Download - 1 South Africa Tourism Satellite Account Parliament Portfolio Committee on Tourism 12 October 2010
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South AfricaTourism Satellite Account
Parliament Portfolio Committee on Tourism12 October 2010
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Content
• Important concepts and definitions
• The TSA process in South Africa
• Draft TSA for South Africa, 2005
• Tourism Statistics at Statistics South Africa
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Concepts & Definitions
Country of Residence
Lived in RSA for at least one year
Intend to live in RSA for at least one year
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Concepts &Definitions
Forms of Tourism
Inbound
Domestic
Outbound
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Concepts &Definitions
The Usual Environment
Once a week or more
40 kilometres
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Concepts &Definitions
Tourist
““person traveling outside the usual environment for more person traveling outside the usual environment for more than one day but not more than a year and the person is than one day but not more than a year and the person is
not remunerated at the destination”not remunerated at the destination”
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TSA process
TSA process in SA
De
ve
lop
ex
pe
rtise
thro
ug
h th
e U
NW
TO
(on
go
ing
)
1998 - 1999
2002
March 2002
May 2002
2003 - 2004
Oct 2004
April 2005
July 2005
2006 - 2008
WTTC developed simulated TSA for SA
WTTC update for SA
Inter-institutional committee (working team) formed
Visit by French expert to provide advice for development of TSA
Development of new data sources for the TSA
Visit by TSA expert to assess the status of the TSA
Discussion document on the status of the TSA
Development of TSA model based on supply and use tables
Addressing data gaps – further development of the TSA model and discussion documents on the status of the TSA
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TSA process
TSA process in SA
De
ve
lop
ex
pe
rtise
thro
ug
h th
e U
NW
TO
(on
go
ing
)
May 2009
Nov 2009
Nov 2010
First draft TSA for SA, 2005 Indaba
National Accounts rebased and benchmarked
Final TSA for SA 2005 and pre limenary TSA for SA for 2006 to 2008
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TSA process
Only TSA from 2002 to 2007?
NONO•Domestic tourism module in the General Household Survey – Domestic tourism module in the General Household Survey – became the Domestic Tourism Surveybecame the Domestic Tourism Survey
•SAT departure survey – SASQAF (NSS) – acceptable statisticsSAT departure survey – SASQAF (NSS) – acceptable statistics
•Re – engineering of the Tourism and Migration releaseRe – engineering of the Tourism and Migration release
•Standardisation of concepts and definitions within Stats SA and Standardisation of concepts and definitions within Stats SA and between organisations between organisations
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Draft TSA, 2005
Launch of the draft TSA
Joint Launch
Two phased approach
Stats SA SAT DEAT SARB
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Draft TSA, 2005The 10 tables of the TSA
Table 1: Inbound tourism expenditure
Table 9: Tourism collective consumption by CPC (Central
Product Classification) products and levels of government
Table 10: Non-monetary indicators
Table 7: Employment in the tourism industries
Table 8: Gross fixed capital formation of tourism industries and
other industries
Table 6: Domestic supply and internal tourism
Table 5: Production accountsTable 4: Internal tourism
Table 3: Outbound tourism expenditure
Table 2: Domestic tourism expenditure
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Draft TSA, 2005
Key concepts used in the TSA
Gross direct value added of the tourism industries
Tourism industries
Visitors Non-visitors
Tourism direct gross value added
Non-tourism industries
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Draft TSA, 2005
Flows of tourism expenditure through the South African economy, 2005
Tourism direct gross value addedR42 355 million
Employment in tourism industries527 630 employees
Domestic tourism expenditureR54 499 million
Inbound tourism expenditureR51 090 million
Internal tourism expenditureR105 588 million
Gross direct value added of the tourism industries R65 221 million
Outbound tourism expenditureR30 631 million
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Draft TSA, 2005
