dollar devaluation doom
TRANSCRIPT
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Dollar Devaluation Doom
Recently we have been finding that bees are dying, the US is fighting an illegal war in Iraq
(and spending trillions in the process), illegal immigrants are taking jobs (because
businesses don't have to pay a living wage to these workers), and the US governmentwants to devalue the Dollar (continuously). All the while we the people are spending
more for products that in 1913 would be much less. How much? Well imagine, you go to a
store in 1913, and spend $5.00 for a suit. That same suit would be over $200.00 today.
The American Dollar has been devalued so much that $1.00 is actually only worth $0.04 .
How does this affect me? As the scenario above shows, you are paying more today than
what you paid, or rather what you would have paid earlier in the last century. Our
current devaluation (about 50%) of the Dollar is in accordance with our conflicts (whether
real or imagined) abroad. Take China for example, the US government continues to ask
for a floated currency, just like ours. China will not bit on this proposal, because they
know that if they did such a thing, their currency would be too inflated (just like ours).
Our borrowing is outrageous, we borrow over $85 million from our sons, daughters, and
grandchildren. This kind of borrowing, whether you are a democrat or a republican, is
going to damage their futures for many years after they are born. The current generation
is feeling the pinch, and even though they don't recognize it now, ten years down the
road when they want to go to college, they won't be able. They will have to borrow
against theirgrandchildren, and the cycle will continue.
A floated currency means that the proposed currency is 'floated' against the stock
exchange (Dow Jones Industrial Average, NYSE, et cetera). When the commodities go up
we devalue the Dollar, or "adjust" by raising interest rates, which effects everything from
bread to gas (petrol for my UK readers). This fluctuation can work both ways, where
commodities can go up as the Dollar is devalued. A Dollar's devaluation can have effects
on our natural resources, by raising the price of drills, rigs, and mining equipment. When
this price goes up, then so too does the price of such materials. China doesn't want to
'float' their currency for several obvious reasons, and because they are a nation that has a
continuously effective industrialization. When the US gives reasons for a floating currency
to the Chinese, it is a worthless explanation at best. They want the Chinese to do this
because it creates a trade gap and covers their butts when it comes time to pay their
trade debts.
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Some articles like the New York Times article about the devaluation of the Dollar, says
that people are too anxious and need to calm down. Well NYT writers, do you want to
make less? Do you want to have your pensions? Do you want to have outrageous heath
costs? Then keep writing the same filth that you continuously write. Just like "global
warming" (myth), and everything else, they don't ask questions, do research, or interview
people (besides government subsidised scientists). The US News and World Report wrote
an article about this topic and stated that this policy of adjustment will backfire and
cause even more economic hardships in the years to come. Hardships will come in the
form of, more manufacturing jobs being shipped overseas, crop shortages due to farmers
losing their land and in the end everyone will be paying $8.00 a gallon for gas (petrol).
Housing prices will inevitably go up as well, this is due to greed however. Back in the
1940's and 50's a family paid roughly $5,000 to $10,000 for a good house, in 2006, you
would be lucky to get a house under $140,000. This is because as we adjust for inflation
(devalue the dollar/ raise interest rates) we are causing the "cost of living" to rise as well.
Then the property taxes rise, then the cost of commodities rise and this becomes a
viscous circle that will continue as long as we have the Central Bank, I mean, the
"Federal" Reserve in power.
If the Chinese stopped buying our Dollars, and yes they do buy our Dollars, and start
selling them back, our economy would collapse. The Chinese are the only thing keeping
the US from becoming a second world country. That is why the only thing that will help
the US has a President like Dr. Ron Paul (Rep. TX). He will bring back a stable form of
economy and we will again become the richest country in the world. He will slowly begin
to incorporate gold as a currency backer and this will stabilize the economy. Anyone who
is interested in learning about economics and how this works click here.
Yes I understand that many of you think that the Dollar is still backed by gold,
unfortunately that too is incorrect. The Federal Reserve has complete control of all gold
reserves in the US and can not be audited, therefore the people no longer own the gold
and the Dollaris
a fiat currency. The same goes for the Canadian, Australian and the
Euro. Any one whom doesn't believe this look it up on Google. Laws may say one thing but
the economy and the World Bank says another. Ask yourself, why or how can these people
manufacture money out of thin air, any time they want? How can they adjust interest
rates when they do not correspond to the rates of gold that is on the market? When I say
the 'Dollar', for clarification, this is talking about the US Dollar, and since the Dollar is
controlled by the Fed. and the Fed. is controlled by the global elite, then you'll see that
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devaluation of the Dollar is a good thing. In other words if the Dollar becomes so devalued
then they can buy up the US lock, stock and barrel. That is a bad thing for the people of
the US and their sovereignty.
