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Immunization Graphs:
Natural Infectious Disease Declines; Immunization
Effectiveness; and Immunization Dangers
Prepared by: Raymond Obomsawin Ph.D.
Senior Advisor First Nations Centre
National Aboriginal Health Organization
October 2009
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FIGURE SET I.
Natural Infectious Disease Declines
Preceding Public Immunization Efforts
Figures one (1) through eleven (11) graphically illustrate that in North America, Europe, and the
South Pacific , major declines in life-threatening infectious diseases occurred historically either
without, or far in advance of public immunization efforts for specific diseases as listed. This
provides irrefutable evidence that vaccines are not necessary for the effective elimination of a
wide range of infectious diseases
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0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
180.00
200.00
1880 1900 1924 1930 1936 1942 1948 1954 1960
BCG Vaccination
Introduced Between
1948-1954 (Depending
on Prov. or Terr.)
Source: Table based on data at: Timeline of TB in Canada http://www.lung.ca/tb/tbhistory/timeline/;
http://www.thecanadianencyclopedia.com/index.cfm?PgNm=TCE&Params=A1ARTA0008151
Public Health Agency of Canada: http://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/publicat/cig-gci/p04-bcg-eng.php; and
PHAC on BCG usage in Canada: http://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/tbpc-latb/bcgvac_1206-eng.php
FIGURE 1CANADA TUBERCULOSIS
MORTALITY RATES PER100,000
(1880-1960)
http://www.lung.ca/tb/tbhistory/timeline/http://www.thecanadianencyclopedia.com/index.cfm?PgNm=TCE&Params=A1ARTA0008151http://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/publicat/cig-gci/p04-bcg-eng.phphttp://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/tbpc-latb/bcgvac_1206-eng.phphttp://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/tbpc-latb/bcgvac_1206-eng.phphttp://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/publicat/cig-gci/p04-bcg-eng.phphttp://www.thecanadianencyclopedia.com/index.cfm?PgNm=TCE&Params=A1ARTA0008151http://www.lung.ca/tb/tbhistory/timeline/ -
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0.00
100.00
200.00
300.00
400.00
500.00
600.00
700.00
800.00
1935 1947 1959 1971 1983
FIGURE 2CANADA MEASLES
REPORTED INCIDENCE
(1935-1983)
Source: Adapted from: Public Health Agency of Canada, Figure 8Measles Reported
Incidence Canada. http://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/publicat/cig-gci/p04-meas-roug-eng.php
Measles Vaccines
Introduced
Live 1963 / Inactivated 1964
http://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/publicat/cig-gci/p04-meas-roug-eng.phphttp://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/publicat/cig-gci/p04-meas-roug-eng.php -
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0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
180.00
200.00
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960
No Vaccination for
Tuberculosis
Adopted in the USA
FIGURE 3UNITED STATES TUBERCULOSIS
MORTALITY RATES PER100,000INFANTS
(1900-1960)
Source: John H. Dingle; Life and Death in Medicine; Scientific American; 1973; p. 56.
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0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
1918 1924 1930 1936 1942 1948 1954 1960
Pertussis
Vaccination Introduced
FIGURE 4USAMEAN ANNUAL PERTUSSIS
MORTALITY RATES PER100,000(1918-1960)
Source: Data derived from: Vital Statistics of the United States 1937-1960; and
Historical Statistics of the United States: Colonial Times to 1970 Part 1 Ch. B Vital
Statistics and Health and Medical Care, pp. 44-86H.
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0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
1910 1916 1922 1928 1934 1940 1946 1952 1958
No Vaccination for
Scarlet Fever
Adopted in the USA
Source: Data derived from - Vital Statistics of the United States 1937-1960; and
Historical Statistics of the United States: Colonial Times to 1970 Part 1 Ch. B Vital
Statistics and Health and Medical Care, pp. 44-86H.
FIGURE 5USAMEAN ANNUAL SCARLET FEVER
MORTALITY RATES PER100,000(1910-1958)
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0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
180.00
1933 1937 1941 1945 1949 1953 1961 1965
FIGURE 6USAANNUAL INFLUENZA
MORTALITY RATES PER100,000(1933-1965)
Source: Doshi, P., Trends in Recorded Influenza Mortality: United States 1900-2004,
American Journal of Public Health, May 2008, vol. 98, no. 5, p. 941.
