doing development in a down-turn
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Doing development in a down-turn. Simon Maxwell. Preamble: on praxis in development studies The story so far: an evolving agenda of international development 2008: the year of the Call to Action But will the ‘project’ be derailed? The search for a new narrative - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Doing development in a down-turn
Simon Maxwell
1. Preamble: on praxis in development studies
2. The story so far: an evolving agenda of international development
3. 2008: the year of the Call to Action
4. But will the ‘project’ be derailed?
5. The search for a new narrative
6. Conclusion: what is to be done?
Praxis in development studies
(a) The story-teller
(b) The networker
(c) The engineer
(d) The fixer
The international think-tank
not
not
but
The airline alliance model: ‘Policy code-sharing’
The story so far
FAU 2007
Revisioning aid
http://www.fau.dk/Konferencerapport_2007.pdf
Two ‘elephant’ issues
1. Is Paris enough? The missing discussion about aid architecture.
2. The new development agenda – beyond the MDGs.
Is it time to stand the aid architecture on its head?
Multilateralism: only one quarter of all aid is multilateral, three quarters bilateral
‘New’ issues
• China and the analytics of globalisation
• Security and development
• The shift from national development to global public goods
Implication for governments?
Aid
TradeForeign Policy
?
Implications for bilateral agencies?
(a) Spyglass (b) Spigot (c) Spoon (d) Spanner
2008: the Year of the Call to Action on the MDGs
• (July 2007: Gordon Brown in New York)
• May: Business Call to Action; TICAD IV
• June: EU Council
• July: Hokkaido G8
• September: UN Call to Action Summit
• November: FFD in Doha
Aid: the $30bn shortfall
Leaving mountains to climb
Source: DAC
Watch out for the politics
• Sector initiatives
• More special purpose vehicles
What will derail the project?
• The credit crunch• Slow growth/recession• House prices • Retail sales • Food prices • Oil prices • Budget deficits
N.B. This is not an argument about de-linking
The problem
Support for development is wide but shallow
When asked, people say that global poverty is important to them . . .
8
12
14
17
19
89
83
83
79
76
Q I am going to read out a list of global issues. Using the answers on this card, please tell me how important or unimportant they are to you?
War/Conflict
% Important
International migration
Climate change
Global poverty
Disease
% Not important
Base: 1,043 British adults aged 15+, 4-10 April 2008 Source: Ipsos MORI
But global poverty is not seen as a key challenge for Britain
Q What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today?
50%
44%
25%
18%
17%
16%
12%
10%
9%
8%
Education/Schools
Race relations/immigration
NHS/Hospitals
Morality/Individual Behaviour
Taxation
Top spontaneous mentions
Economy
Defence/Foreign affairs
Crime/ law and order
Housing
Inflation/Prices
Base: 1,037 British adults 18+, 21-26 Feb 2008 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
‘New’ issues
• China and the analytics of globalisation
• Security and development
• The shift from national development to global public goods
When asked, people say that global poverty is important to them . . .
8
12
14
17
19
89
83
83
79
76
Q I am going to read out a list of global issues. Using the answers on this card, please tell me how important or unimportant they are to you?
War/Conflict
% Important
International migration
Climate change
Global poverty
Disease
% Not important
Base: 1,043 British adults aged 15+, 4-10 April 2008 Source: Ipsos MORI
Caution: the impacts on us are perceived to be negative
• Refugees / asylum seekers coming to UK (67%)• Workers from developing countries coming to the UK for
work (46%)• Ill feeling towards the UK, resulting in terrorism (44%)• By leading to conflict and war (41%)• Damage to the earth’s environment (27%)• Increasing risk of tropical / other diseases (25%)• UK public donations / government funds going overseas
(24%)
Base: 1,256 British adults 16+, July 2006Source: DFID Public Attitudes Towards Development, July 2007
• Messaging
• Spending
• Institutions
Conclusion
Messaging
Construct a narrative relevant to both North and South which
• is anchored in a framework of global social justice;• celebrates the progress being made on the MDGs;• and builds political momentum behind the Call to Action;
but also
• recognises the need to manage our engagement with markets;• mobilises a range of economic, diplomatic and military
resources to tackle global threats; and• engages internationally to make sure global institutions work
better than they currently do.
Content
• Better instruments
• Better geographies