Download - 2013 State of the Community Report
2013 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Paige ZinnPrincipal, Jennings
Board Chair, Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce
Use #CHCSOTCIf you’re tweeting this event
Lacy PresnellGeneral Counsel, NC Department of Energy & Natural Resources
Board Chair, Triangle Community Foundation
Provost Jim DeanUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Aaron Nelson, President and CEOChapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce
Presenting Sponsor
Gold Sponsors
Bronze Sponsor
Fordham Blvd./Meadowmont
Breakfast Sponsor
Background on this Report
• Our Sixth State of the Community Report
• Born out of graduate student research at UNC
• Social, Economic, and Health Indicators
• Objective: deliver relevant information to community and business leaders
• Chamber + The Partnership
The Partnership
• Chamber’s Community and Economic Development Partner– Community Leadership Development– Non-Profit Incubation and Fiscal Agency– Community Convening/Problem Solving– Research and Information Sharing– Fourth Sector and Social Enterprise support
Demography
Community PopulationJurisdiction 2000 2012 Pop Growth Growth Rate
Orange County 116,016 137,941 + 21,925 18.9% OR 1.6%/year
Hillsborough 5,513 6,271 +758 13.8% OR 1.1%/year
Carrboro 17,668 20,433 +2,765 15.6% OR 1.3%/year
Chapel Hill 48,038 58,424 +10,386 21.6% OR 1.8%/year
North Carolina 8,078,824 9,752,073 +1,673,249 20.7% OR 1.7/year
U.S. Census Bureau
U.S. Census Bureau
Population Growth
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
116,016138,575
17,66820,433
48,038 58,433
5,513 6,271
Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough
Population ProjectionsCounty 2015 2020 Growth Rate
(vs 2010) 2025 Growth Rate(vs 2010)
ALAMANCE 156,395 162,004 +10,535 (7.0%) 167,614 +16,145 (10.7%)
CHATHAM 70,484 77,045 +13,294 (20.9%) 83,607 +19,856 (31.1%)
DURHAM 303,060 338,505 +67,208 (24.8%) 373,568 +102,271 (37.7%)
JOHNSTON 181,450 192,471 +22,839 (13.5%) 203,490 +33,858 (20.0%)
ORANGE 144,960 155,555 +21,253 (15.8%) 166,215 +31,913 (23.8%)
WAKE 1,008,721 1,114,464 +207,556 (22.9%) 1,220,207 +313,299 (34.5%)
NC Office of State Budget and Management
6.2% of 517,342 in projected 6-county growth
2.0% of projected state growth
Orange County Population by Race
Black or African American alone; 12.2%
American Indian and Alaska Native alone;
0.6%Asian alone, percent;
7.3%
Two or More Races; 2.5%
Hispanic or Latino; 8.2%White alone, not His-panic or Latino; 70.3%
U.S. Census Bureau
2012 Orange County Population by Race
U.S. Census Bureau
1990 2000 2010 20120.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
80.1%
70.3%
15.7%12.2%
0.3%
8.2%2.5%7.3%
White African American Latino/Hispanic Asian
Minority Races by Municipality (2012)
Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
2.9% 2.7% 2.5% 2.0%
10.1% 9.7%
12.2%
22.0%
8.2%
11.9%
7.3%
2.5%
13.8%
6.4%
8.2% 8.7%
Two or More Races Black Asian Hispanic or Latino
U.S. Census Bureau
Educational Attainment (2012)
U.S. Census Bureau
High School Graduate (or higher)
Bachelors Degree (or higher)0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
90.00%
100.00%90.1%
54.6%
84.1%
26.5%
85.4%
28.2%
Orange CountyNorth CarolinaUnited States
Educational Attainment (2012)
U.S. Census Bureau
High School Graduate (or higher)
Bachelors Degree (or higher)
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
90.00%
100.00% 90.6%
62.4%
94.1%
73.2%
90.1%
54.6% CarrboroChapel HillOrange County
Orange County Income Levels by Household
U.S. Census Bureau
Less than $10,0009%
$10,000 to $34,99924%
$35,000 to $74,99926%
$75,000 to $99,99913%
$100,000 to $149,999
12%
$150,000 to $199,999
7%$200,000+
9%
2011 Per Capita Income by County
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
Oran
geOn
slow
Cum
berla
ndCu
rritu
ckDu
rham
Moo
reGu
ilfor
d
Polk
Crav
enNo
rth
Caro
lina
Hend
erso
nUn
ion
Bunc
ombe
John
ston
Nash
Brun
swick
Gast
onDa
vids
on Lee
Beau
fort
Wilk
esAl
aman
ceW
