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Department of Employment, Economic Development and Innovation
Global Issues for Fisheries and Aquaculture
Jim Groves
General Manager, Economic Policy
Queensland Dept Employment, Economic Development & Innovation
Prawn & Barramundi Conference
3 August 2011
Views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily of the Queensland Government
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CONSUMPTION GROWING
• 3.5 % pa, 1.8 % pa per capita
• quality, tasty, nutritious, healthy
Queensland Fisheries Strategy 2009-2014 available at http://www.fisheries.qld.gov.au
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WILL CONTINUE TO GROW
2 % pa = per capita consumption doubling by 2050
= per capita consumption in Spain and Thailand today
= 190% increase in total consumption by 2050Queensland Fisheries Strategy 2009-2014 available at http://www.fisheries.qld.gov.au
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WON’T COME FROM WILD
• Wild catch peaked in mid-1990s
• Now falling as sustainability limits reached
AND management improvesQueensland Fisheries Strategy 2009-2014 available at http://www.fisheries.qld.gov.au
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DEPENDING ON MANAGEMENT
19502010 2050
• Present = sustainability problems slowly addressed
• Precautionary = abuse of precautionary principle
• Optimal = rebuild stocks to maximise sustainable yield
Optimal
Present
Precautionary
Queensland Fisheries Strategy 2009-2014 available at http://www.fisheries.qld.gov.au
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THE POLICY AGENDA
• Gordon-Schaefer model suggests need to:
• avoid over-fishing AND under-fishing
• enhance value
• minimise costs – esp management costs
Queensland Fisheries Strategy 2009-2014 available at http://www.fisheries.qld.gov.au
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AQUACULTURE THE FUTURE
• Total consumption up 2.75% pa AND fixed wild catch
=> aquaculture growth 4.2% pa to 2050
• aquaculture exceeds wild catch around 2020
• conservative - assumes no change in wild catch
Aquaculture 38% of total supply in 2008
Queensland Fisheries Strategy 2009-2014 available at http://www.fisheries.qld.gov.au
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HOW INDUSTRIES GROW
Wellbeing - What we Value
Freedom/ Environmental Material Equity Security/ Community HealthDemocracy Amenity Standards Safety
Our Resources
Institutions People Physical NaturalAssets Resources/
Environment
GDP/GSP
LabourEmployment/ Hours worked
Capital Services
InputAvailabilityand Quality
InputQuantity
Productivity
MeetingNeeds –Markets
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PRODUCTIVITY CHALLENGE
Labour Productivity Growth – Australia and OECD (Whole Economy)
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THE PRODUCTIVITY AGENDA
1. R&D
2. Journey from concept to commercialisation
3. Connect business to ideas and markets
4. Invest to support opportunities
5. Talented people• Leadership, Skills, Creativity• Developing, Attracting
6. Environment for innovation and business growth• Regulation, Taxation, Competition
7. Productive regions
• Infrastructure, Clusters
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AQUACULTURE ISSUES
Aquaculture growth only in past 30 years old
• cf other animal protein industries
• Limited species availability
• Tropical fin fish a major opportunity
• Reliance on wild broodstock
• Genetic improvement (in a GM-world)
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Farming technologies
• cf aviation
• Growth of cage culture
AQUACULTURE ISSUES (ctd)
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Environmental impacts• Difficulty of achieving “No net impact” requirements
- esp where offsets not allowed
AQUACULTURE ISSUES (ctd)
Queensland Fisheries Strategy 2009-2014 available at http://www.fisheries.qld.gov.au
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AQUACULTURE ISSUES (ctd)
Reliance on fishmeal, not always produced sustainably
• Most imports to Australia are sustainable
• Fishmeal requirements declining as food-conversation ratios improve and plant-based substitutes are developed
Queensland Fisheries Strategy 2009-2014 available at http://www.fisheries.qld.gov.au
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Queensland Fisheries Strategy 2009-2014 available at http://www.fisheries.qld.gov.au
Biosecurity
AQUACULTURE ISSUES (ctd)
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QUEENSLAND ROLE
Most aquaculture destined for developing countries• 85% of global production (by value) in 2008• Major opportunity for Pacific region
Australia/Queensland can lead in innovation
World-class R&D facilities in Cairns and Bribie Is
• Partnerships DEEDI, CSIRO, JCU
Queensland Fisheries Strategy 2009-2014 available at http://www.fisheries.qld.gov.au