document number developing the business case for updating the region’s end-use load shapes project...
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Developing the Business Case for Updating the Region’s End-use Load ShapesProject Status Meeting
Presented by the DNV KEMA Project TeamMay 23, 2012
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
2
Agenda
EPRI Workshop
Conclusion of stakeholder webinars
Next steps – stakeholder “data collection”- Prioritization of end uses- Interviews
Project timeline
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
3
EPRI Load Shape Library Interest Group Workshop
DNV KEMA attended workshop held May 1-2, 2012 – Dallas, TX
Purpose: 2012 Load Research Objectives & Deliverables• “Load Shape Library” Develop a framework for creating a load shape repository with secure web
access to member funders. To include aggregate primary data by sector and end-use. Source of data to be determined by user group
• Establish a “Load Data Users Group” comprising of member funders and interested utilities to advise on repository structure and data-related topics
• Deliverables: A member-accessible, preliminary load shape software in addition to a summary report detailing the status of the “Load Shape Library” at the end of the year
Whole premise and end use (populated with existing CEED first)
Interested in investigating alternatives to metering to keep costs down – NIALMs, CDA
Very interested in the RTF project – happy to be connected
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
4
Stakeholder Webinars - Completed
Purpose: Brainstorm with stakeholders about the specific information that will be necessary to develop the business case
Series of Webinars:- Webinar #1 - April 25, 2012 - Webinar #1.5 – May 4, 2012 (Repeat of Webinar #1)- Webinar #2 – May 10, 2012
- Follow up to ensure proper interpretation, and - Gather additional information
About 40 participants
PowerPoint summarizing feedback, plus additional meeting notes
Feedback develops the beginning of the framework for the case
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
5
Webinars – What We Discussed
Concerns about existing data
Users of the information and major issues- Energy Efficiency- Demand Response- Load Forecasting- T&D Planning- Resource Acquisition/Integrated Resource Planning- Smart Grid- Power Marketers- Others
Other Themes Heard Throughout the Discussion- Prioritizing end uses- Data transferability- Data granularity needs- Sampling/study considerations
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
6
Next Step – Data Collection from Stakeholders
Stakeholder priorities - Stakeholders asked for chance to prioritize end uses- Also include data granularity requirements and measurement needs- Very short survey to a wide audience (will be sent to all contacts on original list)
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
7
Lists of End-uses for Prioritization
**Please review end use categories and provide
additional categories to Lorin Molander by May 30, if desired.**
End Use Non-Residential Analysis GroupsAgricultural Agricultural - ProcessAgricultural Agricultural - PumpingAppliances Appliances - LaundryOther Clean RoomOther Compressed AirOther Data Center EquipmentOther Data Center CoolingOther Food Service EquipmentHVAC HVAC - CoolingHVAC HVAC - Fan EnergyHVAC HVAC - HeatingHVAC HVAC - OtherHVAC HVAC - ReheatHVAC HVAC - Ventilation OnlyProcess Industrial - ProcessLighting Lighting - ExteriorLighting Lighting - InteriorLighting Lighting - ControlsProcess Motors - DrivesOther Plug Load (Electronics)Process PumpRefrigeration RefrigerationOther Water Heating
End Use Residential Analysis GroupsAppliances Appliances - KitchenAppliances Appliances - LaundryAppliances Appliances - RefrigeratorsWater Heating Domestic Hot WaterHVAC HVAC - CoolingHVAC HVAC - Fan EnergyHVAC HVAC - HeatingHVAC HVAC - VentilationHVAC HVAC - OtherLighting Lighting - ExteriorLighting Lighting - InteriorOther Plug Loads (Electronics)Other Pool Pump
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
8
Lists of Measures for Prioritization - Residential
**Please review end use categories and provide
additional categories to Lorin Molander by May 30, if desired.**
