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Document of The World Bank Report No: ICR00003080 IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT (TF-91503 and TF-91509) ON A GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF US$5.25 MILLION TO THE REPUBLIC OF CAMEROON/CAMEROON WATER UTILITIES CORPORATION FOR THE CAMEROON WATER LEASE OBA FOR COVERAGE EXPANSION SEPTEMBER 29, 2014 Water GP (GWADR) Central Africa 1 (AFCC1) Africa Region Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

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Page 1: Document of The World Bank€¦ · 29/9/2014  · The World Bank Report No: ICR00003080 IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT (TF-91503 and TF-91509) ... EFA Economic and financial

Document of

The World Bank

Report No: ICR00003080

IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT

(TF-91503 and TF-91509)

ON A

GRANT

IN THE AMOUNT OF US$5.25 MILLION

TO THE

REPUBLIC OF CAMEROON/CAMEROON WATER UTILITIES CORPORATION

FOR THE

CAMEROON WATER LEASE – OBA FOR COVERAGE EXPANSION

SEPTEMBER 29, 2014

Water GP (GWADR)

Central Africa 1 (AFCC1)

Africa Region

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ii

CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS

(Exchange Rate Effective July 3, 2014)

Currency Unit = XAF

1.00 = US$ 481.9957

US$ 1.00 = 0.0021

FISCAL YEAR 2014

ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

AFD Agence française de développement

AfDB African Development Bank

Camwater Cameroon Water Utilities Corporation

CAS Country Assistance Strategy

CDE Camerounaise des Eaux

CP Commitment Paper

CPS Country Partnership Strategy

EFA Economic and financial analysis

EIB European Investment Bank

GA Grant Agreement

GDP Gross Domestic Product

GoC Government of Cameroon

GPOBA Global Partnership for Output Based Aid

HIPC Highly Indebted Poor Countries

ICR Implementation Completion and Results Report

IRR Internal rate of return

IVA Independent Verification Agency

JMP WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Program

M&E Monitoring and Evaluation

MDGs Millennium Development Goals

MTR Mid-Term Review

NPV Net present value

OBA Output Based Aid

MO Manual of Operations

PDUE (*) Projet de développement urbain et du secteur de l’eau

PIU Project Implementation Unit

POE Panel of experts

PPP Public-Private Partnership

PRS Poverty Strategy Reduction

SAR Semi-Annual Report

SNEC Société Nationale des Eaux du Cameroun

UWDS (*) Urban and Water Development Support

WSS Water Supply and Sanitation Services

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iii

Senior Global Practice Director: Junaid Kamal Ahmad

Country Director: Gregor Binkert

Practice Manager: Alexander E. Bakalian

Project Team Leader: Miguel Vargas-Ramirez

ICR Team Leader: Miguel Vargas-Ramirez

ICR Primary Author Véronique Verdeil

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CAMEROON

Cameroon Water Lease – OBA for Coverage Expansion

CONTENTS

Page

Data Sheet

A. Basic Information………………………………………………………………………………….vi

B. Key Dates…………………………………………………………………………………………..vi

C. Ratings Summary…………………………………………………………………………....….…vii

D. Sector and Theme Codes…………………………………………………………………...….….vii

E. Bank Staff…………………………………………………………………………………………vii

F. Results Framework Analysis………………………………………………………………..…….viii

G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs…………………………………………………………...ix

H. Restructuring …………………………………………………………………………….……...…ix

I. Disbursement Graph………………………………………………………………………….….…ix

1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design ............................................................... 1

1.1 Context at Appraisal ..............................................................................................................1 1.2 Original Project Development Objectives (PDO) and Key Indicators ..................................3

1.3 Revised PDO (as approved by original approving authority) and Key Indicators ................3 1.4 Main Beneficiaries .................................................................................................................3 1.5 Original Components .............................................................................................................4

1.6 Revised Components .............................................................................................................4 1.7 Other significant changes .......................................................................................................5

2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes .............................................................. 5

2.1 Project Preparation, Design and Quality at Entry ..................................................................5

2.2 Implementation ......................................................................................................................6 2.3 Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) Design, Implementation and Utilization .......................9

2.4 Safeguard and Fiduciary Compliance ..................................................................................10 2.5 Post-completion Operation/Next Phase ...............................................................................11

3. Assessment of Outcomes .......................................................................................................... 11

3.1 Relevance of Objectives, Design and Implementation ........................................................11

3.2 Achievement of Project Development Objectives ...............................................................12 3.3 Efficiency .............................................................................................................................13 3.4 Justification of Overall Outcome Rating .............................................................................14 3.5 Overarching Themes, Other Outcomes and Impacts ...........................................................15

3.6 Summary of Findings of Beneficiary Survey and/or Stakeholder Workshops ....................16

4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome ......................................................................... 16

5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance ..................................................................... 17

5.1 Bank Performance ................................................................................................................17 5.2 Grantee Performance ...........................................................................................................18

6. Lessons Learned........................................................................................................................ 19

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Annex 1. Project Costs and Financing .......................................................................................... 21

(a) Project Cost by Component (in USD Million equivalent) ...................................................21 (b) Financing (in USD Million equivalent) ...............................................................................21

Annex 2. Outputs by Component.................................................................................................. 23

Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis ................................................................................. 32

Annex 4. Grant Preparation and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes ....................... 37

(a) Task Team members ............................................................................................................37 (b) Staff Time and Cost .............................................................................................................37

Annex 5. Beneficiary Survey Results ........................................................................................... 38

Annex 6. Stakeholder Workshop Report and Results ................................................................... 39

Annex 7. Summary of Grantee's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR ........................................ 40

Annex 8. Comments of Cofinanciers and Other Partners/Stakeholders ....................................... 41

Annex 9. List of Supporting Documents ...................................................................................... 41

Map IBRD 41072 ………………………………………………………………………………..43

List of boxes and figures

Box 1 - The urban water sector reform in Cameroon and reasons for financial deterioration ....... 2 Box 2 – The Cameroon water OBA project: main features ............................................................ 4

Figure 1: Project’s total investment cost and actual cost sharing ................................................. 15

Figure 2: the OBA project lifeline: implementation, milestones, achievements .......................... 22

Figure 3: Complex flows of project data contributed to low achievements ................................. 23

Figure 4: PDO progress over the project life: a 47% achievement rate ........................................ 24 Figure 5: Unit cost and cost sharing per connection varied over the project life ......................... 25

Figure 6: In Koumassi business unit (Douala), Camwater’ contribution decreased from 2010 ... 25 Figure 7: OBA profiles: low monthly consumptions .................................................................... 26 Figure 8: In total, 10% of OBA connections became inactive ..................................................... 27

Figure 9: 1 in 3 new domestic connections during the project is subsidized by GPOBA ............ 28 Figure 10: Eligibility and verification criteria evolved during the project life ............................. 30 Figure 11: Ex-ante and ex-post assumptions and economic and financial analysis ..................... 33 Figure 12: Cost effectiveness: unit cost and cost sharing analysis ............................................... 35

Figure 13: Access to piped water and to other sources of water in urban areas ........................... 36

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A. Basic Information

Country: Cameroon Project Name:

Cameroon Water Lease –

OBA for Coverage

Expansion

Project ID: P106794 L/C/TF Number(s): TF-91509,TF-90503

ICR Date: ICR Type: Core ICR

Lending Instrument: SIL Grantee: Cameroon Water Utilities

Corporation

Original Total

Commitment: USD 5.25M Disbursed Amount: USD 1.82M

Revised Amount: USD 5.25M

Environmental Category: Partial assessment (B)

Implementing Agencies:

Cameroon Water Utilities Corporation (Camwater)

Camerounaise des Eaux (CDE)

Cofinanciers and Other External Partners:

In the design, Cameroon Water Utilities Corporation (Camwater) is considered as a co-financier

Note: The project was initially (2006) conceived as an integral part of the IDA- funded Urban

and Water Development Sector project (P084002) and is referenced in the Project Appraisal

Document that was approved on May 1, 2007. However, it was initiated under the procedures of

the GPOBA project cycle and followed them until signature of the agreement.

While this lending operation got a separate number in early 2008, it has kept closed linkages

with the “parent project”, including for implementation support and reporting. This has some

impact on this ICR, which will be detailed in the relevant sections below.

In the ICR, the IDA-funded project will be named by its French acronym, as used by the

stakeholders: PDUE (projet de développement des secteurs urbain et de l’eau).

B. Key Dates

Process Date Process Original Date Revised / Actual

Date(s)

Concept Review: 08/28/2006 (*) Effectiveness: 02/16/2009 -

Appraisal: 09/25/2007 (*) Restructuring(s):

Approval: 05/01/2008 Mid-term Review: 03/14/2012 03/14/2012 (**)

Closing: 12/31/2011 10/31/2013

(*) Under GPOBA procedures, the Concept Note and Commitment Paper (CP) were reviewed by a Panel of Experts,

and endorsed by GPOBA management (appraisal). The CP is used as an equivalent of a PAD.

(**) The Mid-term Review date is the PDUE MTR (P084002). There was no MTR dedicated solely to the GPOBA

project.

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C. Ratings Summary

C.1 Performance Rating by ICR

Outcomes: Moderately Unsatisfactory

Risk to Development Outcome: Moderate

Bank Performance: Unsatisfactory

Grantee Performance: Unsatisfactory

C.2 Detailed Ratings of Bank and Borrower Performance (by ICR)

Bank Ratings Grantee Ratings

Quality at Entry: Moderately

Unsatisfactory Government:

Moderately

Unsatisfactory

Quality of Supervision: Unsatisfactory Implementing

Agency/Agencies: Unsatisfactory

Overall Bank

Performance: Unsatisfactory

Overall Grantee

Performance: Unsatisfactory

C.3 Quality at Entry and Implementation Performance Indicators

Implementation

Performance Indicators

QAG Assessments (if

any) Rating

Potential Problem Project

at any time (Yes/No): No

Quality at Entry

(QEA): None

Problem Project at any time

(Yes/No): Yes

Quality of Supervision

(QSA): None

DO rating before

Closing/Inactive status:

Moderately

Unsatisfactory

D. Sector and Theme Codes

Original Actual

Sector Code (as % of total Bank financing)

Water supply 100 100

Theme Code (as % of total Bank financing)

Water resource management 67

Urban services and housing for the poor 33 100

E. Bank Staff

Positions At ICR At Approval

Vice President: Makhtar Diop Obiageli Katryn Ezekwesili

Country Director: Gregor Binkert Mary A. Barton-Dock

Practice Manager: Alexander E. Bakalian Eugene Ouayoro

Project Team Leader: Miguel Vargas-Ramirez Philippe Marin

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ICR Team Leader: Miguel Vargas-Ramirez

ICR Primary Author: Véronique Verdeil

F. Results Framework Analysis

Project Development Objectives

As stated in the Grant Agreement (GA), the objective of the project was to promote, following an

output-based approach, piped water access for the urban population of Cameroon by adding

about 40,000 low income Beneficiary Households (representing approximately 240,000 persons)

to the urban water supply system.

