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D A V I D P A T R I C K & M A R K A N D E R S O ND A V I D . P A T R I C K @ T N C . O R G
Going with the Flow: Conserving Resilient and Connected
Landscapes
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Acknowledgements
Mark Anderson and his team
75 scientists, 8 years of work
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The world is changing
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npr.org
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Plants and animals must adapt or relocate
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Habitat alteration
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Climate change and habitat alteration
Source Unoccupied habitat
Distance
Permeability
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Where should we focus land conservation efforts to maximize the likelihood that terrestrial biodiversity in eastern North America can persist in a changing world?
Focal question
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A continuing journey for The Nature Conservancy
1. Conserving Nature’s Stage
2. Climate-Resilient Sites
3. Resilient and Connected Landscapes
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1. Conserving Nature’s Stage
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Species diversity is strongly correlated with Geophysical diversity
Anderson and Ferree. 2010. Conserving the Stage: Climate change and the geophysical underpinnings of species diversity
Species Diversity predicted from:LandformBedrockSoilTopography
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Create arenas for evolution, not museums of the past
Mafic (amphibolite) Moderately Calcareous Coarse Sand
Coastal Sand Limestone Fine Silt/Organic
Sedimentary (sandstone) Granite
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H O W C A N W E I D E N T I F Y S I T E S W H E R E B I O D I V E R S I T Y I S L I K E L Y T O B E A B L E T O
P E R S I S T I N T H E F A C E O F C L I M A T E C H A N G E ?
2. Climate-Resilient Sites
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What creates natural resilience?
Many microclimates leading to Landscape Diversity
Landform
Elevation range
Wetland density
Soil variety
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Diversity is only useful if organisms can access better conditions
Local connectedness
Less fragmented areas are more connected
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Areas for each Geophysical Setting with the highest landscape diversity and the highest local connectedness
Resilience Index
PRODUCT: RESILIENCE
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R E S I L I E N T A N D C O N N E C T E D L A N D S C A P E S F O R T E R R E S T R I A L C O N S E R V A T I O N
3. Adding Connectivity
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How we identified connecting landscapes
Circuitscape: Imagines “current” passing through landscape
Suitable habitat allows current to flow more easily
Habitat alteration creates “anthropogenic resistance”, reducing flow
Inlandbays.org
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Resistance
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PRODUCT: FLOW DATA
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W H A T S P A T I A L C O N F I G U R A T I O N I S N E E D E D T O P R O D U C E A N E C O L O G I C A L L Y C O H E R E N T N E T W O R K T H A T A L L O W S F O R A D A P T A T I O N
A N D C H A N G E ?
Integration: Developing a Resilient and Connected Landscape
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Go with the Flow!
1. Start with Resilient sites 2. Add in Flow3. Identified & emphasized important biodiversity features*4. Prioritize among resilient sites based on flow and biodiversity
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Important biodiversity features
1. Resilience patches: Large roadless patches
2. Large contiguous areas of each geophysical setting
3. Underrepresented geophysical settings
4. Confirmed presence of rare species
5. Confirmed presence of exemplary natural communities
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The Results
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Prioritized resilient sites and linkages combined to create a resilient and connected network of sites covering 23% (106 million acres) of region
Represents all geophysical settings
Contains over 8,000 known rare species or communities
23 million acres of riparian corridors
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Resilient and Connected Landscapes
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Applications: A Stronger Network
Ohio DNR
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Regional vision for connectivity science
Identifies priorities for land protection and management
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Guides priorities for road mitigation
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Resources available
Spatial datasets
Web mapper
Technical report
Connectivity white paper
Technical support
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Thanks and Questions