![Page 1: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Demographic UpdateOSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, ORJune 14, 2013
Charles RynersonCensus State Data Center CoordinatorPopulation Research CenterCollege of Urban and Public Affairs
![Page 2: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
April 1, 2010 U.S. Resident Population: 308,745,538
![Page 3: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
![Page 4: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
282310
341
374
406
439
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Popu
latio
n (M
illio
ns)
Year (July 1)
U.S. Population Projection (population in millions)(Source: Census Bureau, 2008)
![Page 5: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
6.0
8.7
-5.2
2.6
4.6
8.0
-5.0
1.6
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
Change Births Deaths Net International Migration
Mill
ions
Components of U.S. Population Change, 2010 to 2012(population change in millions)
2008 Census Bureau Projections
Latest Census Bureau Estimates
![Page 6: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
282310
341
374
406
439
282309
334358
380400
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Popu
latio
n (M
illio
ns)
Year (July 1)
U.S. Population Projection (population in millions)(Source: Census Bureau, 2008 and 2012)
2008 Forecast
2012 Forecast
![Page 7: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
1.8
3.8
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
1960-65 1965-70 1970-75 1975-80 1980-85 1985-90 1990-95 1995-00 2000-05 2005-10
Tota
l Pop
ulati
on (m
illio
ns)
Five
Yea
r Gro
wth
Period (July 1 PRC Estimates)
Oregon Population Growth, 1960 to 2010
Five Year Growth
Total Population
![Page 8: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
-100,000
-50,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
1960-65 1965-70 1970-75 1975-80 1980-85 1985-90 1990-95 1995-00 2000-05 2005-10
5 Ye
ar G
row
th
Period (July 1 PRC Estimates)
Components of Oregon Population Growth, 1960 to 2010
Net Migration
Natural Increase
![Page 9: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
26,110
3,883,735
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8
3.9
4.0
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Tota
l Pop
ulati
on (m
illio
ns)
Annu
al G
row
th
Year Ending (July 1 PRC Estimates)
Oregon Population Growth, 2000 to 2012
Annual Growth
Total Population
![Page 10: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Annu
al G
row
th
Year Ending (July 1 PRC Estimates)
Components of Oregon Population Growth, 2000 to 2012
Net Migration
Natural Increase
![Page 11: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
-50,000
-30,000
-10,000
10,000
30,000
50,000
70,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Chan
ge in
Non
farm
Em
ploy
men
t
Annu
al G
row
th d
ue to
Net
Mig
ratio
n
Year Ending (July 1 PRC Estimates)
Oregon Net Migration and Employment, 2000 to 2012
Net Migration (year ending in July)
Job Loss
Change in Nonfarm Employment (July-June average)
![Page 12: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
< 5 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85+
Tota
l Pop
ulati
on
Age Group in 2010
Population by Age GroupState of Oregon, 2010
![Page 13: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
< 5 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85+
Tota
l Pop
ulati
on
Age Group in 2010
Population by Race/Ethnicity and AgeState of Oregon, 2010
all other
non-Hispanic White
![Page 14: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
2.00
2.20
2.40
2.60
2.80
3.00
3.20
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Pers
ons p
er H
ouse
hold
Persons per Household, 1960-2010
State of OregonCity of Portland City of EugeneCity of Salem
![Page 15: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Num
ber
of H
ouse
hold
sHouseholds by Type
State of Oregon
Married with Children
Other Family Households
Living Alone
Other Nonfamily Households
![Page 16: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Perc
ent o
f Hou
seho
lds
Husband-Wife Families With Children under 18as a Share of all Households, 1960-2010
State of Oregon
City of Portland
City of Eugene
City of Salem
![Page 17: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
55.0%
60.0%
65.0%
70.0%
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Perc
ent o
f Hou
seho
lds
Ow
ner-
Occ
upie
dHomeownership, 1960-2010
State of Oregon City of Portland City of Eugene City of Salem
![Page 18: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
56.0%
58.0%
60.0%
62.0%
64.0%
66.0%
68.0%
70.0%
72.0%
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Perc
ent o
f Hou
seho
lds
Ow
ner-
Occ
upie
dHomeownership, 1960-2010
State of Oregon U.S.