Revised Project Development Objectives (as approved by original approving authority)

N.A.

(a) PDO Indicator(s)

Indicator Baseline Value

Original Target

Values (from

approval

documents)

Formally

Revised

Target Values

Actual Value

Achieved at

Completion or

Target Years

Indicator 1 : Number of water social connections

Value

quantitative or

Qualitative)

0 40,000 18,854

Date achieved 04/07/2008 04/07/2008 10/31/2013

Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

Definitions in the agreed Grant Agreement refer to the “verified outputs” or

“households eligible pursuant to the criteria set forth in the Operations Manual”.

At completion on October 31, 2013, 25,254 new connections had been executed by

CDE under the OBA program. However, only 18,854 were verified and declared

eligible to the GPOBA subsidy by the IVA. The achievement is of 47%.

Indicator 2 : Number of people in urban areas provided with access to Improved Water Sources

under the project

Value

quantitative or

Qualitative)

0 240,000 150,000

Date achieved 04/07/2008 04/07/2008 10/310/2013

Comments

(incl. %

achievement)

This core sector indicator reflects the project’s outcome in terms of population reached

(based on 6 people per household using each connection).

The total connections implemented (25,254), even if not verified, if functional, actually

provide access to an improved water source, and thus increase the number of people

who benefitted from the project (150,000). The achievement rate hence reaches 63%.

There is no other external source of information to measure to which extent this

increase in number of people served contributed to improve the national coverage rate –

a development outcome that was expected in the CP.

(b) Intermediate Outcome Indicator(s)

Comments The CP does not include a Results Framework with IOIs.

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(incl. %

achievement)

The initial SARs include a reporting framework with 9 indicators, but no formal end-

target values.

G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs

No. Date ISR

Archived DO IP

Actual Disbursements

(USD millions)

1 02/04/2013 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 1.11

2 10/27/2013 Moderately Unsatisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory 1.11

Note: Many GPOBA Semi-Annual Status Reports (SARs) are available. They do not include

ratings on PDO achievement and IP. The first ISR was prepared in February 2013. The second

one was completed in October 2013. The GPOBA project is mentioned in some of the PDUE

ISRs, but only briefly. These shortcomings are highlighted in the relevant sections of this ICR.

H. Restructuring (if any)

N.A.

I. Disbursement Profile

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1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design

1.1 Context at Appraisal

1. Cameroon was, at project identification in 2006, a low-income country struggling with low

access to basic services in cities. Despite a per capita income slightly above sub-Saharan Africa

average, poverty remained widespread, with about 40 percent of a 16 million population living

under the poverty threshold (US$1 per day) and several social indicators lagging behind. Over

half of the population lived in cities: the urban population growth peaked at around six percent

per year, twice that of the whole country. The stock of urban infrastructure, housing and access

to basic services had not increased since the late 1980s, while the population had more than

doubled. The country’s performance was in some instances weaker than countries with lower

GDP. For instance, only 35% of the urban population had access to piped water, a coverage rate

well behind that of Cote d’Ivoire and Senegal, 70 and 80 percent respectively.

2. A promising macro-economic situation forged hope and fueled donor support to poverty

reduction. The Government had finalized the first poverty reduction strategy (PRS) in 2003. The

strategy promoted, among others, empowerment of the private sector as the main engine for

growth and partner in delivering social services and developing basic infrastructure. Cameroon

also reached the completion point of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative in

April 2006, freeing up significant resources for development. In June 2006, the Paris Club

creditor countries agreed upon a substantial reduction of Cameroon’s stock of debt, to allow the

Government to implement the PRS and an ambitious economic program providing the basis for

sustainable economic growth. In this context, several donors considered new or additional

assistance in various sectors.

3. The urban water sector reform in 2005 made way for a complete overhaul to dramatically

increase access and quality of water services and introduced a PPP scheme. After 20 years of

underinvestment and poor governance from the national public utility SNEC, existing

infrastructure was not sufficient to meet demand and services had deteriorated markedly. After a

first concession contract negotiation collapsed in 2002, GoC learned from other successful

public-private partnership experiences in Western Africa. To increase the sector financial

autonomy, the reform established a dual system (see Box 1) combining a public asset-holding

company (Cameroon Water Utilities Corporation, Camwater), in charge of sector development

through concession contract, and a private operator (Camerounaise des Eaux, CDE) under lease

contract (thereafter named affermage). Camwater was established in 2006. An international

consortium led by the Moroccan firm ONEP won the bid and started operating as CDE in the

early 2008. The GoC’s commitment to sector reform attracted donors, including the Bank, AFD,

EIB, AfDB and China.

4. Rationale for Bank Assistance. In this favorable context, the GPOBA operation was initially

conceived as an integral part of the Urban and Water Development Support IDA loan (P0840021,

1 PDUE Component 3, Sub-component 3.3: Support to the PPP; Improvement and development of access.

The PDUE PAD was approved on May 1, 2007, a few months before the GPOBA Commitment Paper.

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PDUE in French). Following a 2004 Urban Economic and Sector Work, this project was a direct

contribution to the GoC’s new National Urban Strategy and PRS focusing on: i) reducing

poverty in urban areas; ii) resuming the development of water services to help achieve the

Millennium Development Goals (MDGs); and iii) spurring private sector growth and better

governance, as featured in the FY04-06 CAS for Cameroon. It was also well aligned with Bank

and other donors’ programs on decentralization and urban development, and benefitted from the

Bank’s PPP experience, over 15 years, in urban water services in West Africa.

Box 1 - The urban water sector reform in Cameroon and reasons for financial deterioration

5. Rationale for a connection subsidy program. Lessons learned from other projects showed that

the upfront connection cost was the major barrier for poor and middle-income households to

access the service. A survey carried out during preparation confirmed2 that the connection cost

was on average one month income for the richest quintile, three to four months income for

families in the intermediate quintiles, and as much as eight months income for the poorest

families in the two lowest quintiles. Without a subsidized connection program, the expertise and

efficiency brought by the private operator would not increase access to the poorer populations.

6. Rationale for GPOBA involvement. GPOBA has a mandate to fund pro-poor infrastructure

services through output-based subsidies, with special emphasis on the poorest countries and a

particular interest in increasing access to water in Sub-Saharan Africa. The project, as designed,

was fully in line with GPOBA operational criteria, also prominent in the reform, to: i) increase

accountability and efficiency of the national water utility; ii) provide incentives for innovation in

expanding service to poor people; and iii) enhance sustainability of the PPP reform and better

2 This socio-economic study was not in the Bank’s files or maintained by stakeholders.

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monitoring of results and beneficiary profiles through targeted subsidies. GPOBA was expected,

as co-financier for the PDUE Sub-component 3.33, to leverage overall pro-poor efforts.

1.2 Original Project Development Objectives (PDO) and Key Indicators

7. As stated in the Grant Agreement (GA), the objective of the project was to promote, following

an output-based approach, piped water access for the urban population of Cameroon by adding

about 40,000 low income Beneficiary Households (representing approximately 240,000 persons)

to the urban water supply system.

8. The key indicator to measure increase access to piped water was the number of new individual

household connections added to the system via the subsidy scheme, or “number of social

connections.” A second outcome indicator was the “number of people in urban areas provided

with access to improved water sources under the project.”

1.3 Revised PDO (as approved by original approving authority) and Key Indicators

9. No formal revision of the PDO was made.

1.4 Main Beneficiaries

10. The primary target group was the urban poor to lower-middle income population with no

individual connection to the public water service provided by CDE. According to the CP, the

project beneficiaries were households of the 2nd and 3rd poverty quintiles, with a daily income

per capita of less than US$ 0.40 (US$ 68 monthly for an average family of 6). Households of the

1st quintile were too poor to afford water bills and the upfront connection cost, even if

subsidized. The 4th and 5th quintiles typically were already connected to the water network. The

project did not set strict socio-economic eligibility criteria at the design stage. A mid-term

review after two years of implementation was set to assess beneficiary profiles and consider, if

needed, further targeting to the poor.

11. With no specific geographic criteria set, all urban areas in the country and respective CDE

agencies within the affermage area were eligible. At preparation it was assumed that families

eligible for subsidy were located in the neighborhoods without distribution networks, as well as

in reticulated areas when they could not afford the high connection fees. In both cases, they

typically purchased water at a much higher price that the tariff paid by households with a

connection, from unsafe local wells, street vendors or privately managed standpipes, and

neighbors with individual connections in areas with network.

12. Camwater, the asset-holding public utility and direct grantee, was expected to benefit from

the grant for strengthening its capacity in procurement, fund management and project monitoring

3 In the PDUE PAD, Sub-component 3.3 financing plan was: US$14.2 million funded by IDA, US$10

million funded by GPOBA, leveraging an additional US$2 million from Camwater. In the Grant

Agreement, GPOBA committed US$5.25 million and Camwater’s contribution was not explicit.

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through the combined GPOBA and IDA projects. The IDA loan included a technical assistance

component to support Camwater’s coordinating unit.

1.5 Original Components

13. Component 1: Connection to Water Services (US$ 5 million). This component was the

core of GPOBA support, in the form of subsidies for eligible “working connection to water

services delivering water to about 40,000 Beneficiary Households, through the provision of

works, goods and consulting services.”

14. Component 2: Monitoring and Evaluation (US$ 0.250 million). This component aimed to

“support project monitoring and evaluation activities by the hiring of an independent verification

agent” (IVA). Implementation arrangements and responsibilities are presented in Box 2 below.

Box 2 – The Cameroon water OBA project: main features

1.6 Revised Components

Not applicable

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1.7 Other significant changes

15. In January 2010, after project effectiveness, the financing plan was changed when Camwater

and CDE decided to set a fixed connection cost instead of the variable fee set in the project

design (see Box 2 above). Consequences of this change on the project aimed to overcome the

project’s difficulties, particularly Camwater’s unstable financial situation, are presented in

Section 2.2.

