus less inclined to issue structured finance products. Before moving to the analysis of how
bank’s characteristics moderate this result, it is worth to briefly discuss the results obtained for the
other explanatory variables.
As predicted by the theory, Liquidity ratio negatively correlates with the intensity of a bank’s
securitization, i.e., more illiquid banks engage more in securitization activities. On average, a 1
percentage point decrease in the level of liquidity of a bank’s asset is associated with a 1-basis
point increase in the unconditional expected share of assets securitized. The effect is statistically
significant at the 1% confidence level with both models. The level of credit risk of a bank’s asset,
as proxied by Loss to loans, is also negatively related to ABS issuance, a result in line with those
reported by previous studies (e.g., Calem and LaCour-Little, 2004; Farruggio and Uhde, 2015).
On average, a 1 percentage point higher level of loss allowances is associated with a reduction
in SEC ratio between 0.03 and 0.07 percentage points, depending on the model. The effect is
12
statistically significant at least at the 10% confidence level. As discussed in Section 2.1, this result
can be explained in terms of asymmetric information between the bank and the investors about the
quality of the collateral. Securitization also decreases with Tier 1 ratio, albeit the average effect is
not statistically significant at customary confidence levels. The direction of the effect is coherent
with the idea that securitization can be used to improve the regulatory capital position of a bank,
and it is consistent with the findings of Affinito and Tagliaferri (2010); Ambrose, LaCour-Little,
and Sanders (2005); Calem and LaCour-Little (2004); Calomiris and Mason (2004); Cebenoyan
and Strahan (2004) among others. Bigger banks (higher LNTA) and banks with better operative
performances (i.e., higher ROE) appear to securitize more, even though the average effect is not
statistically significant for the latter and only statistically significant with Model (i) for the former.
It is interesting to notice how LNTA appears to impact the decision to securitize and the level
of securitization conditional on issuance in opposite directions, confirming the importance of using
double-hurdle models. Finally, both Slope and GDP exhibit a positive AME, a result in line with
those of Maddaloni and Peydro (2011).
4.2 Moderating role of rationales for securitization
In this Section we investigate the moderating role of a bank’s characteristics on the relationship
between CBP and securitization activities. In particular, we focus on the proxies for the three main
rationales for securitization (i.e., funding/liquidity, credit risk, and regulatory capital requirements).
As discussed in Section 2.2, we expect the difference between banks with and without a covered
bond program to be especially prominent for banks more likely to securitize for liquidity reasons.
To better gauge the interaction between rationales for securitization and the availability of covered
bonds as an alternative to ABSs, we estimate three Tobit II models including the cross-product
of CBP and Liquidity ratio (i), Loss to loans (ii), or Tier 1 ratio (iii). Coefficients estimates are
reported in Table 6. The three models include all of the control variables of Model (ii) of Table 5.
[Insert Table 6 about here]
Figure 1 illustrates the average marginal effects computed based on coefficient estimates for
Models (i)–(iii) of Table 6. For each model, we compute the AME of CBP for different values of
bank’s characteristic x, where x is either Liquidity ratio, Loss to loans, or Tier 1 ratio, depending
on the model. We also compute the difference in the average marginal effect of x itself between
banks with and without a covered bond program for different levels of x. We expect the difference
in the unconditional expected level of securitization between banks with and without a covered
bond program to be bigger for more illiquid banks, i.e., for banks more likely to issue ABSs for
liquidity/funding reasons. We also expect a stronger (negative) marginal effect of Liquidity ratio
on the level of securitization for banks without a covered bond program, especially when the bank’s
13
asset are very illiquid (i.e., when Liquidity ratio is low). For the reasons discussed in Section 2.2,
we do not instead expect a significant difference in the ABS issuance of banks with and without a
covered bond program when credit risk and regulatory capital requirements needs are more likely
to be the main determinants of securitization.
[Insert Figure 1 about here]
As expected, the marginal effect of CBP monotonically decreases with the level of Liquidityratio.
