dow 1,000 is not a silly number
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Dow 1,000 Is Not A Silly Number. March 2010 PDAC. WHY?. Manias Size Kondratieff Cycle Support / Resistance Fundamental Values Technical Expectations Cycles The Economy. Tulip Bulbs Down 98.4%. South Sea Company Down 92.4%. Nikkei Ongoing from top to lowest low, so far down 80.5%. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Dow 1,000 Is Not A Silly Number
March 2010
PDAC
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WHY?
• Manias
• Size
• Kondratieff Cycle
• Support / Resistance
• Fundamental Values
• Technical Expectations
• Cycles
• The Economy
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Tulip Bulbs
Down 98.4%
South Sea Company
Down 92.4%
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Nikkei Ongoingfrom top to lowest low, so far down 80.5%
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3rd Kondratieff Autumn Bull Market 1921-1929
Winter bear Market 1929 - 1932
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Prepared for the Longwave group
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Considerable Resistance at 1,000 Points
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What Does DOW 1,000 Mean?
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An Economic Depression – Leading To:
• Collapse in economy – US GDP down 45% by 1932
• Massive unemployment – 25% in US by 1933
• Major Bank failures – 10,000 US banks failed by March 1933
• Major Bankruptcies
• Consumers
• Corporations
• Governments
• Collapse in world trade – Down 2/3 by 1933
• Commodity prices collapse
• Gold / Silver prices rise on a flight to safety
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DOW 1,000 IS NOT A SILLY NUMBER
Ian A. Gordon, The Long Wave Analyst, www.longwavegroup.com
Disclaimer: The opinions and conclusions contained in this report are solely those of the authour. The information contained in this report is drawn from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness is not guaranteed. It does not provide investment advice, because the author has no knowledge of the specific investment objectives, or the financial circumstances and specific needs of any individual reading this report. The author accepts no responsibility or liability incurred by the reader as a result of any loss incurred in any investment decision by the reader, whether direct or indirect, insofar as the purpose of the article is stimulate thought and enquiry and is opinion and not investment recommendation. All readers must obtain expert investment advice before committing funds.
Readers of this report must understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be achieved. Investment values are subject to gains and losses. The information and recommendations contained in this report is not a solicitation to buy or sell securities that may be mentioned in this report. The information contained in this report as of the date shown, and the author assumes no obligation to update the information or advise on further developments.