16. The project closing date was extended by 22 months from December 31, 2011 to October 31,

2013. This change, approved by CD, was proposed to allow the full utilization of the Grant

proceeds and to contribute to the PDO achievement. Designed for a 4-year disbursement period,

the project lifetime was reduced at appraisal to align with the parent trust fund closing date of

December 2011. In addition, the GA wasn’t declared effective until February 2009, 10 months

after signature. Implementation had a slow start due to financial difficulties and institutional

changes within the sector. Contingent on the execution of network extensions, the duration of the

extension seemed reasonable to achieve the PDO and fully commit the Grant proceeds, since

around 14,000 connections were already verified (or 35% of the DO) and 3,000 more were in the

process of verification in December 2011.

2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes

2.1 Project Preparation, Design and Quality at Entry

17. Lessons learned from other water projects in the sub-region and socio-economic evidence

informed the project design. Project preparation built on the experience gained in Côte d’Ivoire,

Senegal and Niger, where subsidized water connection programs had been successfully

implemented under affermage contracts. The socio-economic survey in Cameroon confirmed

targets’ profiles in terms of access to water services and poverty that helped set an output-based

approach that was relatively new in Western Africa.

18. The project design introduced innovations to foster pro-poor service delivery. The Cameroon

project was the first GPOBA designed to directly support an affermage arrangement:

The newly established asset-holding public utility Camwater became the contractual

counterpart and recipient of the grant, bearing the financing risk instead of the private

operator as experienced elsewhere in OBA projects;

The project introduced financial incentives to enhance the private operator’s incentive to

expand access to poor households and ensure full cost recovery even from small customers:

in addition to the volumetric fee, the remuneration formula entitled the private operator to

receive the monthly fixed fee paid by each new customer (about US$ 3), therefore

expanding its revenue base;

Contrary to other schemes, where the eligible customers only had to pay a guarantee deposit

for a fully subsidized connection, in Cameroon the overall investment cost was divided

between Camwater, GPOBA and the customer. The customer was required to bear at least

5% of the overall connection cost and a deposit, covering three months of consumption;

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To ensure a pro-poor approach within the PPP and sector reform, the OBA scheme was

included in the lease contract, embedding the OBA project in the PPP structure and linking

its development to the overall urban water sector development.

19. Risks were well identified and extensively discussed with the GPOBA Panel of Experts

(PoE). Putting the financial risk on the public entity was considered needed to ensure a

successful tender of the lease contract in a market context where private operators were reluctant

to take the additional risk of pre-financing the connections under the proposed OBA scheme. The

team also acknowledged operational risks linked to the two-layer structure (connection

implementation vs. investment), in particular potential implementation delays if extensions were

not realized by Camwater prior to connections to be done by CDE.

20. Despite POE’s concerns, in the CP those risks were considered low to moderate. Camwater’s

ability to make planned investment was considered very likely because it was ‘cash positive’ and

was incentivized to develop more connections. Potential operational delays in network extension

programs were not specifically addressed and the subsidy was focused on connections only.

Design did not plan for a progressive implementation to match evolving realities on the ground.

21. Consultations with the Grantee on project design were elicited in the Manual of Operations4

(MO), although it did not recall Camwater’s expected financial contribution (US$ 5.75 million),

a major project feature for the subsidy calculation and cost sharing responsibilities.

22. The Grantee’s implementation capacity assessment could have proposed specific measures to

support Camwater to successfully manage the reporting, monitoring and disbursing procedures

required in result-based funding like GPOBA. In OBA projects, the IVA has an important role to

assist the implementing agency, which could have been more explicit in its TORs.

2.2 Implementation

External factors that have affected implementation and outcomes

23. The urban water sector financial deterioration impacted Camwater’s cash-flow and capacity

to pre-finance the OBA project (see Box 1). Despite a strong commitment to set up the PPP,

GoC did not comply with some PPP financial requirements to support Camwater. These financial

difficulties, far beyond the OBA project, affected Camwater’s ability to invest and CDE’s

revenue collection and financial equilibrium. Despite institutional and financial agreements on

swap debts between the Government, Camwater and CDE, this situation has not yet being fully

solved as of June 2014, impacting own- and externally-supported programs. Although the funds

at stake for the OBA project were relatively small, Camwater failed to replenish the Subsidy

Connection Fund (SCF) to enable continuation of the works.5 CDE pre-financed the connections

from end-2009 to early 2013, which allowed the project to continue and connect new customers.

4 The MO is the only project document available in French, the Grantee’s working language.

5 The Subsidy Connection Fund was set up to channel Camwater and GPOBA funds to the project.

Camwater paid and initial contribution of FCFA 400 million (US$ 0.8 million) in end-2008.

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24. Low quality water service in some areas and delays in network extension affected customers’

willingness to connect to the public network. Production capacity was insufficient in several

centers when CDE took over the service provision in May 2008. The IDA and AFD-EIB-funded

projects were ongoing with the objective to increase water production, expand networks and

resolve severe water shortages. Delays in procurement affected the emergency water works in

Douala and Yaoundé. Moreover, even before OBA effectiveness, CDE had to execute a large

number of still-pending domestic connections sold by the previous utility, SNEC. But delays in

getting connections impacted effective work and existing customers’ satisfaction, and limited the

effect of the communication campaign promoting the OBA connections.

Internal factors that have affected implementation and outcomes

25. Figure 2 in Annex 2 detail project developments over its near 4-years of implementation,

including milestones and factors that affected implementation and progress toward the PDO.

26. Late effectiveness and late recruitment of the IVA slowed progress at start-up. OBA project

effectiveness depended on a legal covenant for the IDA-funded project: the recruitment of the

PPP auditor. The recruitment of the Independent Verification Agency (IVA) that would strictly

audit the OBA project was not a condition for effectiveness. Difficulties in procurement led to an

initial unsuccessful bid and a transition period with an individual consultant. The 10-month delay

between signature and effectiveness was followed by another 24-month interim situation with

two verifications from the individual consultant and a resulting backlog in connections to be

verified. The second IVA6 contract started in February 2011 and its first report was submitted in

April 2011, when Camwater was urged to request an extension of project closing date after

December 2011.

27. Reporting and reimbursement arrangements proved to be difficult to implement because

there were two data sets to harmonize: connections sold by CDE and connections eligible under

the OBA program. Due to initial delays in implementation, the first invoices from CDE to

Camwater included OBA connections “sold” to new customers, but not necessarily already

executed, or executed but later on declared not eligible by the IVA. These gaps led to lengthy

discussions over eligible vs. rejected connections between CDE and the IVA and/or Camwater.

These reporting and financial arrangements (see Box 2 above) were considered complex by CDE

and Camwater during ICR discussions.

28. Delays and slow pace of implementation translated into low PDO achievement and low

disbursement rate. Project reports show a gap between the objective of 40,000 OBA connections,

the 25,254 executed and the 18,854 effectively verified and eligible (or 47% achievement rate).

The first disbursement occurred in June 2010 and GPOBA disbursed five times during

implementation. The last verification covered the end-2012 period7, before its contract ended in

6 The three financial proposals initially received were far above the amount budgeted for the IVA. The

“second” IVA finally selected (the consortium Hydroconseil-GMUS) was the same firm as the winner of

the initial unsuccessful bid, with a revised budget. 7 Verification was initially planned quarterly, but Camwater had to wait to get a critical mass of

connections to justify the field deployment of the IVA.

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March 2013, six months before project closure. CDE stopped promoting the OBA connections in

early 2013, but executed some 3,000 connections during the last nine months. These connections

were not verified, thus not reimbursed. In total, 15% of the 25,254 connections executed could

not be verified and an additional 10% were verified but declared not eligible.

29. Recurrent questioning of eligibility criteria and verification methodology created delays in

verification. Responding to the definition of “Beneficiary Households” in the GA, the MO listed

criteria as proxies for social connections: with small diameter (low consumption), for domestic

purposes and immediate use (on inhabited plot, with consumption metered), for households that

had never had a connection. Other “technical” criteria were introduced when the project started

and efforts were made to refine or change some criteria8 and clarify the verification methodology.

Disagreements regarding the IVA results on non-eligible (hence not reimbursed) connections

delayed IVA reports and Camwater’s requests triggering disbursement from GPOBA.

30. The setting of a fixed connection fee introduced a shift in Camwater’s responsibility that

impacted the project outcome. With the January 2010 decision to set the OBA connection cost at

a fixed fee of FCFA 60,000, Camwater was confident that its financial contribution would be

adequate to maintain its cash-flow equilibrium and avoid putting the project at risk. But the

resulting reduction in Camwater’s contribution was not offset, thus de facto limited the project

scope. It also changed the subsidy calculation formula and modified the original cost sharing

between Camwater, GPOBA and the customers.9

31. Additional costs for connections were transferred to the beneficiaries. Beneficiaries were

initially intended to pay an average of 5% of the connection cost, with Camwater paying the

difference after GPOBA subsidy. In the new design they had to bear FCFA 6,000 or 10% of the

cost. To match the FCFA 60,000 cost, CDE also had to adjust the connection fittings and

customers were often charged for the additional cost beyond the first five meters.

32. The second IVA carried out a thorough assessment of the project features, socio-economic

profiles and recommendations on poverty targeting, as required for the project’s Mid-Term

Review. An important finding was that beneficiaries paid a lot more than their share to CDE, for

the additional plumber works and/or extensions, especially in areas with no network, underlying

the urgent need for network extensions to reach the poorest populations.

33. The OBA project, a sub-component of the IDA-funded PDUE project, was shadowed by its

parent project. The project team focused on the continuous degradation of the sector’s financial

situation, a core issue for PDUE. Two project milestones should have triggered action:

a) After the January 2010 changes, the IVA’s mid-term review report released in April 2011

did not trigger follow-up action on its findings and recommendations on poverty targeting

8 See Box 2, Annex 2, Figure 10: how criteria evolved over time. The connection length criterion in

particular was affected by the absence of network extensions, with direct impact on the subsidy

calculation. For practical reasons, verification was done on a sample of connections, first through the

database and customer applications, second in the field. 9 See Sections 2.3, 3.3 and Annexes 2 and 3 on this issue.

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for instance. The PDUE MTR took place in March 2012, only taking note of the GPOBA

project’s delays in implementation and disbursement requests;

b) The project extension for an additional 22 months aimed to achieve the PDO and allow

for full funds disbursement. However, the gap in closing dates between the IVA contract

(March 2013) and the project (October 2013) meant that all outputs executed after

December 2012 could not be verified unless its contract was extended until December

2013. The issue could not be solved on time to ensure the IVA’s contract extension.

34. Finally, the lack of institutional capacity was a major impediment to progress toward the

PDO. Technical assistance funding through the IDA loan was intended to support the PDUE

coordinating unit, including Camwater staff, operating costs, training, monitoring and technical

and financial audits, and also benefit the OBA project. In reality, the same people were in charge

of these two projects, in addition to their regular work. Delays in recruiting the IVA and not

securing its extension demonstrated some capacity limitation in effective procurement especially

when a new national procurement system was introduced and affected all Bank projects.