The difference in the unconditional expected value of SEC ratio between banks with and without a
covered bond program is statistically significant at the 5% (1%) confidence level when Liquidityratio
is lower than 41% (35%). For extremely illiquid banks –i.e., Liquidity ratio approaching 0– the
availability of a covered bond program is estimated to be associated with around 1-percentage
points lower levels of securitization. The negative effect of Liquidity ratio on the unconditional
expected value of SEC ratio is significantly (at the 5% confidence level) stronger for banks without
a covered bond program throughout most of the variable’s domain,and it is bigger the more illiquid
the bank is. For example, for a bank characterized by a Liquidity ratio of 20%, a 1 percentage point
decrease in asset’s liquidity is associated with a 0.02 percentage point stronger negative effect on
securitization for banks without a covered bond program. When Liquidity ratio is equal to 10%,
the difference raises to 0.03 percentage points. Interestingly, this functional form is entirely driven
by the AME of banks without a covered bond program, as illustrated in Figure 2. Whereas the
AME of Liquidity ratio is higher (in absolute terms) the more banks are illiquid, it is close to zero
and not statistically significant throughout the whole range for banks with a covered bond program.
The latter observation is consistent with the results reported by Carbo-Valverde, Fernandez, and
Rosen (2011), who find that banks do not securitize for funding purposes. We show that this is true
only for banks who actually have access to covered bonds as an alternative funding instrument.
[Insert Figure 2 about here]
As for the other explanatory variables, Figure 1 shows that credit risk does not seem to play a
big role in explaining potential differences in the securitization activity of banks with and without
a covered bond program. The difference in the average unconditional expected value of SEC ratio
between the two is statistically significant at the 5% confidence level only for very low levels (< 5%)
of Loss to loans, i.e., when banks are very unlikely to issue ABSs in order to remove the most risky
assets from their balance sheets. As expected, also regulatory capital does not appear to play a
significant role in explaining differences in the securitization activity of the two groups of banks.
All in all, results presented in this Section suggest that the difference in the securitization activity
of banks with and without a covered bond programs is mainly driven by banks most likely to issue
14
ABS as a funding tool. This is consistent with the idea that CBs currently have a comparative
advantage over ABS as a funding tool, albeit they do not serve as an effective instrument to reduce
a bank’s credit risk exposure.
5 Conclusions
In this paper we investigate how the ability to issue Covered Bonds (CBs) affects the securitization
activity of European banks since the advent of the 2007 financial crisis. Asset-Backed Securities
(ABS) and CBs are both fixed-income securities linked to ring-fenced assets. However, CBs do not
allow banks to transfer credit risk to the same extent that ABS do.
The resulting mitigation of asymmetric information and agency problems provide CBs with a
comparative advantage as a funding tool over ABS, albeit not as a way to transfer credit risk.
Using a sample of 775 observations for 134 European banks between 2007 and 2013, we show
that banks with a Covered Bonds Program (CBP) securitize ceteris paribus less of their assets.
Consistent with the argument of CBs being preferable as a funding tool, the difference is mainly
driven by banks characterized by a low level of assets liquidity. Proxies for a bank’s need to transfer
credit risk and/or meet regulatory capital requirements do not seem to be equally relevant. A
reduction in assets liquidity is associated with an expected increase in ABS issuance only for banks
without a CBP. This suggests that ABS are still regarded as a viable funding tool, but only for
banks not able to resort to CBs.
Our results thus show that the ability of issuing CBs is an important determinant of the decision
by European banks to securitize their assets. In the aftermath of the crisis, European institutions
such as the ECB and the newly created European Banking Association (EBA) have reckoned a
well-functioning ABS market as pivotal in providing Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) with
credit and banks with a diversified source of funding.11 A further reduction in the diversification of
funding sources could in fact result in higher bankruptcy costs (Colla, Ippolito, and Li, 2013) and
systemic risk (Oura, Gonzalez-Hermosillo, Chan-Lau, Gudmundsson, and Valckx, 2013). Moreover,
the current capital constraints associated to the use of ABS as a funding tool are passed-through
to financed companies (Carbo-Valverde, Degryse, and Rodrıguez-Fernandez, 2015). In this context,
several initiatives have been proposed to revitalize the market, and especially so for securities backed
by corporate loans (Aiyar, Al-Eyd, Barkbu, and Jobst, 2015). Despite this, some of the currently
proposed regulation seem to go in the direction of further favoring CBs over ABS. For example,
in the context of Basel III liquidity coverage requirements the EBA has proposed in 2013 to base
liquidity measurements on bid-ask spreads. This would once again favor CBs, even if alternative
11See for example the joint document by the BCE and the Bank of England: “The impaired EU securitization
market: causes, roadblocks and how to deal with them”. www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/ecb-boe_impaired_
eu_securitisation_marketen.pdf
15
measurements would suggest ABS are often as or even more liquid than CBs (Perraudin, 2014). In
pursuing their target to revitalize the European ABS market, regulators should keep in mind the
distorting effect of rules increasing the comparative advantage of CBs over ABS.