Influenza vaccination
first widely administered
in the U.S. in the
late 1980s.
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0.00
200.00
400.00
600.00
800.00
1,000.00
1,200.00
1,400.00
1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1965
FIGURE 7-ENGLAND &WALES, MEAN ANNUAL
PERTUSSIS MORTALITY CASES
CHILDREN UNDER15(1850-1965)
Pertussis
Vaccination Begins
Source: Thomas McKeown, The Role of Medicine: Dream, Mirage or Nemesis?; Basil
Blackwell; Oxford, UK; 1979; p. 103
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0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14
0.16
0.18
1919 1925 1931 1937 1943 1949 1955 1961 1967
SCURVY
PERTUSSIS
FIGURE 8-ENGLAND,SCURVY &PERTUSSIS
PARALLELMORTALITYRATES PER 100,000
(1919-1967)
Pertussis Vaccination
Begins
Sources: Data for years 1919-1967 Mortality Statistics: Deaths Registered in England &
Wales; UK Office for National Statistics, 1997.
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0.00
200.00
400.00
600.00
800.00
1,000.00
1,200.00
1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1965
FIGURE 9 -ENGLAND &WALES, MEAN ANNUALMEASLES MORTALITY CASES
CHILDREN UNDER15(1850-1965)
Source: McKeown, T., The Role of Medicine: Dream, Mirage or Nemesis?; Basil
Blackwell; Oxford, UK; 1979; p. 105; & Waltzkin, H., in The Relevance of Social Science
for Medicine; Springer; 1st edition, Dec. 31, 1980
Measles
Vaccination Begins
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0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14
1919 1925 1931 1937 1943 1949 1955 1961 1967
SCURVY
MEASLES
Measles Vaccination
Begins
Sources: Data for years 1919-1967 Mortality Statistics: Deaths Registered in England &
Wales; UK Office for National Statistics, 1997.
FIGURE 10-ENGLAND,SCURVY &MEASLES
PARALLELMORTALITYRATES PER 100,000
(1919-1967)
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0.00
200.00
400.00
600.00
800.00
1,000.00
1,200.00
1,400.00
1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1953 1960
FIGURE 11-NEW ZEALAND TUBERCULOSISDEATH RATES PERMILLION (1880-1960)
Source: Director General Annual Mortality Reports Covering 1872-1960, New Zealand
Parliamentary Journals for the Years Specified.
BCG Vaccination
Introduced
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FIGURE SET II.
Immunization Effectiveness
Figures eleven (12) through twenty-four (24) graphically illustrate that immunization is not by
any means a proven and foolproof measure for protection from various infectious disease
conditions. It is often inconsequential epidemiologically, and in some cases it is shown to
actually worsen health-care outcomes.
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0%Effective
Children Under 2 Yrs of Age
Inactivated Influenza Vaccine
Little or NoEffectiveness
Elderly Living in Communities& Group Homes
Inactivated Influenza Vaccine
Source: Cochrane Collaboration Database of Systematic Reviews, (John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.)
2006 (1) Article No. CD004879Covers 51 Studies on 260,000 children
Source: Cochrane Collaboration Database of Systematic Reviews, (John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.)
2006 (3) Article No. CD004876Covers 64 Studies, over 40 years of infuenza vaccination
and see:http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/full/333/7574/912
Figure 12
Figure 13
http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/full/333/7574/912http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/full/333/7574/912http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/full/333/7574/912http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/full/333/7574/912 -
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0%Effective
0%Effective
BCG for Tuberculosis
Source: Randomised controlled trial of single BCG, repeated BCG, or combined BCG and
killed Mycobacterium leprae vaccine for prevention of leprosy and tuberculosis in Malawi;
The Lancet, Volume 348, Issue 9019, Pages 17 - 24, 6 July 1996
BCG for Tuberculosis
Note: Post-vaccination- 376 cases
pulmonary TB & 31 cases glandular TB
diagnosed. TB higher among two (2)dose Vaccinated versus Placebo Group.
Note: In years 0-2.5 the vaccinated had
double the incidence of Tuberculosis
versus Placebo Group
Source: Double blind randomized controlled trial of BCGs effectiveness on 250,000 subjects
Tuberculosis Research Centre (ICMR), Chennai, India: Indian Journal of Medical Research,
110, August 1999, pp. 56-69.