Interviews with stakeholders confirmed difficulties to ensure communication between CDE and

the IVA, which created tensions among partners.

2.3 Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) Design, Implementation and Utilization

M&E design

35. The M&E design was intended to monitor the number of new household connections

meeting the eligibility criteria. Data to assess the project financing and socio-economic impacts

were to be collected at the customer level during physical verification.10

Commercial data were

to be provided by CDE, which had difficulties in harmonizing billing information coming from

the regional business units.11

In hindsight, the M&E framework was ambitious given the limited

capability in Camwater and CDE.

M&E implementation and utilization

36. Monitoring outputs proved more complex than expected due to different timeframes and

data12

at the various steps from selling/executing/verifying (through database and physically) to

10 The 2007 POE meeting requested the TTL to develop indicators and baselines to provide a results

framework in the MO. A template was prepared (see GPOBA SARs) but not used. Some indicators did

not have a baseline or were impact-oriented, thus difficult to use for quarterly monitoring. 11

CDE regional units and HQ were using different IT systems, with parameters not always harmonized,

submissions to HQ not synchronized. Data consolidation in CDE centralized commercial database took

long and could include inconsistencies. PDUE included support to improve the customer database, which

implementation was delayed. 12

See Figure 2. CDE provided quarterly reports in compliance for MO requirements, but data did not

include expected details on physical realizations and financing flows. The IVA regularly stated that

without commercial data from CDE, it could not assess intermediary indicators such as ratio of

disconnections among OBA customers or monthly consumption. On socio-economic profiles, the

information initially collected by CDE agents was limited and not systematically encoded. Information

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invoicing connections (CDE to Camwater vs. Camwater to GPOBA). As discussed in Section 2.2

above, eligibility criteria allowed various interpretations between the operator and the IVA and

disagreements on connections rejected by the IVA.

37. Camwater was responsible for overall project supervision and monitoring including

recruitment of the IVA. Evidence shows difficulties in leading the discussions between CDE and

the IVA (e.g. on rejected connections). Assessment of socio-economic beneficiary profiles and

possible project re-targeting, as planned in project design, did not happen: a lack of common

understanding on output measurement continued until project closing. These issues constrained

assessment of the project at completion.

2.4 Safeguard and Fiduciary Compliance

Safeguards

38. The project did not raise any safeguard issue. The environmental assessment was carried out

as part of the overall safeguards evaluation of the IDA-funded Urban and Water Development

Support Project (P084002). The PDUE fell under Environmental Category B as no adverse long

term impacts were anticipated.

Fiduciary compliance

39. Financial management (FM) compliance was adequate. FM procedures for the OBA project

were aligned with PDUE procedures, annual FM audits did not report specific compliance

problems related to the OBA project. However, difficulties in invoicing (CDE to Camwater) and

requests for reimbursement (Camwater to GPOBA) led to considerable delays in disbursement

with the first OBA disbursement occurring in June 2010. In addition, Camwater was not able to

replenish the Subsidy Connection Fund, leading to CDE pre-financing from mid-2009 and

during most of the project. Such adjustments on financial flows and financial data did not

comply with procedures set in the MO. Camwater considered, during ICR discussions, that the

minimum FCFA 25 million threshold, a common FM request, was too high in this particular

project. It limited the frequency of requests for funds to GPOBA, delayed the Fund

replenishment and IVA payments in a reasonable time after IVA report issuance.13

40. Procurement was limited to IVA recruitment. Except for delays already noted above, there

was no issue with compliance.14

such as GPS localization, useful to locate connections to be verified, was not used anymore by CDE

agents after the first few months of the project. 13

The IVA received his fees after 12 months without payment and six months after the end of its contract. 14

CDE was selected through an international tender acceptable to the Bank: the operator could procure

works or goods needed for the project implementation following on its own procurement rules.

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2.5 Post-completion Operation/Next Phase

41. In the last nine months of the project (January to October 2013), CDE decided to stop selling

OBA connections – both to stop pre-financing with late or no reimbursement and to manage

expectations, as in various cities, water production was not sufficient to ensure distribution to

existing customers. The operator focused on executing pending OBA connections. Moreover,

Camwater sent a request for project extension only in September 2013, including a request to

extend IVA’s contract that was closed since March 2013.15

The request came too late and was

not accepted by the Bank.

42. During the ICR preparation, both agencies expressed regrets about project closing when the

ongoing donor-funded projects such as La Méfou dam in Yaoundé or the IDA-funded extension

works that were supposed to start imminently, would have provided more production capacity,

restored customers’ confidence, and fueled demands for new connections. However, the financial

and institutional deterioration of the overall sector continued to overwhelm the partners’ ability

and willingness to overcome problems and envision any follow-up operation.

43. CDE’s claims for reimbursement to Camwater for those executed by not verified or rejected

connections amounted to over FCFA 700 million at project closing. According to CDE, this

outstanding amount was included in the first debt swap agreement decided end-2013 in the

overall PPP context. CDE did eventually not lose money on the OBA operation. The sum was

eventually endorsed by Camwater/the government without having leveraged more OBA

resources during the project.

3. Assessment of Outcomes

3.1 Relevance of Objectives, Design and Implementation

44. The rating for project Relevance is Satisfactory. The ICR considers the objective to be

highly relevant to the country and Bank priorities.

45. Relevance of the project objective to increase access to safe drinking water for low income

urban poor was and remains High given the country achievement in the water and sanitation

MDGs and critical issues in urban water service delivery. According to UNICEF-WHO Joint

Monitoring Program, in 2012 only 28% of the urban population has access to piped water16

on

premises (individual connections) and 16% at the country level. The 2011 Economic update on

Cameroon reports that in the last decade, the declining access to sanitation and drinking water, as

well as the increase in child mortality in some of the regions, was particularly striking, even in

the better-off regions such as Yaoundé and Douala.

46. The project objective fits well with the 2010-2014 Bank-GoC Partnership Strategy, whose

two pillars of engagement are: i) enhancing competitiveness and enhancing service delivery with

15 The last IVA report, issued in February 2013, was based on 2012 quarter 4 period.

16 JMP indicates a rate of 27% access to piped water in urban areas in 2005, to be compared with the

estimated 35% access to piped water at project appraisal (2006).

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a focus on large-scale infrastructure; and ii) better governance and spending policies that target

the population’s needs and the poor. The OBA component was a needed social complement of

the IDA-funded infrastructure investments and institutional strengthening. This pro-poor

approach in the water PPP aligns with the Bank’s poverty reduction goal. The CPS builds on the

2009 Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) and on the Vision 2035 policy document,

reflecting the GoC principle objectives: i) reducing poverty to less than 10%; ii) becoming a

middle-income country; iii) being considered an industrialized nation; and iv) consolidating

democracy and national unity.

47. In the current context of difficulties in securing public investments for water, pre-financing

by the public entity, as in the original design, may not be the most appropriate design.

3.2 Achievement of Project Development Objectives

48. The ICR considers the project Efficacy as Moderately Unsatisfactory. The PDO has been

partially achieved. The project reached unserved populations and increased access to piped water

for urban populations, contributing to longer term outcomes and benefits. Implementation

challenges however led to low achievement of the outputs, thus justifying the MU rating.

49. The project did not achieve its key objective to add 40,000 low-income Beneficiary

Households to the urban water supply system. At project completion on October 31, 2013,

notwithstanding a 22-month extension, 18,854 new OBA connections were verified and declared

eligible for the subsidy, which is 75% of the 25,254 that were executed by CDE17

, or 47% of the

PDO as specified in the GA.

50. Yet the ICR considers that the project provided piped water to approximately 150,000 people

not previously connected. This is a 63% rate to the objective to benefit around 240,000 people in

urban areas. The OBA connections, over the project life, represented one-third of the total new

connections gained by CDE (see Figure 9).

51. Despite some uncertainties in such assessment, the ICR considers that the project reached the

targeted low-income Beneficiary Households. Some of the IVA findings on this topic remain

valid assumptions at project completion. However, data from a recent tariff study and from CDE

suggest that most of the new OBA customers have low to very low monthly consumption, which

is consistent with consumption patterns in the poorest households.18

On average, OBA active

connections were found to consume 7.8 m3/month, almost half the regular domestic connections

(13 m3). Field visits (see Annex 2) confirmed implementation in poor areas.

52. The project was to introduce an output-based approach in the water sector to better serve the

poor with more efficient services. In the Cameroon water OBA project, the results are mixed:

17 These figures were agreed upon by parties only during ICR discussions on March 17, 20140.

18 It is assumed that water shortages affect all households and that are consumption levels can be

reasonably used as a proxy for poorer households (i.e. consumption is regulated by expenses for the bill).

See more details in Figure 7 and Figure 8 in Annex 2. The tariff study confirms that consumption is

decreasing for lower poverty quintiles’ households.

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a) Incentives for the private operator to include poorer households as an additional market

segment proved attractive enough19

for CDE to pre-finance for almost the entire project

life. CDE reports show commitment to provide affordable OBA connections. However,

some interviewees revealed longer delays to execute OBA connections compared to non-

subsidized customers that were considered more profitable than the small OBA

consumers, especially when reimbursement was delayed or denied;

b) While it is assumed that quality of service including reliability and continuity conditions

were similar for OBA and normal connections (e.g. depending on each region/city

production shortages, efforts to restore distribution, power supplies20

), the issue of

inactive connections (see Section 4.1) raises concern over output sustainability;

c) The project was a pilot with an innovative structure, both for GPOBA in a PPP

environment and for Camwater as a public asset-holding company. The 2010 agreement,

presented as a solution to save the project, minimized its contribution without due

consideration of the impact of the decision on targeted beneficiaries. There has been a

learning process, but it is not evident that Camwater will be able to efficiently adopt this

pro-poor, result-based approach widely without enhancing technical capacities to better

support their M&E systems.

3.3 Efficiency

53. The ICR rating for Efficiency is Moderately Satisfactory. The project achieved the

efficiency ratio set in the CP due to a unit cost cheaper than expected. However, the economic

benefits are mitigated by beneficiaries’ contributions higher than expected. More details are

presented in Annex 3.