16
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Figure 1: Average marginal effects
This figure presents the average marginal effects on the unconditional expected value of SEC ratio. Each of the three
rows focuses on a different bank characteristic x, where x is Liquidity ratio (first row), Loss to loans (second row),
or Tier 1 ratio (third row). Effects presented in the first, second, and third row are based on coefficient estimates
for Model (i), (ii), and (iii) respectively as presented in Table 6. The column on the left presents the (average)
difference in the unconditional expected level of securitization between banks with and without a covered bond
program, computed for different levels of x. Negative values indicate a lower securitization activity by banks with a
covered bond program. The column on the right presents the difference in the average marginal effect of x between
banks with and without a covered bond program, also computed for different levels of x. Positive values indicate a
higher (i.e., smaller negative) marginal effect for banks with a covered bond program. Areas in grey represent the
95% confidence interval.
-1.5
-1-.
50
.5
0 20 40 60 80 100Liquidity ratio
-.6
-.4
-.2
0.2
.4
0 10 20 30 40Loss to loans
-10
-50
5
0 10 20 30 40 50Tier 1 ratio
Average marginal effect of CBP
0.0
2.0
4.0
6
0 20 40 60 80 100Liquidity ratio
0.0
5.1
.15
.2.2
5
0 10 20 30 40Loss to Loans
-.6
-.4
-.2
0.2
0 10 20 30 40 50Tier 1 ratio
Difference in average marginal effect of x, CBP vs. no CBP
21
Figure 2: Average marginal effect of liquidity: banks with and without a covered bond program
This figure presents the average marginal effect of Liquidityratio on the unconditional expected value of SECratio for
banks with (dotted line) and without (continuous line) a covered bond program, for different levels of Liquidityratio.
Marginal effects are computed based on coefficient estimates for Model (i) as presented in Table 6. Areas in grey
represent the 95% confidence interval.-.
06-.
04-.
020
.02
0 20 40 60 80 100Liquidity ratio
CBP=0 CBP=1
22
Table 1: Main differences between Asset-Backed Securities and Covered Bonds
This table summarizes the main differences between Asset-Backed Securities and Covered Bonds, as discussed in
Section 2.2.
Asset-Backed Securities Covered Bonds
Issuer Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) Bank originating the assets
Investors claim Over assets owned by the SPV and the
associated cash flows
Over collateral and the issuer
Eligible assets No or little restriction on eligible assets Defined by national laws
Structure Customized Standardized. Face value typically
repaid at maturity
Balace Sheet treatment Assets are sold to SPV. Credit Risk is
transferred
Pledged cover assets remain in the
balance sheet of the issuer
Availability No or little restriction Covered Bond Programs subjected to
national regulators approval
Collateral pool Typically static/revolving Dynamic. Quality of the collateral has
to be preserved
Government guarantee None Implicit in support for the issuer
23
Table 2: Sample distribution by year and country
This table presents the distribution of bank-year observations in the dataset by country (rows) and year (columns).
