Download - Bay Area Transportation - California
BayAreaTransportation:WhereWe’veBeen,WhereWe’reGoing
Assembly Select Committee
Steve HemingerExecutive Director
Metropolitan Transportation Commission
August 21, 2015
AnHistoricChapter…
2
…IsComingtoaClose
3
So,WhatShallWeDoforanEncore?
4
GovernorBrown’sCalltoAction–EatYourPeas!
“We must also deal with longstanding infrastructure challenges. We are finally grappling with the long-term sustainability of our water supply… equally important is having the roads, highways and bridges in good enough shape to get people and commerce to where they need to go. It is estimated that our state has accumulated $59 billion in needed upkeep and maintenance. Each year, we fall further and further behind and we must do something about it.”
— Governor Edmund G. Brown Jr. 2015 State of the State Address 5
FixItFirstPlan Bay Area Investments by Function
292 Billion*
6
$20BillioninPotholes
7
PenniesforPotholes?
L.A.County
SanDiego/Orange
OtherSouthern
CA
CentralValley
SFBayArea
OtherNorthern
CATOTAL
Support 52% 39% 40% 41% 68% 45% 49%
Oppose 44% 56% 60% 59% 29% 55% 48%Don'tKnow 4% 5% 0% 0% 3% 0% 3%
Source:FieldPollFebruary2015
WouldYouSupportorOpposea10‐CentPer‐GallonIncreaseintheStateGasTaxWithMoneyUsedtoImproveRoadsandHighways?
8
$20BillioninTransitRepairs
9
TransitCoreCapacity
• Focused on modernizing SFMTA, BART, AC Transit fleets
• Over 80 percent of all Bay Area riders, over 75 percent of minority and low-income riders
• Leverage federal funds with state, regional and local money
• Requires transit agencies to meet performance objectives, improve cost-effectiveness
Transit Core Capacity Challenge Grant
Funding Plan
$7.5billionTransitCoreCapacityChallengeGrantProgram
FederalFormula44%
Regional7%
Cap&Trade12%
FederalDiscretionary2%
Local35%
10
GrowingPains,Too
11
BayAreaRanks#3forCongestedDelay
3 6
7 104
1
9
8
2
5
Delay from Congestion
Source: Texas Transportation Institute, 2011; MTC Vital Signs, 2015
1. LosAngeles2. Houston3. BayArea4. NewYork5. Dallas6. WashingtonDC7. Chicago8. Atlanta9. Miami10.Philadelphia
12
Source: INRIX/Iteris/MTC, 2013
13
1 10
4 29
8
6
5
3
7
But#1inTravelTimeReliability:
Source: Texas Transportation Institute, 2011
14
Investment StrategyFocusedGrowth
• Priority Development Areas: • 3% of region’s land• 77% new homes• 63% new jobs
• All growth within existing urban growth boundaries/limit lines
15
BettingonTransit
Plan Bay Area Investments by Mode$292 Billion
37%Road and
Bridge63%
Transit
16
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012
Per
cent
Cha
nge
in P
er-C
apita
Tra
nsit
Boa
rdin
gs Percent Change in Per-Capita Transit Boardings by Operator Since 1991
Source: FTA NTD, 2012
AC TransitVTA
SamTransGolden Gate
Muni
Baby Bullet service initiated
GOODNEWS:WeKnowHowtoGrowTransitRidership
17
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012
New York
WashingtonChicago
Philadelphia
Bay Area
Atlanta
Los Angeles
Miami
Houston
Dallas
Source: FTA NTD, 2012
BADNEWS:BayAreaLaggingItsMetroPeers
Percent Change in Per Capita Transit Boardings by Metro Area Since 1991
Per
cent
Cha
nge
in P
er-C
apita
Tra
nsit
Boa
rdin
gs
18
GettingaHandleonCost
%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Operating Cost (Inflation-Adjusted) Revenue Vehicle Hours Unlinked Passenger Trips
Bay Area Large Operators: Percent Change in Cost and Performance Indicators (1997-2008)
34%
15%
7%
Source: National Transit Database, “Big 7” only, excludes ferry, cable car and paratransit
0
19
PerformanceTargets– Big7Operators
• Reduce “real” operating cost per service hour, cost per passenger or cost per passenger mile by 5% by 2017.
