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April 22, 200811
Georgia – On the Move
Caucasus Research Resource Centers&
International School of Economics at TSU
Robert Tchaidze, ISET & IMFTina Zurabishvili, CRRC & Telavi State University
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April 22, 20082
Why Georgia?
Socially minded reforms top new government agenda; Rose Revolution & Russian embargo changing
migration trends with important impacts and implications for development;
Economic and business climate reforms and high growth create prospects for return migration and immigration;
IDPs and ethnic minority communities create different patterns within the same country;
Only descriptive research with limited policy implications for migration and development carried out.
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April 22, 200833
Migration Dynamics in Georgia
Post-soviet reorganization of industrial geography and the resulting movement of labor;
The effect of conflicts in the region on movement of people;
The “westward” reorientation of emigration is believed to be changing gender and human capital composition of migrants;
Radical current reformation of the economic, legal and political life and the resulting change in migration flows.
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April 22, 200844
Policies
Pull Factors European Neighborhood Policy: return and readmission
agreements.Push Factors Re-conceptualization of social welfare net, active labor
market policies; Development of a regional policy: minimizing push factors in
vulnerable communities.Other factors Banking and taxation policies to increase legal flow of
remittances; Tax breaks for return migrants.
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April 22, 200855
Impact
Economic: GDP structure; remittances; brain drain/gain; real
estate; rural-urban composition; anything else? Social:
Ethnic map being re-drawn; Gender roles being re-formulated; Family structures being re-organized; Georgian way of life being re-defined;Anything else?
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April 22, 20086
Analyzing Migration Impacts, Causality
Hard to make causality claims.
Additional difficulty posed by self-selection into migration (endogeneity problem).
Econometric “toolbox” for dealing with causality issues.
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April 22, 20087
Why us?
Interdisciplinary team of sociologists, economists and public policy analysts;
Integrated in international network of scholars;
Dedicated to high quality and new techniques;
Experience in fieldwork; Sponsor and implement migration research
in the region; Will do our own and support more research
on topics not covered by GDN/ippr.
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April 22, 20088
Timetable
Stakeholder interviews – May 2008 onwards
Household survey – Fall 2008 Very preliminary results and the DOTM
conference – January 2009 Empirical evaluations, policy
recommendations – 2009 The DOTM conference, conclusions,
datasets go public – January 2010
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April 22, 20089
Stakeholder Interviews
In-depth interviews with experts in the field of migration. The experts will represent government
institutions, international organizations, private financial institutions, NGOs.
Interviews to be conducted starting from May, 2008.
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April 22, 200810
Major issues:
Migration flows; Brain drain/gain; Remittances; Emigrants’ investments; Migration policy; Other issues you are interested in.
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April 22, 200811
Household survey
Based on experts’ assessments, regions of the country will be selected; in each of these regions, a sample of households will be drawn which gives us a representative sample of households with:
Returned migrants; Migrants who are still abroad; Households with no migrants;
To be conducted in September-October, 2008.
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April 22, 200812
Major goals:
Collecting countrywide data on the experiences of the households affected by migration and compare to other households without migrants.
What other questions do you want to ask?
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April 22, 200813
More data sources:
World Bank Remittances and Migration Survey;
Georgia Integrated Household Survey (IHS);
CRRC Data Initiative 2007; National Bank of Georgia, official remittance
data; OSCE Use of Remittances Survey; ILO Migration Survey. Other sources that you know of?
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April 22, 200814
Questions? Suggestions? Comments? Recommendations?