Natural Population Change
'45
'57
'73
'82
'99
'06'10
'25
'10
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
'45 '48 '51 '54 '57 '60 '63 '66 '69 '72 '75 '78 '81 '84 '87 '90 '93 '96 '99 '02 '05 '08 '11 '14 '17 '20 '23 '26 '29
Source: Actual (Montana Vital Statistics, 2011) and Projected (births, U.S. Census Bureau, March, '05; deaths: Swanson)
Annual Births in Montana - Actual (1945-2010) and Projected (2004-2030)
Actual Projected Deaths
What do We Know?
• Montana is aging• The Work Force is Aging • Population Growth is Depended on In-
Migration
Population Growth –Decade of 2000
108,579
-77,395
42,980
74,164
-100,000
-50,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
Births Deaths In-Migration Net Increase
Population Growth Decade of 2000
43000
31000
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
Decade of 2000
In-Migration Natural Growth
-2,000
-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Age in 2010
Net MigrationMontana 2000 to 2010
Sources: U.S. Census and CDC 11
-2,000
-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Age in 2010
Net MigrationWestern/Southern Montana 2000 to 2010
Sources: U.S. Census and CDC 13
-2,000
-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Age in 2010
Net MigrationEastern/Northern Montana 2000 to 2010
18Sources: U.S. Census and CDC
What do We Know?
• Montana is aging• The Work Force is Aging • Population Growth is Depended on In-
Migration • Federal Money will Dry-Up
Custer County – Water SystemTreasure State Endowment Program (TSEP)
Community Development Block Grant (CDBG)Custer County (Applicant)
USDA Rural Development LoanUSDA Rural Development Grant
Project Total:
$750,000$450,000$114,000$288,000$388,000$1,990,000
Cost per month per user as funded:
Cost per month per userwith RD/CDBG at 75%:
Cost per month per userwith RD/CDBG at 0%:
Cost per month per userwith RD/CDBG at 50%:
$39.50 $44 $48 $71
Custer County – Water SystemTreasure State Endowment Program (TSEP)
Community Development Block Grant (CDBG)Custer County (Applicant)
USDA Rural Development LoanUSDA Rural Development Grant
Project Total:
$750,000$450,000$114,000$288,000$388,000$1,990,000
Cost per month per user as funded:
Cost per month per userwith RD/CDBG at 75%:
Cost per month per userwith RD/CDBG at 0%:
Cost per month per userwith RD/CDBG at 50%:
$39.50 $44 $48 $71
Power of Locally Controlled Assets
• “A community-led approach that creates locally controlled assets and invests them to strengthen rural places. It builds a community’s ability to shape a better future and promote the well-being of all community members. It unites the tools of community, economic and resource development, engaging all people to come together with their ideas, strategies, talents, and giving.”
Source: Rural Development Philanthropy Collaborative