Download - donor_cars.ppt
Electric Vehicle Conversion Donor Car Analysis
Chris Jones, Electric Auto Association
www.nbeaa.org
October 17, 2009
This presentation is posted at http://www.nbeaa.org/presentations/donor_cars.pdf.
See http://www.nbeaa.org/osev/sota/AAA-SRJC-EAA_donor_car_analysis.doc for report with text.
All data sources from www.autotrader.com and www.kbb.com except as noted.
NBEAA 2009 Technical Series
1. EV Drive Systems
2. EV Batteries
3. EV Charging Systems
TODAY >> 4. EV Donor Vehicles
Agenda
Distance to DealerAge of VehicleBody StyleTransmissionCurb WeightSafetyColorTire Rolling ResistanceModel SelectionBlue Book ValuesDealer Asking PricesPictures
Distance to Dealer
Used and Certified Preowned Cars for Sale vs. Distance from 95404 on www.autotrader.com
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
miles from zip code 95404
nu
mb
er
of
us
ed
ca
rs f
or
sa
le
Age of Vehicle
Used Cars for Sale Within 50 Miles of 95404 on www.autotrader.com
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
model year
ca
rs f
or
sa
le
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
cu
mu
lati
ve
pe
rce
nt
per model year
cumulative
Body Style
Used Car Body Styles and Transmissions Since 2000 Within 50 Miles of 95404 on www.autrader.com
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
sedan SUV truck coupe hatchback convertible van wagon
body style
nu
mb
er f
or
sale
automatic
manual
Transmission
Average new MPG change in 2007 sedans going from manual to automatic transmissions
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500
curb weight, lb
ave
rag
e M
PG
ch
ang
e
Curb Weight
Curb Weight vs. Model Year
2200
2300
2400
2500
2600
2700
2800
2900
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
model year
curb
wei
gh
t o
f b
ase
mo
del
sed
an,
lb
Ford Focus
Nissan Sentra
Toyota Corolla
Honda Civic
Mitsubishi Lancer
Mazda 3
Curb Weight
Average MPG vs. Curb Weight for 2007 sedans with manual transmissions
10
15
20
25
30
35
2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500
curb weight, lb
ave
rag
e M
PG
Used Manual Transmission Sedan Curb Weight vs. MakeCars less than 3000 lb with enough tail for rear battery box that are still in production highlighted in green
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
make
curb
wei
gh
t, p
ou
nd
s
BMW
Chrysler
Ford
GM
Honda
Hyundai
Kia
Mazda
Mercedes Benz
Mitsubishi
Nissan
Saab
Subaru
Toyota
Volkswagen
M5
5
3 Series
PT Cruiser
Caliber
X-
S40
Fusion
Focus
CTS
Cobalt
Ion
TL
G35
TS
Accord
Civic
Sonata
Elantr
Rio
6
3
C230
Lancer
Maxima
Altima
Sentra
Vers
9-3
Impreza
Corolla
Yaris
GS450h
S4
IS250
A4
Passat
Jetta
Curb Weight
Curb Weight
Weight vs. Quantity for Sale for Manual Transmission Sedans within 50 miles of 95404 on www.autotrader.com
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500
curb weight, pounds
qu
an
tity
fo
r s
ale
/ c
um
ula
tiv
e p
erc
en
t
models
cumulative
Source: An Analysis of Traffic Deaths by Vehicle Type and Model, www.aceee.org.
Safety
Color
Sedan Exterior Colors43% are light
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
silve
r
black
white
gray
blue
red
tan
othe
r
gree
ngo
ld
burg
undy
off w
hite
brow
n
char
coal
beige
oran
ge
purp
le
turq
uoise
yello
wpin
k
color
qu
anti
ty
light
dark
Source: http://www.greenseal.org/resources/reports/CGR_tire_rollingresistance.pdf.
Tire Rolling Resistance
Model Selection
number for sale make model
2007 base model curb weight
start date
end date
big enough?
26 Volkswagen Jetta 3230
17 BMW 3 series 3340
14 Toyota Corolla 2530 1966 n/a
13 Subaru Impreza 3016
11 Honda Civic 2628 1972 n/a
11 Mazda 3 2780 2004 n/a
10 Mitsubishi Lancer 2745 1973 n/a
8 BMW 5 series 3428
7 Mazda 6 3166
6 Ford Focus 2621 2000 n/a
6 Nissan Sentra 2853 1982 n/a
5 BMW M5 4012
5 Nissan Altima 3055
5 Saab 9-3 3230
4 Honda Accord 3188
4 Saturn Ion 2752 2003 2007
3 Audi S4 3990
3 Cadillac CTS 3509
3Mercedes Benz C230 3405
3 Toyota Yaris 2293 No
Manual Transmission Sedans
Model Selection
number for sale make model
2007 base model curb weight
start date
end date
big enough?
2 Acura TSX 3345
2 Dodge Caliber 2966 2007 n/a
2 Infiniti G35 3497
2 Lexus IS 250 3435
2 Nissan Maxima 3591
1 Acura TL 3623
1 Audi A4 3428
1 Chevrolet Cobalt 3216
1 ChryslerPT Cruiser 3072
1 Ford Fusion 3151
1 Hyundai Elantra 2747
1 Hyundai Sonata 3266
1 Jaguar X-Type 3516
1 Kia Rio 2365 No
1 Lexus GS450h 4134
1 Nissan Versa 2749 No
1 Volkswagen Passat 3344
1 Volvo S40 3234
187 Total
Make and Model Lowest Price Quantity for sale within 50 miles
Ford Focus $4,688 4
Nissan Sentra $5,995 3
Toyota Corolla $4,995 12
Honda Civic $5,995 8
Mitsubishi Lancer $6,500 9
Mazda 3 $7,995 4
Total 40
Model Selection
Blue Book Values
Kelley Blue Book Private Party Value for Base Model Compact Manual Transmission Sedans
$0.00
$2,000.00
$4,000.00
$6,000.00
$8,000.00
$10,000.00
$12,000.00
$14,000.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
model year
pri
ce
Corolla
Lancer
Civic
Focus
Mazda 3
Sentra
Asking Prices for Dealer Ads within 50 miles of 95404
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
model year
pri
ce
Corolla
Lancer
Civic
Focus
Mazda 3
Sentra
Dealer Asking Prices
Pictures
Ford Focus
Generation 1, 2000-2007
Generation 2, 2008-present
Toyota Corolla
Generation 8, 1998-2002
Generation 9, 2003-2008
Pictures
Honda Civic
Generation 6, 1996-2000 Generation 7, 2001-2005
Generation 8, 2006-present
Mazda 3
Generation 1, 2004-2008
Pictures
Nissan Sentra
Generation 6, 2007-present
Generation 5, 2000-2006 Generation 7, 2002-2006
Mitsubishi Lancer
Generation 8, 2007-present