CBRFC Water Supply Verification

Outline

• Look back at 2010• 10/90 verification• Fall webinar

5795 KAF73% avg

488 KAF57% avg

2175 KAF90% avg

654 KAF83% avg

2010 Verification Webinar

• Lots more detail on 2010 forecasts• Look ahead to 2011• Tentative date: 10am MT Nov 9

Climate Outlook: La Nina

During the last four weeks, equatorial SSTs were above-average across the western Pacific, Indian, and Atlantic Oceans. Equatorial SSTs were below-average across the central and eastern Pacific, far eastern Atlantic, and far western Indian Ocean.

Niño Region SST Departures (oC) Recent Evolution

The latest weekly SST departures are:

Niño 4 -0.9ºC

Niño 3.4 -1.1ºC

Niño 3 -0.9ºC

Niño 1+2 -1.4ºC