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Protein-Rich Vegetarian Food & Sustainable Animal Products - Trends and Perspectives
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• 14:30 Soya for food – part of a European Protein Strategy, Ursula Bittner, Austrian Soya and Danube Soya Association
• 15:00 Resource Effects of Dietary Patterns, Dr. Donal Murphy-Bokern
• 15:30 Health Aspects of Soya Foods - for Vegetarians, Vegans and beyond; Dr. Markus Keller
16.30 – 18.30 Coffee Break
• 16.30 Is our Future plant-based, Sebastian Zösch, Vegetarierbund Deutschland
• 16.50 The Development of Organic Soya Production and its value chain in Europe, Amos Ramsauer, Bioland Markt GmbH & Co KG
• 17.10 New Vegetable Proteins Sources: Where do we go from here? Gerard Klein Essink, Director Bridge2Food
AGENDA
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 2
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DANUBE SOYA
Soya for food – part of a European Protein Strategy Danube Soya Association Wiesingerstrasse 6/9 1010 Wien
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<<<<<<< Agriculture resources usage
Usage dominated by Feed • 50% of the world population
is using less than 25 g of animal proteins/day
• 18% of the world population is using more than 60 g of animal proteins per day
Denis Chéreau, Improve
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 4
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<<<<<<< Use of Soya
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 5
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<<<<<<< Use of Soya
Feeding Stuff Foods Feeding- & Food
Stuff
Soybean
Soymeal Roasted
Soyabeans
Whole Soybean
Soyoil Soya Lecithin
Soya Flour Soya Drinks
Soya Yoghurts Soya „Knabberein“ and
Chocolate Tofu (Pickled, Tofugan,
Silken Tofu) Fermented
Soyaproducts (Soy Sauce, Tempeh, Sufu, Natto, Miso, Okara,
Yuba)
30 Members
Chemical Industry und Cosmetics
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 6
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<<<<<<< The Soya Bean and its Ingredients
Soybeans contain all eight essential amino acids, in a composition the human organism can utilise directly.
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 8
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<<<<<<< Soya Beans Imports and Exports
Quelle: USDA
Tausend Tonnen
75.0 – 100.0
50.0-75.0
10.0-50.0
0.0-10.0
95,5
0 46
Soybean Mio. MT
12
74
0
Soybean Mio. MT
108
1 48
Soybean
Mio. MT
55
0 8
Soybeand Mio. MT
1
12,75
0
Soybean Mio. MT
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 9
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<<<<<<< Soya Bean Meal Import and Exports
Tausend Tonnen
75.0 – 100.0
50.0-75.0
10.0-50.0
0.0-10.0
Quelle: USDA
59
0 0
Soybean Meal Mio.
MT 10,8
19
0
Production Import Export
Soybean Meal Mio. MT
38,8
0 11,6
Production Export
Soybean Meal Mio. MT
29
0
14
Production Export
Soybean Meal Mio. MT
29
0
27
Production Export
Soybean Meal Mio. MT
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 10
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Europa imports the cultivated land size of 12 Mio. ha in Soya from Overseas, 77% of CO2 emission in pork production resides from this effect
16 Mio. ha
Import Soya
1
12
0
Production Import Export
Soyabean Mio. MT
CO2 emissions per kg pork meat
Negative impact in sustainability and ecological valuation of livestock production
10
19
0
Production Import Export
Soyabean Meal Mio. MT
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 11
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<<<<<<< Demand drivers for GMO and GMO-free Soya in livestock per country
Source: FEFAC 2014
Main drivers for non-GM feed demand
20%
stable
60-75%
stable
30-50%
increasing
10%
increasing
100%
stable
100%
stable
< 10%
stable
75%
stable
< 10%
stable30%
50%
decreasing
80%
growing
100%
stable90%
stable
< 1%
50%
stable
<5%
increasing
100%
stable
90 %
stable 90 %
stable
90 %
stable
Market share of non-GM
compound feed
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
poultry pigs cattle
rest
non‐GM
Poultry and
laying hens
35%
pork
50%
beef
and
dairy
15%
Demand of Soya Imports Europe approx.