ayne
Clev
elan
dRo
ckin
gham
Mar
tinM
acon
Perq
uim
ans
Burk
eSu
rry
Row
anFr
ankl
inVa
nce
Sam
pson
Rand
olph
Berti
eBl
aden
Pasq
uota
nkM
adiso
nAs
heJa
ckso
nDu
plin
Clay
Mitc
hell
Edge
com
beGa
tes
Gree
neCh
erok
eeTy
rrel
lW
arre
nAn
son
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
#1 $48,683 - Orange#2 $48,191 - Chatham
#6 $42,555 Wake#9 $38,654 - Durham
$36,028 NC
Per Capita Liquor Sales FY12
Dare
Beaufort
Currituck
Cartere
t
New Han
over
Clay
Buncombe
Brunsw
ick
Wata
uga
Macon
Swain
Orange
Mecklen
burg
Cheroke
e
Guilford
Camden
Warr
en
Catawba
Hyde
Wak
e$0.00
$50.00
$100.00
$150.00
$200.00
$250.00
$300.00
$350.00
$400.00
$450.00
ABC Board through Business NC
Orange 12th
Wake 20th Durham 25th
Chatham 48th
Alamance 53rd
Living
Location of Orange County Housing Units
9,258 (16%)
2,593 (5%)
22,254 (40%)
21,492 (39%)
Carrboro HillsboroughChapel Hill Rest of County
U.S. Census Bureau
Percent Renter-Occupied
Carrboro
Hillsborough
Chapel Hill
Rest of Orange County
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
61.5%
35.9%
52.4%
18.1%
U.S. Census Bureau
Home Ownership Rate (2011)
Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina USA
35.5%
49.1%
60.2%67.8% 66.1%
U.S. Census Bureau
Number of Homes Sold in Orange County
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
15431686
1859 18861797 1749
12711140 1142 1126
1257
Orange County Average Residential Closing Prices
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$262,920
$342,740$321,326
$317,847
$329,918
$325,020$319,229
Residential Building Permits
Home Builders Association of Durham, Orange, & Chatham* Through July 2013
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
54
5
135
Carrboro
Chapel Hill
Orange County (incl. Hillsborough)
Chapel Hill-Carrboro School District Median Sales Price per Sq Ft
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
$164
$160$157
$154
$149$146
2012 Average Home Price per Square Foot
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
Durham Wake Chatham Orange$0.00
$20.00
$40.00
$60.00
$80.00
$100.00
$120.00
$140.00
$93.97 $106.14
$121.93 $134.05
2012 Average Home Price by County
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
Durham Wake Chatham Orange$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$191,044
$251,665
$303,581 $319,229
OC Housing Gross Rent
Less than $200
$200 to $299
$300 to $499
$500 to $749
$750 to $999
$1,000 to $1,499
$1,500 or more
0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00%
1%
1%
6%
32%
31%
16%
8%
1%
1%
4%
23%
38%
21%
14%
2011
2007
U.S Census Bureau
Orange County Gross Rent as a Percent of Household Income
Less than 15.0 percent
15.0 to 19.9 percent
20.0 to 24.9 percent
25.0 to 29.9 percent
30.0 to 34.9 percent
35.0 percent or more
0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00%
7.7%
10.4%
8.4%
7.3%
9.0%
49.8%
9.9%
10.0%
13.2%
8.9%
5.6%
52.3%
2011
2007
U.S Census Bureau
Commuting
43,298 Live outside Orange County and drive in for work39,603 Live in Orange County and drive out of the county for work21,454 Live in Orange County and work in Orange County
U.S. Census Bureau
39,540 33,85020,662
Commuting to Primary Jobs (2011)
Drive out for work Drive in for work Live and work here0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
6,909 6,7263,432
11,726 15,034
6,821
18,39818,756
9,857
> $40,000 $15,000-$40,000
<%15,000
U.S. Census Bureau
Orange County Workers’ Commuting Patterns 2002-2011
201120102009200820072006200520042003200225.00%
30.00%
35.00%
40.00%
45.00%
50.00%
55.00%
60.00%
65.00%
70.00%
33.20%
41.70%
66.8%
58.3%
Employed and Living in the Selection AreaEmployed in the Selection Area but Living Outside
U.S. Census Bureau
Orange County Residents’ Commuting (2002-2012)
201120102009200820072006200520042003200225.00%
30.00%
35.00%
40.00%
45.00%
50.00%
55.00%
60.00%
65.00%
70.00%
35.2%
45.1%
64.8%
54.9%
Living and Employed in the Selection Area
Living in the Selection Area but Employed Outside
U.S. Census Bureau
Percent of Town of Chapel Hill Employees Living in Chapel Hill Zip Codes