• Financial targets are set compared to the highest cost per hour experienced by each agency between 2008 and 2011.
• Based on evaluation and possible savings in areas including: fringe benefits, work rules and administrative costs.
• Existing and new operating and capital funds administered by MTC can be linked to progress towards target.
20
HighSpeedRail
• Statewide Cap & Trade program includes $250 million in 2014-15 and a 25% share of future funding
• Region has committed to funding the $1.8 billion CaltrainElectrification program which includes funding from state High Speed Rail bonds
• Two Grand Centrals: Transbay and Diridon.
21
CommuteModeChoice:Localvariationbyemploymentcenter
35%
77%
63%
81%
73%
10%
11%
10%
11%
11%
37%
3%
14%
6%
7%
4%
5%
4%
6%
SAN FRANCISCO
SAN JOSE
OAKLAND
SANTA CLARA
PALO ALTO
Drive Alone Carpool Public Transit Walk Bike Other Telecommute
Source: American Community Survey, 2013s
22
ExpressLanes–Revenueis Reform
23
ManagingCongestion
Work Zones15%
Bad Weather
10%
Bottlenecks 50%
Causes of Congestion
Traffic Incidents25%
Congestion Mitigation:Active Operational Management
and Traveler Information
Transportation Management
System
Columbus Day Initiative
Next Gen511
Next GenRideshare
24
Pursue Additional Operational Strategies
“Columbus Day Initiative”
Adaptive Ramp Metering
Queue Warning
Hard ShoulderRunning
Adaptive Traffic Signalsw/Transit Signal Priority
Connected Vehicles/Corridors
HighwaySignage
Detection/MeteringSystems
TransportationManagement
Center
CommunicationInfrastructure
HighwayCameras
IncidentManagement
ManagingCongestion
Maintain and Operate Exiting Investments
“Transportation Management Systems”
25
AnnualCountySTIPRevenuesDwarfedbySalesTaxRevenues
18
163
68
80
21
68
112
9
26
12
11
4
15
22
$- $25 $50 $75 $100 $125 $150 $175
Sonoma
Santa Clara
San Mateo
San Francisco
Marin
Contra Costa
Alameda
Millions
County STIP Revenues vs. Sales Tax Revenues
Six-year average annual county share of the State Transportation Improvement Program (STIP)FY12 local transportation sales tax revenues
26
TheBayArea’sSeven‐BridgeSystemBenicia-Martinez BridgeOpened 1962 Widened 1991Second span opened in 2007
San Mateo-Hayward BridgeOpened 1929Replaced 1967Widened 2003
San Francisco-Oakland Bay Bridge
Opened 1936
New East Span opened September 2013
Richmond-San Rafael Bridge
Opened 1956
Dumbarton Bridge
Opened 1927 Replaced 1984
Antioch BridgeOpened 1926Replaced 1978
Carquinez BridgeOpened 1927, 1958 and 2003
27
ElectionResults:RegionalMeasures1and2
Regional Measure1(1988)
Regional Measure2(2004)
Yes No Yes NoAlameda 71% 29% 56% 44%ContraCosta 68% 32% 51% 49%Marin 76% 24% 64% 36%SanFrancisco 69% 31% 69% 31%SanMateo 74% 26% 55% 45%SantaClara 71% 29% 60% 40%Solano 58% 42% 41% 59%TOTAL 70% 30% 57% 43%
28
TollBridgeMeasuresDeliverBigReturns
Source: FTA NTD, 2012
29
AnyoneforRegionalMeasure3?
30