HAVE WE FINALLY FOUND THE ELUSIVE HIGGS BOSON PARTICLE OF DISASTER RESILIENCE?
MY ANSWER (BASED ON 40 YEARS OF
EXPERIENCE WITH GLOBAL DISASTERS)
Is YES
A HARD QUESTION (BASED ON OUR EXPERIENCE WITH
GLOBAL DISASTERS)
Can we SUSTAIN CURRENT GLOBAL DISASTER
RESILIENCE PROGRAMMES?
BACKGROUND
YOUR YOUR COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY
YOUR YOUR COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY
DATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATIONDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATION
HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS
•HAZARD MAPS•INVENTORY•VULNERABILITY•LOCATION
RISK ASSESSMENTRISK ASSESSMENT
RISK
ACCEPTABLE RISK
UNACCEPTABLE RISK
DISASTER RESILIENCE DISASTER RESILIENCE
POLICIES / PRACTICES:•PROTECTION•PREPAREDNESS•EARLY WARNING•EM. RESPONSE•RECOVERY & RECONSTUCT
INTEGRATED GOALSINTEGRATED GOALS
EIGHT CONCERNS OF ALL CITIES
• FIVE E’s: Economy, Energy, Education, Environment, and Ecology
• TWO S’s: Sustainability and Security
• ONE H: Healthcare
THE HIGGS BOSON PARTICLE
• Creates The Influence Field That Causes People To Form A Critical Mass And Make Cities Disaster Resilient
Creates The Force Field That Causes Matter To Have Mass And Make Things Happen
THE “HIGGS BOSON” PARTICLE IS THE “GOD
PARTICLE” - - -
----The Particle In The Invisible World That Creates The Force
Field That Causes Matter to Have Mass And Make Things Happen
THE “HIGGS BOSON” PARTICLE OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION IS THE PERSON --
---- In The Visible World Who Creates The Influence Field That Causes
People to Form A Critical Mass And Make Disaster Prone Cities Become
Disaster Resilient
QUESTION---
ARE YOU A HIGGS BOSON PERSON FOR DISASTER
RESILIENCE?
“YOU ARE”--- IF
• You have become a multi-dimensional
KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATOR developing a specific know-ledge base needed for disaster resilience
A PARTIAL LIST OF KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS
DURING THE 1970’S AND 1980’S
A Focus on Programs for Individual
Natural Hazards
and
Windows of Opportunity
“KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS”1970’S AND 1980’S
• GILBERT WHITE• JOANNE NIGG • TED ALGERMISSEN• KARL STEINBRUGGE• FOURNIER D’ABLE
“KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS”1970’S AND 1980’S
• HARESH SHAH
• TSUNEO KATAYAMA
• FAROUK TEBBAL
• VIT KARNIK
A PARTIAL LIST OF KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS
DURING THE 1990’S
A Focus on The International Decade
For Natural Disaster Reduction
and
All Hazards
“KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS”1990’S
• FRANK PRESS
• GEORGE HOUSNER
• 188 NATIONAL COMMITTEES (MEN AND WOMEN PARTICIPANTS IN THE IDNDR)
• UN AGENCY EXPERTS
A PARTIAL LIST OF KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS
DURING 2000-2014
A Focus on The International Strategy
For Disaster Reduction
Disaster Resilience
and INTERNATIONAL/WORLD CONFERENCES
“KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS”2000’S—2010’S
• UN - ISDR
• GLOBAL RISK FORUM
• THE G-8 and G-20– (for the future?)
