© OECD/IEA 2016© OECD/IEA 2016
Renewable Energies for Industries
Paolo FranklHead, Renewable Energy Division
International Energy Agency
IEA‐EPRI Workshop, 29‐30 Nov. 2016, Washington DC
© OECD/IEA 2016
Renewables in the present energy mix
World share of renewable energy by sector and type, 2014
© OECD/IEA 2016
2015: a record year for renewables
Renewable additions (2014-15) and cumulative installed power capacity
Cumulative renewable capacity surpassed coal at the end of 2015
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2014 2015
Cumu
lative
insta
lled
capa
city (GW)
Coal Gas Oil Nuclear Renewables
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2014 2015
Annu
al ad
dition
s (GW
)
Wind Solar PV Hydropower Other renewables
© OECD/IEA 2016
Renewables to dominate electricity growth, but less progress in heat and transport
The share of renewables rises in all sectors, despite persistent challenges in heat & transport; interactions between energy efficiency & renewables become critical
Share of renewables in electricity, heat and transport sectors
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Share
of r
enew
ables
in se
ctor d
eman
d
Renewable electricity Renewable heat Biofuels in road transport
© OECD/IEA 2016
Renewables fastest source of electricity generation growth
Between 2015‐21 wind generation doubles and solar PV almost triples, with renewables reaching almost 28% of total electricity by 2021
Global renewable electricity generation
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
8 000
9 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
TWh
Ocean
STE
Geothermal
PV
Offshore wind
Onshore wind
Bioenergy
Hydropower
© OECD/IEA 2016
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
TWh
1 500
3 000
4 500
6 000
TWh
Greater policy support boostsprospects for solar PV and wind
Solar PV and wind generation, 2040
Stronger policies on solar PV and wind help renewables make up 37% of electricity generation in 2040 in our main scenario – & nearly 60% in the 2 °C scenario
Additional in the2 °C scenario
Rest of world
United States
China
WEO‐2015
Increase in WEO‐2016:
Solar PV Wind power
© OECD/IEA 2016
Wind and solar essential in climatechange mitigation
Global energy‐related CO2 emissions by scenario and additional CO2abatement by measure in the 450 Scenario
Renewable energy ramps up faster in the 450 Scenario, abating an additional 69 Gt of CO2 emissions (2015‐2040) relative to the New Policies Scenario
© OECD/IEA 2016
Renewables to become the backbone of electricity supply
Share of electricity supply from low‐carbon sources in selected regions in the 450 Scenario, 2040
In the 450 Scenario, the share of low‐carbon electyricy supply exceeds 80% in manymarkets around the world, with renewables playing the largest role
© OECD/IEA 2016
Industry, led by iron & steel, cement and chemicals, becomes 1st CO2 source
2DS36%
20%
29%45%
31%9%
36%
28%
30%
24%38%31%
© OECD/IEA 2016
As in the 2DS or beyond (« well below 2° scenarios »)
For energy, feedstock, process agents…
Using biomass, solar heat, geothermal…
Hydrogen from renewables
Renewable power, self‐generated or from the grid
Electrification of industry helps integrate more variable RE
How to increase the use of RE in industry?How to increase the use of RE in industry?
© OECD/IEA 2016
Renewables in industry:An IEA technology roadmap
Inception workshop, Paris, 10 May 2015https://www.iea.org/workshops/renewable‐energies‐for‐manufacturing‐industries.html
China workshop, as part of SGCC’s GEI Conference, Beijing, 31 March2016 US workshop, co‐hosted by US EPRI, Washington DC, 29‐30 November 2016 IEA‐RETD case studies under progress Publication in 2017 in parallel with ETP 2017 « well below 2° scenario »
© OECD/IEA 2016
IRENA Tsinghua University AEE/SHC Italcementi Chalmers University
of technology Roquette Group Bioenergy TCP EDF Schneider Electric SolarReserve Confederation of
European Paper industries
Eurelectric Fraunhofer ISE
State Grid Corp of China
Energy Pool European Copper
Institute China National Center
for Climate Change China National
Renewable Energy Center
RWE BASF US EPRI Australian Renewable
Energy Agency GlassPoint
Inputs from…
Pacific Northwest National Lab
Swedish Energy Agency
International Finance Corp.
Southern Company NREL National Rural Electric
Cooperative World Resource
Institute NEDO US DOE IEA RETD TCP IDDRI/LCTPi