Source: Danube Soya Estimation
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 12
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<<<<<<< Soya Demand Estimates in Europe
Source: Base 2014, Various Reports Compiled by DSI, partly estimates (red) partly recalculated by feeder statistics (blue)
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 13
Ton Volumes Soya Cultivation Actuals &
Forecasts
Average Yield excl. Ukraine
Average Yield incl. Ukraine
EU-27 (and sourrounding countries)
Country (Factor)
Austria
Belgium-Luxembourg
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Bulgaria
Croatia
Czech Republic
Germany
Hungary
Italy
France
Moldavia
Netherlands
Poland
Portugal
Romania
Serbia
Slovakia
Slovenia
Spain
Switzerland
UK-Ireland
Skandinavian (DK, SWE, NOR, FIN)
Other
Total Danube Soy Region
Total 1 (Danube Soy Region & EU-Rest w/o Ukraine)
Ukraine
Total 2 (DS Region & EU-Rest w Ukraine)
Soya Meal
Demand GMO-
free
%
Distribution
of GMO-
free
demand
Soja-Meal
GMO-free
domestic
Soya for Soya
Food demand
Soja-Meal /
Feed Demand
Total
%
Distribution
of Total Soya
Feed
demand
5.000.000 1.148.000 500.000 29.725.600
ton
180.000 4% 20.000 90.000 511.000 2%
40.000 1% 0 569.400 1,9%
10.000 0% 10.000 73.000 0,2%
0 0% 0 109.500 0,4%
30.000 1% 30.000 182.500 0,6%
0 0% 10.000 474.500 1,6%
1.000.000 20% 10.000 200.000 4.445.700 15,0%
100.000 2% 0 591.300 2,0%
800.000 16% 410.000 3.336.100 11,2%
700.000 14% 160.000 20.000 3.825.200 12,9%
0 0% 100.000 102.200 0,3%
50.000 1% 0 2.518.500 8,5%
180.000 4% 21.000 1.868.800 6,3%
0 0% 0 678.900 2,3%
0 0% 0 423.400 1,4%
310.000 6% 310.000 189.800 0,6%
57.000 1% 57.000 138.700 0,5%
0 0% 0 65.700 0,2%
2.000 0% 2.000 4.197.500 14,1%
306.600 6% 8.000 306.600 1,0%
195.000 4% 2.788.600 9,4%
749.000 15% 2.138.900 7,2%
290.400 6% 190.000 189.800 0,6%
5.000.000 17% 1.148.000 500.000 29.725.600
1.007.400
30.733.000
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<<<<<<< Consumption of Protein
Denis Chéreau, Improve Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 14
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<<<<<<< Meat Consumption is Dropping
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 15
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<<<<<<< Meat Consumption Germany
Figure 2.5 Meat Consumption per person in Germany, 1850 – 2010* (in kg) Source: own diagram after Alvensleben (1999) and BMELV (2011); *2010: estimated
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 16
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<<<<<<< Consumption of legumes per year and capita – Germany
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 17
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<<<<<<< Consumption in Austria
Per capita and year 1880 1926 1970 2005 2013
Potatoe 316 124 75 55 48,9
Rye Flour 83 54 16 10 10,2
Legumes (Beans, Lentils, etc.) 15 2 1 0,5 0,7
Fresh Vegetables 68 50 19 15
Meat 35 45 65 90 97,7
Dairy Products 95 135 185 215
- 88%
- 77% + 64%
+ 56%
Calories Intake per Person and Day
1964: 2950 kcal
2002: 3740 kcal
2013: 3819 kcal (OECD Average 3.410 kcal)
- 95%
- 85%
-
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 18
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0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
40,0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Noncer fiedGMOSoya 34,0 32,4 30,5 28,0 24,8 20,8 16,2 11,9 8,0 3,1 0,0 0,0
Cer fiedGMOSoya(RTRS) 1,0 1,5 2,0 3,0 4,0 6,0 8,0 9,0 10,0 11,0 11,0 9,7
OverseasGMO-freeSoya(ProTerra) 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5 5,0 5,5 6,0 6,5 7,0 7,5 8,0 8,0
Poten alEuropeanGMO-freeotherlegumes/be erlanduse 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,1 0,3 0,6 1,0 1,4 1,8 2,2 2,6 3,0
Poten alUkraineGMO-freeSoya(incl.Danube/EuroSoya) 0,0 0,1 0,3 0,6 1,5 2,1 3,2 5,0 6,5 8,7 10,2 11,2
Poten alEuropeanGMO-freeSoya(incl.Danube/EuroSoya) 2,1 2,6 3,0 3,3 3,6 4,0 4,2 4,5 4,7 5,0 5,2 5,6
Sourcing of the european Protein ( Soya) Feed Dem and Scenario unt il 2 0 2 5
Vision 2025. Europe has the potential to become self-sufficient by 50% of current soya meal demand
European protein production is able to fulfil 50% of protein feed (current soya basis). By pushing also other legumes and better use of land (grass) in a long run even higher self-sufficiency is possible
Current ProTerra certified production from overseas can bridge part of the gap
Current GMO-free demand of 5 Mio t in Europe is covered 1/3 by European production.
Rest of demand may be covered by certified (RTRS) sourcing
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 19
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<<<<<<< Development of Soya Production ha
Soja Production Europe
Acreage Potential Soya Cultivation
Country
Austria*
Bosnia Herzegovina*****
Bulgaria*
Croatia ***
Czech Republic*
Germany*
Hungary*
Italy*/++++
Moldavia****
Poland**/++
Romania*
Serbia*****/+++
Slovakia**/+
Slovenia**
Switzerland***
Total 1 (Danube Soy Region w/o Ukraine)
Soya demand in total GMO free Soy demand 2014 5,5 Mio t p.a.