1995 2004 2008 20100%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45% 41%
30% 27%22%
Chart Title
Chapel Hill Data Book
Distribution of UNC Chapel Hill’s 11,900 employees by home address
Orange
Durham
Wake
Alamance
Chatham
Person
Lee
Guilford
Randolph
Granvil
le0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
5820
227612421158 593
85 72 60 31 13
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
Orange County Commuting to Work
Drove Alone, 66.8%Carpooled,
9.5%
Public Trans-portation8.3%
Walked; 5.3%
Other means; 3.8%
Work at home, 6.4%
U.S. Census Bureau
Mean Travel Time to Work (Minutes)
U.S. Census Bureau
2011 Estimate2010 Estimate2009 Estimate2008 Estimate2007 Estimate17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
21.921.4
25.425.3
23.423.2
19.3
21
Orange County United States North Carolina Chapel Hill Carrboro
Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (millions)
FY 01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY120
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
3.01
7.29 6.97
Chapel Hill Transit
Wealth Migration
Orange County Wealth Migration 1992-2010
Net Loss of $49.97 Million in Adjusted Gross Income
Analysis of IRS Data
Orange County (NC)Wealth Migration 1992-2010Gained Wealth
Santa Clara County, CA$15.7 million
Cook County, IL$13.8 million
Fairfax County, VA$15.6 million
Westchester County, NY$17.7 million
Fairfield County, CT$15.8 million
Analysis of IRS Data
Chatham County$179 million
Alamance County$86.6 million
Durham County$83.1 million
Wake County$74 million
Fulton County, Georgia$10.3 million
Orange County (NC)
Wealth Migration 1992-2010Lost Wealth
Analysis of IRS Data
Chatham County Wealth Migration1992-2010
GAINED WEALTH FROM:• Wake NC ($202 million)• Orange NC ($179 million) • Durham NC ($73 million)• Fairfax, VA ($20 million)• Santa Clara CA ($18 million)
Net Gain of $1.14 billion in Adjusted Gross Income
Analysis of IRS Data
Poverty
Percent of Persons Living Below Poverty Level (2011)
Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina USA0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
16.8%
22.1%
16.9% 16.1%14.3%
U.S Census Bureau
55
Poverty and College Students
NC Average
Chapel
Hill
Monro
e
Salisb
ury
Goldsboro
Apex
Hickory
Kannap
olis
Huntersv
ille
Wilso
n
Burlingto
n
Rocky M
ount
Jacks
onville
Gasto
nia
Concord
Ashev
ille
Greenvil
le
High Point
Wilm
ington
Cary
Fayett
eville
Durham
Winsto
n-Salem
Greensb
oro
Raleigh
Charlotte
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%College Students in PovertyPercentage of Residents in Poverty (excluding college students)
Source: U.S. Census 2010
Percent of Economically Disadvantaged Students (Formerly Free or Reduced Lunch)
N.C Dept of Public Instruction
2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-120.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
32.6% 31.9%
39.8%41.6%
21.7% 22.2% 23.5%26.5%
Orange County
CHCCS
Percent of CHCCS Students Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch (2011-12)
N.C Dept of Public Instruction
Carrboro High Sc
hool
Chapel Hill H
igh
C and L McD
ougle Mid
Elizabeth Se
awell Elem
Ephesus Road Elementary
Estes H
ills Elementary
East Chapel H
ill High
Frank P
Graham Elementary
Glenwood Elementary
Grey Culbreth M
iddle
Guy Phillip
s Middle
C and L McD
ougle Elem
Mary Scr
oggs Elementary
Morris G
rove Elementary
Mel and Zora Rashkis
Elem
R D and Euzelle
Smith
Middle
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
23%19%
25%
19%
47%
29%
18%
50%
23% 24% 26%
39%
23%27%
23% 25%
N.C Dept of Public Instruction
Percent of Orange County Schools Students Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch (2011-12)
A L Stan
back M
iddle
Camero
n Park Elem
entar
y
Cedar
Ridge High
Centra
l Elem
entary
Charles
W St
anford
Middle
Eflan
d Cheeks
Elem
entar
y
Gravelly
Hill Middle
Grady Brown El
emen
tary
Hillsboro
ugh El
emen
tary
New Hope E
lementary
Orange
High
Pathway
s Elem
entar
y0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
