Download - Cach Nhin Moi Ve PTKTbuoi 1-2010
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Ch n ht n gy 09/05/2010
Bui 1
Cch nhn mi v PTKT
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Thi imtrng cy tnht l 20nm trcv tt th 2l hm nay
10,000h
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Vn-index 10 nm nhn li
S&D t chc kha u tin khiindex hn 300 im
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Mc tiu kha hc ca anh/ch
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Phn I
Tng quan v kha to
Tm hiu v tm hiu v PTKT v u tchng khon
Mt vi cch nhn mv u t
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Tngquan v kha o to Phn I
Hiu PTKT v dng cng ccandlestick phn on tm lTT v hnhng ca NT ln, qua tm kimcc khu vc giao dch c li nht.
Phn IICu trc th trngtheo gc nhn ca
PTKT Xu hng H tr/Khng c M hnhPTKT
Phn IIICc yu t quyt nhPP u t thnhcng i vi cc NT ngn hn
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thPTKT tiu biu
Din bin giao dch hng ngyCandle Stick(nn)
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PTKT khc vi u t
Phn tch th va ra quyt nhu t?
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U T L CHI VI CI KHNG CHC CHN NG TKIM PHNG PHP C TH CHIN THNG TH TRNGTUYT I.
TRONG TH TRNG C S DNG N BY TNH KHNGCHC CNG C Y LN RT CAO.
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PHN TCH K THUT L G?
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nh ngha
PTKT l bn ca thtrng trongqu kh v
hin ti.Ri ro v linhun catng lai l
iu b n
VN-INDEX
Bn c tham gia chuybay t HN-HCM kh
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Cc gi nh
Mi thngtin u c phn nh vo Gi Tin cng b, Tin n, Giao dch nigin
Tm l NT
Hnh ng ca NT khi x l thngtinnhn c
Gi khng dch chuyn ngu nhin mchuyn ng c hng.
Lch s lp li (Hnh thnh cc m hnhPTKT m nguyn nhn l do hnh vi ca
NT s lp li khi gp tnh hung tngt).
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Dnh cho NT
M t c im tm l ca bnthn trong th trng hin ti?
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M t c im tm l ca thtrng?
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Phn II
Cc mc gi quan tr Phng php tip cn
th nn (candle stic
ng dng trong phnon tm l v hnhng ca th trng
ng dng trong u t
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Gi trong giao dch hng ngy
C rt nhiu mc gi trong 1 phin giao dchnhng c 4 mc gi quan trng nht:
M ca
Cao nht
Thp nht
ng ca Biu no th hin c c 4 mc gi
Bar: Phng ty
Candle Stick: Nht bn(Phng ng)
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M-ng ca M ca:
L mc gi th trng phn ng vi din bin giao dchtrc cng vi thng tin mi
Giao dch lc m ca l giao dch c tc ng mnh tidin bin tm l trong phin nn i khi NT ln thngtc ng gy hiu ng tm l cho NT nh l.
ng ca Gi duy nht c cng chng ghi nh: Tivi, bo ch, gi
ng ca thng gn vi gi giao dch trung bnh trongphin
NT nhiu kinh nghim thng giao dch v cui c
thi gian c lng cung-cu trong phin. Mt s NT vn li dng phin khp lnh cui cng
ko-y gi
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Cao nht-Thp nht
Cao nht Th hin mc hng phn nht ca ngi mua trong
ngy
Mc gi khng c trong rt ngn hn th hin tim nng
ngi bn ti mc gi cao. Thp nht
Mc hong s nht ca ngi bn trong ngy
Mc gi h tr rt ngn hn th hin tim nng ca ng
mua ti mc gi thp
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Quan im
C
CN
TNMC
Mc gi no quan trngnht?
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PHNG PHP TIP CN THNN (CANDLE STICK)
c din bin trong phin thng qua th nn
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Candle Stick
Bng(Ru): Th hin mc gi Cnht v Thp nht
Thn nn: Biu hin bng hnhnht n th hin mc gi ngv M ca C>MC: HCN rng
C
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Nn c hnh thnh ntn?
