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“Into the Future”“Into the Future”
Air Transportation:
Key Infrastructure
for the
Modern Economy
Air Transportation:
Key Infrastructure
for the
Modern Economy
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General Aviation General Aviation
““A community without an airport will be eliminated A community without an airport will be eliminated by the majority of firms seeking to relocate or by the majority of firms seeking to relocate or build a new facility.”build a new facility.”
Washington State University reportWashington State University report
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SustainabilitySustainability
Air TransportationAir Transportation
• Not subsidized; pays taxesNot subsidized; pays taxes
• Set goals for environmental Set goals for environmental sustainabilitysustainability
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• Meet the world’s expanding air service Meet the world’s expanding air service demand without increasing Greenhouse demand without increasing Greenhouse Gases (GHG)Gases (GHG)
• Be carbon neutral by 2050 Be carbon neutral by 2050
Air transportation emits 2% of Greenhouse GasesAir transportation emits 2% of Greenhouse Gases
Source: Source: London EconomistLondon Economist
Climate Change – Aviation’s Goal
Reducing Greenhouse Gases = Greater Efficiency and Lower Costs
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De-Icing and Run-Off Recapture…De-Icing and Run-Off Recapture……MWAA is State-of-the-Art…MWAA is State-of-the-Art
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For Washington: Air Transportation is Woven into Society’s FabricFor Washington: Air Transportation is Woven into Society’s Fabric
• For every job in the Washington region, 10 airline tickets are sold each year
• 18% of adults visit Europe at least once every three years
• 90% of adult voters visit one of the region’s airports each year
• 12% of our region’s jobs are concerned with international trade
• For every job in the Washington region, 10 airline tickets are sold each year
• 18% of adults visit Europe at least once every three years
• 90% of adult voters visit one of the region’s airports each year
• 12% of our region’s jobs are concerned with international trade
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One Interdependent WorldOne Interdependent World
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Tourism: Most Future Growth from OverseasTourism: Most Future Growth from Overseas
International visitors stay longer; spend more.International visitors stay longer; spend more.
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Transportation is a Means not an EndTransportation is a Means not an End
• 68% of new jobs, 1980 – 2000, in 68% of new jobs, 1980 – 2000, in jurisdictions accessible to Dullesjurisdictions accessible to Dulles
• Dulles and Route 28 corridorsDulles and Route 28 corridors Miniscule share of Gross Regional Product Miniscule share of Gross Regional Product
in 1980in 1980 Now about 25%Now about 25%
Source: MWCOG statistics; Dr. Stephen Fuller, George Mason UniversitySource: MWCOG statistics; Dr. Stephen Fuller, George Mason University
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Airport AccessAirport Access
GroundGround
Good air service does not help the regional economy if you cannot
easily get to the airport!
Airport AccessAirport Access
GroundGround
Good air service does not help the regional economy if you cannot
easily get to the airport!
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21st Century “Main Streets”21st Century “Main Streets”
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Annual Job Change – MOTYCNorthern Virginia
000s
Source: Dr. Stephen Fuller, George Mason UniversitySource: Dr. Stephen Fuller, George Mason University
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000s
Annual Job Change – MOTYCSuburban Maryland
Source: Dr. Stephen Fuller, George Mason UniversitySource: Dr. Stephen Fuller, George Mason University
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Economic Value of One New Daily Transatlantic ServiceEconomic Value of One New Daily Transatlantic Service
MarketsIncrease in Markets Served 2 to 3 9 to 10
Economic GainNew High Tech Jobs 4,500 1,600Capitalized Value New Jobs $1.7 B $625
M
MarketsIncrease in Markets Served 2 to 3 9 to 10
Economic GainNew High Tech Jobs 4,500 1,600Capitalized Value New Jobs $1.7 B $625
M
Measured Gain 2 Years LaterMeasured Gain 2 Years LaterMeasured Gain 2 Years LaterMeasured Gain 2 Years Later
Source: Button/Taylor - George Mason & Monash Universities September 2000Source: Button/Taylor - George Mason & Monash Universities September 2000
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Dulles: Passenger Use 1962 - 1982Dulles: Passenger Use 1962 - 1982
Source: Airport RecordsSource: Airport Records
2 million2 million
Airline Airline DeregulationDeregulation
WATF FormedWATF Formed
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Dulles Today
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Capacity for TomorrowCapacity for TomorrowFlight OperationsFlight Operations Passengers
IN MILLIONS
PassengersIN MILLIONS
CargoIN TONNES
CargoIN TONNES
Source: MWAA Records through September 2009 Based on a picture by Air Survey CorporationSource: MWAA Records through September 2009 Based on a picture by Air Survey Corporation
342,394342,394
750,000750,000
TodayToday
DESIGNCAPACITYDESIGNCAPACITY
23M23M
55 M+55 M+
TodayToday
333,845333,845
8 M**8 M**
TodayToday
CARGOPOTENTIALCARGOPOTENTIAL
DESIGNCAPACITYDESIGNCAPACITY
** WATF Estimate
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DCA: Post September 11th
DCA: Post September 11th
• 15.9 million passengers “inconvenienced”
• 80,000 jobs threatened
• 15.9 million passengers “inconvenienced”
• 80,000 jobs threatened
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The First Law of the Modern EconomyThe First Law of the Modern Economy
Runway + Demand =New Jobs and ProsperityRunway + Demand =New Jobs and Prosperity
© WATF 10/06
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The First Law of the Modern EconomyThe First Law of the Modern Economy
Runway + Demand =New Jobs and ProsperityRunway + Demand =New Jobs and Prosperity
© WATF 10/06
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BarriersBarriers
• Aviation’s role not widely understood
• Surface transportation implementation
• Restrictive international air service
agreements
• Cumbersome security