Figure 14
Figure 15
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92%
8% 92%Vaccinated
8%Unvaccinated
97%
3%
97%Vaccinated
3%Unvaccinated
2006
USA
MUMPS OUTBREAK IN HIGHLY
VACCINATED POPULATION
Source: Center for Disease Control , MMWR
55 (20); May 26, 2006; pp. 559-63.
2001
Oregon
CHICKENPOX OUTBREAK IN
HIGHLYVACCINATED POPULATION
Source: Pediatrics - Vol. 113;
No. 3; pp. 455-459; (2004)
Figure 16
Figure 17
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90%
10% 90%Vaccinated
10%Unvaccinated
99%
1%
99%Vaccinated
1%Unvaccinated
1985
Texas
MEASLES OUTBREAK IN
HIGHLYVACCINATED POPULATION
Source: New England Journal of Medicine -
Vol. 316; No. 13; pp. 771-774; (1987)
1993
OhioSource: N.Z. Miller; Vaccine Safety Manual;
N.A. Press, Sante Fe, New Mexico; p. 140; (2008)
(Refers to CDC & Official Surveillance data)
PERTUSSIS OUTBREAK IN
HIGHLYVACCINATED POPULATION
Figure 18
Figure 19
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0.00
200.00
400.00
600.00
800.00
1,000.00
1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982
FIGURE 20 - NIGERIA
DIPHTHERIAREPORTED CASES(1973-1982)
Source: E. Ekanem; A 10-Year Review of Morbidity from Childhood Preventable
Diseases in Nigeria: How Successful is the Expanded Programme of Immunization
(EPI)?; Journal of Tropical Pediatrics, Vol. 34; No. 6; UK; 1988; pp. 323-328.
EPI Begins
Diphtheria Vaccine
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0.00
100.00
200.00
300.00
400.00
500.00
1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982
FIGURE 21- NIGERIA
WHOOPING COUGHCASERATES PER 100,000
(1973-1982)
EPI Begins
Pertussis Vaccine
Source: E. Ekanem; A 10-Year Review of Morbidity from Childhood Preventable
Diseases in Nigeria: How Successful is the Expanded Programme of Immunization
(EPI)?; Journal of Tropical Pediatrics, Vol. 34; No. 6; UK; 1988; pp. 323-328.
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0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
180.00
1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989
FIGURE 22 - DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MEASLES CASERATES PER 100,000
(1978-1989)
EPI Begins
Measles Vaccine
Sources: Data for years 1978-1987 Taken from UNICEF Evaluation Publication No. 6,
Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic, May 27, 1988; and Data for years 1988-1989 from
personal communication from PAHO, EPI Unit, Aug. 21, 1990.
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0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987
FIGURE 23 - DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
DIPHTHERIA CASERATES PER 100,000
(1978-1987)
Source: Data for years 1978-1987 Taken from UNICEF Evaluation Publication No. 6,
Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic, May 27, 1988.
EPI Begins
Diphtheria Vaccine
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0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989
FIGURE 24 - DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
PERTUSSIS CASERATES PER 100,000
(1978-1989)
EPI Begins
Pertussis Vaccine
Sources: Data for years 1978-1987 Taken from UNICEF Evaluation Publication No. 6,
Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic, May 27, 1988; and Data for years 1988-1989 from
personal communication from PAHO, EPI Unit, Aug. 21, 1990.
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FIGURE SET III.
Immunization Dangers
Figures twenty-five (25) through thirty three (33) graphically illustrate that increases in the
number of governmental mandated vaccines correlates with significant increases in death rates
for children under the age of five (5); and that the practice is linked to sudden infant death
syndrome; various degenerative diseases, including diabetes; and appears to cause general
immune system impairment in infants and children. Evidence also points to the practice ofimmunization as a principal factor in the recent massive increases in neurodegenerative
conditions such as autism in children.
