Download - Doug Oliver polling response
For Immediate Release: Contact: Doug Oliver 215-‐985-‐4900
OLIVER FOR MAYOR CAMPAIGN RELEASES INTERNAL POLLING RESULTS Results are not random or representative and likely inaccurate, but still show that
Oliver leads the pack by ridiculous amounts in the 2015 Mayor’s race.
Thursday, March 26, 2015 -‐ Philadelphia, PA – Today, the Oliver for Mayor campaign released its own internal polling results, which unsurprisingly indicate whatever he wanted them to indicate. Note: This news release is written with tongue fully planted in cheek. The analysis is based on the findings of a survey of a few hundred voters representing the likely May 19th Democratic Primary electorate in Philadelphia who were interviewed between March 14-‐17th, 2015. The study was conducted by live interviewers who contacted likely voters via face-‐time and Oovoo and was cross referenced with those who have active Instagram and Facebook accounts who also participated in or attended a step show competition at some point in the past two Mayoral election cycles. The survey utilized a gym membership registration-‐based sample which models the likely electorate that we chose to create. The margin of error is +/-‐ 50 percentage points at a 150% level of confidence. The margin of error is roughly the same for sub groups.
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Oliver Trumps Fellow Mayoral Candidates in a Primary Vote Poll
Abraham Street Diaz Williams Kenney Undecided Oliver
Doug Oliver enjoys a substantial lead over the rest of the field. He garners 60% of the vote, 43 points ahead of his closest rival, Mr. or Ms. Undecided (17%), and a full 50 points ahead of both Jim Kenney (10%) and Tony Williams (10%). Oliver’s support is strong across all major groups, including members of Kappa Alpha Psi, members of Enon Tabernacle Baptist Church, Alumni of Lock Haven University, LaSalle University and St. Joseph’s as well as those having grown up in Germantown who also previously worked for PGW and served as a Press Secretary for large urban Cities with open seat Mayoral races. He leads in all regions, particularly for those who have lived on Wayne Avenue, Dorcas St., Duval St., Lawnton Ave. or those currently living on the 11th St. Corridor between Godfrey and 66th as well as among both African American voters and white voters who fit the same exact criteria. Oliver is also the top second and third choice of both Kenney’s and Williams’ supporters from those exact same areas. Oliver’s strength is grounded in a substantial image advantage. He is significantly better liked than the other contenders because he offers ice cream to kids and puppies to the puppy-‐less. Oliver’s favorable ratings are much higher than Kenney and Williams who offered no such ice cream or puppies. He also has uncommonly strong job performance ratings with almost everybody in the random and representative sample he chose on his own. He was given a positive rating for his performance as press secretary as compared to those offering positive evaluations of Kenney and Williams for their work as a Press Secretary (0% for each respectively). Driving support for Oliver are extremely strong ratings on a number of character dimensions, with large majorities saying he brings a fresh perspective, has executive experience, loves his City and that he carries no baggage. In short, Oliver is well positioned to capitalize on his strong image and win election this May.
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Here’s some real facts for you to consider:
• There are roughly 1 million registered voters in Philadelphia, although most agree that there are, in actuality, only 800,000 active registered voters.
• Roughly 50% of active voters are under the age of 45 • Philadelphia welcomed more than 50,000 new residents in the last 7 years – all under the
age of 30. o That number is even larger if you include people who have moved into the City in
the last 10 years or if you include new Philadelphians under the age of 40, 50, or 60. What’s the point?
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• The landscape is different. We are a much different City than we were even 10 years ago.
• The operating assumptions are flawed. The assumption that young people don’t vote isn’t true. They do. They voted for Obama and that’s a large reason why they represent 50% of the active voter registration rolls here in Philadelphia. Perhaps they just haven’t been asked to vote – or been given a reason to vote by local elected officials.
• Focusing on only “likely” voters is a self-‐fulfilling prophecy. In discussing only likely voters, we limit our thought process only to those who typically vote – and we leave out, by design, the hundreds of thousands of other Philadelphians who are fed up with local government and/or who have found ways to be successful in spite of -‐ not because of -‐ government.
This 2015 Mayor’s race offers the City of Philadelphia an opportunity to change the game. Instead of playing small-‐ball with a continued focus on narrow interests. Let’s instead embrace the idea that we have a City who cares and deserves to be cared for. At every level. Let’s not tell them what they should think by surveying only what “You” think. Let’s include them in the discussion instead of excluding them in an effort to preserve the status quo. My campaign seeks to re-‐ignite engagement in Philadelphia’s future by ALL Philadelphians. The seasoned, yes, but also the young and youthful. The content, yes, but also the discontented and frustrated. We can get there. And we will. But let’s start by being representative before we get to being random. Especially in our polling. Otherwise, read my poll again and let’s just roll with that. VISIT: WWW.DOUGOLIVER2015.COM FOLLOW: @DO2015PHL (TWITTER, FACEBOOK, INSTAGRAM)