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HOW WELL IS NEW
MEXICO PREPARING ALL
STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,
CAREERS AND LIFE
May 2011
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A HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA IS NOLONGER ENOUGH FOR SUCCESS
The changing economy is accelerating theexpectations gap, as careers increasingly requiresome education/training beyond high school,and more developed knowledge and skills.
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4Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). Help Wanted: Projections of Jobs andEducationRequirements Through 2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce.ww9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdf
Jobs in Todays (and Tomorrows) Workforce
Require More Education and Training
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The Rise of Middle-Skill Jobs
5Source: Holzer, Harry J. and Robert I. Lerman (February 2009). The Future of Middle-SkillJobs.Brookings Institution.
High-skill jobs
Occupations in the professional/technical and managerial categories.
Often require four-year degrees and above
Middle-skill jobs
Occupations that include clerical, sales, construction, installation/repair,
production, and transportation/material moving.
Low-skill jobs
Occupations in the service and agricultural categories.
Often require some education and training beyond high school (but
typically less than a bachelors degree), including associates degrees,
vocational certificates, significant on-the-job training.
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Employment Shares by Occupational Skill Level
6Source: National Skills Coalition (2010). The Bridge to a NewEconomy: Worker TrainingFills the Gap.http://www.nationalskillscoalition.org/assets/reports-/the-bridge-to-a-new-economy.pdf ; National Skills Coalition (2011).
State MiddleSkillFactSheets. http://www.nationalskillscoalition.org/resources/fact-sheets/state-fact-sheets/
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Education and Training Beyond High School
Is Increasingly Being Demanded
8Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. OccupationalOutlookHandbook, 2010-11 Edition.http://www.bls.gov/oco/oco2003.htm
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The Jobs of Tomorrow
9Source: Milano, Jessica,B
ruce Reed & Paul Weinstein Jr. (Sept 2009).A
Matter of Degrees:Tomorrows Fastest GrowingJobs andWhy Community College Graduates WillGet Them. TheNew Democratic Leadership Council.
New Mexico should be preparing students for the jobs of
tomorrow, not the jobs of yesterday or even today.
A quarter of American workers are now in jobs not even listed in the
Census Bureaus occupation codes in 1967.
Given the growth of new job sectors most notably green jobs it is
common sense to provide all students with a strong foundation that
keeps all doors open and all opportunities available in the future.
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The Public Agrees That Education or
Training Beyond High School
is Necessary for Future Success
10
To really get ahead in life, a
person needs at least some
education beyond high
school, whether that means
university, community
college, technical orvocational school.
To really get ahead in life,
a person needs more
than just a high school
education.
87
8
Source: Achieve, Inc. (2010). Achievingthe Possible: WhatAmericans Think the College andCareer-ReadyAgenda. http://www.achieve.org/files/AchievingThePossible-FinalReport.pdf
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Americas International Edge is Slipping in
Postsecondary Degree Attainment
11Source: OECD. Education at a Glance 2010. (All rates are self-reported.) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org
0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Young Adults (25-34) with College Degree % Adults (25-64) with College Degree
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% of Citizens with Postsecondary Degrees Among OECD Countries, by Age Group (2 )
- 4 4 - 4 3 -44 2 -34 ALL (2 - 4)
1 U.S. (40%) Canada (44%) Canada (54%) Korea (58%) Canada (49%)
2 Canada (40%) Japan (43%) Japan (48%) Canada (56%) Japan (43%)
3 N.Z. (34%) U.S. (40%) Finland (44%) Japan (55%) U.S. (41%)
4 Finland (29%) N.Z. (38%) U.S. (43%) N.Z. (48%) N.Z. (40%)
Australia (28%) Finland (37%) Korea (43%) Norway (46%) Finland (37%)
Norway (28%) Australia (33%) N.Z. (40%) Ireland (45%) Korea (37%)
7 Switz. (27%) Denmark (32%) Norway (38%) Denmark (43%) Norway (36%)
8 U.K. (27%) Norway (32%) Australia (38%) Belgium (42%) Australia (36%)
Sweden (26%) Switz. (31%) Denmark (37%) Australia (42%) Denmark (34%)
1 Neth. (26%) Neth. (31%) Ireland (37%) U.S. (42%) Ireland (34%)