Country\Year 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Austria 10 13 15 15 16 16 16
Belgium 6 6 8 8 8 7 5
Germany 11 14 18 19 20 22 20
Spain 21 22 25 25 24 23 15
Finland 2 2 2 1 4 4 4
France 10 10 8 5 5 7 7
Greece 5 6 7 7 6 7 6
Ireland 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Italy 9 13 13 13 13 12 13
Netherlands 8 8 8 9 10 10 8
Portugal 7 6 6 6 6 6 6
24
Table 3: Characteristics of securitization activity for banks in the sample
This table presents descriptive statistics on securitization activities for bank-year observations in the sample. Bank-
year observations where no issuance of structured finance products (either to be retained or distributed) is observed
are excluded. Underlying asset pool refers to the value-weigthed share of securities backed by different types of assets
for each bank-year, expressed in percentage points. Total amounts (in Euro billions) statistics are presented for all
Asset-Backed Securities, excluding securities created to be retained.
N Mean Std. Dev. 5% perc. Median 95% perc.
No. Deals 74 6.74 18.69 1 2 20
No. Tranches 74 17.15 26.66 3 10 57
Total amount (bln. Euro) 74 2.39 3.98 0.06 1.10 13.00
Underlying asset pool (%)
Auto 74 15.37 33.06 0.00 0.00 100.00
Collateralized Debt Obligations 74 11.46 28.68 0.00 0.00 100.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 74 0.96 5.64 0.00 0.00 0.00
Credit Cards receivables 74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Consumer Loans 74 6.19 18.15 0.00 0.00 63.64
Leases 74 0.88 4.75 0.00 0.00 0.60
Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities 74 49.95 44.85 0.00 52.68 100.00
SMEs Collateralized Loan Obligations 74 13.97 29.13 0.00 0.00 100.00
Other 74 1.23 4.7 0.00 0.00 9.02
25
Table 4: Descriptive statistics
This table presents descriptive statistics for the variables included in this study. SEC ratio is the ratio of Euro-
denominated structured finance products (excluding retained securities) over bank’s total assets, expressed in per-
centage points. SEC is an indicator equal to 1 when SEC ratio > 0 and 0 otherwise. CBP is an indicator equal to 1
for banks with a covered bonds program and 0 otherwise. Liquidity ratio is computed as 1 minus the ratio between
net loans and total assets. Loss to loans is the ratio of loan loss reserves to gross loans. Tier 1 ratio is the ratio of
accounting value of bank’s equity over its risk-weighted assets. ROE is the ratio of bank’s operating profit to the
accounting value of equity. Liquidity ratio, Loss to loans, Tier 1 ratio, and ROE are all expressed in percentage
points and lagged 1 year. LNTA is the natural logarithm of the (1-year lagged) bank’s total assets, expressed in
Euro millions. Commercial is an indicator equal to 1 if the bank is a commercial bank and 0 otherwise. Slope is
the difference between 10-year and 3-year government bond yields. GDP is the country GDP growth rate.
Variable N Mean Std. Dev. 5% perc. Median 95% perc.
SEC 775 0.10 0.29 0 0 1
SEC ratio 775 0.18 0.91 0.00 0.00 0.65
CBP 775 0.55 0.50 0 1 1
Liquidity ratio 775 42.54 19.63 16.86 38.31 80.65
Loss to loans 775 2.72 3.01 0.22 2.16 6.83
Tier 1 ratio 775 10.92 5.85 6.31 9.67 18.2
ROE 775 0.03 2.84 -0.39 0.08 0.23
LNTA 775 10.83 1.71 8.04 10.79 13.73
Commercial 775 0.68 0.47 0 1 1
Slope 775 2.42 2.70 0.14 2.16 3.75
GDP 775 0.01 0.03 -0.05 0.02 0.06
26
Table 5: Covered bond program and securitization activity
This table presents coefficient estimates of a Cragg (i) and a Tobit II (ii) model for the securitization activity of the
bank. The dependent variables are SEC and SEC ratio for the selection (columns (1) and (4)) and the amount
(columns (2) and (5)) equation of the two models respectively. SECt−1 is the 1-year lag of SEC. All of the other
variables are as defined in Table 4. Standard errors robust to heteroskedasticity and clustered by bank are reported
in parenthesis. No. observations is the number of bank-year observations included. No. banks is the number of
distinct banks. No. issuing is the number of bank-year observations where SEC = 1. Columns (3) and (6) report
the Average Marginal Effect (AME) of each variable on the unconditional expected value of SEC ratio for Model
(i) and (ii) respectively. *, **, and *** indicate statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% confidence level
respectively.