35 Mio t p.a. estimated GMO-free demand will Increase over the next 3 years to 6 Mio t p.a.
Soja Acreage
2011/2012
Soja Acreage
2013
Soja Acreage
2014
Soja Acreage
2015 Estim.
ha ha % ha % ha %
Maize Maize Maize
36.955 41.919 18,0% 43.700 18,8% 50.000 21,5%
5.325 4.474 2,4% 5.900 3,1% 6.600 3,5%
1.800 300 0,1% 2.000 0,4% 20.000 4,1%
42.000 47.156 16,4% 50.000 17,3% 60.000 20,8%
3.000 6.500 5,4% 6.500 5,4% 10.000 8,3%
5.000 5.200 1,0% 5.800 1,2% 12.000 2,4%
30.000 41.000 3,3% 42.300 3,4% 70.000 5,7%
175.000 220.000 25,3% 240.000 27,6% 260.000 29,9%
58.900 42.000 9,0% 80.000 17,2% 92.000 19,7%
1.928 2.735 0,5% 14.100 2,6% 19.000 3,5%
42.000 70.300 2,6% 86.500 3,2% 100.000 3,7%
163.000 159.724 13,5% 180.000 15,2% 183.900 15,5%
12.000 11.500 5,5% 11.200 5,3% 20.000 9,5%
100 100 0,3% 100 0,3% 200 0,5%
3.633 1.409 8,4% 3.900 23,5% 4.000 23,7%
580.641 654.317 772.000 907.700
estimated GMO-free demand will Increase over the next 3 years to 6 Mio t p.a.
Soja Acreage
potential
midterm (1/6
maize+soja act)
Soja Acreage
potential
longterm (1/4
maize+soja act)
ha ha
16,67% 25,00%
82.500 102.000
37.500 53.300
83.700 124.500
98.100 122.100
26.500 36.500
89.400 131.100
248.300 351.300
385.000 457.500
157.700 196.500
103.900 148.900
541.500 769.000
377.800 476.600
46.200 63.700
6.800 10.100
6.700 8.100
2.291.600 3.051.200
Ukraine**/+
Total 2 (DS Region w Ukraine)
1.110.300 1.350.000 28,1% 1.600.000 33,3% 1.680.000 35,0%
1.690.941 2.004.317 2.372.000 2.587.700
2.400.000 2.800.000
4.691.600 5.851.200
From 2013 to 2014 19% more cultivation in the Danube Region
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 20
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Danube Soya beans are...
… from the Danube Region
… GMO free
• EU (ILO) social & labour standards
• EU Pesticide Legislation
• Agricultural Land, only
before January 2008
AREA DEFINITIONS:
GERMANY: Bavaria, Baden Württemberg
ITALY: Trentino Alto Adige, Friuli Venezia Giulia, Veneto, Emilia-Romana, Lombardia, Piemont, Vallée d’Aoste
POLAND: Dolnoslaskie, Opolskie, Slaskie, Swietokrzyskie, Podkarpackie, Malopolske
UKRAINE: Uschgorod, Tschernowzy, Winniza, Odessa, Lwow, Ternopol, Chmelnizkij, Iwano-Frankovsm
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 21
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Traceability Inspection European processors Short Transport Consumers benefit
Danube Soya is...
FEED FOOD
Danube Soya Certification
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 22
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• Nov. 2013: 80% of all laying hens in Austria (Billa, Penny, Spar, Hofer)
• Dec. 2013: Coop and UFA/fenaco poultry feed mill Sursee (compulsory
for all Coop-Naturafarm-laying hens from 2015)
• Dec. 2014 Poulet Coop
• Jan. 2015: Fa. Hütthaler
• Jan. 2015: Fa. Schirnhofer
• Mid of 2015: laying hens Switzerland Coop
Danube Soya Market & Development
Markets: Austria, Switzerland and Germany
Next step: Soya as food
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 23
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<<<<<<< Over 140 plant based products
Tofu and Alternatives for Meat
Drinks, Yoghurts, Puddings
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 24
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<<<<<<<
„Knabbersoja“ and Bars
Spreads
Export Ratio over 50% to over 30 countries
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 25
<<<<<<<
<<<<<<< Animal vrs. Plant based protein – a comparison
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 26
How much Feeding Stuff for 1 KG Meat?
<<<<<<<
<<<<<<< Servings made out of 9 KG Soybeans
Serving à 200g
68 12 5
Tofu Pork Beef
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 27
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<<<<<<< Efficiency in using soya beans
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 28
<<<<<<<
<<<<<<< Use of water
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 29
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<<<<<<< CO2 Emissions
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 30
<<<<<<<
<<<<<<< CO2 Emission change if using regional soya
A changeover to regional produced Soya may reduce CO2
emissions by about 50 % to 1,8 kg CO2 per 1 kg pork.
Just changing the pork production in Austria leads to a reduction of 1,1 Mio. t CO2
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 31
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Friday, 8th of May 2015
Comparison: Porkproduction - Soyagranules
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 32
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<<<<<<<
Friday, 8th of May 2015
GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling
GMO-free Europe Conference 35 Thursday, 7th of May 2015
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<<<<<<<
Calculation: How much soya must be consumed as food –
plus less meat – to reduce enormous amounts of CO2 and
lead to a European independence.
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 36
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<<<<<<<
Thank you for your attention! Ursula Bittner [email protected] www.donausoja.org
Find us on Facebook: facebook.com/danubesoya
Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 40