![Page 19: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010*
Shar
e of
Wor
kers
Age
16+
Wor
king
at H
ome
Share Working at Home, 1960-2010
State of OregonCity of PortlandCity of EugeneCity of Salem
*2008-2010 3 year American Community Survey Estimates
![Page 20: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010*
Num
ber o
f Wor
kers
Workers Age 16+ Working at Home, 1960-2010, State of Oregon
*2008-2010 3 year American Community Survey Estimates
![Page 21: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2012/03/15/the-boomerang-generation/
Multigenerational Households
![Page 22: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
1 person16%
2 persons31%
3+ persons53%
Share of Households by Size, 1960State of Oregon
![Page 23: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
1 person19%
2 persons33%
3+ persons48%
Share of Households by Size, 1970State of Oregon
![Page 24: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
1 person23%
2 persons35%
3+ persons42%
Share of Households by Size, 1980State of Oregon
![Page 25: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
1 person25%
2 persons36%
3+ persons39%
Share of Households by Size, 1990State of Oregon
![Page 26: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
1 person26%
2 persons36%
3+ persons38%
Share of Households by Size, 2000State of Oregon
![Page 27: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
1 person27%
2 persons36%
3+ persons37%
Share of Households by Size, 2010State of Oregon
![Page 28: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
1 person28%
2+ persons72%
Share of Households by Size, 2020State of Oregon
![Page 29: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
88,197 38,695
-30,000
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
2000-2007 2007-2011
Chan
ge in
Num
ber o
f Hou
seho
lds
Portland Metro Area Household Growth, 2000 to 2011
all households
owner-occupied
renter-occupied
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census Summary File 1; 2007 and 2011 American Community Survey 1-year estimates.I-beam lines indicate margins of sampling error at the 90% confidence level.
Portland State University,Population Research Center
www.pdx.edu/prc
![Page 30: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
73,868 -12,69314,329 51,388
-30,000
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
2000-2007 2007-2011
Chan
ge in
Num
ber o
f Hou
seho
lds
Portland Metro Area Household Growth by Owner/Renter, 2000 to 2011
all households
owner-occupied
renter-occupied
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census Summary File 1; 2007 and 2011 American Community Survey 1-year estimates.I-beam lines indicate margins of sampling error at the 90% confidence level.
Portland State University,Population Research Center
www.pdx.edu/prc
![Page 31: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Central City Trends
![Page 32: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
24,417
24,062
23,190
22,154
21,63921,420
21,231
21,573
22,053
22,63022,868
23,346
23,751
19,000
20,000
21,000
22,000
23,000
24,000
25,000
2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
PPS Elementary (K-5th) Enrollment, 2000-01 to 2012-13
![Page 33: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
0.60
0.62
0.64
0.66
0.68
0.70
0.72
0.74
0.76
0.78
Ratio
of K
inde
rgar
ten
to B
irths
School Year
Ratio of PPS Kindergarten Enrollment to Birth Cohorts
Fall 2012 K ratio toSep '06 - Aug '07 PPS Births
Fall 1995 K ratio toSep '89 - Aug '90 PPS Births
Fall 2006 K ratio toSep 2000 - Aug '01 PPS Births
![Page 34: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
5796
4631
3771
5503
4752
4073
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
1993-94 Births Fall 1999 Age 5 Fall 1999 Kindergarten
2003-04 Births Fall 2009 Age 5 Fall 2009 Kindergarten
Estimated Births, Population Age 5, and Historic Kindergarten EnrollmentPortland Public Schools
20.1% net out-migration birth to age 5
13.6% net out-migration birth to age 5
81.4% capture rate
85.7% capture rate
![Page 35: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
36%
63%
34%
44%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Shar
e of
All
Birt
hs
Calendar Year
Share of All Births to Women Age 30 and older, 1990-2010Portland Public Schools and Suburbs*
PPS
Suburbs
*"Suburbs" depicted in this chart include Clackamas, Multnomah, and Washington counties outside of Portland Public Schools boundary.
![Page 36: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
28.5% 29.3%34.2%
49.8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
U.S.A. Oregon Portland MSA Portland Public Schools
Percent Age 25+ With a Bachelor's Degree or Higher, 2011
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey 1-year estimates.I-beam lines indicate margins of sampling error at the 90% confidence level.
Portland State University,Population Research Center
www.pdx.edu/prc
![Page 37: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
10.6% 10.9%12.8%
20.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
U.S.A. Oregon Portland MSA Portland Public Schools
Percent Age 25+ With a Graduate or Professional Degree, 2011
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey 1-year estimates.I-beam lines indicate margins of sampling error at the 90% confidence level.
Portland State University,Population Research Center
www.pdx.edu/prc
![Page 38: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
The Ramona Apartments: 138 Family-Friendly Units in the Pearl
![Page 39: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
3121 ÷
![Page 40: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
3339 SE Division: 37 Studios and One BRs; no Parking
![Page 41: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
Resources for Data Users
• census.gov - American FactFinder
• pdx.edu/prc - Oregon Census State
Data Center
• portlandpulse.org
![Page 42: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
![Page 43: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
![Page 44: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
![Page 45: Demographic Update OSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, OR June 14, 2013](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062810/56815b4a550346895dc92b45/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
Demographic UpdateOSCPA Real Estate Conference, Portland, ORJune 14, 2013
Charles RynersonCensus State Data Center CoordinatorPopulation Research CenterCollege of Urban and Public Affairs