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Do Mid-Cap Private Equity Funds
Have an Advantage
in Today’s Markets?
Richard Cashin, Managing Partner, One Equity Partners
Ellis Jones, CEO, Wasserstein & Co.
John Mapes, Managing Partner, Aurora Capital Group
Ted Virtue, CEO, MidOcean Partners
Moderator: Mischa Zabotin,
Managing Director, Head of Financial Sponsors Group, Calyon Securities (USA) Inc.
Monday, April 28, 2008
9:35 AM – 10:50 AM
Do Mid-Cap Private Equity Funds
Have an Advantage
in Today’s Markets?
General Background Slides
Growing mid-cap private equity fund
By number of deals
Source: Portfolio Company Disbursements (VCD).
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Large-cap (>US$500M) Mid-cap (US$50-500M) Small-cap (<US$50M)
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
US$ billions
Large-cap (>US$500M) Mid-cap (US$50-500M) Small-cap (<US$50M)
Source: Portfolio Company Disbursements (VCD).
Growing mid-cap private equity fund
By deal values
23.3% oftotal
20.6% oftotal
24.0% oftotal
19.6% oftotal
25.7% oftotal
72.6% oftotal
79.1% oftotal
78.4% oftotal
75.7% oftotal
75.1% oftotal
Private equity: An alternative to classicprivate and public governance models
Publicly listedcompany
Private equity
Family-owned orprivately held
Ownership structure
Many dispersed shareholders,both institutional and retail
Private equity fund bundlesequity from private investors to
speak with one voice
Single owner or family group
Source: McKinsey Global Institute analysis.
Publicly listedcompany
Private equity
Family-owned orprivately held
Corporate governance
Shareholders have weak financialincentives and usually
weak voice in management
Direct LBO representative on boardwith significant financial incentives
for shareholder value
Controlled and led by founder/owner.May have outside voice on board or
management by invitation only
Source: McKinsey Global Institute analysis.
Private equity: An alternative to classicprivate and public governance models
Private equity: An alternative to classicprivate and public governance models
Publicly listedcompany
Private equity
Family-owned orprivately held
Capital structure
Low debt-equity ratio
High debt-equity ratio
Debt tolerance dependson owner; usually low
Source: McKinsey Global Institute analysis.
Private equity: An alternative to classicprivate and public governance models
Publicly listedcompany
Private equity
Family-owned orprivately held
Fundraising
Fundraising through public debtand equity markets, bank loans
Fundraising throughprivate investors
Fundraising through debtand bank loans
Source: McKinsey Global Institute analysis.
Direct and indirect effectson companies and financial markets
DirectImprovement of
portfoliocompanies
Pressure oncorporate performance
Create more liquidbuyout market
Impact on publiccapital markets
•Takeover threat•Public investments
•Buyout market for spin-offs•Key driver in M&A volume
•Rise in company performance•More activist governance
•Changing debt-equity
Indirect impact
Source: McKinsey Global Institute analysis.
Announced U.S. share buybacks
131
198
349
432
510
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
US$ billions
Source: McKinsey Global Institute analysis, October 2007.
13.30%18.20%LBO yield before fees
4.796.55Net profit after tax (30% tax rate)
7.565.04
9%6%Debt service
14.4EBIT (margin 12%)
84Debt share 70%
36Equity contribution 30%
120Market capitalization
Simplified example of LBO deal (US$ millions)
LBO denotes leveraged buyout fund.
Interest rates have fallen,boosting private equity returns
Source: McKinsey Global Institute analysis, October 2007.
Average private equity returnsin the U.S. As of December 12, 2006
Source: McKinsey Global Institute analysis, October 2007.
Ten-year annualized returns
12.9
8.5
14.5
8.6
8.3
4.7
6.2
Hedge funds
U.S. private equity
Real estate
US equities
International equities
Internationalfixed income
U.S. fixed income
Five-year annualized returns
9.2
10.6
23.2
7.2
15.7
9.5
5.1
Estimate of future AUM in LBO funds
Correction
Base case
Continuedgrowth
McKinsey Global Institute analysis
• Funds raised in the U.S. lose -15% per year• Funds raised in Europe shrink by -15% per year• AUM in Asia and elsewhere remain at 2006
levels
• Funds raised in the U.S. and in Europe remain at2006 levels
• AUM in Asia and elsewhere grow by 10%
• Funds raised in the U.S. grow by 14% per year• Funds raised in Europe grow by 20% per year• AUM in Asia and elsewhere grow by 20%
AUM = assets under management.
Source: McKinsey Global Institute analysis, October 2007.
Global private assets reachUS$1.4 trillion in 2012 in base case
• = estimates•Source: McKinsey Global Institute analysis, October 2007.
1,429
709 864 992 1069 1027 889 771
48128
237 370 523 658
914
1,141
1,3751,557 1,722
1,959
2006 2007 2008* 2009* 2010* 2011* 2012*
US$ billions
Continued growth
Base case
Correction
U.S. LBOs by target industry
Source: Thomson Financial.2004 2005 2006 2007
Financials
Healthcare
Energy and power
Telecommunications
Media and
entertainment
High technology
Other
US$ billions
US$65.8
US$120.0
US$380.2US$361.4
Of which26% were
retail
Of which32% wereconsumer
Of which 34%were
materials
Non-U.S. LBOs by target industry
Source: Thomson Financial.2004 2005 2006 2007
Energy and power
Materials
Consumer
Industrials
Telecommunications
Retail
Other
US$97.7
US$168.0
US$324.5US$336.7
US$ billions
Of which 50%were media
andentertainment
Of which25% werereal estate
Of which 44%were media
andentertainment
Do Mid-Cap Private Equity Funds
Have an Advantage
in Today’s Markets?
