![Page 1: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Farm Water FuturesWhat can you do to make your business fit for the future?
30th March 2010
Claire WyattForum for the Future
![Page 2: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
Outline of presentation
• Why hold an event like today?• How does agriculture contribute to climate change?• The political landscape
• Opportunities and Risks • What are some farmers already doing?
![Page 3: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
What is Farming Futures?
![Page 4: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
Information and inspiration
• Partnerships• Fact sheets• Case studies• On-farm events• Media profile
![Page 5: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
![Page 6: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
So, why is everyone talking about climate change?
![Page 7: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Figure: Changes in Central England Temperature from 1877 to 2006 relative to the average over the 1961-90 baseline period (about 9.5 ºC). (Source: Met Office Hadley Centre)
The indisputable truth…
Its warmer…>1°C
![Page 8: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
![Page 9: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
50% believe climate
change is having an effect now
![Page 10: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
50% believe climate
change is having an effect now
63% think climate
change will have an effect
in next 10 years
![Page 11: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
50% believe climate
change is having an effect now
63% think climate
change will have an effect
in next 10 years
31% are taking action to adapt to the impacts
of climate change
![Page 12: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
• Agriculture contributes 7% of the UK’s greenhouse gas emissions:
• < 1% of carbon dioxide (CO2)• ~ 1/3rd of methane (CH4)• ~ 2/3rds of nitrous oxide (N2O)
Agriculture and climate change
![Page 13: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
And it’s going to keep on changing…Max summer temperature by 2050 up 3-4°C
Average winter temperature
2020: +1.3°C
2050: +2.2°C
2080: +3°C
Medium emissions scenario –OPTIMISTIC!
High emissions scenario mean summer temp by 2080: +4.9°C
![Page 14: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
What about rainfall?Winter rainfall up 10-20% by 2050
2020: -8%
2050: -20%
2080: -24%
Summer rainfall
Medium emissions scenario –OPTIMISTIC!
High emissions scenario by 2080: -30%
![Page 15: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
The political landscape
![Page 16: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
Targets and action plans
• Renewable Energy Strategy - 15% total energy by 2020• 30-40% of our elec from renewables
• Low carbon transition plan – 11% by 2020• GHG Action Plan (Climate change task force)• Campaigns and services
• Act on CO2• Defra Advisory Service • Carbon Trust loans
• Food security• Increase production
![Page 17: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
Low Carbon Transition Plan
![Page 18: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
What about water?
• 1.3 million hectares of farmland in floodplains• 40% loss of produce (2007) – £7-19m• Climate change could increase demand for
irrigation by 50% by 2050• This is for all farmers
• Prices going up• Abstraction licences• Opportunities to save
![Page 19: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
Who’s here to help?
• Environment Agency - Water resources strategy• Environment Agency - Rainwater as a resource• Farming Futures - Water management fact sheet• UK Irrigation Association - reports and publications
![Page 20: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
How?
• Improved efficiency and productivity
• Renewables
• Flood management
• Soil and Manure management
• Water management and harvesting
• Read the fact sheets and booklets!
![Page 21: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
What are farmers already doing?
Case study farmer – Elwyn Griffiths
![Page 22: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
Conclusions• Good news for UK farmers:
• Convergence of the food economy and the energy economy• Wider environmental goals • Global effects on world agriculture, and energy security issues• Potential for increased yields under warming + CO2• Cost savings via adaptation, efficiencies and mitigation tech
• Uncertainties remain:• Drought• Need to adapt and mitigate – costs and risks
• Plan for uncertainties through more conserved feeds and mix of crops and harvest / sowing times. Multi-purpose land use.
![Page 23: Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)](https://reader034.vdocument.in/reader034/viewer/2022052619/5561037bd8b42a91388b57e4/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Profitable business in a changing climate
Any questions?
• www.farmingfutures.org.uk
• Claire Wyatt (project manager): [email protected] 2044340207 324 3670
Thank you!