11 Denmark (26%) Iceland (30%) Switz. (36%) Sweden (41%) Switz. (34%)
12 Japan (26%) U.K. (30%) Iceland (36%) France (41%) U.K. (33%)
13 Germany (24%) Belgium (29%) Belgium (35%) Neth. (40%) Belgium (32%)
14 Iceland (24%) Sweden (28%) U.K. (33%) Spain (39%) Neth. (32%)
1 Belgium (22%) Ireland (27%) Sweden (33%) Luxembourg (39%) Sweden (32%)
4 - 4: New Mexico (3 %) NM (3 %) NM (2 %) NM (34%)
Americas International Edge is Slipping in
Postsecondary Degree Attainment
12Source: OECD. Education at a Glance 2010. http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en ; National Center for Higher Education Management Systems analysis of 2009 AmericanCommunity Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org
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FAR TOO MANY STUDENTS DROP
OUT OR GRADUATE FROM HIGH
SCHOOL UNPREPARED FOR REALWORLD CHALLENGES
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Of Every 100 9th Graders in New Mexico
14Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008). Student Pipeline- Transition andCompletion Ratesfrom 9th Grade to College. http://www.higheredinfo.org
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
9th Graders Grad ateigh hoolin 4 ears
Enroll inCollege In the
Fall
till Enrolledophomore
ear ofCollege
Earn aCollegeDegree
1
1
41
2
12
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Achievement Remains Low: 8th Grade
Achievement Over Time
15Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/
8th Grade Math 1 2 2
New Mexico 11% 20%
U.S. 21% 34%
8th Grade Reading 1 8 2
New Mexico 24% 22%
U.S. 33% 32%
8th Grade Science 1 2
New Mexico 19% 21%
U.S. 29% 30%
%At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP
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And Gaps Persist: New Mexicos 8 th Grade
Achievement Gap
16Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/
Subgroup8th Grade Math
(2 )
8th Grade
Reading (2 )
8th Grade Science
(2 )
All Students 20% 22% 35%
White 39% 38% 39%
Black 13% 16% n/a
Hispanic 12% 14% 14%
Asian n/a n/a n/a
American Indian 10% 12% 10%
%At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP
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High School Graduation Rates Remain
Inequitable in New Mexico
17Source: Education Week (2007). Graduation in the UnitedStates.http://www.edweek.org/media/ew/dc/2010/34sos_gradrate.pdf
U.S.
NM
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
AmericanIndianAsianHispanicBlackWhite
All
51%
81%
56%54%
77%
69%
51%
74%
50%53%6
3%
55%
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Americas International Edge is Slipping in
High School Graduation Rates
18Source: OECD. Education at a Glance 2010. (All rates are self-reported) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2008 and 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org
0 20 40 60 80 100
Iceland
U.K.
Netherlands
Norway
Ireland
Denmark
Germany
Israel
Canada
Poland
Korea
U.S.
New Me ico
% Young Adults (25-34) with HS Diploma+ % Adults (25-64) with HS Diploma+
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Enrollment in College Does NOT Equal
College Readiness
19Source: National Center for Education Statistics (2003). RemedialEducation at Degree-GrantingPostsecondary Institutions in Fall2000.
Percentage of U.S. first-year students in two-year and four-yearinstitutions requiring remediation
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Enrollment in College Does NOT Equal
College Readiness in New Mexico
21Source: New Mexico Public Education Department (Jun 2010). Ready for College 2010.http://www.ped.state.nm.us/press/2010/Ready%20For%20College%202010.pdf
Percentage of students at two-year and four-year institutions
requiring remediation
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Many College Students Fail to Return Their
Sophomore Year and Go On To Earn Degrees
22Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008).Retention Rates -
First-Time College Freshmen ReturningTheirSecondYear; Graduation Rates.http://www.higheredinfo.org/
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Completion (4-Year)Persistence (4-
Year)Persistence (2-Year)
56%
75%
54%
40%
70%
52%
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Many College Students Fail to Earn a
Degree in New Mexico
23Source: NCES. IPEDS Graduation RateSurvey,analyzed by National Center for Management ofHigher Education Systems.
Percent of students earning a bachelors degreewithin six years in New Mexico, 2007
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The Majority of Graduates Would Have Taken
Harder Courses, Particularly in Mathematics
24Source: Peter D. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies (2005). Rising to the Challenge:AreHigh SchoolGraduates Preparedfor College andWork? New Mexico, DC: Achieve.