IT IS TIME TO START PLANNING FOR THE
DISASTER RESILIENCE DIVIDEND
2014 -- 2020
THE DISASTER RESILIENCE DIVIDEND
The DRD is
HEALTHCARE on a global scale
"Health is a state of complete physical, mental and social
well-beingand not merely the absence of
disease or infirmity“
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION
GLOBAL EDUCATIONAL SURGES:
A WAY TO CAUSE A PARADIGM SHIFT
FROM DISASTER PRONE TO DISASTER RESILIENCE TO GLOBAL HEALTH
DURING THE 21ST CENTURY
A GLOBAL PLATFORMA GLOBAL PLATFORMA GLOBAL PLATFORMA GLOBAL PLATFORM
- Strategic - Strategic Interactions -Interactions -
LINKED SURGESLINKED SURGESA GLOBAL A GLOBAL RESOURCERESOURCEA GLOBAL A GLOBAL RESOURCERESOURCE
KNOWLEDGE AND KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCEEXPERIENCE
KNOWLEDGE AND KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCEEXPERIENCE
DISASTER DISASTER LABORATORIESLABORATORIES
DISASTER DISASTER LABORATORIESLABORATORIES
LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN REGION PARTNERS:
DISASTER RESILIENCE FOR COMMUNITIES
NORTH AMERICAN REGION PARTNERS:
CONTINUING EDUCATION AND TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE
ISLAND NATIONS PARTNERS:
MEDITERRANEAN REGION PARTNERS:
EUROPEAN REGION PARTNERS:
TURNING POINTS FOR CHANGE
TURNING POINTS FOR CHANGE
EDUCATIONAL EDUCATIONAL SURGESSURGES
EDUCATIONAL EDUCATIONAL SURGESSURGES
CAPACITY CAPACITY BUILDINGBUILDING
CAPACITY CAPACITY BUILDINGBUILDING
PRIMERSPRIMERSPRIMERSPRIMERS
MEETINGSMEETINGSMEETINGSMEETINGSASIAN REGION PARTNERS:
SUBSAHARA AFRICA REGION PARTNERS:
NON-DISASTER RESILIENCE
CHARACTERISTICS OF A NON-DISASTER-RESILIENT CITY
• UN—PROTECTED, or
• UN—PREPARED, or
• UN—WARNED, or
• UN--ABLE TO RESPOND, or
• UN—”PEPPER--ED”
UN—PROTECTED
COLLAPSE OF UN BUILDING; PORT AU PRINCE, HAITI: MARCH 10, 2010
COLLAPSED BUILDINGS: BEICHUAN, CHINA; MAY 12, 2008
UN—PREPARED
VARZAGHAN, IRAN: AUGUST 15, 2012
OVER 600 MILLION PEOPLE EXPERIENCE BLACKOUTS:JULY 2012
TRASH FROM THE MARCH 11, 2011 JAPAN TSUNAMI; JULY 2012
FANGSHAN DISTRICT, BEIJING, CHINA: JULY 25, 2012
UN—WARNED
KRYMSK, RUSSIA: FLASH FLOOD; JULY 8, 2012
BANDA ACHE, INDONESIA TSUNAMI: DECEMBER 26, 2004
• 230,000 died mainly as the result of inadequate warning
CYCLONE NARGISH: MYANMAR; MARCH 12, 2009
CYCLONE NARGISH: MYANMAR; MARCH 12, 2009
• 2.4 MILLION PEOPLE WERE SERIOUSLY AFFECTED BECAUSE THE RULING MILITARY JUNTA PREVENTED EARLY WARNING AND DELIVERY OF INTERNATIONAL AID
• 2.4 MILLION PEOPLE WERE SERIOUSLY AFFECTED BECAUSE THE RULING MILITARY JUNTA PREVENTED EARLY WARNING AND DELIVERY OF INTERNATIONAL AID
NEVADA DEL RUIZ, COLOMBIA: 1989
NEVADA DEL RUIZ, COLOMBIA: 1989
• 24,000.DIED IN ARMERO BECAUSE THERE WAS NO OFFICIAL WARNING.
• 24,000.DIED IN ARMERO BECAUSE THERE WAS NO OFFICIAL WARNING.