45%37%
27%
83%
33%
65%
42% 42%
17%
59%
37%
49%
Orange County Families Receiving Food and Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps)
NC Division of Social Services
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 39417 39783 40148 40513 40878 41102 41214 41377 414380
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
3088
6304
5137
Working
Unemployment Over Time
NC Department of Commerce
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 June
-
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
5.8 5.4 5.5
4.3
6.7 6.2 5.9
6.6
10.9 10.59.5 9.3
Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina
Chapel Hill Residents Employed
NC Department of Commerce
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 4142620,000
21,000
22,000
23,000
24,000
25,000
26,000
27,000
28,000
29,000
30,000
22,291
28,701
CH Employed
Orange County Residents Employment
NC Department of Commerce
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 4142660,000
62,000
64,000
66,000
68,000
70,000
72,000
62,438
70,377
Unemployed Individuals
NC Department of Commerce
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 414260
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2,807
4,794
1000
1841
Orange County Chapel Hill
Projected New Job Growth 2009-2014
Construction
Information
Prof/Scientific/Tech Services
Admin/Supp/Waste Mgmt Services
Educational Services
Health Care/Social Services
Arts/Entertainment/Rec
Accommodation/Food Services
Public Administration
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500
153
266
736
259
1,845
2,045
124
481
185
NC Department of Commerce
Incubation and Start UpOpened Facility Size Enterprises serving in
2013
Mid Way Business Center 2001 5,000 sq ft 11
Piedmont Food & Ag Processing Center Oct 2011 10,400 sq ft 37
The Cube (UNC- Campus Y) Feb 2012 1,500 sq ft 18
LaUNCh Chapel Hill Feb 2013 3,300 sq ft 16
EntreDot Feb 2013 4,000 sq ft 30
1789 May 2013 3,500 sq ft 15
TOTALS 27,700 sq ft 127 enterprises
Health and Safety
Property Crime Rate (per 100,000)
Federal Bureau of Investigation
1991
1992
1993
1995
1996
1997
1999
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2008
2009
2010
2011
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
7095.1
2627.7
8209.6
3540.1
Chapel HillCarrboro
Violent Crime Rate (per 100,000)
19911992
19931995
19961997
19992001
20022003
20042005
20062008
20092010
20110
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
706.4
182.9
817.6
262.2
Chapel HillCarrboro
Federal Bureau of Investigation
Violent Crime Rate (1991-2011)
19911992
19931995
19961997
19992001
20022003
20042005
20062008
20092010
20110
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
182.9262.2
416
356.1
Chapel Hill CarrboroCharlottesville Athens
Federal Bureau of Investigation
Property Crime Rate (1991-2011)
19911992
19931995
19961997
19992001
20022003
20042005
20062008
20092010
20110
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
2627.7
3540.13334.5
4160.9
Chapel Hill, NC Carrboro, NC
Charlottesville, VA Athens, GA
Federal Bureau of Investigation
Orange County Pregnancy Rate Girls Age 15-17 (per 1000)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
19.014.2
50.0
20.826.1
11.3
White Minority Total
Orange County Pregnancy Rate Girls Age 15-19 (per 1000)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
15.35.3
53.6
27.4
36.6
31.9
82.2
55.3
23.1
13
White Minority Af-Am Non-Hispanic Hispanic Total
Orange County Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
12.0
6.17.5
2.6
29.7
9.6
Orange County County: White County: Minority
Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
12.0
6.18.8 7.2
Orange County State
Orange County Leading Causes of Death per 1000 (2010)
Cancer
Disease
s of H
eart
Cerebrovascu
lar Dise
ase
Chronic L
ower Resp
irato
ry Disease
s
Alzheim
er's dise
ase
Pneumonia and Influenza
All Oth
er Unintentional In
juries
Suicide
Kidney Disease
Diabetes Mellit
us0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
200.0
Orange CountyNorth Carolina