Vnindex 7.5.2010
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Cc dng Candle sticks
C bao nhiu dng din btrong phin th c by nh
dng nn
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Cc loi nn ca ACB
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Phng php nghin cuTTCK l cuc chin gia
hai phe: MUA&BN
Nhm nhng ngi mua:ng v quan im gitng
Nhm nhng ngi bn:ng v quan im gigim
S thay i ca gi phthuc vo chnh lch ca
2 phe ny(cung-cu)
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BULL&BEAR
Khng quan trng ngi mua l t chc, cnhn, NT ln hay nh.
Khng quan trng thng tin tc ng tt hayxu
Tt c mun kim tm li nhun trong th
trng th buc phi hnh ng MUA hocBN
Khi tham gia vo qu trnh MUA-BNth s nh hng ti gi v 4 mc gi th hins nh hng ln nht ca cuc chin cung cul: CN
-TN-MC-C
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c din bin trong phin
Thn nn Thn nn rng: (C>MC) ngi
mua chim u th. di thnnn cng di th lc mua cngmnh
Thn c: (C
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c din bin trong phin
Bng(ru) Bng trn: (CN so vi C hoc MC)
th hin p lc bn ln gi cao. di bng cng di th p lc bn cng
mnh. Bng di:(TN so vi C hoc MC)
th hin p lc mua gi thp. di bng cng di th p lc mua
cng mnh.
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c din bin trong phin c phiu sa
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Tm l v hnh ng NT ln Bin dao ng trong phin:
(CN-TN). S co dn ca tm l TT. Bin
ny cng rng th mc bt ntrong tm l TT cng cao
S h tr hoc thoi lui ca NTln Thng BN cc mc gi caonht Thng MUA cc mc gi thp
nht Giao dch t b nh hng bi tm
l v c kh nng chi phi gi
NT ln MUA
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iu g s xy ra?
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S tng quan vi cc nn khc
Di quan trng hn ngn Thn di: ch vai tr gi C,MC
Ru di: ch vai tr ca gi CN,TN
Mu sc nn(so snh gi ng ca) Xanh(C tng so vi phin trc): Pha
MUA ang tip tc chim u th (C gim so vi phin trc): Pha Bn
ang nm quyn kim sot
Quan trng nht l s khc bit ca nn trongtng th cc nn khc=> N cho thy s thay
i ng k trong quan im ca th trng
Nn khc b
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ng dng trong u t Tm l th trng c n nh khng?
Ngi MUA hay BN ang kim sot thtrng, mc mnhhay yu?
S nhit tnh ca ngimua/bn tnghay gim?
NT ln angtham gia bnmua haybn? C s thay i trong giao dch hay khng? C
nn l xut hin khng?
Ra quyt nh u t ngn hn: ng cngpha vi NT ln
Pht hin cc cphiu b lm gil chuyn khnqu kh, bi v
khi c tc ngc ch th th nn s th
hin s sai lchca cung-cu.
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th ny c g c bit
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HY C BO CO THNGNIN V HY BT U VI CCBO CO T VN A
W.BUFFET
CCH TT NHT HC V U TTHNH CNG THEO PTKT L KHNGNGNG XEM TH HNG NGY, XEMCNG NHIU CNG TT, NH CNG NHIUCNG TTWWW.SNDC.COM.VN
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Mt vi giao dch gn nht bn
PTKT
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PVA
S
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SHN
DQC
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DQC
TMX
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TMX
Ph III
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Phn III Luyn tp
Tnh khng chc chn Cch c th nn Tm l th trng
Hnh ng NT ln S khc bit ca nntrong tng th
u t cng hng vNT ln
PVF
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PVF
TS4
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TS4
VSP
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VSP
PVA
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PVA
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CCH NHN MI V PTKTwww.sndc.com.vn