Richard Nixon eliminated the gold standard.
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As many of my "loyal readers" may or may not know I posted this article on the seventh of
May, last year (2007). However I am choosing to augment this post with the addition of an
article that was sent via Mises.org. The post reads:
"Economic Outlook 2008: Darkening Clouds"
By Dominick Armentano
Posted on 1/2/2008
Presidential election years usually are not recessionary but next year will be an
exception. Several economic factors are colliding in an almost perfect storm to markedly
slow the general economy and the stock market.
The most important signal flashing recession is, of course, the subprime mortgage fiasco.
After years of monetary inflation on the part of the Federal Reserve, individuals and
families with poor credit were suckered into low-down-payment/low-interest adjustable
mortgages that simply cannot be maintained or repaid under current conditions. Their
incentive is to sell the property quickly before their equity evaporates or the financial
institution repossesses it. Yet the massive oversupply of homes and condos for sale has
pushed prices down at a record clip and made additional foreclosures even more likely.
Next year, unfortunately, will be the Year of the Auction.
The financial institutions have also been punished well sort of. Various institutions
including hedge funds that hold these poorly performing debt obligations have been
forced (by accounting rules) to "write down" the value of these assets, take huge paper
losses in the bargain, and pull in their financial horns. Thus, any near-term recovery in
housing must now fight a record supply availability, falling prices, higher insurance costs
and restricted credit a near-term impossibility in my view.
Moreover, the slowdown in residential and commercial construction will send secondary
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ripple effects throughout the economy. Laid-off construction workers don't spend money.
Construction and home furnishing suppliers sell less output and make fewer investments.
Even local governments will be pinched by declining property-tax assessments and fewer
developer fees. Things are likely to get worse before they get any better.
The second major factor indicating a near-term recession is the sky-high price of crude oil
and refined product. Pushed upward by world-wide speculative Middle East war fears and
increases in demand (especially from China), increasing energy prices act as an
inflationary "tax" on domestic production and consumption throughout the market
economy. Higher costs of production will lower profits; higher prices will reduce some
consumption. The only good news here is that any substantial economic slowdown in 2008
will eventually moderate the price of oil and other commodity prices as well.
The third factor in the current recession scenario and the real wild card is the
continuing decline in the value of the dollar in international money markets caused by our
Iraq blunder and the Federal Reservegenerated oversupply of dollars. Some economists
would argue that a devalued dollar is good for US exports, and thus positive for the
economy as a whole. I disagree for three reasons.
First, the bulk of crude oil purchases takes place in dollars; a falling dollar translates into
still higher crude oil prices. Second, the US dollar is the major reserve currency of the
international monetary system and dollar-paying investments (such as US Treasury bills
and bonds) are held in massive amounts by foreign banks and governments. Dollar
devaluation makes these investments less attractive and any disinvestment in these areas
would sharply drive bond prices down and increase interest rates.
The third reason why dollar devaluation makes recession more likely is that it effectively
prevents the Federal Reserve from pushing US interest rates much lower. Any additional
Fed easing (inflation) would be seen as a signal of even further future dollar devaluation
and even higher dollar prices for oil. Unfortunately, we will not be able to "inflate" our
way out of this recession this time. We will simply have to take our lumps and let market
forces liquidate the bulk of the malinvestments caused by the unprecedented Greenspan
money bubble. This liquidation process will not be pretty but it is necessary to restore a
sustainable economic recovery in the years ahead.
A note on Dr. Dominick T. Armentano:
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is professor emeritus in economics at the University of Hartford (Connecticut). He is the
author of numerous reviews, articles and op-eds on regulatory policy, some of which have
appeared in "National Review", the "Cato Journal", "The Antitrust Bulletin", "The New York
Times", the "London Financial Times" and "The Wall Street Journal". He has presented
talks to academic and business audiences in the United States and abroad. Between 1978
and 1985 he was a regular commentator on BYLINE, a nationally syndicated public affairs
radio program. His books include The MythsofAntitrust: Economic Theory and Legal
Cases (Arlington House, 1972),Antitrust & Monopoly: Anatomyofa Policy Failure (John
Wiley, 1982 and Independent Institute, 1990) andAntitrust: The Case for Repeal (Mises
Institute, 1999). Send him mail.