Orange County Department of Health
Orange County Racial Disparity for Leading Causes of Death per 1000 (2010)
Cancer Diseases of Heart Cerebrovascular Disease
Chronic Lower Respiratory
Diseases
Diabetes Mellitus 0
50
100
150
200
250
Caucasian RateAfrican American, non-Hispanic Rate
Orange County Department of Health
Orange County Asthma in Hospital Discharges (per 1000)
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
20
40
60
80
100
120
140All Ages Ages (0-14)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
Air Quality:Orange County Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector
Orange County State of the Environment Report
Transportation, 49%
Residential; 19%
Commercial/Institutional,
29%
Solid Waste; 1% Industrial ; 2%
Percentage of Obese Adults by County
NC State Center for Health Statistics
Orange County
Alamance County
Durham County
Wake County
North Carolina
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%
20.1%
32.8%
18.6%
28.4%
29.1%
Percentage of Adults Who Smoke
NC State Center for Health Statistics
Orange County
Alamance County
Durham County
Wake County
North Carolina
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%
16.3%
29.0%
12.4%
14.1%
21.8%
Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
74.8
76.5
63.3
69
61.4
59.5
NC State Center for Health Statistics
Prostate Cancer Rate
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
153.7
168.7
141.6
166.9
141.8
178.8
NC State Center for Health Statistics
All Cancer Frequency
NC State Center for Health Statistics
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530
498.1
522.5
494.5
489.9
482.5
485.9
Female Breast Cancer Frequency
NC State Center for Health Statistics
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
145 150 155 160 165 170 175
155.9
160.2
168.9
161.6
172.3
163.8
Thirsty?
Water Sales and Accounts
Monthly Water & Sewer Bills
Education
School Funding Sources
CHCCS District
OCS District
State Average
$0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000
$4,971
$5,311
$5,355
$5,075
$3,128
$1,904
$503
$915
$1,158
State Funding
Local Funding
Federal Funding
NC Department of Public Instruction
91
NC Average
Chapel Hill
Monroe
Apex/Cary/
Raleigh
Wilmington
Asheville
Wilson
Concord
Jacksonvill
e
Huntersville
/Charlotte
Hickory
High Point
Faye
tteville
Burlington
Winston-Sa
lem
Gastonia
Kannapolis
Goldsboro
Rocky M
ount
Greenville
Salisb
ury
Durham
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000Local Government (County and City School District) Federal Government State Government
NC Department of Public Instruction
Per Pupil Funding by School DistrictChapel Hill ranks second to Asheville in per pupil funding
Percentage of Students At or Above Grade Level on ABCs End-of-Course Tests 2011-12
English I
Algebra I
Biology
70.0% 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0%
82.9%
78.7%
83.0%
93.4%
85.2%
87.5%
86.4%
79.0%
87.9%
OCS
CHCCS
NC
NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Students Who Passed Both the Reading and Math ABCs End of Grade Tests (2011-2012)
Chapel Hill Carrboro Schools
North Carolina
Orange County Schools
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%
52.6%
54.2%
54.0%
94.6%
84.1%
84.7%
Not Economically Disadvantaged Economically Disadvantaged
NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Students Who Passed Both the Reading and Math ABCs End of Grade Tests (2011-2012)
Economically Disadvantaged
Not Economically Disadvantaged
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%
52.6%
94.6%
54.2%
84.1%
54.0%
84.7%
Orange County Schools
North Carolina
Chapel Hill Carrboro Schools
NC Department of Public Instruction
High School Graduation Rates
N.C. Dept of Public Instruction
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-1060.0%
65.0%
70.0%
75.0%
80.0%
85.0%
90.0%
95.0%
100.0%
92.3% 93.5%
69.1%
87.4%
70.3%
83.1%
CHCCS 4-year CHCCS 5-year OCS 4-yearOCS 5-year NC 4-year NC 5-year
School District Dropout Rate
N.C. Dept of Public Instruction