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0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
FIGURE 25 - COUNTRIES & NUMBER
OF VACCINES MANDATED
UNDERAGE5 MORTALITYRATES
Under Age 5 Mortality
Mortality Increase Trendline
Under Age 5 Mortality statistics derived from: World Health OrganizationWorld
Health Statistics 2009 Report http://www.who.int/whosis/whostat/EN_WHS09_Table1.pdf& Govt. Mandated Vaccines figures derived from: Generation Rescue Inc. 2009
http://www.generationrescue.org/documents/SPECIAL%20REPORT%20AUTISM%202.pdf
http://www.who.int/whosis/whostat/EN_WHS09_Table1.pdfhttp://www.generationrescue.org/documents/SPECIAL%20REPORT%20AUTISM%202.pdfhttp://www.generationrescue.org/documents/SPECIAL%20REPORT%20AUTISM%202.pdfhttp://www.who.int/whosis/whostat/EN_WHS09_Table1.pdf -
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
FIGURE 26 - UNDER AGE 5 INFLUENZA DEATHS
BEFORE AND AFTER U.S. CDC MANDATESFLU VACCINES IN EARLY CHILDHOOD
Influenza Deaths Children Under Age 5
Under Age 5 Influenza Mortality statistics derived from: Center for Disease Control
Vital Statistics Reports covering Years 1999-2003 reported in Miller, N.Z., Vaccine
Safety Manual, New Atlantean Press, Sante Fe, New Mexico, 2008, p. 97.
Latter half of 2002 C DC MandatesEarly Childhood Flu Vaccines in USA
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
0.5 1 3 7 14 21
FIGURE 27 - PERTUSSIS VACCINE &
SUDDENINFANTDEATHSYNDROME
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Ulcerative Colitis Crohn's Disease
Unvaccinated
Vaccinated
70% of 103 SIDS
Deaths Occurred
Within 3 Weeks
of Pertussis
Vaccination
2/3 of 103 infants had been vaccinated with pertussis prior to death which 6.5% within 12hours; 13% within 24 hours; 26% within 3 days; 37%, 61% & 70% within 1, 2, & 3 weeksrespectively. Source: Torch W., Neurology - 32 (4 Pt. 2) A, 1982, pp. 169-170.
FIGURE 28-MEASLES VACCINE &INFLAMMATORY BOWEL DISEASES
Source:The Lancet - Vol. 345;
8957; 1995, pp. 1062-1063.
Days Post-Vaccination
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0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
Fever >40
EarInfections
Inflammationof the Throat
AggressiveBehaviour
Events
Convulsions/Collapse
AntibioticsAdministered
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
Absolute Incidence (Non-Vaccinated in Relation to Vaccinated to N = 312 Per Group
Baby CriesOften
Sickly
Eczema
Asthma/Chronic
Lung Disease
AllergicReactions
AggressiveBehaviour
DifficultySleeping
Average Incidence First Five (5) years of LifeNederlands Vereniging Kritisch Prikken 2004 Survey Findings
Fully Vaccinated
No Vaccinations
Absolute Incidence N=543Nederlands Vereniging Kritisch Prikken 2004 Survey Findings
Fully Vaccinated
No Vaccinations
FIGURE 29
FIGURE 30
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0 5 10 15 20 25
Iceland
Luxembourg
Spain,
Catalonia
Belgium
Netherlands
Spain, Madrid
England
N. Ireland
Scotland
Denmark
Norway
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Incidence - Insulin Dependant Diabetes MellitusPercentage - Pertussis Immunization Coverage
1978/74 1979/75 1980/76 1981/77 1982/78 1983/79 1984/80 1985/81 1986/82 1987/83 1988/84 1985/86
NO BCG VACCINATIONS
BCG VACCINATIONS
Source: Infectious Disease in Clinical
Practice - No. 6, pp. 449-454; (1997)
Cumulative Incidence IDDM/1,000,000 UK
FIGURE 31
FIGURE 32
Source: Journal of Pediatric Endocrinology &
Metabolism, 16, pp. 495-508; (2003)
BCG Mandated in Schools & Diabetes Rates
Type 1 per 1000,000Children 0-14
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http://childhealthsafety.wordpress.com/2009/06/03/japvaxautism/Figure based on:Kihei
Terada et. al.; Alterations in epidemics and vaccination for measles during a 20 year
period and a strategy for elimination in Kurashiki City, Japan; Kawasaki MedicalSchool 2002 Mar; 76 (3):pp. 180-4. Correlated with: H. Honda et. al,; No effect of MMR
withdrawal on the incidence of autism: a total population study; Journal of Child
Psychology & Psychiatry; June 2005 (6); pp.572-579
FIGURE 33
http://childhealthsafety.wordpress.com/2009/06/03/japvaxautism/http://childhealthsafety.wordpress.com/2009/06/03/japvaxautism/http://childhealthsafety.wordpress.com/2009/06/03/japvaxautism/