End Use Residential MeasuresLighting Compact FluorescentLighting T8 with electric ballasLighting HID LightingLighting Lighting ControlsLighting LEDsHVAC Caulking & Weather StrippingHVAC Attic, Basement, and Wall InsulationHVAC Storm Windows & Doors,HVAC Double Pane Low-e Argon-filled WindowsHVAC Pipe InsulationHVAC Programmable ThermostatsHVAC Duct Sealing & InsulationHVAC AC or Heat Pump Tune-upsHVAC EE Room Air ConditionersWater Heating Pipe InsulationWater Heating LF ShowerheadsWater Heating Faucet AeratorsWater Heating Tank WrapWater Heating Temp TurndownWater Heating High Effi ciency WHWater Heating Heat Pump WHRefrig/Misc. Waterbed coversRefrig/Misc. Coil Cleaning kitRefrig/Misc. EE Refrigerators, Clothes Washers, & DishwashersRefrig/Misc. Smart Power Strips
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
9
Lists of Measures for Prioritization – Non-Residential
**Please review end use categories and provide additional categories to Lorin Molander by May
30, if desired.**
End Use Non-Residential MeasuresBuilding Envelope InsulationBuilding Envelope WindowsBuilding Envelope InfiltrationBuilding Envelope Cool roofBuilding Envelope EMSHVAC Heat pumpsHVAC AC unitsHVAC ChillersHVAC ControlsHVAC EconomizerHVAC Thermal Energy StorageHVAC Duct SealingHVAC Tune-upesHVAC Energy recovery ventilationHVAC Demand control ventilationMotors VSDMotors ECMMotors EEWater Heating ShowerheadsWater Heating Faucet AeratorsWater Heating Tank WrapWater Heating Pipe InsulationWater Heating Tankless Water HeaterWater Heating Heat Recovery UnitWater Heating Heat TrapWater Heating Solar Pre-heaterWater Heating Heat pump water heaterWater Heating Pre-rinse spray valveCooking ES convection ovenCooking fryerCooking steamerCooking holding cabinets
End Use Non-Residential MeasuresIndoor Lighting Fluorescent Fixtures (T5-HE, T8-HE)Indoor Lighting ReflectorsIndoor Lighting CFLsIndoor Lighting HIDIndoor Lighting Effi cient Exit SignsIndoor Lighting ControlsIndoor Lighting LED (screw in and troffer)Indoor Lighting Continuous dimming flourescent fixturesIndoor Lighting highbay T5Indoor Lighting cold cathode lampsIndoor Lighting ceramin metal halide floodOutdoor Lighting HIDOutdoor Lighting ControlsOutdoor Lighting LED street and garage lightingOutdoor Lighting inductionOffi ce Equipment LED monitorOffi ce Equipment ES computerOffi ce Equipment monitorOffi ce Equipment copier and printerVending Equipment Vending miser et. Al.Refrigeration CompressorsRefrigeration AuxiliaryRefrigeration Strip Curtains for walk-insRefrigeration Night coversRefrigeration LED LightingRefrigeration Effi cient Compressor ReftrofitRefrigeration Floating Head Pressure ControlsRefrigeration Anti-sweat controlsRefrigeration Hi-R glass doorsRefrigeration EnergyStar equip including ice machines
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
10
Next Step – Data Collection from Stakeholders
Stakeholder interviews - Feedback from webinars was used to refine the list of questions to be used in the individual
interviews - Hone in on specifics of needs- Gather specific details to support value determination ($$)- Support other assessments:
- Updates since 2009- No-action option
- Telephone, in-person- Target: 25 PNW, 10 National
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
11
Proposed PNW Interview Contacts
Schedule/plans for interviews:
National interviews during AEIC conference early June.
BC Hydro in-person interviews June 8.
BPA, PSE In-person?
OrganizationAttended Webinar?
Target No. of Interviews (or
equivalent)Avista corp x 2BC Hydro x 2BPA x 5Energy Trust of Oregon 1Eugene Water and Electric Board 1Idaho Power x 1NEEA x 1NWPCC x 1Pacific Power x 1Portland General Electric 1Puget Sound Energy x 5Snohomish PUD x 1Tacoma Power 1Pacific Northwest National Lab x 2TOTAL 25
Pacific Northwest Organizations
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
12
Proposed Interview Questions
Topic Question
Intro [Record name, organization, and contact information of respondent.]
Intro Please briefly describe your role and function within your organization.
Intro Please briefly describe how you currently perform the function you are responsible for or that you contribute to.
Intro How do you use (or could you use) end-use load shapes for your analyses?
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
13
Proposed Interview Questions
Topic Question
Investment What types of decisions are made from the results of your analyses?
Investment Do these decisions include whether to make investments of some type?
Investment [If yes to above] How much of an investment does your organization (or your clients) typically make based on the results of your analyses? How often?