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
5.20%
2.46%1.92%
1.02%
5.71%
3.01%
OCS Rate CHCCS Rate NC Rate
Black Student 4-year Graduation Rates
N.C. Dept of Public Instruction
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201350.0%
55.0%
60.0%
65.0%
70.0%
75.0%
80.0%
85.0%
90.0%
95.0%
100.0%
73.6%
81.2%
55.3%
80.5%
60.4%
77.5%
CHCCS OCS NC
Hispanic Student 4-Year Graduation Rates
N.C. Dept of Public Instruction
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201330
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
64.5%
77.6%
36.4%
79.7%
52.3%
75.3%
CHCCS OCS NC
Orange County Schools 4-Year Graduation Rate by Race
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201330.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
72.1%
83.3%
55.3%
80.5%
36.4%
79.7%
White Black Hispanic
NC Department of Public Instruction
Chapel Hill Carrboro City Schools 4-Year Graduation Rate By Race
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201330
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
94.6% 95%
73.6%81.2%
64.5%
77.6%
White Black Hispanic
NC Department of Public Instruction
Higher Education
Durham Tech Student Performance
Passing Rates on Licensure/Certification Exams for First Time Test Takers
Perfomance of College Transfer Students
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%
80%
83%
87%
88%
96%
97%
Durham Tech
System Average
Standard
Durham Tech 2011-12 Report to the Community
Durham Tech Student Improvement
Passing Rates on Licensure/Certification Exams for First Time Test Takers
Perfomance of College Transfer Students
Business/Industry Satisfaction with Services Provided
84% 86% 88% 90% 92% 94% 96% 98%
89%
89%
94%
96%
97%
97%
2012 Durham Tech
2011 Durham Tech
Durham Tech 2011-12 Report to the Community
UNC Chapel Hill’s 29,278 students (2012)
18,503
8,262
2,513
undergraduate
graduate
professional
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
UNC’s 11,900 Employees (Fall 2012)
3,608
8,292
Faculty (Total)
Non-Faculty Staff (Total)
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
UNC Chapel Hill Student Housing by Location (2012)
8,885 (30%)
18,301
(63%)
807 (3%)1,144 (4%)
Resident Student Housing
Off-Campus
Fraternity & Sorority
Granville Towers (UNC Affil-iated)
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
Percent of Undergrads Housed on Campus (Fall 2011)
Duke University
UNC- Chapel Hill
University of Virginia
Indiana University Bloomington
University of Michigan
University of California at Los Angeles
North Carolina State University
University Wisconsin at Madison
University of California at Berkeley
East Carolina University
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
84%55%
52%40%39%
36%34%
30%25%24%
Association of College and University Housing Officers International
State Appropriations (UNC Chapel Hill)
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
$0
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
$107,782,727
$543,291,852
$486,492,294
UNC Chapel Hill Annual Revenue and Endowment
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
$0
$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$3,000,000,000
$2.54 Billion
$486 Million
$2.16 Billion
TotalRevenues
StateAppropriations
Value ofEndowment
UNC Chapel Hill Annual Research Funding (1995-2012)
$0
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
$700,000,000
$800,000,000
$900,000,000
$275 Million
$767 Million
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
UNC Chapel Hill Gross Square Feet (2000-2012)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 201210,000,000
11,000,000
12,000,000
13,000,000
14,000,000
15,000,000
16,000,000
17,000,000
18,000,000
19,000,000
20,000,000
12,311,526
18,833,503
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
UNC Chapel Hill’s 56 Start-Up Companies
UNC Office of Technology Development
FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY130
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
3 3
1
6
1
7
1
5
7
9
13
UNC Chapel Hill Patents
