do you deviate? do you deviate?. the standard deviation measures the spread of a set of data around...
TRANSCRIPT
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Do You
Deviate?Do You
Deviate?
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The standard deviation measures the spread of a set of data around the mean of the data. In a normal distribution, approximately 68 percent of scores fall within plus or minus one standard deviation of the mean, and 95 percent fall within plus or minus two standard deviations of the mean.
Definition of Standard Deviation
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What the Heck? I am not a Math PhD!
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How far is too far?
How Far is too Far?
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Price
800 SMA
Far away
Far, Far Away
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Price
800 SMACloser!
Closer (not far away)
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How far is too far?
How Far is Too Far?
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Truckloadsof dataTruckloads of
Data 1
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Truckloads of Data 2
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Every Pair is an Individual
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Every Pair is an Individual
60 Minute Currency Pairs
AUD/JPY 350CAD/JPY 700CHF/JPY 225EUR/JPY 575GBP/JPY 1000NZD/JPY 600
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AUD/JPY 5 Minute Scatter
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AUD/JPY 5 Minute Scatter
2
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AUD/JPY 5 Min
AUD/JPY 5 Minute
Distribution
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AUD/USD 5 Min
AUD/USD Scatter
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AUD/USD 5 Min
Average: 6
Maximum: 115
Minimum: -279
STDEV: 51
2 STDEV: 108AUD/USD Summary Statistics
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AUD/USD 5 Min
100 pips above 800
AUD/USD Chart 5 Minute
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GBP/USD 5 Min
GBP/USD 5 Minute Scatter
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GBP/USD 5 Min
GBP/USD 5 Minute
Distribution
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GBP/USD 5 Min
Average: 4Maximum: 396Minimum: -433STDEV: 972 STDEV: 198
GBP/USD 5 Minute
Summary Statistics
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GBP/USD 5 Min
200 pips above 800
GBP/CHF 5 Minute Chart
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GBP/CHF 5 Minute Scatter
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GBP/CHF 5 Min
GBP/CHF 5 Minute Scatter
GBP/CHF 5 Minute
Distribution
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Average: 0Maximum: 487Minimum: -531STDEV: 952 STDEV: 191
GBP/CHF 5 Min
GBP/CHF 5 Minute
Summary Statistics
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GBP/CHF 5 Min
200 pips below 800
GBP/CHF 5 Minute Chart
Example
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USD/CHF 5 Minute Scatter
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USD/CHF 5 Min
USD/CHF 5 Minute
Distribution
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Average: -3Maximum: 311Minimum: -316STDEV: 712 STDEV: 139
USD/CHF 5 Min
USD/CHF 5 Minute
Summary Statistics
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USD/CHF 5 Min
140 pips below 800
USD/CHF 5 Minute Chart
Example
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Crude Oil 5 Minute Scatter
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Crude Oil (CL) 5 Min
Crude Oil 5 Minute
Distribution
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Average: .10Maximum: 5.47Minimum: -4.97STDEV: 1.752 STDEV: 3.60
Crude Oil (CL) 5 Min
Crude Oil Summary Statistics
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AUD/USD 5 Min
AUD/USD Trade Example
Crude Oil Summary Statistics
Price Exceeds Lower Band
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AUD/USD 5 Min
AUD/USD Trade Example 2
Crude Oil Summary Statistics
Buy on Re-Entry
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AUD/USD 5 Min
AUD/USD Trade Example 3
Crude Oil Summary Statistics
Take Sweet Profit
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AUD/USD 5 Min
AUD/USD Trade Example A1
Crude Oil Summary Statistics
Price Breaks OutLike a Spitzer Prison Break
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Client #9
Client #9Crude Oil Summary Statistics
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AUD/USD 5 Min
AUD/USD Trade Example A2
Crude Oil Summary Statistics
Price hits 800 SMA
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AUD/USD 5 Min
AUD/USD Trade Example A3
Crude Oil Summary Statistics
Price hits theOpposite Band
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AUD/USD 5 Min
AUD/USD Trade Example B1
Crude Oil Summary Statistics
Price Smokes BandLike a Crackhead on Payday
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AUD/USD 5 Min
Support Line Break Entry
Crude Oil Summary Statistics
Price Breaks BelowA Support Level
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AUD/USD 5 Min
Trendline Break Entry
Crude Oil Summary Statistics
Price Breaks BelowA Trendline
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Crude Oil 1 Hour
Oil is Way Overextended
Now
Crude Oil Summary Statistics
Price is WAY Out
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Crude Oil 1 Hour
Stopped OutCrude Oil Summary Statistics
Holy Crap
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Using the 200 SMA
Using the 200 Simple Moving
Avg.
Crude Oil Summary Statistics
An Early Entry?
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The GBP/JPY Holy Crap
Bear Stearns Implodes
Crude Oil Summary Statistics
Bear Stearns Implodes
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Beans 5 Minute Scatter