Economic benefits and financial return with and without the project

54. The E-IRR is constant at 46% and underlines the project’s economic benefits.21

Considering

the low disbursement rate and lower average unit cost, the Financial IRR is higher after the

project than before. It quadruples with the project, with subsidy (65% compared to 16% before

the project). The E-NPV is positive, but also twice less for the 18,854 eligible connections than

for the 40,000 ones planned (US$ 5.1 vs. 11.7 million). Similarly, the Financial NPV is

acceptable, even though it was initially planned that the subsidy will add a lot of value to the

project, which is questionable: with F-NPV at US$ 2.2 million without the subsidy compared to

US$ 3.9 million with the subsidy, the project could have been viable even without the subsidy.

19 Except for the number of new domestic customers added, it is not possible in this ICR to assess the

operator’s increased revenues, if any, attributable to the project. 20

Field visits in North Yaoundé, where lack of supply and pressure affect all customers, confirmed that

OBA connections were almost dry. In central Douala, OBA customers confirmed water was available

almost 24/7. 21

Initial assumptions to value the benefits, kept unchanged for the ex-post assessment, assume in

particular that all time saved from fetching water is converted into additional earnings for the households.

This is relatively optimistic given the local informal economy.

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55. The initial analysis assumed that monthly consumption would more than double and

expenses would be halved with the program. Ex-post, it was assumed22

that all sources of water

used should be considered in the assessment of consumption and expenses. Data show that the

poorest connected households, taken as proxy for OBA beneficiaries, do not get enough water

from CDE and need to complement with other sources, which adds to the water bill, although

they consume mostly in the 1st tranche of tariff. Overall, it is estimated that OBA beneficiaries

consume more water once connected, but also have higher water expenses.

Cost effectiveness and unit cost

56. A cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted to assess unit costs (per person and per

household) and compare with the expected costs for GPOBA and the beneficiary households.

The unit cost in the Commitment Paper was estimated at $198 for a 17-meter connection.23

57. At project completion, as already underlined in other sections of this ICR, the unit cost was

lower than planned at US$ 176 for all executed connections and US$ 153 for the eligible

connections/costs.

a) GPOBA met its objective to provide a subsidy of US$ 15 per person or below US$ 91 per

new connection. From a perspective of use of development resources, the OBA scheme

represent a substantial efficiency gain by linking payments to outputs. For donors and for

GoC and Camwater as well, this may be likely to be more efficient than a traditional

grant or lending operation where payments are made upfront with no guarantees that

outputs will materialize. This is a satisfactory aspect of the project.

b) Beneficiaries’ contributions are higher than expected. The cost sharing decided in 2010,

where applied, charged beneficiaries 10% of the fee (FCFA 6,000 or US$ 12) and

sometimes more. Lowering the cost to meet the fee reduced the chances for poor people

farther from the networks to afford the OBA connections. All in all, the subsidy made the

connection more affordable, but it is not clear how much the program really reduced

access cost for the poorer households. Nor how much they would have had to pay in the

absence of the program.

3.4 Justification of Overall Outcome Rating

58. The Overall Outcome rating is Moderately Unsatisfactory. The project’s objective to

provide piped water to more urban poor in Cameroon remains highly relevant to the country’s

priorities and the Bank. The key DO was partially achieved and other outcomes have mixed

results. Efficiency ratios are positive with high IRRs and decreased unit costs, demonstrating the

value of an output-based approach for donors and development resources.

22 The ICR team used data from the recent Tariff Study for Camwater (prepared by the firm Artelia and

funded by IDA, including a survey covering six cities including Douala and Yaoundé) and CDE data. 23

The subsidy calculation formula is outlined in Annex 3.

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Figure 1: Project’s total investment cost and actual cost sharing

3.5 Overarching Themes, Other Outcomes and Impacts

(a) Poverty Impacts, Gender Aspects, and Social Development

59. Reliable data are missing to properly assess the impact of the project on poverty reduction

and gender. Some aspects are mentioned in the relevant sections of this ICR.

60. The impact of GPOBA project varied widely across regions. The initial design did not set

regional targets, and instead let the service provider propose objectives for each of its regional

divisions. On average, Douala and Yaoundé represent 2/3 of CDE’s customers and revenues. The

Western and Far North regions benefitted the most from the OBA program. Douala had 22% of

the total new domestic connections executed by CDE, of which 21% were OBA connections.

The largest share of the new CDE’s customers signed up in Yaoundé (32%) but only 3% of them

benefitted from OBA connections, the same as in the much smaller South West Division, also

suffering of severe water shortages (see Annex 2, Figure 8 and Figure 9). The striking

discrepancy between Yaoundé and Douala highlights the relative interest of each local CDE

Division or business unit in implementing the OBA program, taking into account water

constraints, profitability of applications, local political pressure or other motivations including

reputational risk to connect households with poor water service.

(b) Institutional Change/Strengthening

61. This project clearly provided an opportunity for Camwater to adopt an output-based approach

for connecting low-income households with direct subsidy. Given the weak overall sector

performance, especially on the financial aspects, it remains to be seen if Camwater will replicate

the approach with other sources of financing.

(c) Other Unintended Outcomes and Impacts (positive or negative)

Not applicable

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3.6 Summary of Findings of Beneficiary Survey and/or Stakeholder Workshops

62. Beneficiary surveys or stakeholder workshops are optional for Core ICRs. Due to the limited

achievements and the ongoing implementation of PDUE, no survey or workshop was carried out

at this stage.

4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome

63. Risks to development outcomes of the project are considered Moderate. While the

outcome was rated moderately unsatisfactory, the newly-built system is now part of the overall

network being operated by CDE. However, the current PPP context with its lack of financial

equilibrium puts most of the urban water sector investments at risk and creates uncertainties

regarding improvements in service provision, possible scaling up of a social policy for the urban

poor, and a coordinated approach to expand access to piped water in urban areas in Cameroon.

64. Without significant improvement in quality of service, there is a risk that OBA customers

disconnect or get disconnected. As experienced in other projects/countries, customers, especially

poor ones, may become reluctant to pay their bills, including a fixed fee (meter, taxes), if they

have poor or no service for a long period. According to CDE data as of March 2014, only a

negligible number of OBA connections were disconnected, but over 10% were inactive for

various reasons (see Annex 2). This figure may increase if planned investments in the sector do

not materialize. Where other water sources are available in the neighborhood, households may

use them with resulting issues of water quality, time spent in collecting water, and higher costs.

In the current PPP context when efforts are made to restore financial equilibrium, operational

and social risks on the achieved DO are moderate if these investments are proceeding in a

reasonable timely fashion.24

65. The OBA experience has the potential to develop a scaled-up social policy on access to piped

service for the urban poor. While this was not an explicit outcome, it worth noting that, despite

difficulties, the GPOBA program as a component of the lease contract raised interest from other

donors like AfDB, AFD and EIB on the “how” side, reflecting a shared commitment to poverty

reduction and results. Lessons learned may be an opportunity for the PPP to define a pro-poor

strategy that could apply to all projects and donors.25

How to: define “social connections”; set

users’ contribution vs. the subsidized part; for connection only or for a CAPEX including some

extension? How to proceed: result-based or not? Beyond access to the connection, how to ensure

affordable tariffs so that “poor” customers can pay the bills? A pro-poor strategy would help

leverage investments in network extensions and social connections to scale up the OBA program,

for a large number of potential customers.

24 The rationale for the PDUE extension requested by GoC in August 2014 was to give time to implement

two major contracts that are part of PDUE Component 3: a 8.6 million contract for tertiary network

extensions, and a 2 million contract to support 20,000 “social connections.” 25

In addition to the PDUE social connections, the AfDB project includes a component to finance “social

connections” (i.e. with diameter 20 mm). According to Camwater technical director, it would adopt a

result-based scheme and the subsidy would cover 90% or 100% of CAPEX. AFD and EIB also expressed

their interest in a common understanding for a social policy, in line with the proposed tariff reform.

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5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance

5.1 Bank Performance

(a) Bank Performance in Ensuring Quality at Entry

66. Bank performance on quality at entry is rated Moderately Unsatisfactory. The design

was built on previous experience in the region to introduce innovations in result-based and pro-

poor service delivery and relevant to address key social needs. Shortcomings in risk mitigation

and a design that proved difficult to implement weakened the project foundation from its

inception. The most important issues are:

a) Targeting was pragmatic but eligibility criteria not clear. The country-wide operation led

to uneven understanding and implementation in regional divisions and diluted

verification efforts. While the assumption to connect the unserved (= poor) population

was pragmatic, the assessment26

of willingness and capacity to pay did not translate into a

mechanism to establish explicit criteria that were easy to understand, implement and

verify. The issue of (lack of) network extension was identified, but the incidence of

distance between potential customers and networks, hence related investment costs and

cost sharing, proved to be a major constraint in implementation.

b) Capacity building and M&E arrangements should have allowed the implementing

agencies to better strengthen capacity to collect and deliver harmonized data needed to

implement the project and to report following a structured results framework.

c) The sector reform generated enthusiasm among donors. The PPP was presented as the

successful model for Western Africa, even before implementation started. The OBA

design was very optimistic toward the new PPP scheme and Government commitment

and put the risk on Camwater without mitigation measures in case of possible failure. The

reputational challenge, both for Camwater and CDE/ONEP, was assumed to be a key

factor fueling their respective commitment to successfully implement the PPP, including

its innovative, social component under the OBA project. Confident about the extension

programs to be implemented with external support, design did not include funds for

network extensions. The project started while extensions were not secured.

(b) Quality of Supervision

67. Bank performance on quality of supervision is rated Unsatisfactory. Many external and

internal factors severely affected implementation. Clear signals that the project was under threat

came early on. Based on available documentation, the project missed opportunities to provide

more customized support to Camwater and CDE to resolve impediments to PDO achievement.

a) The Bank’s team had responsibility for both the IDA-funded and OBA projects to

leverage supervision efforts. In hindsight, the OBA project deserved more specific

attention. The first supervision mission in April 2009 fully focused on the project and

26 This assessment is based on a socio-economic survey that the ICR team could not consult to assess its

robustness. The CP proposed categorization by quintiles, but did not say much on the actual practices and

expenses for water of the lower quintiles.

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delivered a specific Aide-Memoire. After that, some PDUE missions mentioned the OBA

project but provided limited update and analysis.27

b) Formal project documentation included the GPOBA Semi-Annual Reports that do not

rate the PDO. The first ISR was created in February 2013 and rated the project as

Moderately Satisfactory even though DO achievement was not much higher than at the

time of the project extension. The second one was prepared in September 2013, three

weeks before project closing, and downgraded it to Moderately Unsatisfactory.

c) Except for the PDUE Restructuring in September 201028

, the project failed to take

proactive action to restructure the project in response to challenges in the sector.