UNC Office of Technology Development
FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY130
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
143
25
U.S. Patent Applications U.S. Patents Issued
Let’s Welcome Some Visitors
Anthony Carey, GM, Siena HotelChair, Chapel Hill-Orange County
Visitors Bureau
Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Hotel Occupancy
Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD52
54
56
58
60
62
64
66
68
70
72
69.9
67.165
58.9 59.6
64.165.4
67.3
Chapel Hill/ Orange Co Average Daily Rate
Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD90
95
100
105
110
115
120
$108.00
$116.37$114.77
$107.35
$102.12 $101.61$104.35
$106.71
Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Room Revenue (RevPAR, or revenue per available room, is a performance metric calculated by multiplying a hotel's average daily room rate (ADR) by its occupancy rate. )
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD
$63.3$60.9
$65.2
$68.3
$71.3
Chart Title
Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
Orange County Tourism Spending (millions)
NC Department of Commerce
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
$108.51
$152.22 $161.60
2012 Taxes Generated by Tourists (in Millions)
• In 2012, visitors to Orange County generated 11.85 million in State and Local Taxes (including sales, lodging, food & beverage, gas and other)
Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
Local State$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
$8.00
$9.00
$3.31 Million
$8.54 Million
State and Local Tax Revenue from Travel to Orange County (millions)
NC Department of Commerce
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
$10
$11
$12
$13
$11.85 Million
$4.5 Million
Orange County Tourism Related Jobs
20122011
20102009
20082007
20062005
20042003
20022001
20001999
19981997
19961995
19941993
19921991
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1,900
1,650
1,280
Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
Marketing Orange County
As seen in The New Yorker As Seen in Conde Nast Traveler
Marketing Orange County
As seen in Our State Magazine As seen in Wired magazine
Taxes and Revenue
Percent of Orange County Residential vs Commercial Property
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
86.0% 85.9% 86.1% 86.8% 87.2% 86.8%
14.0% 14.1% 13.9% 13.2% 12.8% 13.2%
Residental + Apartments Commercial
Orange County Tax Administration
126
Chapel
Hill
Monro
e
Salisb
ury
Goldsboro
Apex
Hickory
Kannap
olis
Huntersv
ille
Wilso
n
Burlingto
n
Rocky M
ount
Jacks
onville
Gasto
nia
Concord
Ashev
ille
Greenvil
le
High Point
Wilm
ington
Cary
Fayett
eville
Durham
Winsto
n-Salem
Greensb
oro
Raleigh
Charlotte
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.6%
1.8%
Special School District Tax City or Town Tax County Tax
Composition of Property Tax Rates
NC Department of Revenue
Orange County Taxable Sales (Millions)
NC Department of Revenue
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
2008-2009
2009-2010
2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013
$500,000,000.00
$600,000,000.00
$700,000,000.00
$800,000,000.00
$900,000,000.00
$1,000,000,000.00
$1,100,000,000.00
$1,200,000,000.00
$1,300,000,000.00
907.5 million
1.175 Billion
Orange Co. Gross Sales Tax Collections
NC Department of Revenue
2000-2001
2001-2002
2002-2003
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
2008-2009
2009-2010
2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013
$0
$10,000,000
$20,000,000
$30,000,000
$40,000,000
$50,000,000
$60,000,000
$32.47 Million
$56.14 Million
Sales Tax Per Capita
2011201020092008200720062005$100.00
$120.00
$140.00
$160.00
$180.00
$200.00
$220.00
$240.00
$260.00
$112.84
$170.35
$123.37
$170.72
$123.36
$184.80
$165.65
$197.87
ORANGE ALAMANCE CHATHAM DURHAM
John Locke Foundation
2011 Per Capita Income by County
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
Oran
geOn
slow
Cum
berla
ndCu
rritu
ckDu
rham
Moo
reGu
ilfor
d
Polk
Crav
enNo
rth
Caro
lina
Hend
erso