The Key Results of the draft TSA for SA, 2005
Gross value added of the tourism industries R 65 221 million
(4,7%)
Tourism direct gross value added R 42 355 million
(3,1%)
Tourism direct gross domestic product R 45 649 million
(3,0%)
Direct employment in the tourism industries 527 630
(4,3%)
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Draft TSA, 2005
Results of the TSA (UNWTO) versus WTTC (previously quoted by industry)
Draft TSA, 2005 WTTC, 2005
Direct contribution to GDP 3,0% 3,29%
Direct and indirect contribution to GDP
- (The TSA ONLY measures DIRECT contribution to the
GDP)
8,15%
Direct employment 527 630
(4,3%)
478 630
(3,9%)
•TSA (UNWTO) – Internationally recommended methodological framework for calculating the contribution of tourism to the economy (GDP)
•WTTC – Simulated model
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Draft TSA, 2005
Comparison – Tourism vs traditional industries
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Electricity, gasand water
Agriculture,forestry and
fishing
Construction Tourism Mining andquarrying
Transport,storage and
communication
Wholesale andretail
Manufacturing Community,social andpersonalservices
Finance, realestate andbusinessservices
industry
perc
enta
ge
VA Employment
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Draft TSA, 2005
Distribution of value added and employment within the tourism industry
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
40,0
Cultural and sportand recreational
services
Food and beverages Travel agencies andsimilar
Retail trade oftourism connected
goods
Transport equipmentrental
Accommodation Passenger transport Other non-tourismindustries
industry
perc
enta
ge
VA Employment
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Draft TSA, 2005
International comparison
0,0 1,0 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 6,0 7,0
Canada (2005)
Hong Kong (2003)
India (2006)
Poland (2005)
South Africa (2005)
Australia (2005/06)
Bulgaria (2005)
New Zealand (2005)
Austria (2005)
Cou
ntry
% contribution to GDP (direct)
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Tourism Stats
Tourism Statistics in Statistics South Africa (short term indicators)
•Survey of tourist accommodation (P6420) – total income generated by the accommodation industry (accommodation, restaurants and bar sales, other income), stay units available, stay unit nights sold, occupancy rates
0,0 500,0 1 000,0 1 500,0 2 000,0 2 500,0
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
May-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Mo
nth
R million
Total income Of which is income from accommodation
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Tourism Stats
Tourism Statistics in Statistics South Africa (short term indicators)
•Survey of food and beverages (P6410) – total income generated by the food and beverages serving industry (food sales, bar sales, other income)
0,0 500,0 1 000,0 1 500,0 2 000,0 2 500,0 3 000,0 3 500,0
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
May-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Mo
nth
R million
Total income Of which is income from food sales
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Tourism Stats
Tourism Statistics in Statistics South Africa (short term indicators)
•Tourism and migration (P0351) – arrivals and departures
0 200 000 400 000 600 000 800 000 1 000 000 1 200 000
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
May-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Mo
nth
Arrivals
Foreign Arrivals Of which are visitors
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Thank YouThank You
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Draft TSA, 2005
•SOURCE DATA
•International Recommendations on Tourism Statistics (IRTS)
•TOURISM SATELLITE ACCOUNT
•Tourism Satellite Account – Recommended Methodological Framework (TSA: RMF)
Demand•Departure Survey
•Domestic Survey
•Arrivals and Departures
•GHS
•IES
•Balance of Payments
•Supply and Use tables
Supply•Survey of tourist accommodation
•Survey of food and beverages
•Large sample surveys (accommodation, personal services, transport industry, real estate and business services, wholesale and retail trade)
•EAS
•Supply and Use tables
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Draft TSA, 2005
Methodology used for the compilation: TSA:RMF, Dec 2008
Basis – 2005 Supply and Use tables (not benchmarked)
95 industries and 27 goods and
services
Step 2Step 1 Step 3