(c) Justification of Rating for Overall Bank Performance

68. This ICR rates the overall Bank performance as Unsatisfactory based on weaknesses in

an otherwise innovate design to address a risky environment and significant shortcomings in

supervision activities that were within the Bank’s control. It is however fair to underline the

team’s commitment to keep the project alive with the assumption that the sector environment

would become more conducive and bring results.

5.2 Grantee Performance

(a) Government Performance

69. The Government’s performance29

is considered Moderately Unsatisfactory. Despite a

strong commitment to implement the PPP model, GoC failed to comply with the financial

agreements under the concession contract and support Camwater in a timely manner. The first

disbursement was made only in 2012, two others in the second half of 2013 together with a debt

swap agreement that partly settled cross debts between Camwater, CDE and GoC. This led to the

overall financial degradation of the sector and put Camwater’s cash-flow under strain. It is to be

noted that all donor-funded activities were affected. During the first months of the OBA

implementation, it prevented the replenishment of the Subsidy Fund after its initial disbursement.

(b) Implementing Agency or Agencies Performance

70. Camwater’s performance is considered Unsatisfactory. In addition to the financial

constraints evoked above, internal implementation issues also hampered project performance.

Knowledge of the original project design and financial arrangements was lost over time. Contract

27 US$ 0.4 million was spent on supervision cost (Annex 1) over the project life; data on staff time

allocated to supervision is not available. 28

This PDUE Additional Financing allocated an estimated US$14.60 million for the Water

component, of which US$ 1.50 million was dedicated to expansion of networks and access. 29

The Government is not a signatory of the Grant Agreement dated April 7, 2008, entered into among

Camwater, grantee, and the World Bank International Development Association (IDA), acting as

administrator of the GPOBA Trust Fund. GoC is involved in this operation in two indirect, though

important ways: i) some GA provisions refer to the “IDA Financing”, i.e. the Financing Agreement

pertaining to the PDUE project signed between IDA and the Republic of Cameroon; and ii) in the PPP

scheme and concession contract, the GoC commits financial support to the asset-holding utility Camwater.

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management, payment processing, and IVA verifications were subject to significant delay.

Communication and coordination with stakeholders would have enhanced mutual confidence.

Preparation of regular reports on the OBA project would have enabled effective monitoring,

supervision and mid-course corrections but were not forthcoming.

(c) Justification of Rating for Overall Grantee Performance

71. Grantee performance is rated Unsatisfactory. The absence of agreed-upon funding support

essential for achievement of the PDO, limited communication with partners, and limited capacity

for project implementation activities affected the enabling environment for the OBA project and

hindered project success. The commitment to implement more social connections under the

PDUE is a positive perspective in this regard.

6. Lessons Learned

72. Effective project preparation and supervision strengthen the foundation for

achievement of the PDO

a) Enable client ownership. Key project documents could be translated into the client’s

language to help ensure agreement on project objectives, activities, and accountabilities.

Convening activities may be conducted among project stakeholders to clarify objectives

and mutual expectations and agree on plans going forward.

b) Design projects with proper sequencing of activities. The availability of water supply

should be assessed prior to investing in new connections. Assurance of a reliable funding

stream is necessary in OBA projects that seek to connect “the last mile” for the very poor

who are more likely to live far away from existing networks and need extensions that are

more costly. A communications campaign to inform about the public about a connections

project should follow, rather than precede, capacity to deliver water.

c) Include mitigation measures in risk assessment. Known risks to a project during

preparation, and action steps to mitigate them, should be identified during project design

to strengthen the prospects for satisfactory project performance.

d) Provide effective supervision of OBA components of larger projects. The OBA project

was bundled with the PPP lease contract and IDA-funded PDUE and would have

benefitted from Bank supervision as if it were a stand-alone operation. Mid-term reviews

should be conducted, and relevant documentation should be included in the Bank’s

archives to enable monitoring, management oversight, and organizational learning.

e) Enable effective monitoring and evaluation Project design should ensure that

information systems can provide data needed for monitoring and managing mid-course

corrections, if needed.

73. For OBA projects, pragmatism and clarity are key for targeting and monitoring

a) Incentives are key to performance and operator engagement. In OBA projects the

financial risk should be placed on the service provider who has direct contact with current

and potential customers rather than on an existing asset-holding company. The service

provider is the entity that has interest in integrating the OBA customer category in its

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commercial strategy. The incentives should be attractive enough for the service provider

to incorporate this customer category in its commercial strategy.

b) Pragmatic approaches should be used to target the poor. Criteria for targeting the poor

should be easy to understand by the population and field staff. Focusing on a limited

number of geographic areas is a good place to start. Countrywide operations should take

place in a subsequent phase. To supplement the lack of poverty data at project level,

second-hand data may help to qualify and quantify existing water services. Engagement

in communities can complement existing surveys to identify the poor. Criteria can also be

used to exclude higher income households.

c) M&E systems and capacity building should be strengthened. At design stage, data

requirements for the IVA, service provider and the implementing agency need to be

identified. The IVA requires commercial and operational data to identify OBA customers,

eliminate double counting in beneficiary listings, check customers’ connection quotes

and subscription files, and to monitor disconnection rates, bill recovery rate, average

consumptions, among other indicators. The commercial operator needs harmonized data

on prospective customers from all its business units. The M&E design should include a

plan to support for IT systems and capacity building along the project life.

d) The subsidy formula should be simple, absolutely clear and well understood by all

partners. The terms and conditions of subsidies should be transparent and easily

understood. When needed, the subsidy design could consider including funds for

extensions and other capacities to ensure water will reach targeted beneficiaries and be

delivered with a sustainable, good quality service.

e) A dedicated PIU could be considered with OBA projects. An OBA or result-based

scheme differs significantly from the Bank’s typical operations. A dedicated PIU

including dedicated staff within the implementation agency may offer training on OBA

principles, practices and roles and responsibilities to carry out a successful OBA. It also

gives foundation to build capacity and knowledge that can spread within the agency and

be captured for sharing in other country contexts.

f) Having the IVA in place could be considered a condition for disbursement in the dated

covenants. With the IVA operational at soon as possible after effectiveness, policies and

operations can be clarified among all parties at project kick-off. Cristal clear criteria

agreed by all parties would ensure smooth verification, invoicing and monitoring.

7. Comments on Issues Raised by Grantee/Implementing Agencies/Donors

(a) Grantee/Implementing agencies

Not applicable

(b) Cofinanciers/Donors

Not applicable

(c) Other partners and stakeholders

Not applicable

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Annex 1. Project Costs and Financing

(a) Project Cost by Component (in USD Million equivalent)

Components Appraisal Estimate Actual/Latest

Estimate

Percentage of

Appraisal

Component 1 – Civil works:

connection costs 11.50

2.79

4.30 (*)

24%

35%

Component 2 – M&E: Independent

Verification Agent 0.25 0.18 72%

Total Project Costs 11.75 2.97

4.48 (*)

25%

38%

Project Preparation Costs 0.10 0.08 --

Project Supervision 0.37 0.34

Total Financing Required 11.85

(*) Costs include share pre-financed by CDE and not reimbursed by GPOBA

(b) Financing (in USD Million equivalent)

Source of Funds Type of

Cofinancing

Appraisal

Estimate

Actual/Latest

Estimate

Percentage of

Appraisal

Global Partnership on Output-based Aid 5.25 1.82 35%

Camwater 5.75 0.90 16%

Beneficiaries 0.75 0.28 38%

Sub-Total 11.75 3.04 26%

Camwater/GoC (debt swap) 0.00 1.51 --

Grand Total 11.75 4.55 39%

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Figure 2: the OBA project lifeline: implementation, milestones, achievements

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Annex 2. Outputs by Component

The project had two components:

1. US$ 5 million GPOBA grant for social connections (to be complemented by

Camwater’s and the Beneficiaries’ contributions)

2. US$ 0.25 million for Monitoring & Evaluation, through the services from an

Independent Verification Agency (IVA)

1. Outputs for Component 1 are shown in the Figures below:

Sources of data are not always fully consistent with each other either because of different

definitions or interpretations or because the data was produced at different times during

the project;

The year when the project added the most connections was 2010;

Implementation progressed at a slow pace but regularly until December 2012 when

verification stopped, limiting the number of verified and eligible connections;

In 2013, pending connections were executed, but could not be verified.

Figure 3: Complex flows of project data contributed to low achievements

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Figure 4: PDO progress over the project life: a 47% achievement rate

Outputs’ costs:

Unit cost and cost sharing varied a lot between Appraisal (Commitment Paper) and

project completion, mainly due to the January 2010 agreement switching the connection

cost (based on the official cost schedule) to a fixed fee of FCFA 60,000;

Unit costs in the project first months in 2009 were much higher than the average cost

referenced in the CP (FCFA 116,800 for an average length of 19 meters vs.

FCFA 92,600 for an average length of 17 meters);

On average, when eligible connections only and equivalent investments (Camwater share

+ GPOBA reimbursements + Customers share) are considered, the cost per eligible unit

is FCFA 74,189. When the outstanding amount of money spent by CDE and assumed to

be paid back through the swap debt agreement is taken into account, for the total number

of executed connections, the overall investment cost is FCFA 85,216;

From incomplete data available on connection length, connections were on average

longer in 2009 (19 meters), then the average length decreased after January 2010, as a

result of the decreased price and cost; to achieve the lesser cost, length had to be

reduced30

;

Starting in the second half of 2010, data reported in CDE and the IVA’s reports do not

provide the real unit costs, only the standardized share decided in January 2010.

30 Data for Quarter 3 of 2010 show an increase that is attributed (ICR assumption) to confusion in

reporting from CDE agencies.

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Figure 5: Unit cost and cost sharing per connection varied over the project life

Figure 6: In Koumassi business unit (Douala), Camwater’ contribution decreased from 2010

Data from a single CDE BU, in Koumassi Douala, is very consistent with the overall

evolution of cost sharing; Camwater contribution is null from 2011 to 2013;

Unit cost, FCFA

(per reporting period)

Appraisal

(CP)% 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2010 Q2

2010 Q3

to end of

project

Average

(# eligible)%

Average (#

executed)%

Total 92,657 116,829 107,989 103,731 61,232 60,000 74,189 85,216

Beneficiary Households 4,633 5% 20,219 14,829 16,306 13,223 6,000 7,483 10% 5,587 7%

GPOBA 41,696 45% 43,145 43,117 43,071 43,063 44,000 43,899 59% 32,774 38%

Camwater 46,329 50% 53,465 50,042 44,354 5,000 10,000 22,807 31% 17,027 20%

(Camwater/GoC) 29,828 35%

Source: CDE reports

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In unit cost, GPOBA share was similar to the initial design but the beneficiary’s

share is, on average, higher than what was expected for this pro-poor project, both

per unit cost and total investments.