Investment On a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 being not at all important and 10 being very important, how important is the accuracy of the end-use information to the overall results of your analyses?
Investment What are the risks of using potentially inaccurate load shapes?
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
14
Proposed Interview QuestionsTopic QuestionCurrent State What is the primary source (or sources) for the end-use load shapes you are
currently using? (E.g., ELCAP, DEER, developed in-house, etc.)
Current State/Updates since 2009
Are you using any load shapes that have been developed in the past three years? If so, which ones?
Current State Do you have any concerns about the end-use load shapes you currently use? If yes, what are your concerns?
Current State On a scale from 1 to 10, with 1 being not at all concerned and 10 being very concerned, how concerned are you that the end- use load shapes you are using are not accurate?
Current State/No-action option Do you see any issues with using the same end-use load shapes you currently have for the foreseeable future? If yes, what are those issues?
Current State On behalf of the RTF, DNV KEMA has sent out a short survey asking organizations to prioritize residential and non-residential end-uses. Have you had a chance to complete this survey?
Current State (End use priorities, data granularity, measurement needs)
[If no above, provide paper copy of short online survey to complete at this time.]
Future State Does your organization have any plans to develop new end-use load shapes in the near future, either by metering or by other methods such as conditional demand analysis?
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
15
Proposed Interview Questions
Topic Question
Data Type What types of load shapes do you use or are you most interested in: end-use load shapes or measure shapes (or both)?
Data Type What measurement units are you most interested in: power, harmonics, temperature, kvar, etc.
Supporting Info On a scale from 1 to 10, with 1 being not at all beneficial and 10 being very beneficial, how beneficial would it be to have supporting occupancy characteristic information?
Supporting Info On a scale from 1 to 10, with 1 being not at all beneficial and 10 being very beneficial, how beneficial would it be to have supporting behavioral information?
Supporting Info On a scale from 1 to 10, with 1 being not at all beneficial and 10 being very beneficial, how beneficial would it be to have supporting building/system characteristics?
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
16
Proposed Interview Questions
Topic Question
Granularity What level of granularity do you require for your analyses? Less than 1 minute1 minute5 minute10 minute15 minute30 minute60 minuteDailyGreater than daily
Granularity Do you foresee your data granularity needs changing five years from now?
Accuracy Do you have specific accuracy and precision requirements for the end-use load shapes and other variables? [For example, PURPA requirements were 90% confidence estimates are within +/- 10%.]
Accuracy If yes, what are they?
Accuracy Are there any specific regulatory or other “client” requirements and/or expectations in terms of accuracy?
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
17
Proposed Interview Questions
Topic QuestionSampling Are the majority of your analyses focused particularly on one
end-use, or are they focused on interactions among end uses?
Sampling On a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 being not at all important and 10 being very important please rank the usefulness of the following:
a. Case studies of household appliance usage
b. Statistical sample of single end-uses within selected houses
c. Statistical sample of multiple end-uses within selected houses
d. Case studies of non-residential end-use consumption
e. Statistical sample of single end-uses within selected of non-residential sites
f. Statistical sample of multiple end-uses within selected non-residential sites
Study Length Do you have specific requirements or feedback for how long an end use study should be in the field?
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
18
Proposed Interview Questions
Topic Question
Load Shape Library How would you prefer to access the data?OnlineSend someone a requestOther
Load Shape Library What file format do you prefer? Flat file, Excel, Access, SAS, other?
Load Shape Library Do you need access to the data by site, aggregated data, or both?
Load Shape Library If you could use aggregated data, what kind of ‘pre-aggregated’ data would be most useful to you? Monthly? Day type? Business class? Housing type? Other?
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
19
Project Timeline
May 30: Feedback from RTF/Subcommittee on interview questions due to DNV KEMA
June 4: Interviews begin
June 22: Interviews completed
June 29: Summary of findings from interviews due to RTF
July 27: Draft business case due to RTF
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
20
Contact Information
Contacts- Lorin Molander, DNV KEMA
- [email protected] (425) 457-3090
- Curt Puckett, DNV KEMA- [email protected] (517) 529-6277
- John Stoops, DNV KEMA- [email protected] (510) 891-0446
- Joe Lopes, DNV KEMA- [email protected] (516) 277-1087
- Mark Kendall, RTF- [email protected] (503) 400-2026
Project Status Meeting
May 23, 2012
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