UN--ABLE TO RESPOND
WENCHUAN, CHINA; EARTHQUAKE LAKE: MAY 31, 2008
WENCHUAN, CHINA: MAY 32, 2008
HURRICANE STAN: OCTOBER 2005
• DEVASTATING MUDSLIDES WERE TRIGGERED BY PROLONGED, HEAVY PRECIPITATION.
SEARCH AND RESCUE AFTER HURRICANE STAN: OCTOBER 2005
• WHEN A MUDSLIDE BURIES A TOWN, SEARCH AND RESCUE BECOMES VERY URGENT.
KOCALEI, TURKEY EARTHQUAKE: AUGUST 1999
KOCALEI, TURKEY EARTHQUAKE: AUGUST 1999
• MASS CARE PROVIDES A SAFETY NET FOR THE HOMELESS DURING THE EMERGENCY RESPONSE PERIOD.
• MASS CARE PROVIDES A SAFETY NET FOR THE HOMELESS DURING THE EMERGENCY RESPONSE PERIOD.
KOCALEI, TURKEY EARTHQUAKE:AUGUST1999
KOCALEI, TURKEY EARTHQUAKE:AUGUST1999
• A “TENT CITY” PROVIDES TEMPORARY SHELTER FOR THE HOMELESS DURING RECOVERY AND RECONSTRUCTION
• A “TENT CITY” PROVIDES TEMPORARY SHELTER FOR THE HOMELESS DURING RECOVERY AND RECONSTRUCTION
LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE FIRE AND POWER OUTAGES: OCT.,1989
LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE FIRE AND POWER OUTAGES: OCT.,1989
• M7.1• 63 DEAD• FIRE IN MARINA
DISTRICT • WIDE SPREAD LOSS
OF POWER • 1 BILLION INSURED
LOSS
• M7.1• 63 DEAD• FIRE IN MARINA
DISTRICT • WIDE SPREAD LOSS
OF POWER • 1 BILLION INSURED
LOSS
SAN FERNANDO, CA EARTHQUAKE: FEB., 1971
SAN FERNANDO, CA EARTHQUAKE: FEB., 1971
• LOWERING THE WATER LEVEL IMMEDIATELY AFTER THE EARTHQUAKE PREVENTED FLOODING IN LOS ANGELES.
• LOWERING THE WATER LEVEL IMMEDIATELY AFTER THE EARTHQUAKE PREVENTED FLOODING IN LOS ANGELES.
UN—”PEPPER--ED”
WENCHUAN, CHINA EARTHQUAKE: MAY 12, 2008
WENCHUAN, CHINA EARTHQUAKE: MAY 12, 2008
• 88,000 DEAD• 30,000 INJURED• 300,000 HOMELESS• 25 MILLION
BUILDINGS DAMAGED• 45 MILLION PEOPLE
AFFECTED
• 88,000 DEAD• 30,000 INJURED• 300,000 HOMELESS• 25 MILLION
BUILDINGS DAMAGED• 45 MILLION PEOPLE
AFFECTED
MANAGUA, NICARAGUA EARTHQUAKE: FEB, 1972
MANAGUA, NICARAGUA EARTHQUAKE: FEB, 1972
• 10,000 DEAD; 20,000 INJURED; 300,000 HOMELESS
• NEAR TOTAL DISRUPTION OF THE INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
• POLITICAL CHAOS• CITY RELOCATED
• 10,000 DEAD; 20,000 INJURED; 300,000 HOMELESS
• NEAR TOTAL DISRUPTION OF THE INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
• POLITICAL CHAOS• CITY RELOCATED
LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE: OCTOBER 17, 1989
LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE: OCTOBER 17, 1989
• M7.1• 63 DEAD• COLLAPSE AND LOSS
OF FUNCTION OF TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE
• $ 1 BILLION INSURED LOSS
• M7.1• 63 DEAD• COLLAPSE AND LOSS
OF FUNCTION OF TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE
• $ 1 BILLION INSURED LOSS