Connections consumption:

CDE data show that on average, OBA active31

connections consume 7.8 m3/month,

almost half the regular domestic connections (13 m3);

The recent tariff study estimates that 55% of poorest households (first quintile) consume

below 7 m3/mo.32

and only 1/3 above 10 m3/mo.

According to CDE data, 54% of the OBA active connections consume below 5 m3/mo. or

an average 2.3 m3/mo. in this 0-5 m3 bracket, while less than 20% have consumption

above 11 m3 monthly.

A high percentage of connections have (or had, for those inactive) consumption in the

lowest bracket (below 5 m3/month) and almost 80% of active connections have

consumption below 10 m3/month and fall under the 1st tranche of the tariff structure,

called the “social tranche”.

Figure 7: OBA profiles: low monthly consumptions

31 This average is for active connection with consumption above zero.

32 Due to this important concentration of poorest households in the actual 1

st tranche of tariff

(293 FCFA/m3 for consumptions under or equal to 10 m3/mo.), the tariff study suggests to lower down

the upper bracket of the social tranche and set it at 7 m3/mo., which is very consistent with CDE data on

OBA consumption.

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Figure 8: In total, 10% of OBA connections became inactive

On average, 10% of OBA connections (total executed) are not active anymore as of

March 2014;

For 6 out of the 10% inactive connections, CDE database shows they were deactivated

(CDE would temporarily remove the water meter) due to pending arrears;

For the OBA inactive connections, the average consumption reached 14.4 m3/mo during

the period it was active. An assumption is that households consumed a lot after getting

the connection and were not able to pay for related bills.

Regional distribution:

The OBA connections represent 1/3 of all new domestic connections over the project life;

The Ouest and Grand Nord regional divisions had the largest share of OBA connections,

with Douala in 3rd

position;

Yaoundé and the South East divisions had the smallest share of OBA connections;

The project started well in 2009 in Douala, North Ouest and Littoral divisions;

implementation was more successful in Grand Nord and Centre Sud Est in 2010;

Yaoundé had most of its OBA connections in 2011;

The percentage of OBA connections is not (at all) proportional, in most of the regional

divisions, to the distribution of new connections.

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Figure 9: 1 in 3 new domestic connections during the project is subsidized by GPOBA

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Field visits and interviews with OBA beneficiaries (December 2013)

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Outputs for Component 2 are

IVA1: 2 reports

IVA2: Inception report + 9 reports, including the MTR report.

The IVA2 reports summarize eligibility/verification criteria and how connections were verified

(documentation or on site). The ICR team added comments on the changes that occurred during

implementation.

Figure 10: Eligibility and verification criteria evolved during the project life

N° CRITERIA SOURCE CHANGES during implementation

1 No double count / only 1 connection

per HH Agreement April 2009 Complied with (but many disagreements)

2 Connect to diam. 110 mm max. Agreement April 2009 March 2012: can connect up to 160 mm

3 Connection in HDPE Agreement April 2009 March 2012: PVC tolerated

4 Connection only in CDE service areas Article 42.5 du

Contrat d’Affermage Complied with

5 Connection Cost/Price

≤ 60 000 F CFA Agreement Jan. 2010

== Database does not reflect real costs, and who

pays the difference with 60,000 if any ==

6 Execution valid after effectiveness

only

Operations Manual

March 2012: CDE would like to be paid for

connections executed in end-2008 – not approved

7 New connection only (no reconnection

or rehab.) Operations Manual Complied with

8 DN ≤ 20 mm Operations Manual Complied with

9 Length ≤ 25 m Agreement April 2009 After Jan. 2010, the fee is for 5- meter connection

March 2012: length limitation removed

10 Functional connection (with functional

meter) Operations Manual

Feb. 2013: Bank objected to accept connections

without meters

11 Active connection (with water

consumed) IVA TORs

Feb. 2013: Bank did not object to accept connections

with no consumption

12 Domestic connection Operations Manual

Feb. 2013: Bank objected to accept commercial

connections but did not object to connect schools and

churches

13 Not in real estate areas Operations Manual Not used

14 On inhabited plot only Operations Manual Case by case basis

Verification process Database

Database and on-site

On-site

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Main dates for “criteria meetings” are:

April 2009: meeting Camwater/CDE – Bank non-objection (AM April 2009)

January 2010: agreement Camwater/CDE, resolution by the PPP Steering Committee –

Bank non-objection is not documented

March 2012: meeting Camwater/CDE/IVA to clarify or modify some criteria – no

evidence of Bank non-objection

February 2013: meeting Camwater/CDE/IVA to suggest softening eligibility criteria –

Bank objected to the request to accept connections without meters and include

commercial connections and did not object to the proposal to accept “active” connection

(with consumption) and the possible inclusion of social connections for churches and

schools.

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Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis

The project’s economic and financial analysis (EFA) was developed with the following issues on

the table: i) ex-ante, the EFA presented in the Commitment Paper was prepared with a 55,000

connections objective, which was downsized to 40,000 at negotiation (GA) without revisiting the

assumptions and financing plan; ii) ex-post, the discrepancy between the total executed

connections and the eligible outputs has a direct incidence on the financial flows’ valuation and

calculation of the economic benefits; iii) initial assumptions to estimate economic benefits may

be questionable. Results and assumptions are presented in Figure 11 and discussed below.

Economic benefits and financial return, with and without the project

Ex-ante, downsizing the objective from 55,000 to 40,000 connections at negotiation while

keeping the same assumptions and cost structure mathematically decreased the Economic Net

Present Value (NPV), from US$ 22.7 to 11.7 million, and the Economic Internal Rate of Return

(IRR) from 46% to 32% (all other things being equal). Even before implementation started, the

return on subsidy (with only GPOBA subsidy in project cost) was 76% against 102% as

endorsed in the CP.

Ex-post33

, the E-IRR is constant at 46% and underlines the project’s economic benefits.34

Considering the low disbursement rate and lower average unit cost, the Financial IRR is higher

after the project than before. It quadruples with the project, with subsidy (65% compared to 16%

before the project). The E-NPV is positive, but also twice less for the 18,854 eligible connections

than for the 40,000 ones planned (US$ 5.1 vs. 11.7 million). Similarly, the Financial NPV is

acceptable, even though it was initially planned that the subsidy will add a lot of value to the

project, which is questionable: with F-NPV at US$ 2.2 million without the subsidy compared to

US$ 3.9 million with the subsidy, the project could have been viable even without the subsidy.

33 For the ex-post analysis, the ICR team made assumptions both on i) the execution rate and related costs,

including amounts invested by CDE that did not benefit from the subsidy; and ii) the achievement rate

and costs related only to the eligible connections, to reflect viewpoints of GPOBA on the one side, and of

the implementing agencies on the other. 34

Initial assumptions to value the benefits were kept unchanged for the ex-post assessment – see below.

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Figure 11: Ex-ante and ex-post assumptions and economic and financial analysis

EX-ANTE EX-POST

Appraisal Grant Agreement Execution Achievement

Sources: Commitment Paper, 2006;

Grant Agreement, 2008 Sources: Bank data, CDE data March 2014, Tariff Study Artelia 2012, ICR calculations

# OBA connections 55,000 40,000 25,254 18,854

Total Capital Cost US$ 11,500,000 11,500,000 4,437,190 2,884,040

GPOBA subsidy 5,000,000 5,000,000 1,706,529 1,706,529

Gov.co-financing (Camwater) 5,750,000 5,750,000 2,439,748 886,598

Beneficiary HH contribution 750,000 750,000 290,912 290,912

Economic and Financial Analysis

F-NPV (w/o subsidy) ($3,930,098) ($3,930,098) $2,378,334 $2,212,543

F-NPV (w/subsidy) $1,203,831 $1,203,831 $4,161,764 $3,995,973

F-IRR (w/o subsidy) 5% 5% 21% 24%

F-IRR (w/ subsidy) 16% 16% 36% 65%

Return on Subsidy 102% 76% 100% 78%

E-IRR 46% 32% 39% 46%

E-NPV $22,719,394 $11,705,588 $6,261,470 $5,170,009

Proportion of Benefits

Expenditure savings 4.23 4.23 -60.33 -59.29

Time savings 88.55 88.55 148.24 147.28

Health savings 7.22 7.22 12.09 12.01

EX-ANTE EX-POST

Without the project

Households not connected to piped water Households not connected

Consumption lpcd 15 32

Consumption m3/mo. 2.7 5.0

Expenses $/mo. 5.6 4.9

Cost FCFA/m3 1,000 -

With the project

Households connected to CDE through

OBA Households connected - Q1 (*)

Consumption lpcd 35 39

Consumption m3/mo. 6.3 5.9

Expenses $/mo. 2.2 7.3

Tariff FCFA/m3 176 293

Water leakages 30% 25%

(*) Q1 = the poorest quintile, or 20% poorer households (Artelia Tariff Study), are considered for this analysis the

closest to “households connected through OBA” (expected achievements with the project)

These results must be subject to caution due to uncertainties on initial assumptions and lack of

fully reliable data.

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a) The ICR team could not get a copy of the socio-economic survey mentioned in the CP to

check the EFA assumptions, in particular monthly consumption and expenditures for

households without individual connections relying on other sources. It is not clear how

indicators with the project were calculated. It was assumed that monthly consumption

would more than double and expenses would be halved with the OBA program;

b) Ex-post data build on extended assumptions for the target group (see Figure 11). Artelia

Study35

considers all sources of water not connected households use, at various costs and

for various volumes (see Figure 13). The poorest connected households do not get

enough water from CDE and need to complement with other sources, which adds to the

water bill, although they consume mostly in the 1st tranche of tariff. The ex-ante EFA

considers 100% water is bought from vendors, while Artelia shows only 5% of urban

populations use vendors, water is cheaper than vendors when they buy water from their

connected neighbors, many people still use wells, etc. Overall, poor connected

households, taken as proxy for OBA beneficiaries, consume more water once connected,

but also have higher water expenses. It must be noted that the initial EFA used a tariff of

FCFA 176/m3, much lower than the FCFA 293/m3 or current tariff of the 1st, social tariff

bracket that entered into force in 2005 (below 10 m3/mo.).

c) Robustness of the initial assumptions on economic benefits could not be verified:

- The level of expenditure savings from being connected to piped water was expected

to have a limited impact, with water expenses reduced only by US$ 0.3 per month per

household (from 5.6 to 5.3); the analysis tends to demonstrate beneficiaries spend

more for water after the project;

- As for time savings, it is assumed that all time saved from fetching water is converted

into additional earnings, thus the massive economic benefits. This is relatively

optimistic given the local informal economy and indicators used (number of

household members having some revenues, discounted minimum wage, etc.);

- Finally, the value of health benefits builds on data used as “proxy from similar poor

households in Manila, Philippines”, WHO estimates for South East Asia, including

Indonesia and TTL estimates. The ICR team considered the situation and health

systems for poor households in middle-income countries like the Philippines and

Indonesia may have be different that the reality of Cameroon in the mid 2000’s. Total

expected benefits were anyway rather limited.