Extraction of detailed data (products and industries)
Tourism single purpose consumer durables
Valuation of reservation services
Gross margin – purchased separately
Dual classification – tourism exp
Cost of production and component of tourism
consumption
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Draft TSA, 2005
Tourists Same - day Total visitorsvisitors
(1,1) (1,2) (1,3) = (1,1) + (1,2)
A. Specific products A.1 Characteristic products 1 - Accommodation services 1.1 - Hotels and other accommodation services for visitors other than 1.2 x 1.2 - Accommodation services associated with all forms of vacation home ownership x 2 - Restaurant and similar x 3 - Passenger transport services 3.1 - Railway passenger transportation services
3.2 - Road passenger transportation services
3.3 - Water passenger transportation services
3.4 - Air passenger transportation services
3.5 - Transport equipment rental
4 - Travel agencies and similar 4.1 - Reservation services provided by travel agencies (1)
4.2 - Reservation services provided by tour operators (2)
4.3 - Other reservation services
5 - Cultural services 6 - Sports and recreational services 7 - Tourism-characteristic goods (3) 8 - Other country-specific tourism-characteristic services A.2 Connected products Services
B. Non-specific products Services
Goods
Totalnumber of trips
number of overnights
Total inbound tourism expenditure
Products
No data currently
collected by SAT
SAT departure survey certified by
NSSD as acceptable stats –
May 2007
BoP (adj)
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Draft TSA, 2005
Tourists Same-day Total visitors Tourists Same-day Total visitors Tourists Same-day Total visitorsvisitors visitors visitors
Products (2.1) (2.2) (2.3) = (2.1) + (2.2) (2.4) (2.5) (2.6) = (2.4) + (2.5) (2.7) = (2.1) + (2.4) (2.8) = (2.2) + (2.5) (2.9) = (2.3) + (2.6)
A. Specific products A.1 Characteristic products 1 - Accommodation services x x x 1.1 - Hotels and other accommodation services for visitors other than 1.2 x x x 1.2 - Accommodation services associated with all forms of vacation home ownership x x x 2 - Restaurant and similar 3 - Passenger transport services 3.1 - Railway passenger transportation services
3.2 - Road passenger transportation services
3.3 - Water passenger transportation services
3.4 - Air passenger transportation services
3.5 - Transport equipment rental
4 - Travel agencies and similar 4.1 - Reservation services provided by travel agencies (1)
4.2 - Reservation services provided by tour operators (2)
4.3 - Other reservation services
5 - Cultural services 6 - Sports and recreational services 7 - Tourism-characteristic goods (3) 8 - Other country-specific tourism-characteristic services A.2 Connected products Services
B. Non-specific products Services
Goods
Total
number of tripsnumber of overnights
Total domestic tourism expenditureResident visitorson a domestic trip on an international trip (expenditure prior to
leaving the country of reference)
Domestic Tourism Survey
GHS tourism module
SAT domestic survey
Domestic Tourism Survey
IC, PCE
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TSA: what has been published
Draft TSA for SA, 2005Draft TSA for SA, 2005 Tourism Tourism Indaba, May Indaba, May
20092009
Based on the 2005 SU-tables – detail for 94 industries and 27 Based on the 2005 SU-tables – detail for 94 industries and 27 productsproducts
All stakeholders had until March All stakeholders had until March 2010 to send any comments on 2010 to send any comments on
data or methodologydata or methodology
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Developments in National Acc
•Benchmarking of National Accounts - new base year 2005 - Benchmarking of National Accounts - new base year 2005 - published in November 2009published in November 2009
Previous SU-tables:Previous SU-tables:•94 industries94 industries•27 products27 products•Industry classification: Industry classification: SICSIC•Product classification: Product classification: linked to SIClinked to SIC
‘‘New’ SU-tables:New’ SU-tables:•292 industries292 industries•105 products105 products•Industry classification: Industry classification: SICSIC•Product classification: Product classification: CPCCPC
Benchmarked 2005 SU-tables will be published in September Benchmarked 2005 SU-tables will be published in September 20102010
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Improvements
AccommodationAccommodation
Previous SU-tables:Previous SU-tables:
• Industry:Industry:
1.1. HotelsHotels
• Product:Product:
1.1. Hotels, RestaurantsHotels, Restaurants
New SU-tables:New SU-tables:
• Industry:Industry:
1.1. Hotels,motels,botels Hotels,motels,botels and innsand inns
2.2. Caravan parks and Caravan parks and camping sitescamping sites
3.3. Guest-houses and Guest-houses and guest-farmsguest-farms
4.4. Other accommodationOther accommodation
• Product:Product:
1.1. Accommodation Accommodation servicesservices
New SU-tables:New SU-tables:
• Industry:Industry:
1.1. Hotels,motels,botels Hotels,motels,botels and innsand inns
2.2. Caravan parks and Caravan parks and camping sitescamping sites
3.3. Guest-houses and Guest-houses and guest-farmsguest-farms
4.4. Other accommodationOther accommodation
• Product:Product:
1.1. Accommodation Accommodation servicesservices
New SU-tables:New SU-tables:
• Industry:Industry:
1.1. Hotels,motels,botels and Hotels,motels,botels and innsinns
2.2. Caravan parks and Caravan parks and camping sitescamping sites
3.3. Guest-houses and guest-Guest-houses and guest-farmsfarms
4.4. Other accommodationOther accommodation
• Product:Product:
1.1. Accommodation servicesAccommodation services
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Improvements
TransportTransport
Previous SU-tables:Previous SU-tables:• IndustryIndustry1.1. Railway transportRailway transport2.2. Other scheduled passenger land Other scheduled passenger land
transport and other non-transport and other non-scheduled passenger land scheduled passenger land transporttransport
3.3. Freight transport by roadFreight transport by road4.4. Transport via pipelinesTransport via pipelines5.5. Water transportWater transport6.6. Air transportAir transport7.7. Cargo handlingCargo handling8.8. Other supporting transport Other supporting transport
activitiesactivities9.9. Travel agency and related Travel agency and related
activitiesactivities
• ProductProduct1.1. TransportTransport
New SU-tables:New SU-tables:• IndustryIndustry1.1. Railway transportRailway transport2.2. Other scheduled passenger land Other scheduled passenger land
transporttransport3.3. Other non-scheduled passenger Other non-scheduled passenger
land transportland transport4.4. Freight transport by roadFreight transport by road5.5. Transport via pipelinesTransport via pipelines6.6. Water transportWater transport7.7. Air transportAir transport8.8. Cargo handlingCargo handling9.9. Storage and warehousingStorage and warehousing10.10. Other supporting transport activitiesOther supporting transport activities11.11. Travel agency and related activitiesTravel agency and related activities12.12. Activities of other transport agenciesActivities of other transport agencies
• ProductProduct1.1. Passenger transport servicesPassenger transport services
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SU-table and the TSA
SU table for 2005 will be published in September 2010SU table for 2005 will be published in September 2010
Access to and permission to use unpublished pre-limenary SU Access to and permission to use unpublished pre-limenary SU –Tables for 2006, 2007 and 2008–Tables for 2006, 2007 and 2008
Still open to revision (new data, etc). Still open to revision (new data, etc).
Final TSA for SA for 2005, and pre-lim for 2006, 2007 and 2008 Final TSA for SA for 2005, and pre-lim for 2006, 2007 and 2008 by 30 November 2010by 30 November 2010
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Way forward
Future development/improvement
Separate same-day visitors and tourists (Table 1, 2 and 4)
Investigate the possibility of compiling Table 3 (Outbound tourism) (no alternative data source)
Use the DTS for the compilation of Table 2 (Domestic Tourism)
Research the treatment of housing services provided by second homes on own account or for free – (no alternative data source)
Research the treatment of the service charges paid to travel agents, tour operators and other reservation services – (no alternative data source)
Improve industry ratios applied to employment and measure the full-time employees - (no alternative data source)
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Tourism and Migration
Travellers versus Tourists (2009) (Tourism 2009, Report 03-51-02 (2009))
Foreign travellersForeign travellers
18 778 55618 778 556
ArrivalsArrivals
10 098 30610 098 306
DeparturesDepartures
8 680 2508 680 250
VisitorsVisitors
9 531 6159 531 615
Non VisitorsNon Visitors
566 691566 691
TouristsTourists
7 011 8657 011 865
Same daySame day
2 519 7502 519 750