nUn
ion
Bunc
ombe
John
ston
Nash
Brun
swick
Gast
onDa
vids
on Lee
Beau
fort
Wilk
esAl
aman
ceW
ayne
Clev
elan
dRo
ckin
gham
Mar
tinM
acon
Perq
uim
ans
Burk
eSu
rry
Row
anFr
ankl
inVa
nce
Sam
pson
Rand
olph
Berti
eBl
aden
Pasq
uota
nkM
adiso
nAs
heJa
ckso
nDu
plin
Clay
Mitc
hell
Edge
com
beGa
tes
Gree
neCh
erok
eeTy
rrel
lW
arre
nAn
son
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
#1 $48,683 - Orange#2 $48,191 - Chatham
#6 $42,555 Wake#9 $38,654 - Durham
$36,028 NC
Sales Tax Per Capita Rankings201120102008200720062005
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
65
76
54
73
5554
17
39
ORANGE
ALAMANCE
CHATHAM
DURHAM
John Locke Foundation
2012 Retail Demand vs Retail Sales
Orange County Chatham Durham Alamance Johnston$0
$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$3,000,000,000
$3,500,000,000
$1.68 Billion
$769 Million
$3 Billion
$1.38 Billion
$1.67 Billion
$950 Million
$533 Million
$2.6 Billion
$1.55 Billion
$1.56 Billion
2012 Total Retail Demand 2012 Total Retail Sales
NC Department of Commerce
2012 Retail Gap
Orange County
Chatham Durham Alamance Johnston
($200,000,000)
($100,000,000)
$0
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
$700,000,000
$800,000,000 $728 Million
$236 Million
$376 Million
($154 Million)
$60 Million
NC Department of Commerce
2012 Retail Gap (Millions)
General Merchandise Stores
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Food and Beverage Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Gasoline Stations
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
($250.0) ($200.0) ($150.0) ($100.0) ($50.0) $0.0 $50.0 $100.0 $150.0
Chatham AlamanceOrange
NC Department of Commerce
Some takeaways…• We have a strong, well-educated work force and an
increasingly diverse population.• Local municipalities share attributes but have also
have differences.• We are growing and will grow, but slower than our
neighbors as we take a small portion of regional growth and state population growth.
• We have a large disparity in wealth and continue to see increases in children in poverty
Some takeaways…• Growth in Chapel Hill and Orange County employed
residents and growth in retail sales indicate economic improvement.
• A reliable, high quality water system is expensive• Housing prices have held steady, are ahead of our
peers, but price per square foot is declining.• The rental market is growing and lack of supply is
driving rates up quickly
Some takeaways…• Fewer Orange County residents are working in the county
with in and out commute both increasing• Our two school districts continue to out perform their peers
and state averages• Minority student achievement is on the rise, specifically in
Orange County Schools• Tourism and visitor spending are strong and growing .• Orange County per capita income is the highest and
unemployment is the lowest in the state, but per capita retails sales continues to lag substantially as the retail gap grows
Some takeaways…
• Wealth migration has negative impact on Orange County, but a positive impact on our neighbors
• UNC and UNC Hospitals are key to our economy and their decline in state funding can have big negative impacts.
• Our economy and community are resilient. We were late into the recession and first out.
Connect With Us• Facebook.com/ChapelHillCarrboroChamber
• Twitter: @CarolinaChamber• Flickr.com/photos/carolinachamber
• LinkedIn: Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber group• SlideShare: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber
• www.carolinachamber.org
slideshare.net/carolinachamber
Check the Chamber’s SlideShare account for the entire presentation.
Presenting Sponsor
slideshare.net/carolinachamber
Check the Chamber’s SlideShare account for the entire presentation.
Table Sponsors
• Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau• Town of Carrboro• The Home Team• Orange County Economic
Development
Community Champions
Community Investor
Platinum Master Sponsors
Gold Master Sponsors
Gold Master Sponsors