(i) Cragg model (ii) Tobit II model
(1) Selection (2) Amount (3) AME (4) Selection (5) Amount (6) AME
CBP -0.520** -0.603 -0.130** -0.292 -0.601 -0.110*
(0.259) (0.841) (0.062) (0.200) (0.484) (0.056)
Liquidity ratio -0.030*** -0.073** -0.009*** -0.024*** -0.011 -0.005***
(0.010) (0.032) (0.003) (0.006) (0.016) (0.002)
Loss to loans -0.184*** -1.018** -0.072** -0.111** -0.136 -0.031*
(0.067) (0.471) (0.030) (0.051) (0.170) (0.017)
Tier 1 ratio 0.007 -0.132 -0.003 0.021 -0.106 -0.007
(0.027) (0.205) (0.012) (0.019) (0.150) (0.013)
ROE -0.013 4.162 0.137 0.013 3.087 0.296
(0.017) (4.683) (0.325) (0.059) (2.284) (0.212)
LNTA 0.607*** -1.825*** 0.064* 0.432*** -0.916*** -0.016
(0.140) (0.558) (0.034) (0.100) (0.286) (0.030)
Commercial 0.374 -0.276 0.065 0.288 0.554 0.092
(0.316) (0.790) (0.058) (0.242) (0.596) (0.057)
Slope 0.136 1.810* 0.089* 0.128 -0.049 0.017
(0.107) (0.998) (0.053) (0.095) (0.203) (0.030)
GDP 1.482 5.969 0.506 -0.293 3.957 0.328
(5.262) (45.566) (1.846) (5.088) (14.198) (1.793)
SECt−1 1.821***
(0.271)
Year indicators Yes Yes Yes Yes
σ 1.613 1.500
λ -0.195
No. Observations 775 775
No. Banks 134 134
No. Issuing 74 74
27
Table 6: Covered bond program and securitization determinants
This table presents coefficient estimates of a Tobit II models for the securitization activity of each bank. The
dependent variables are SEC and SEC ratio for the selection (columns (1), (3), and (5)) and the amount (columns
(2), (4), and (6)) equation of the model respectively. Interaction represents for Models (i), (ii), and (iii) respectively
the cross-product of CBP and Liquidity ratio, Loss to loans, or Tier 1 ratio. SECt.1 is the 1-year lag of SEC.
Other controls include ROE, LNTA, Slope, and GDP . All other variables are as defined in Table 4. Standard errors
robust to heteroskedasticity and clustered by bank are reported in parenthesis. No. observations is the number of
bank-year observations included. No. banks is the number of distinct banks. No. issuing is the number of bank-year
observations where SEC = 1. *, **, and *** indicate statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% confidence level
respectively.
(i) Liquidity ratio (ii) Loss to loans (iii) Tier 1 ratio
(1) Selection (2) Amount (3) Selection (4) Amount (5) Selection (6) Amount
CBP -0.818** -3.030*** -0.530 -1.522** -1.441*** 0.357
(0.389) (0.882) (0.355) (0.731) (0.545) (1.773)
Interaction 0.013* 0.057*** 0.116 0.465* 0.108** -0.099
(0.007) (0.015) (0.102) (0.275) (0.054) (0.184)
Liquidity ratio -0.030*** -0.030** -0.023*** -0.011 -0.027*** -0.008
(0.008) (0.015) (0.006) (0.016) (0.006) (0.016)
Loss to loans -0.107** -0.044 -0.185** -0.340 -0.113** -0.140
(0.052) (0.153) (0.087) (0.238) (0.053) (0.167)
Tier 1 ratio 0.020 -0.097 0.019 -0.041 -0.042 -0.034
(0.021) (0.125) (0.020) (0.151) (0.045) (0.248)
SECt−1 1.818*** 1.821*** 1.778***
(0.273) (0.273) (0.255)
Other controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Year indicators Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
σ 1.351 1.426 1.446
λ -0.344 -0.215 -0.188
No. Observations 775 775 775
No. Banks 134 134 134
No. Issuing 74 74 74
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