Cost effectiveness and unit cost

The ICR team conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis to assess unit costs (per person and per

household) and compare with the expected costs for GPOBA and beneficiary households.

The unit cost in the Commitment Paper was estimated at $198 for a 17-meter connection. The

subsidy calculation formula was as follows:

35 The 2013 Tariff Study for Camwater, prepared by the firm Artelia and funded by IDA, is a resourceful

piece of work including detailed data from a large household survey (over 2,000 respondents). Major

indicators are sorted out by poverty quintiles, on average, for connected / not connected households and

by urban center (the survey covered six cities including Douala and Yaoundé). Data from CDE database

are convergent with those from Artelia.

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- a Presidential Decree in 2007 before CP endorsement decided that the connection fee

would be halved in order to help people access to piped water. Previously, the fee was

set at the total cost to ensure full cost recovery;

- GPOBA subsidized access. The subsidy rate was set at a maximum of 90% of the fee,

up to maximum of FCFA 44,000 (US$ 91);

- Beneficiary Households were to pay at least 10% of the fee (FCFA 4,803 or US$ 10),

or more for longer connections;

- Camwater would pay the difference between the connection’s cost and fee, an

average of 50% of the total cost or US$ 99.

Figure 12: Cost effectiveness: unit cost and cost sharing analysis

Appraisal Agreement Execution Achievement

# OBA connections 55,000 40,000 25,254 18,854

US$

Unit Cost (*)

Cost/ head

Unit cost

Cost/ head

Unit cost

Cost/ head

Unit cost

Cost/ head

GPOBA subsidy 89 15 125 21 68 11 91 15

Gov.co-financing (Camwater) 99 17 144 24 97 16 47 8

Beneficiary HH contribution 10 2 19 3 12 2 15 3

OBA operation 198 35 288 48 176 29 153 25

(*) the cost at appraisal is the one presented in the CP; for other data, the exchange rate used throughout this ICR for

consistency purposes may slightly change the figures ($1 = FCFA 485)

At project completion, the unit cost is less expensive than planned, at US$ 176 for all executed

connections and US$ 153 for the eligible connections and costs only (Figure 12):

a) GPOBA met its objective to provide a subsidy of US$ 15 per person or below US$ 91 per

new connection. From a perspective of use of development resources, the OBA scheme

represent a substantial efficiency gain by linking payments to outputs. For donors and for

GoC and Camwater as well, this may be likely to be more efficient than a traditional

grant or lending operation where payments are made upfront with no guarantees that

outputs will materialize. This is a satisfactory aspect of the project.

b) Beneficiaries’ contributions are higher than expected. The cost sharing decided in 2010,

where applied, charged beneficiaries 10% of the fee (FCFA 6,000 or US$ 12) and

sometimes more. Lowering the cost to meet the fee reduced the chances for poor people

farther from the networks to afford the OBA connections. All in all, the subsidy made the

connection more affordable, but it is not clear how much the program really reduced

access cost for the poorer households.36

Nor how much they would have had to pay in the

absence of the program. This supports a moderately unsatisfactory performance from the

beneficiaries’ perspective.

36 Some CDE customers’ applications in 2011 or 2012 show that for a 12-meter connection of

FCFA 62,487; the customer invoice was FCFA 13,965 while Camwater was charged FCFA 4,522.

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Figure 13: Access to piped water and to other sources of water in urban areas

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Annex 4. Grant Preparation and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes

(a) Task Team members

Names Title Unit Responsibility/

Specialty

Lending/Grant Preparation

Philippe Marin Sr Water and Sanitation Specialist ETWWA TTL

Chantal Reliquet Sr Urban Specialist AFTU2 Co-TTL

Richard Verspyck Consultant AFTU2

Nathalie Munzberg Sr Counsel LEGAF

Kouami Messan Procurement Analyst AFTPC

Fridolin Ondobo FM Specialist AFTFM

Yvette Laure Djachechi Sr Social Development Specialist AFTS3

Africa Eshogba Olojoba Sr Environmental Specialist AFTS3

Xavier Chauvot de Bauchêne Infrastructure Specialist GPOBA Transaction Officer

Supervision/ICR

Jan Drozd Sr Water and Sanitation Specialist AFTU2 Former TTL

Esther Loening Infrastructure Specialist GPOBA Transaction Officer

Kouami Messan Sr Procurement Specialist GGODR

Daniel Coila Infrastructure Specialist GPOBA Transaction Officer

Miguel Vargas-Ramirez Sr Water and Sanitation Specialist GWADR TTL at completion

Patrice Rakotoniaina Sr Municipal Engineer GSURR

Véronique Verdeil Water and Sanitation Specialist GWADR ICR author

(b) Staff Time and Cost

Stage of Project Cycle

Staff Time and Cost (Bank Budget Only)

No. of staff weeks USD (including travel and

consultant costs)

Lending

Total: 9.19 $76,973.38

Supervision/ICR

Total: 48.9 $339,279.05

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Annex 5. Beneficiary Survey Results

Not applicable

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Annex 6. Stakeholder Workshop Report and Results

Not applicable

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Annex 7. Summary of Grantee's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR

The Grantee acknowledges in its ICR that the project did not reach its objective to deliver

piped water to 40,000 new customers through the OBA funding scheme. It also underlines

the positive impacts of the project on the population, yet without reliable evidence on the

effectiveness and quality of water services provided the targeted beneficiaries.

Camwater also recognizes financial and technical factors that have affected implementation:

Financial difficulties: a majority of OBA connections exceeded the average cost

estimated at appraisal. This impacted Camwater’s contribution, as the company was

responsible for covering the gap between the total cost and the regular tariff to customers

(paid by GPOBA and the new customers). As a result, Camwater could not afford to

regularly replenish the connections’ Fund at the level expected during preparation after

the initial FCFA 400,000 payment (approximately US$ 0.8 million);

Technical difficulties: network extension programs under Camwater’s responsibility, as

the asset-holding company, were delayed due to procurement issues and implementation

delays by contracting firms. The extensions and improved water production capacity

were needed to supply the social connections to be executed by the private operator.

Such difficulties resulted in CDE starting to pre-finance the OBA connections with its own funds.

This situation raised two series of concern that were not anticipated in the MO:

Quality of connections executed by CDE: to comply with the 2010 agreement, CDE

had to decrease the connection cost to FCFA 60,000, which may have impacted how

connections were executed and the quantity of connections finally declared ineligible;

Increased financial gap for Camwater: connections pre-financed by CDE may have

resulted in expenses non-eligible for GPOBA reimbursement, thus putting a financial risk

on Camwater.

This risk materialized, with a total of 6,400 connections declared ineligible by the IVA and a

total financial gap of FCFA 888 million (approximately US$ 1.7 million) when considering the

total number of OBA connections executed, and in a large part pre-financed by CDE.

Lessons learned for future social connection projects focus on the project design and

implementation:

Simplifying the project design may include:

o Better define the respective roles of the various stakeholders;

o Simplify funding mechanisms and clarify upfront the procedures;

o Provide crystal clear definitions regarding the beneficiaries’ eligibility criteria so

that all stakeholders are in full agreement;

o Clarify the concept of “low income household” in the project design documents

such as the Manual of Operations;

o Undertake a study on the economic and financial returns, at short and long terms,

for each of the stakeholders (Asset-holding company if any, private provider,

GPOBA, beneficiaries).

Supporting factors to smoothen implementation may include:

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o Implement the project in areas where network extensions are already available

and where water resources are sufficient to supply the new connections;

o Set up a monitoring mechanism to track project performance and indicators;

o Put an emphasis on communication and household awareness-raising about the

project features and benefits as part of the project implementation.

Recommendations suggested by Camwater to strengthen output-based aid projects mainly relate

to design and the verification/disbursement cycle. They include:

Simplify the eligibility criteria;

Avoid verification based on sampling, especially the first verification step focused on

the private operator’ customer database;

Specify in project documents that all executed connections will be verified physically

before being declared eligible;

Avoid the concept of pre-financing by one party only through a dedicated fund or

account collecting the borrower/grantee’s and the Bank/GPOBA’s contributions;

Adopt the principle of result-based financing with payment made only after the

connections are declared eligible.

Annex 8. Comments of Cofinanciers and Other Partners/Stakeholders

Not applicable

Annex 9. List of Supporting Documents

Camwater-GPOBA, Rapports de vérification technique des branchements réalisés (DIENG

Babacar) : RVT 1, juillet 2009; RVT 2, février 2010

Camwater-GPOBA, Rapports trimestriels et semestriels de Mission de vérification technique

indépendante (HydroConseil-GMUS) : Rapport de démarrage et mise en place des procédures,

mars 2011 ; Rapport 1 – revue à mi-parcours, mai 2011 ; Rapports 3 à 8, 2012

CDE commercial data (extracts from the customer database), mars 2014

CDE, OBA projects quarterly reports

GPOBA Commitment Paper (49306): Cameroon Water Lease – OBA for Coverage Expansion,

September 13, 2007

GPOBA Grant Agreement (Water Lease Project), April 7, 2008

GPOBA, Semi Annual Status Reports

Marin P., Loehning E., Drozdz J., Subsidizing water connections in Cameroon. How to apply

output-based aid to an Affermage, OBApproaches, note #3.4, July 2010

République du Cameroun, Enquête Démographique et de Santé et à Indicateurs Multiples 2011,

rapport préparé by ICF International, Septembre 2012

République du Cameroun, Camwater, Banque mondiale, Elaboration d’une stratégie de

tarification de l’eau potable, rapport final : Artelia, mai 2013

République du Cameroun, Contrat d’affermage du service public de l’alimentation en eau

potable des centres urbains et périurbains du Cameroun, 2008

World Bank, PAD PDUE 2007; PP PDUE AF 2011;

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World Bank, GPOBA water Cameroon, Restructuring Paper, December 2011 (project extension)

World Bank, Aide-Memoires; ISRs

World Bank, Towards better service delivery – An economic update on Cameroon, with a focus

on fiscal decentralization, PREM unit, Africa Region, Issue 2, July 2011

World Bank, Country Assistance Strategy 2010-2013

World Bank, Cameroon Country Office, website

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