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Genetics and Health Care ReformGenetics and Health Care Reform
The Long View
From…a novice non-crystal baller
John J. Mulvihill, Heartland
(Thanks to ACMG President Bruce Korf)
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Disruptive Innovations Over TimeDisruptive Innovations Over Time
Computers: Abacus; IBM/DEC main frame; HP calculator; PC/Mac; massively parallel processors
Communication: Smoke signals; pony express; telegraph; wired telephone; cellular telephone; Internet
Education: Tutor; University; Community College; On-line
Access by wealthy to access by all
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Disruptive Innovations: ElementsDisruptive Innovations: Elements
1. Technology enabler
2. Business model
3. Valued network
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Disruptive Innovations 1Disruptive Innovations 1Technology Enabler
Intuitive medicine What’s the diagnosis? Past: Infectious disease; Future: All diseases
Empirical medicine What to do? How to fix? Past: Trial-and-error; Future: Mechanism based
Precision medicine Exact diagnosis and therapy Past: Strep throat; Future: Genetic diagnosis and Rx
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Disruptive Innovations 2Disruptive Innovations 2
Business modelSolution Shop Hospital/clinic Mayo/Cleveland Fee-for-service; complex; no guarantee
Value-added process Hospital/clinic Heart Hospital
Eye Institute
MinuteClinic Fix it; fee-for-output; simple; guaranteed
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Disruptive Innovations 2Disruptive Innovations 2Business model
Solution Shop Hospital/clinic* Mayo/Cleveland Fee for service; complex; no guarantee
Value-added process Hospital/clinic* Heart Hospital
Eye Institute
MinuteClinic Fix it; fee-for-output
*But, Crossing the Quality Chasm;To Err is Human; cost
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Disruptive Innovations 3Disruptive Innovations 3
Value Network
Insurance Mutual help Health Club; WebMD
Membership fee Profit for wellness
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Disruptive InnovationsDisruptive InnovationsBusiness model
Solution Shop Hospital/clinic* Mayo/Cleveland Fee for service; complex; no guarantee
Value-added process Hospital/clinic* Heart Hospital
Eye Institute
MinuteClinic Fix it; fee for output
Gene Diagnostics
Gene therapy, pharmacogenomics
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Disruptive InnovationsDisruptive Innovations
Value Network
Insurance Mutual help Health Club; WebMD
Membership fee Profit for wellness
Anticipatory guidance; EMR;Genetic Alliance; Social networking
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Other thoughts*Other thoughts*Forced productivity gainsCadillac coverageSimplified formsElectronic medical recordsReform of delivery systemIndependent commissionManaged competitionA public plan/optionComparing treatmentsNegotiating drug pricesMalpractice reform
*New York TimesNovember 15, 2009Editorial, p 9
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Other thoughts*Other thoughts*Forced productivity gainsCadillac coverageSimplified formsElectronic medical recordsReform of delivery systemIndependent commissionManaged competitionA public plan/optionComparing treatmentsNegotiating drug pricesMalpractice reform
*New York TimesNovember 15, 2009Editorial, p 9
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Questions?
Comments?
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