Would have taken
more challenging
courses in at least
one area
Math
Science
English
Knowing what you know today about the expectations of college/work
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A MORE RIGOROUS & RELEVANT
HIGH SCHOOL EDUCATION WILL
OPEN DOORS FOR STUDENTS AND KEEP THEM OPEN
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26
Personal Benefits of Education in New Mexico
While there may be jobs available to high school dropouts and
graduates, they often pay l and off r l c rit ythan jobs
held by those with at least some postsecondary experience.
The link between educational attainment and gainful employmentis clear:
More education is associated with higher
earnings and higher rates of employment.
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27Source: U.S. Census Bureau (2010). Current Population Survey. Figures are based on the total personsin the civilian labor force. http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/cpstc/cps_table_creator.html
Personal Benefits of Education in New Mexico
NewMexico Statistics: TotalUnemployment: 10%, Mean Income: $43,146
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28Source:Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). Help Wanted: Projections of Jobs andEducation Requirements Through
2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce. www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdfAnalysis based on authors analysis of March 2008 CPS data.
Benefits to Education
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29Source:ACT (2010). ACT 2009 Results. http://www.act.org/news/data/09/states.html ; College Board. Mean 2010SATScores byState. http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/2010-sat-trends.pdf
New Mexicos Students Taking College
Admissions Exams
2010 New Mexico U.S.
Participation in ACT 66% 47%
Average ACT Score 20.1 21
Participation in SAT 11% 47%
Average SAT Score 1636 1509
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30Source:ACT (2010). College Readiness BenchmarkAttainment byState.http://www.act.org/news/data/10/benchmarks.html?utm_campaign=cccr10&utm_source=data10_leftnav&utm_medium=web#benchmark
Students Meeting College Readiness
Benchmark
U.S.
NM
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
English, 2010Reading, 2010
Math, 2010Science, 2010
All4
tests, 2010
66%
52%
43%
29%
24%
59%
47%
32%
22%17%
Percentage of ACT-tested graduates who met or
exceeded the College Readiness Benchmark
Note:A benchmarkscore indicates a 50% chance of obtaininga Bor higher or about a 75% chance of obtaininga C or higher in thecorrespondingcredit-bearingcollegecourses.
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31Source: College Board (2011). AP Report to the Nation.http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/7th-annual-ap-report-to-the-nation-2011.pdf
Students Participating in Advanced
Placement and Exceeding College and Career
Readiness
Percent of all 12th Graders Participating inAdvanced Placement (2008)
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THE SOLUTION:
STATE-LED EFFORTS TO CLOSE THE
EXPECTATIONS GAPAll students deserve a world-class education thatprepares them for college, careers and life.
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The College- and Career-Ready Agenda
33
Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.
Require students to take a college- and career-ready
curriculum to earn a high school diploma.
Require students to take a college- and career-ready
curriculum to earn a high school diploma.
Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.
Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.
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New Mexicos Commitment to Closing the
Expectations Gap to Date
34
In 2009, New Mexico adopted high school standards aligned
with college and career expectations.
In 2008, New Mexico adopted college- and career-ready
graduation requirements the New Mexico Diploma of
Excellence for all students.
New Mexico is a Governing State in the SMARTER BALANCED
Assessment Consortium, a consortium of states working to
develop a common assessment system using Race to the Top
Common Assessment funds.
New Mexico has a P-20 longitudinal data system that regularly
matches student-level data across K-12 and postsecondary data
systems.
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How New Mexico Can Continue to Build on its
Momentum
Realize the promise of the Common Core State Standards byimplementing them fully and successfully, taking into consideration
the related curricular and policy changes.
Remain committed to the goals of the common assessment
consortium and developing a next-generation, computer-based
assessment system that will measure the full range of the CommonCore State Standards
Continue to make progress on the states data collection efforts,
particularly around making student data available to relevant
stakeholders.
Re-examine the states K-12 accountability system to determine
how it can reward measures of college and career readiness, in
alignment with the states standards and course requirements.
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HOW WELL IS NEW
MEXICO PREPARING ALL
STUDENTS FOR
COLLEGE, CAREERS AND
LIFE