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A SELECT INTERNATIONAL COMPANY www.sv-europe.com
Jarlath Quinn – Analytics Consultant
Rachel Clinton – Business Development
Predictive Analytics for Retail:
Understanding Customer Behaviour
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FAQ’s
• Is this session being recorded? No
• Can I get a copy of the slides? Yes, we’ll email a PDF copy to
you after the session has ended.
• Can we arrange a re-run for colleagues? Yes, just ask us.
• How can I ask questions? All lines are muted so please use the
chat facility – if we run out of time we will follow up with you.
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• Premium, accredited partner to IBM specialising in the SPSS Advanced
Analytics suite.
• Team each has 15 to 20 years of experience working in the predictive
analytic space - specifically as senior members of the heritage SPSS team
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What do we mean by ‘Predictive Analytics’?
Predictive analytics encompasses a variety of techniques from
statistics and data mining that analyze current and historical
data to make predictions about future events
Analysis of structured and unstructured information with mining,
predictive modeling, and 'what-if' scenario analysis.
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Interest in Predictive Analytics
‘Predictive Analytics’
‘Business Intelligence’
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grow
risk
fraud
attract
retain
Core Predictive Analytics Applications
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Analytics in Retail
• Propensity Modelling
– Response
– Cross-Sell
– Churn
– Reactivation
– Voucher Redemption
• Segmentation
– Life Time Value
– Loyalty
– Purchase Behaviour
– RFM
– Store clustering
• Other Applications
– Affinity/Basket Analysis
– LTV prediction
– Forecasting
– Text Mining
– Satisfaction Modelling
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Typical Application Aims
Grow Defend
Market Share
Profit
Acquire More Customers
Build a Reputable Brand
Anticipate Demand
Maximise Satisfaction
Lower Cost of Acquisition
Cross Sell
Up Sell
Maximise Lifetime Value
Maximise Loyalty
Address Poor Satisfaction
Lower Churn Rates
Reactivate Passive Customers
Minimise Defaults
Prevent Fraud
Prevent Waste
Maintain Availability
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Propensity Modelling
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Store Clustering
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Sales Forecasting
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Text Mining
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By utilising a powerful, proven methodology
• CRISP-DM: Cross-Industry Standard Process for Data Mining
• Each application can be developed and progressed through a series of key phases
How do we do this?
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EPOS Data Com
petit
ive
adva
ntag
e
Degree of intelligence
By exploiting a wider data landscape
Descriptive Data
Interaction Data
Social Media Data
How do we do this?
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By using powerful IBM advanced analytics technology
How do we do this?
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By integrating the resultant insight with existing systems
How do we do this?
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SPSS Retail Users Include …
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Quick Demo
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Advice to get started
• Consider adopting a proven methodology e.g. CRISP-DM (www.CRISP-DM.eu)
• Don’t get hung up on modelling techniques - focus on Business Understanding and Deployment
• Consider the full data landscape – don’t wait for the perfect data warehouse
• Consider the sorts of roles involved /impacted
• Consider integration with other business insight systems (e.g. MI/BI)
• How will you know its worked? Focus on measuring the benefit – e.g. response rate lift, increased cross-sell, revenue/profit impact
• You may not need to recruit specialists: data–literate, business focussed people can learn how to do this.
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A SELECT INTERNATIONAL COMPANY www.sv-europe.com
Thank you
Contact us:
+44 (0)207 786 3568