Mischa Zabotin’s Slides
Private Equity Funds
in the United States
Commitments to U.S. privateequity partnerships by sector
Does not include funds-of-funds.
Source: Private Equity Analyst.
$300
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1Q07 1Q08
US$ billions
Buyouts / corporate finance
Secondaries / other
Venture capital
Mezzanine
13.319.5
29.8 31.5
50.1
84.390.8
155.2
98.2
58.2
42.9
85.4
144.6
209.3
278.7
110.2
56.1
The ten largest funds in 2007
Source: Buyouts magazine, January 7, 2008.
Sponsor Name of fund Amount raised
in 2007 (US$M)
Amount raised
to date (US$M)
Target (US$M)
Blackstone Group Blackstone Capital Partners V 6,100 21,700 20,000
Goldman Sachs Goldman Sachs Capital Partners VI 20,000 20,000 19,000
Apax Partners Apax Europe VII 16,172 16,172 16,172
Apollo Management Apollo Investment Fund VII 6,400 6,400 15,800
Kohlberg, Kravis, Roberts & Co. KKR 2006 Fund 2,430 18,500 15,500
Carlyle Group Carlyle Partners V 11,000 11,000 15,000
Warburg Pincus Warburg Pincus Private Equity X 9,000 9,000 15,000
Providence Equity Partners Providence Equity Partners VI 11,950 12,100 12,000
Blackstone Group Blackstone Real Estate Partners VI 11,000 11,000 10,200
Madison Dearborn Partners*** Madison Dearborn Partners VI 10,000
*** premarketing
Largest LBO acquisitions Announced between July 2006 and April 11, 2008
Source: Merger Market.
Date
announced
Date
completed
Target company Acquirer Deal value (US$M)
Jun 30, 2007 Pending BCE Inc BCE Consortium 48,059
Feb 26, 2007 Oct 10, 2007 Energy Future Holdings Corp. TXU Acquisition Consortium 44,161
Nov 20, 2006 Feb 9, 2007 Equity Office Properties Trust Blackstone Real Estate Partners 37,837
Jul 24, 2006 Nov 17, 2006 HCA Inc. HCA Acquisition 31,771
Dec 19, 2006 Jan 28, 2008 Harrah's Entertainment Inc. Hamlet Holdings LLC 27,188
Nov 16, 2006 Pending Clear Channel Communications Inc Clear Channel Acquisition Corp. 26,999
Apr 2, 2007 Sep 24, 2007 First Data Corp. Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Corp. (KKR) 26,964
May 20, 2007 Nov 16, 2007 Alltel Corporation Inc. Alltel Acquisition Corp. 26,862
Jul 3, 2007 Oct 24, 2007 Hilton Hotels Corp. Blackstone Group Holdings LLC 25,081
Apr 16, 2007 Pending SLM Corporation SLM Acquisition Corp. 24,662
May 2, 2007 Pending Cablevision Systems Corp. Charles Dolan family 22,465
Aug 28, 2006 May 30, 2007 Kinder Morgan Inc. (KMI) Kinder Morgan (management group) 22,386
May 29, 2007 Oct 5, 2007 Archstone-Smith Trust Archstone-Smith Acquisition Corp. 19,820
Sep 15, 2006 Dec 1, 2006 Freescale Semiconductor Inc. Freescale Acquisition Corp. 16,285
Jun 19, 2007 Feb 4, 2008 Intelsat Holdings Ltd. BC Partners Ltd. 15,823
Dec 18, 2006 Jul 12, 2007 Biomet Inc. LVB Acquisition LLC 11,342
3%
20%
26%
40%
13%
9%11%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
1Q07
2Q07
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
Source: Thomson Financial.
Percentage of global M&Aattributed to buyouts
Buyout Financing
Source: Standard & Poor’s LBO 1Q08.
Average purchaseprice / non-adjusted EBITDA multiples
6.8
6.4
5.8
6.46.7
7
8.1 8.0
8.8
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.3
0.3 0.3
0.3
0.39.3
0.2
0.4
5x
6x
7x
8x
9x
10x
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1Q08
EBITDA multiples
Purchase price
Fees/expense
Source: Standard & Poor’s LCD Quarterly 2008Q1.
Average debt multiples of LBO loans
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1Q08
Debt/multiple
5.75.4
4.7
4.2 4.1 4.0
4.64.8
5.3 5.4
6.2
5.14.8 4.7
4.1 4.03.4
3.9 3.8
4.2
4.7 4.7
5.6
4.5
0x
1x
2x
3x
4x
5x
6xLarge corporate LBO loans
Middle market LBO loans
U.S. leveraged pricing
Source: Standard & Poor’s LCD Quarterly, 2008Q1.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1Q-98 1Q-00 1Q-02 1Q-04 1Q-06 1Q-08
BB
B
Basis points